Our side
MoneylineWEB to win
ours 68%
Projected score
29–38
PRST – WEB
2026-09-26 · 8:00 PM
Stewart Stadium · Ogden, UT
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Weber State lead
10–6
· 16 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
11 ranks apart
Portland State Vikings #258 rush offense
Weber State Wildcats #247 run defense
Pass game
edge Weber State Wildcats
87 ranks
Portland State Vikings #224 pass offense
Weber State Wildcats #137 pass defense
Run game
edge Weber State Wildcats
97 ranks
Weber State Wildcats #165 rush offense
Portland State Vikings #262 run defense
Pass game
even
1 ranks apart
Weber State Wildcats #249 pass offense
Portland State Vikings #250 pass defense
Portland State Vikings
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Weber State Wildcats
Balanced · 58% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Portland State Vikings
DB
Lono Solomon
19 tkl · 2 PD
#23 DB
DB
Isaac Redford
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#24 DB
TE
Tanner Beaman
16 rec · 157 yds · 1 TD
#7 TE
WR
Terence Loville
15 rec · 221 yds · 1 TD
#70 WR
Weber State Wildcats
WR
Noah Kjar
22 rec · 385 yds · 6 TD
#2 WR
LB
Teni Worthen
25 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#52 LB
LB
Zach Smith
10 tkl
#59 LB
P
Henry Way
13 punts · 45.4 yd avg
#13 P
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Portland State offense vs Weber State defense+7.2 pts
Weber State offense vs Portland State defense+13.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment+9.4
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 627 mi
Altitude · context only1,386 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.