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Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles ★ DIV · NFC EAST ★

Week 7 · 2026-10-26 · 20:15 · Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors · grass
· Last 5 yrs H2H: DAL 5 – 5 PHI
no sides on this game yet · the record
DAL Israel Abanikanda RB out · Malik Davis RB out · Camden Brown WR out · DJ Rogers TE out    PHI Cole Payton QB out · Tanner McKee QB out · Elijah Moore WR out · Johnny Wilson WR out · Eli Stowers TE out · Grant Calcaterra TE out
PHI win probability
ours 66% book 59%
47%
77%
book is 7 pts lower
projected DAL 22 – PHI 27 · PHI -5.3 · not a pick ·
how this works
MODEL is the power-ratings spine. The projected score, the spread and the win probability are one quantity in three units. The book's number is beside it on purpose: the gap is the product, and nothing here has a proven edge against the closing line. Our total is held this week: league scoring is still being estimated from a handful of games, so no total is claimed. The bars on every row are the last ten games the man (or the home team) has a box score for, drawn against today's line; the gold tick is our number on the same scale. Our side is where our number sits against the line, written down every refresh and locked at its last showing before kickoff at the best price we held; the side you see before the game is the side that gets graded. The model behind it has not beaten the closing line in testing, so a side is a lean, not an edge. Anytime TD can only be taken yes, so our side is YES only when our chance beats the chance the price implies. Kicking is graded by its own register, which locks the first showing. Tap a price to add it to a ticket.
Game · Passing · Rushing · Receiving · Touchdowns · Kicking
Gamelinelast 10 vs the line · ours ▸hitsidebest
Eaglesspread · margin, last 10
PHI -3
PHI −5.3
4/9
at the line
bookPHIDAL
DK
CZR
Eaglestotal · points in the game, last 10
48.5
held
1/10
held this week
bookoverunder
DK
CZR
Eaglesmoneyline · wins, last 10
59.3%
ours 65.5%
6/10
PHI+6.2 pts vs book
bookPHIDAL
DK
CZR
No player props posted for this game yet.

Injury report

23 designations · as of 8:00 PM
DAL · 12
Israel AbanikandaRBOUTCoach's Decision
Malik DavisRBOUTHip · IR
Camden BrownWROUTCoach's Decision
DJ RogersTEOUTKnee · IR
8 more · line, defense, specialists
Matt HennessyCOUTNeck · IR
Caelen CarsonCBOUTCoach's Decision
Devin MooreCBOUTUndisclosed · IR
Kelvin Gilliam Jr.DTOUTTriceps · IR
Tyler SmithGOUTThumb · IR
Marist LiufauLBOUTForearm · IR
Tyrus WheatLBOUTCoach's Decision
Ajani CorneliusOTOUTCoach's Decision
PHI · 11
Cole PaytonQBOUTCoach's Decision
Tanner McKeeQBOUTCoach's Decision
Elijah MooreWROUTCoach's Decision
Johnny WilsonWROUTKnee · IR
Eli StowersTEOUTHamstring · IR
Grant CalcaterraTEOUTBack · IR
5 more · line, defense, specialists
Jakorian BennettCBOUTKnee · IR
Micah MorrisGOUTCoach's Decision
Jonathan GreenardLBOUTPectoral
Andre' SamSOUTFoot · IR
Marcus EppsSQUESTIONABLEShoulder

Our numbers vs the book

0 legs priced · moneyline 6.2 pts apart
Top disagreements · probability points
#marketwhooursbookgapsidehow
Every price is the book that posted it, de-vigged two-way where both sides exist. The gap is |our published number − the book's|, in probability points, the same rule that ranks the front page. Break-even at −110 is 52.4%. Not a pick.

Mismatches

2025 rank gaps, both offenses · biggest first · a top-8 unit meeting a bottom-8 unit is the one worth knowing about
PHI Red zonePHI offense · DAL defense OFF +29 PHI 74% #2 DAL #31 72%
PHI Pass attackPHI offense · DAL defense OFF +18 PHI +0.04 #13 DAL #31 +0.22
PHI Run gamePHI offense · DAL defense OFF +17 PHI +0.01 #14 DAL #31 +0.09
DAL 3rd downDAL offense · PHI defense OFF +14 DAL 43% #8 PHI #22 42%
PHI Pass pro vs rushPHI offense · DAL defense LINE +13 PHI 2.1 #12 DAL #25 2.0
DAL Run block vs frontDAL offense · PHI defense LINE +13 DAL 126 #9 PHI #22 124
PHI 3rd downPHI offense · DAL defense OFF +10 PHI 38% #21 DAL #31 48%
PHI Pass yardsPHI offense · DAL defense OFF +9 PHI 206 #23 DAL #32 266
6 more comparisons, gap under 9
PHI Red zoneDAL offense · PHI defense DEF +7 DAL 62% #17 PHI #10 59%
DAL Pass yardsDAL offense · PHI defense OFF +5 DAL 279 #1 PHI #6 204
PHI Run block vs frontPHI offense · DAL defense LINE +5 PHI 117 #18 DAL #23 125
DAL Run gameDAL offense · PHI defense OFF +1 DAL +0.01 #15 PHI #16 -0.02
PHI Pass attackDAL offense · PHI defense DEF +0 DAL +0.16 #5 PHI #5 -0.12
PHI Pass pro vs rushDAL offense · PHI defense RUSH +0 DAL 1.8 #11 PHI #11 2.5

The matchup

who calls it · the four battles · the men
The matchup profile for this game has not been built yet — it is rebuilt hourly once a kickoff is near.

The matchup in full

field · units · trenches, one offense at a time
Jump to

On the field 2025 unit strength · context, not a model input · tap a position

PHI DEFENSE DAL OFFENSE CB S S CB LB LB LB DE DT DT DE WR WR LT LG C RG RT TE WR QB RB
Balanced · 41% run Avg pace
Unit strength weaker · avg · stronger

Units DAL offense against what it runs into

DAL OFFENSE 2025 PHI DEFENSE
+0.16 #5 Pass attack even #5 -0.12
+0.01 #15 Run game even #16 -0.02
279 #1 Pass yards even #6 204
126 #9 Rush yards OFF +13 #22 124
1.8 #11 Pass pro vs rush even #12 2.5
43% #8 3rd down OFF +14 #22 42%
62% #17 Red zone even #10 59%

Trenches pass pro vs the rush · run block vs the front

DALpass pro even PHIpass rush
LTTyler Guyton94%
LGT.J. Bass33%
CCooper Beebe98%
RGTyler Booker100%
RTTerence Steele98%
Jalyx Hunt LB 6.5 sk#49
Moro Ojomo DT 6.0 sk#52
Jordan Davis DT 4.5 sk#81
1.8 #11sacks allowed /g · sacks made /g#11 2.5
DALrun block line +13 PHIrun D
LTTyler Guyton94%
LGT.J. Bass33%
CCooper Beebe98%
RGTyler Booker100%
RTTerence Steele98%
Jalen Carter LDE 5.0 tfl#203
Moro Ojomo RDE 6.0 tfl#138
Nolan Smith Jr. WLB 1.0 tfl#522
Zack Baun LILB 7.0 tfl#121
Jihaad Campbell RILB 2.0 tfl#452
126 #9rush yds /g · rush yds allowed /g#22 124