Matchups — Week 5 15 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
SUN OCT 11 · 4:25 PM · DIV Lumen Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SF San Francisco 49ers at 12-5 #10 #13
SEA Seattle Seahawks 14-3 #3 #1
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRESEA 66%
PASS PRO Seahawks #6 49ers #32 +26
PASS ATTACK Seahawks #8 49ers #25 +17
SUN OCT 11 · 8:20 PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at 8-9 #11 #18
ATL Atlanta Falcons 8-9 #24 #19
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREATL 47%
PASS PRO Falcons #4 Ravens #30 +26
RUN GAME Ravens #2 Falcons #25 +23
SUN OCT 11 · 9:30 AM Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at 11-6 #19 #5
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars 13-4 #6 #8
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREJAC 58%
RED ZONE Eagles #2 Jaguars #25 +23
PASS PRO Eagles #12 Jaguars #27 +15
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM · DIV Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at 4-13 #17 #26
WAS Washington Commanders 5-12 #22 #27
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREWAS 56%
RUN GAME Giants #5 Commanders #28 +23
RUN GAME Commanders #9 Giants #32 +23
RED ZONE Commanders #4 Giants #22 +18
SUN OCT 11 · 4:25 PM State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
DET Detroit Lions at 9-8 #4 #22
ARI Arizona Cardinals 3-14 #23 #29
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREARI 41%
PASS ATTACK Lions #4 Cardinals #27 +23
RED ZONE Lions #5 Cardinals #21 +16
PASS PRO Lions #18 Cardinals #29 +11
MON OCT 12 · 8:15 PM SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at 12-5 #5 #12
LAR Los Angeles Rams 12-5 #1 #10
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAR 60%
RUN GAME Rams #7 Bills #30 +23
PASS PRO Rams #2 Bills #20 +18
RED ZONE Rams #6 Bills #24 +18
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at 3-14 #32 #25
NE New England Patriots 14-3 #2 #4
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENE 74%
PASS ATTACK Patriots #1 Raiders #23 +22
THU OCT 8 · 8:15 PM AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8-9 #18 #20
DAL Dallas Cowboys 7-9-1 #7 #32
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDAL 51%
RUN GAME Buccaneers #12 Cowboys #31 +19
PASS ATTACK Cowboys #5 Buccaneers #20 +15
RED ZONE Cowboys #17 Buccaneers #32 +15
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at 6-11 #12 #30
MIA Miami Dolphins 7-10 #25 #24
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREMIA 54%
RUN GAME Bengals #8 Dolphins #27 +19
RED ZONE Bengals #1 Dolphins #19 +18
RED ZONE Dolphins #14 Bengals #26 +12
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
IND Indianapolis Colts at 8-9 #8 #21
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7 #15 #17
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREPIT 53%
RUN GAME Colts #3 Steelers #20 +17
SUN OCT 11 · 4:25 PM · DIV Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at 11-6 #9 #23
GB Green Bay Packers 9-7-1 #16 #11
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREGB 58%
PASS PRO Bears #3 Packers #19 +16
PASS ATTACK Packers #3 Bears #18 +15
PASS PRO Packers #7 Bears #22 +15
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM · DIV Nissan Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at 12-5 #13 #2
TEN Tennessee Titans 3-14 #30 #28
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRETEN 34%
PASS ATTACK Texans #15 Titans #29 +14
SUN OCT 11 · 4:05 PM · DIV SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
DEN Denver Broncos at 14-3 #14 #3
LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11-6 #20 #9
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAC 52%
PASS PRO Broncos #1 Chargers #10 +9
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CLE Cleveland Browns at 5-12 #31 #14
NYJ New York Jets 3-14 #29 #31
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENYJ 51%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 11 · 1:00 PM Caesars Superdome · dome
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at 9-8 #26 #7
NO New Orleans Saints 6-11 #28 #16
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENO 48%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.