Carolina Panthers
@
Green Bay Packers
MODEL GB 66%
Week 8 · 2026-10-29 · 20:15
· Lambeau Field (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: CAR 1 – 1 GB
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
CAR OFFENSE
vs
GB DEFENSE
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
GB OFFENSE
vs
CAR DEFENSE
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
CAR OFFENSE
vs
GB DEFENSE
-0.05 #25
Pass attack
even
#22 +0.08
-0.03 #22
Run game
even
#17 -0.02
194 #27
Pass yards
DEF +17
#10 207
116 #19
Rush yards
even
#18 118
2.1 #13
Pass pro vs rush
even
#19 2.1
36% #25
3rd down
DEF +9
#16 41%
59% #24
Red zone
even
#17 64%
GB OFFENSE
vs
CAR DEFENSE
+0.23 #3
Pass attack
OFF +21
#24 +0.11
-0.01 #19
Run game
even
#24 +0.02
226 #18
Pass yards
even
#14 215
120 #15
Rush yards
even
#20 123
1.7 #7
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +21
#28 1.8
49% #2
3rd down
OFF +30
#32 48%
63% #15
Red zone
even
#12 60%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
CAR PASS RUSH
vs
GB PASS PRO
Derrick Brown DT
5.0 sacks '25
Jaelan Phillips LB
5.0 sacks '25
Nic Scourton LB
5.0 sacks '25
1.7 #7
sacks allowed /g
#19 1.8
GB PASS RUSH
vs
CAR PASS PRO
Micah Parsons LB
12.5 sacks '25
Devonte Wyatt DT
4.0 sacks '25
Javon Hargrave NT
3.5 sacks '25
2.1 #13
sacks allowed /g
#28 2.1
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
CAR
Bryce Young QB
vs #22 PASS D
192.6 pass y/g 4/10
Chuba Hubbard RB
vs #17 RUN D
34.8 rush y/g 2/10
Tetairoa McMillan WR1
vs #22 PASS D
60.8 rec y/g 4/10
Jalen Coker WR2
vs #22 PASS D
44.0 rec y/g 6/10
Xavier Legette WR3
vs #22 PASS D
23.2 rec y/g 2/10
Tommy Tremble TE
vs #22 PASS D
16.9 rec y/g 3/10
GB
Jordan Love QB
vs #24 PASS D
231.5 pass y/g 6/10
Josh Jacobs RB
vs #24 RUN D
61.5 rush y/g 5/10
Christian Watson WR1
vs #24 PASS D
58.8 rec y/g 3/10
Jayden Reed WR2
vs #24 PASS D
41.7 rec y/g 3/6
Matthew Golden WR3
vs #24 PASS D
29.7 rec y/g 3/10
Tucker Kraft TE
vs #24 PASS D
61.1 rec y/g 2/8
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.