The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

New England Patriots

Power +2.2 · off #2

23–22

projected score

THU OCT 22 · 8:15 PM

Chicago Bears

Power +0.4 · off #9

CHI win probability

ours 49% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number NE -0.4 · 45.0

The market —

NE offense vs CHI defense+0.8 pts

CHI offense vs NE defense-1.0 pts

Full breakdown →

Pittsburgh Steelers

Power +0.0 · off #15

22–18

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 9:30 AM

New Orleans Saints

Power -2.2 · off #28

NO win probability

ours 41% book 44%

27%

57%

book is 3 pts higher

Our number PIT -3.1 · 40.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

PIT -2.5 -110* NO +2.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

PIT win -142 NO win +120

All 4 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	PIT spread	NO spread	Over	Under	PIT win	NO win
DraftKings	-2.5-110	+2.5-110	42.5-110	42.5-110	-142	+120
FanDuel	-1.5-115	+1.5-105	40.5-118	40.5-104	-130	+110
theScore Bet	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	41.5-115	41.5-105	-135	+115
Caesars	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	41.5-110	41.5-110	-131	+110

PIT offense vs NO defense-0.5 pts

NO offense vs PIT defense-2.7 pts

Full breakdown →

Cincinnati Bengals

Power -1.3 · off #12

23–28

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Baltimore Ravens

Power +1.8 · off #11

BAL win probability

ours 66% book 62%

49%

79%

book is 4 pts lower

Our number BAL -5.4 · 50.4

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CIN +3.5 -110* BAL -3.5 -110*

Total

Over 51.5 -110* Under 51.5 -110*

Moneyline

CIN win +150 BAL win -180

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CIN spread	BAL spread	Over	Under	CIN win	BAL win
DraftKings	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+150	-180
Caesars	+4-115	-4-115	50.5-115	50.5-115	+175	-210

CIN offense vs BAL defense+1.1 pts

BAL offense vs CIN defense+4.2 pts

Full breakdown →

Cleveland Browns

Power -3.2 · off #31

21–20

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM

Tennessee Titans

Power -4.4 · off #30

TEN win probability

ours 45% book 55%

35%

65%

book is 10 pts higher

Our number CLE -1.6 · 41.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CLE +2.5 -110* TEN -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 40.5 -110* Under 40.5 -110*

Moneyline

CLE win +114 TEN win -135

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CLE spread	TEN spread	Over	Under	CLE win	TEN win
DraftKings	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	40.5-110	40.5-110	+114	-135
Caesars	+3-120	-3-110	38.5-115	38.5-115	+135	-170

CLE offense vs TEN defense-1.3 pts

TEN offense vs CLE defense-2.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Indianapolis Colts

Power +1.0 · off #8

21–24

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM

Minnesota Vikings

Power +0.4 · off #26

MIN win probability

ours 59% book 56%

43%

73%

book is 3 pts lower

Our number MIN -2.9 · 45.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

IND +2.5 -110* MIN -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 46.5 -110* Under 46.5 -110*

Moneyline

IND win +120 MIN win -142

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	IND spread	MIN spread	Over	Under	IND win	MIN win
DraftKings	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	46.5-110	46.5-110	+120	-142
Caesars	+2.5-110	-2.5-120	45.5-115	45.5-115	+125	-155

IND offense vs MIN defense+0.4 pts

MIN offense vs IND defense-0.2 pts

Full breakdown →

Miami Dolphins

Power -2.2 · off #25

23–22

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM · DIV

New York Jets

Power -4.9 · off #29

NYJ win probability

ours 49% book 56%

37%

67%

book is 7 pts higher

Our number MIA -0.4 · 44.8

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

MIA +2.5 -110* NYJ -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 41.5 -110* Under 41.5 -110*

Moneyline

MIA win +120 NYJ win -142

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	MIA spread	NYJ spread	Over	Under	MIA win	NYJ win
DraftKings	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	41.5-110	41.5-110	+120	-142
Caesars	+2.5-115	-2.5-115	40.5-115	40.5-115	+130	-170

MIA offense vs NYJ defense+1.2 pts

NYJ offense vs MIA defense-1.5 pts

Full breakdown →

New York Giants

Power -2.0 · off #17

18–25

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM

Houston Texans

Power +3.0 · off #13

HOU win probability

ours 71% book 68%

55%

85%

book is 3 pts lower

Our number HOU -7.1 · 43.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

NYG +5.5 -110* HOU -5.5 -110*

Total

Over 43.5 -110* Under 43.5 -110*

Moneyline

NYG win +195 HOU win -238

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	NYG spread	HOU spread	Over	Under	NYG win	HOU win
DraftKings	+5.5-110	-5.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	+195	-238
Caesars	+6-115	-6-115	41.5-115	41.5-115	+225	-280

NYG offense vs HOU defense-3.5 pts

HOU offense vs NYG defense+1.5 pts

Full breakdown →

San Francisco 49ers

Power +2.2 · off #10

27–19

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM

Atlanta Falcons

Power -1.2 · off #24

ATL win probability

ours 28% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number SF -7.8 · 45.3

The market —

SF offense vs ATL defense+1.8 pts

ATL offense vs SF defense-1.7 pts

Full breakdown →

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Power -0.1 · off #18

23–21

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Carolina Panthers

Power -2.1 · off #27

CAR win probability

ours 45.4% book 46.8%

31%

61%

book is 1.4 pts higher

Our number TB -1.5 · 44.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

TB -1.5 -110* CAR +1.5 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

TB win -125 CAR win +105

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	TB spread	CAR spread	Over	Under	TB win	CAR win
DraftKings	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	45.5-110	45.5-110	-125	+105
Caesars	-1-115	+1-115	43.5-115	43.5-115	-125	-105

TB offense vs CAR defense+0.6 pts

CAR offense vs TB defense-1.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Denver Broncos

Power +1.8 · off #14

24–21

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 4:05 PM

Arizona Cardinals

Power -2.4 · off #23

ARI win probability

ours 41% book 24%

17%

47%

book is 17 pts lower

Our number DEN -3.0 · 44.4

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

DEN -7.5 -110* ARI +7.5 -110*

Total

Over 43.5 -110* Under 43.5 -110*

Moneyline

DEN win -375 ARI win +295

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	DEN spread	ARI spread	Over	Under	DEN win	ARI win
DraftKings	-7.5-110	+7.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	-375	+295
Caesars	-7-120	+7-110	42.5-115	42.5-115	-355	+260

DEN offense vs ARI defense+1.7 pts

ARI offense vs DEN defense-2.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Green Bay Packers

Power +1.2 · off #16

23–25

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 4:25 PM · DIV

Detroit Lions

Power +2.4 · off #5

DET win probability

ours 58% book 56%

42%

72%

book is 2 pts lower

Our number DET -2.8 · 48.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

GB +2.5 -110* DET -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 50.5 -110* Under 50.5 -110*

Moneyline

GB win +120 DET win -142

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	GB spread	DET spread	Over	Under	GB win	DET win
DraftKings	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	50.5-110	50.5-110	+120	-142
Caesars	+2.5-115	-2.5-115	49.5-115	49.5-115	+121	-145

GB offense vs DET defense+0.8 pts

DET offense vs GB defense+2.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Los Angeles Rams

Power +3.7 · off #1

25–20

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 4:25 PM

Las Vegas Raiders

Power -4.4 · off #32

LV win probability

ours 34% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number LAR -5.6 · 44.6

The market —

LAR offense vs LV defense+3.8 pts

LV offense vs LAR defense-4.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Kansas City Chiefs

Power +1.1 · off #21

20–23

projected score

SUN OCT 25 · 8:20 PM

Seattle Seahawks

Power +5.1 · off #3

SEA win probability

ours 59% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number SEA -2.9 · 42.1

The market —

KC offense vs SEA defense-3.5 pts

SEA offense vs KC defense+0.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Dallas Cowboys

Power -1.6 · off #7

22–27

projected score

MON OCT 26 · 8:15 PM · DIV

Philadelphia Eagles

Power +1.8 · off #19

PHI win probability

ours 66% book 59%

47%

77%

book is 7 pts lower

Our number PHI -5.3 · 48.4

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

DAL +3 -110* PHI -3 -110*

Total

Over 48.5 -110* Under 48.5 -110*

Moneyline

DAL win +136 PHI win -162

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	DAL spread	PHI spread	Over	Under	DAL win	PHI win
DraftKings	+3-110	-3-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+136	-162
Caesars	+3-115	-3-115	49-115	49-115	+150	-178

DAL offense vs PHI defense-0.1 pts

PHI offense vs DAL defense+3.3 pts

Full breakdown →