Matchups — Week 5 15 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
SUN OCT 11 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Lumen Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SF San Francisco 49ers at
12-5
#10
#13
SEA Seattle Seahawks
14-3
#3
#1
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRESEA 66%
PASS PRO
Seahawks #6
→
49ers #32
+26
PASS ATTACK
Seahawks #8
→
49ers #25
+17
SUN OCT 11 · 8:20 PM
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at
8-9
#11
#18
ATL Atlanta Falcons
8-9
#24
#19
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREATL 47%
PASS PRO
Falcons #4
→
Ravens #30
+26
RUN GAME
Ravens #2
→
Falcons #25
+23
SUN OCT 11 · 9:30 AM
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at
11-6
#19
#5
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
#6
#8
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREJAC 58%
RED ZONE
Eagles #2
→
Jaguars #25
+23
PASS PRO
Eagles #12
→
Jaguars #27
+15
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at
4-13
#17
#26
WAS Washington Commanders
5-12
#22
#27
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREWAS 56%
RUN GAME
Giants #5
→
Commanders #28
+23
RUN GAME
Commanders #9
→
Giants #32
+23
RED ZONE
Commanders #4
→
Giants #22
+18
SUN OCT 11 · 4:25 PM
State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
DET Detroit Lions at
9-8
#4
#22
ARI Arizona Cardinals
3-14
#23
#29
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREARI 41%
PASS ATTACK
Lions #4
→
Cardinals #27
+23
RED ZONE
Lions #5
→
Cardinals #21
+16
PASS PRO
Lions #18
→
Cardinals #29
+11
MON OCT 12 · 8:15 PM
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at
12-5
#5
#12
LAR Los Angeles Rams
12-5
#1
#10
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAR 60%
RUN GAME
Rams #7
→
Bills #30
+23
PASS PRO
Rams #2
→
Bills #20
+18
RED ZONE
Rams #6
→
Bills #24
+18
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM
Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at
3-14
#32
#25
NE New England Patriots
14-3
#2
#4
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENE 74%
PASS ATTACK
Patriots #1
→
Raiders #23
+22
THU OCT 8 · 8:15 PM
AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers at
8-9
#18
#20
DAL Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
#7
#32
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDAL 51%
RUN GAME
Buccaneers #12
→
Cowboys #31
+19
PASS ATTACK
Cowboys #5
→
Buccaneers #20
+15
RED ZONE
Cowboys #17
→
Buccaneers #32
+15
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM
Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at
6-11
#12
#30
MIA Miami Dolphins
7-10
#25
#24
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREMIA 54%
RUN GAME
Bengals #8
→
Dolphins #27
+19
RED ZONE
Bengals #1
→
Dolphins #19
+18
RED ZONE
Dolphins #14
→
Bengals #26
+12
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM
Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
IND Indianapolis Colts at
8-9
#8
#21
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7
#15
#17
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREPIT 53%
RUN GAME
Colts #3
→
Steelers #20
+17
SUN OCT 11 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at
11-6
#9
#23
GB Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
#16
#11
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREGB 58%
PASS PRO
Bears #3
→
Packers #19
+16
PASS ATTACK
Packers #3
→
Bears #18
+15
PASS PRO
Packers #7
→
Bears #22
+15
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Nissan Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at
12-5
#13
#2
TEN Tennessee Titans
3-14
#30
#28
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRETEN 34%
PASS ATTACK
Texans #15
→
Titans #29
+14
SUN OCT 11 · 4:05 PM · DIV
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
DEN Denver Broncos at
14-3
#14
#3
LAC Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
#20
#9
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAC 52%
PASS PRO
Broncos #1
→
Chargers #10
+9
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM
MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CLE Cleveland Browns at
5-12
#31
#14
NYJ New York Jets
3-14
#29
#31
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENYJ 51%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM
Caesars Superdome · dome
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at
9-8
#26
#7
NO New Orleans Saints
6-11
#28
#16
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENO 48%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.