Our side
MoneylineDSU to win
ours 68%
Projected score
22–30
TOW – DSU
2026-09-26 · 6:00 PM
Alumni Stadium (DE) · Dover, DE
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Towson lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
115 ranks
Towson Tigers #239 rush offense
Delaware State Hornets #124 run defense
Pass game
edge Towson Tigers
75 ranks
Towson Tigers #51 pass offense
Delaware State Hornets #126 pass defense
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
177 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #6 rush offense
Towson Tigers #183 run defense
Pass game
even
8 ranks apart
Delaware State Hornets #167 pass offense
Towson Tigers #159 pass defense
Towson Tigers
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Delaware State Hornets
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Towson Tigers
WR
Aaron Enterline
16 rec · 214 yds · 3 TD
#23 WR
DB
Bryan Lodge
14 tkl · 1 PD
#263 DB
LB
Jaydyn Johnson
24 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#165 LB
DB
Marquis Cooper
8 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#280 DB
Delaware State Hornets
DB
Kemari Nix
17 tkl · 1 PD
#64 DB
DL
Quoy Rainey
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#173 DL
DL
Gensley Auguste
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#235 DL
WR
Jaylin Terzado
10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD
#158 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Towson offense vs Delaware State defense-5.3 pts
Delaware State offense vs Towson defense-1.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+2.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment+6.4
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).