← Matchups

Tennessee Tech

· 3-0 · power +6.4 · #109
Our numberTNTC -10.0 no book has priced this game

Wofford

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.1 · #246
Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win ours 29%
Projected score 29–19 TNTC – WOF
2026-09-26 · 1:30 PM Gibbs Stadium · Spartanburg, SC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wofford lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 10 ranks apart
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense Wofford Terriers #7 run defense
Pass game even 25 ranks apart
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense Wofford Terriers #96 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 219 ranks
Wofford Terriers #230 rush offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 191 ranks
Wofford Terriers #214 pass offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Balanced · 49% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg Wofford Terriers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL Hudson Tucker 10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #46 DL
WR Gabe Nunez 11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD #137 WR
WR Tre' Holloway 12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD #138 WR
RB Qua Ashley 120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #119 RB
Wofford Terriers
LB Wyatt Ward 28 tkl · 2.5 TFL #16 LB
RB Gerald Modest Jr. 246 rush yds · 4 TD · 6 rec #26 RB
DB Cole Walker 14 tkl · 5 PD #75 DB
LB Javario Tinch 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #86 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +6.4 +2.2 +4.2 #109
Wofford Terriers -5.1 -10.2 +5.0 #246

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tennessee Tech offense vs Wofford defense-2.8 pts
Wofford offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-14.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.9 pts
Power projection before adjustment-9.1
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.