Los Angeles Rams
@
Las Vegas Raiders
MODEL LV 31%
Week 7 · 2026-10-25 · 16:25
· Allegiant Stadium (dome)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: LAR 2 – 0 LV
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
LAR OFFENSE
vs
LV DEFENSE
Balanced · 42% run
Avg pace
LV OFFENSE
vs
LAR DEFENSE
Balanced · 39% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
LAR OFFENSE
vs
LV DEFENSE
+0.23 #2
Pass attack
OFF +21
#23 +0.08
+0.03 #7
Run game
even
#14 -0.04
277 #2
Pass yards
OFF +11
#13 214
127 #7
Rush yards
OFF +10
#17 117
1.4 #2
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +19
#21 2.1
40% #16
3rd down
OFF +14
#30 47%
68% #6
Red zone
even
#11 59%
LV OFFENSE
vs
LAR DEFENSE
-0.19 #29
Pass attack
DEF +19
#10 -0.07
-0.26 #32
Run game
DEF +20
#12 -0.04
195 #26
Pass yards
even
#20 235
77 #32
Rush yards
DEF +20
#12 111
3.8 #32
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +23
#9 2.8
34% #29
3rd down
DEF +23
#6 36%
56% #27
Red zone
DEF +19
#8 56%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
LAR PASS RUSH
vs
LV PASS PRO
Myles Garrett DE
23.0 sacks '25
Byron Young LB
12.0 sacks '25
Kobie Turner DE
7.0 sacks '25
3.8 #32
sacks allowed /g
#21 2.8
LV PASS RUSH
vs
LAR PASS PRO
Maxx Crosby DE
10.0 sacks '25
Malcolm Koonce DE
4.5 sacks '25
Kwity Paye DE
4.0 sacks '25
1.4 #2
sacks allowed /g
#9 2.1
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
LAR
Matthew Stafford QB
vs #23 PASS D
282.1 pass y/g 4/10
Kyren Williams RB
vs #14 RUN D
71.8 rush y/g 5/10
Puka Nacua WR1
vs #23 PASS D
107.7 rec y/g 5/10
Davante Adams WR2
vs #23 PASS D
57.3 rec y/g 7/10
Jordan Whittington WR3
vs #23 PASS D
12.1 rec y/g 3/10
Colby Parkinson TE
vs #23 PASS D
32.9 rec y/g 7/10
LV
Kirk Cousins QB
2025: ATL
vs #10 PASS D
172.1 pass y/g 6/10
Ashton Jeanty RB
vs #12 RUN D
57.4 rush y/g 4/10
Tre Tucker WR1
vs #10 PASS D
40.9 rec y/g 3/10
Jalen Nailor WR2
2025: MIN
vs #10 PASS D
26.1 rec y/g 4/10
Jack Bech WR3
vs #10 PASS D
16.0 rec y/g 5/10
Brock Bowers TE
vs #10 PASS D
56.7 rec y/g 3/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.