New York Giants
@
Houston Texans
MODEL HOU 70%
Week 7 · 2026-10-25 · 13:00
· Reliant Stadium
· astroturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: NYG 1 – 0 HOU
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
NYG OFFENSE
vs
HOU DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Avg pace
dual-threat QB
HOU OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
Balanced · 43% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
NYG OFFENSE
vs
HOU DEFENSE
-0.01 #19
Pass attack
DEF +18
#1 -0.19
+0.04 #5
Run game
even
#8 -0.05
218 #21
Pass yards
DEF +14
#7 205
129 #5
Rush yards
even
#4 94
2.8 #23
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +16
#7 2.8
40% #17
3rd down
DEF +10
#7 37%
59% #23
Red zone
even
#16 63%
HOU OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
+0.04 #15
Pass attack
even
#16 +0.03
-0.08 #30
Run game
even
#32 +0.17
233 #14
Pass yards
even
#17 230
109 #22
Rush yards
OFF +9
#31 145
1.8 #9
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +8
#17 2.2
38% #24
3rd down
DEF +10
#14 40%
51% #31
Red zone
DEF +9
#22 68%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
NYG PASS RUSH
vs
HOU PASS PRO
Brian Burns LB
16.5 sacks '25
Abdul Carter LB
4.0 sacks '25
Darius Alexander DT
3.5 sacks '25
1.8 #9
sacks allowed /g
#7 2.2
HOU PASS RUSH
vs
NYG PASS PRO
Danielle Hunter DE
18.0 sacks '25
Will Anderson Jr. DE
15.5 sacks '25
Sheldon Rankins DT
4.5 sacks '25
2.8 #23
sacks allowed /g
#17 2.8
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
NYG
Jaxson Dart QB
vs #1 PASS D
162.3 pass y/g 8/10
Cam Skattebo RB
vs #8 RUN D
51.2 rush y/g 5/8
Malik Nabers WR1
vs #1 PASS D
67.8 rec y/g 2/4
Darius Slayton WR2
vs #1 PASS D
38.4 rec y/g 4/10
Darnell Mooney WR3
2025: ATL
vs #1 PASS D
29.5 rec y/g 4/10
Isaiah Likely TE
2025: BAL
vs #1 PASS D
25.6 rec y/g 4/10
HOU
C.J. Stroud QB
vs #16 PASS D
218.9 pass y/g 5/10
David Montgomery RB
2025: DET
vs #32 RUN D
42.1 rush y/g 2/10
Nico Collins WR1
vs #16 PASS D
71.1 rec y/g 6/10
Jayden Higgins WR2
vs #16 PASS D
32.8 rec y/g 7/10
Jaylin Noel WR3
vs #16 PASS D
15.4 rec y/g 1/10
Dalton Schultz TE
vs #16 PASS D
44.0 rec y/g 5/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.