Cleveland Browns
@
Tennessee Titans
MODEL TEN 52%
Week 7 · 2026-10-25 · 13:00
· Nissan Stadium (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: CLE 1 – 1 TEN
—
Vegas line (context)
—
Game total O/U
—
Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
CLE OFFENSE
vs
TEN DEFENSE
Balanced · 41% run
Avg pace
TEN OFFENSE
vs
CLE DEFENSE
Balanced · 37% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
CLE OFFENSE
vs
TEN DEFENSE
-0.29 #32
Pass attack
even
#29 +0.17
-0.05 #25
Run game
even
#23 +0.01
185 #31
Pass yards
even
#26 248
97 #27
Rush yards
DEF +12
#15 115
3.0 #26
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +12
#14 2.5
34% #28
3rd down
even
#21 42%
55% #28
Red zone
even
#30 71%
TEN OFFENSE
vs
CLE DEFENSE
-0.22 #31
Pass attack
DEF +27
#4 -0.13
-0.06 #27
Run game
DEF +22
#5 -0.05
191 #29
Pass yards
DEF +26
#3 189
93 #30
Rush yards
DEF +14
#16 116
3.3 #27
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +24
#3 3.1
32% #32
3rd down
DEF +24
#8 37%
61% #20
Red zone
even
#20 66%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
CLE PASS RUSH
vs
TEN PASS PRO
Jared Verse DE
8.5 sacks '25
Maliek Collins DT
6.5 sacks '25
Alex Wright DE
5.5 sacks '25
3.3 #27
sacks allowed /g
#14 3.1
TEN PASS RUSH
vs
CLE PASS PRO
Jeffery Simmons DT
11.0 sacks '25
John Franklin-Myers DE
7.5 sacks '25
Jacob Martin DE
5.5 sacks '25
3.0 #26
sacks allowed /g
#3 2.5
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
CLE
Deshaun Watson QB
vs #29 PASS D
— pass y/g
Quinshon Judkins RB
vs #23 RUN D
59.1 rush y/g 3/10
Jerry Jeudy WR1
vs #29 PASS D
35.4 rec y/g 4/10
KC Concepcion WR2
vs #29 PASS D
— rec y/g
Denzel Boston WR3
vs #29 PASS D
— rec y/g
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
vs #29 PASS D
45.7 rec y/g 3/10
TEN
Cam Ward QB
vs #4 PASS D
186.4 pass y/g 5/10
Tony Pollard RB
vs #5 RUN D
63.6 rush y/g 4/10
Carnell Tate WR1
vs #4 PASS D
— rec y/g
Wan'Dale Robinson WR2
2025: NYG
vs #4 PASS D
63.4 rec y/g 3/10
Calvin Ridley WR3
vs #4 PASS D
43.3 rec y/g 2/7
Gunnar Helm TE
vs #4 PASS D
22.3 rec y/g 6/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.