← Matchups

Georgia Tech

ACC · 0-2 · power +12.0 · #75
Our numberGT -4.7 no book has priced this game

Stanford

ACC · 1-1 (0-1 ACC) · power +4.0 · #132
Our side
MoneylineGT to win ours 37%
Projected score 28–23 GT – STAN
2026-09-26 · 10:30 PM Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA ACC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Georgia Tech lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 1991
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 40 ranks apart
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #57 rush offense Stanford Cardinal #17 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 179 ranks
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #33 pass offense Stanford Cardinal #212 pass defense
Run game edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 125 ranks
Stanford Cardinal #254 rush offense Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #129 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 58 ranks
Stanford Cardinal #179 pass offense Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets #121 pass defense
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Balanced · 56% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg Stanford Cardinal Balanced · 53% run Ball-control
Brent Key · 27-20 · offense-minded Frank Reich · 4-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
DL Tawfiq Thomas 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #13 DL
LB Kyle Efford 21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #24 LB
DL Taje McCoy 15 tkl · 1.0 TFL #74 DL
RB Justice Haynes 145 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec #46 RB
Stanford Cardinal
LB Matt Rose 21 tkl · 1.5 TFL #51 LB
TE Benji Blackburn 12 rec · 101 yds #27 TE
RB Micah Ford 126 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #61 RB
DB Charlie Eckhardt 11 tkl · 1 INT #226 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsACC +12.0 +3.5 +8.5 #75
Stanford CardinalACC +4.0 +1.4 +2.5 #132

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Georgia Tech offense vs Stanford defense+1.0 pts
Stanford offense vs Georgia Tech defense-7.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,123 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.