Matchups — Week 3 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
SUN SEP 27 · 4:25 PM
Maracana Stadium
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at
8-9
#11
#18
DAL Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
#7
#32
SPREADBAL -2.5
TOTAL51.5
BOOKDAL 45%
MODEL·PREDAL 40%
RUN GAME
Ravens #2
→
Cowboys #31
+29
PASS PRO
Cowboys #10
→
Ravens #30
+20
PASS ATTACK
Cowboys #5
→
Ravens #21
+16
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at
3-14
#29
#31
DET Detroit Lions
9-8
#4
#22
SPREADDET -9.5
TOTAL45.5
BOOKDET 78%
MODEL·PREDET 76%
PASS ATTACK
Lions #4
→
Jets #32
+28
RED ZONE
Lions #5
→
Jets #29
+24
PASS PRO
Lions #18
→
Jets #31
+13
SUN SEP 27 · 4:05 PM · DIV
Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at
3-14
#23
#29
SF San Francisco 49ers
12-5
#10
#13
SPREADSF -11.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKSF 82%
MODEL·PRESF 68%
PASS PRO
49ers #5
→
Cardinals #29
+24
PASS ATTACK
49ers #7
→
Cardinals #27
+20
RED ZONE
49ers #8
→
Cardinals #21
+13
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at
14-3
#3
#1
WAS Washington Commanders
5-12
#22
#27
SPREADSEA -3.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKWAS 36%
MODEL·PREWAS 35%
PASS ATTACK
Seahawks #8
→
Commanders #30
+22
RED ZONE
Seahawks #18
→
Commanders #28
+10
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
KAN Kansas City Chiefs at
6-11
#21
#6
MIA Miami Dolphins
7-10
#25
#24
SPREADKAN -7.5
TOTAL44.5
BOOKMIA 25%
MODEL·PREMIA 46%
RUN GAME
Chiefs #6
→
Dolphins #27
+21
PASS ATTACK
Chiefs #14
→
Dolphins #26
+12
PASS PRO
Dolphins #17
→
Chiefs #26
+9
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at
6-11
#12
#30
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7
#15
#17
SPREADCIN -1.5
TOTAL47.5
BOOKPIT 47%
MODEL·PREPIT 60%
RUN GAME
Steelers #10
→
Bengals #29
+19
RED ZONE
Steelers #11
→
Bengals #26
+15
RUN GAME
Bengals #8
→
Steelers #20
+12
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAC Los Angeles Chargers at
11-6
#20
#9
BUF Buffalo Bills
12-5
#5
#12
SPREADBUF -3.0
TOTAL48.5
BOOKBUF 58%
MODEL·PREBUF 63%
RUN GAME
Chargers #11
→
Bills #30
+19
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at
3-14
#30
#28
NYG New York Giants
4-13
#17
#26
SPREADNYG -3.0
TOTAL44.5
BOOKNYG 60%
MODEL·PRENYG 63%
RUN GAME
Giants #5
→
Titans #23
+18
PASS ATTACK
Giants #19
→
Titans #29
+10
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
EverBank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NE New England Patriots at
14-3
#2
#4
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
#6
#8
SPREADJAC -1.5
TOTAL45.5
BOOKJAC 52%
MODEL·PREJAC 57%
RED ZONE
Patriots #9
→
Jaguars #25
+16
RED ZONE
Jaguars #12
→
Patriots #27
+15
MON SEP 28 · 8:15 PM
Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at
11-6
#19
#5
CHI Chicago Bears
11-6
#9
#23
SPREADCHI -1.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKCHI 52%
MODEL·PRECHI 52%
RED ZONE
Eagles #2
→
Bears #18
+16
RUN GAME
Bears #4
→
Eagles #16
+12
PASS PRO
Eagles #12
→
Bears #22
+10
THU SEP 24 · 8:15 PM
Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ATL Atlanta Falcons at
8-9
#24
#19
GB Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
#16
#11
SPREADGB -7.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKGB 75%
MODEL·PREGB 63%
PASS PRO
Falcons #4
→
Packers #19
+15
PASS ATTACK
Packers #3
→
Falcons #13
+10
SUN SEP 27 · 4:05 PM
Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at
9-8
#26
#7
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-9
#18
#20
SPREADTB -1.5
TOTAL44.5
BOOKTB 53%
MODEL·PRETB 55%
RED ZONE
Vikings #21
→
Buccaneers #32
+11
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at
12-5
#13
#2
IND Indianapolis Colts
8-9
#8
#21
SPREADHOU -1.5
TOTAL45.5
BOOKIND 47%
MODEL·PREIND 50%
RED ZONE
Colts #7
→
Texans #16
+9
SUN SEP 27 · 8:20 PM
Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAR Los Angeles Rams at
12-5
#1
#10
DEN Denver Broncos
14-3
#14
#3
SPREADLAR -3.0
TOTAL45.5
BOOKDEN 42%
MODEL·PREDEN 49%
PASS PRO
Broncos #1
→
Rams #9
+8
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM
Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at
8-9
#27
#15
CLE Cleveland Browns
5-12
#31
#14
SPREADCAR -1.5
TOTAL39.5
BOOKCLE 47%
MODEL·PRECLE 53%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN SEP 27 · 4:25 PM
Caesars Superdome · dome
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at
3-14
#32
#25
NO New Orleans Saints
6-11
#28
#16
SPREADNO -3.5
TOTAL42.5
BOOKNO 63%
MODEL·PRENO 63%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.