Our side
MoneylineUTAH to win
ours 36%
Projected score
30–20
UTAH – ISU
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Iowa State lead
5–1
· 6 meetings since 1970
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Utah Utes
46 ranks
Utah Utes #3 rush offense
Iowa State Cyclones #49 run defense
Pass game
edge Utah Utes
79 ranks
Utah Utes #40 pass offense
Iowa State Cyclones #119 pass defense
Run game
edge Iowa State Cyclones
62 ranks
Iowa State Cyclones #76 rush offense
Utah Utes #138 run defense
Pass game
edge Utah Utes
80 ranks
Iowa State Cyclones #87 pass offense
Utah Utes #7 pass defense
Utah Utes
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg
Iowa State Cyclones
Run-heavy · 58% run
Avg pace
Morgan Scalley · 1-0
Matt Campbell · 81-57
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Utah Utes
RB
Wayshawn Parker
124 rush yds · 3 TD · 8 rec
#8 RB
TE
Noah Bennee
5 rec · 148 yds · 2 TD
#8 TE
QB
Devon Dampier
437 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
#9 QB
DL
Jireh Moe
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#105 DL
Iowa State Cyclones
DL
Isaac Terrell
5 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#116 DL
LB
Sullivan Schlimgen
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#87 LB
TE
Vince Benetti
3 rec · 34 yds · 2 TD
#42 TE
QB
Jaylen Raynor
301 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#82 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Utah offense vs Iowa State defense+4.0 pts
Iowa State offense vs Utah defense-4.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 946 mi
Altitude · context only1,141 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.