Tennessee Titans
@
Cincinnati Bengals
MODEL CIN 65%
Week 8 · 2026-11-01 · 13:00
· Paycor Stadium (outdoors)
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: TEN 1 – 3 CIN
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
TEN OFFENSE
vs
CIN DEFENSE
Balanced · 37% run
Ball-control
CIN OFFENSE
vs
TEN DEFENSE
Pass-heavy · 35% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
TEN OFFENSE
vs
CIN DEFENSE
-0.22 #31
Pass attack
even
#28 +0.16
-0.06 #27
Run game
even
#29 +0.09
191 #29
Pass yards
even
#25 246
93 #30
Rush yards
even
#32 147
3.3 #27
Pass pro vs rush
even
#23 2.0
32% #32
3rd down
even
#27 44%
61% #20
Red zone
even
#26 69%
CIN OFFENSE
vs
TEN DEFENSE
-0.03 #23
Pass attack
even
#29 +0.17
+0.02 #8
Run game
OFF +15
#23 +0.01
250 #7
Pass yards
OFF +19
#26 248
94 #29
Rush yards
DEF +14
#15 115
2.1 #14
Pass pro vs rush
even
#14 2.5
44% #5
3rd down
OFF +16
#21 42%
76% #1
Red zone
OFF +29
#30 71%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
TEN PASS RUSH
vs
CIN PASS PRO
Jeffery Simmons DT
11.0 sacks '25
John Franklin-Myers DE
7.5 sacks '25
Jacob Martin DE
5.5 sacks '25
2.1 #14
sacks allowed /g
#23 2.5
CIN PASS RUSH
vs
TEN PASS PRO
Myles Murphy DE
5.5 sacks '25
B.J. Hill DE
4.0 sacks '25
Jonathan Allen DE
3.5 sacks '25
3.3 #27
sacks allowed /g
#14 2.0
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
TEN
Cam Ward QB
vs #28 PASS D
186.4 pass y/g 5/10
Tony Pollard RB
vs #29 RUN D
63.6 rush y/g 4/10
Carnell Tate WR1
vs #28 PASS D
— rec y/g
Wan'Dale Robinson WR2
2025: NYG
vs #28 PASS D
63.4 rec y/g 3/10
Calvin Ridley WR3
vs #28 PASS D
43.3 rec y/g 2/7
Gunnar Helm TE
vs #28 PASS D
22.3 rec y/g 6/10
CIN
Joe Burrow QB
vs #29 PASS D
226.1 pass y/g 5/8
Chase Brown RB
vs #23 RUN D
59.9 rush y/g 7/10
Ja'Marr Chase WR1
vs #29 PASS D
88.2 rec y/g 7/10
Tee Higgins WR2
vs #29 PASS D
56.4 rec y/g 7/10
Andrei Iosivas WR3
vs #29 PASS D
29.0 rec y/g 4/10
Mike Gesicki TE
vs #29 PASS D
25.6 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.