Matchups — Week 3 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
SUN SEP 27 · 4:25 PM Maracana Stadium
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at 8-9 #11 #18
DAL Dallas Cowboys 7-9-1 #7 #32
SPREADBAL -2.5
TOTAL51.5
BOOKDAL 45%
MODEL·PREDAL 40%
RUN GAME Ravens #2 Cowboys #31 +29
PASS PRO Cowboys #10 Ravens #30 +20
PASS ATTACK Cowboys #5 Ravens #21 +16
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at 3-14 #29 #31
DET Detroit Lions 9-8 #4 #22
SPREADDET -9.5
TOTAL45.5
BOOKDET 78%
MODEL·PREDET 76%
PASS ATTACK Lions #4 Jets #32 +28
RED ZONE Lions #5 Jets #29 +24
PASS PRO Lions #18 Jets #31 +13
SUN SEP 27 · 4:05 PM · DIV Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at 3-14 #23 #29
SF San Francisco 49ers 12-5 #10 #13
SPREADSF -11.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKSF 82%
MODEL·PRESF 68%
PASS PRO 49ers #5 Cardinals #29 +24
PASS ATTACK 49ers #7 Cardinals #27 +20
RED ZONE 49ers #8 Cardinals #21 +13
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at 14-3 #3 #1
WAS Washington Commanders 5-12 #22 #27
SPREADSEA -3.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKWAS 36%
MODEL·PREWAS 35%
PASS ATTACK Seahawks #8 Commanders #30 +22
RED ZONE Seahawks #18 Commanders #28 +10
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
KAN Kansas City Chiefs at 6-11 #21 #6
MIA Miami Dolphins 7-10 #25 #24
SPREADKAN -7.5
TOTAL44.5
BOOKMIA 25%
MODEL·PREMIA 46%
RUN GAME Chiefs #6 Dolphins #27 +21
PASS ATTACK Chiefs #14 Dolphins #26 +12
PASS PRO Dolphins #17 Chiefs #26 +9
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at 6-11 #12 #30
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7 #15 #17
SPREADCIN -1.5
TOTAL47.5
BOOKPIT 47%
MODEL·PREPIT 60%
RUN GAME Steelers #10 Bengals #29 +19
RED ZONE Steelers #11 Bengals #26 +15
RUN GAME Bengals #8 Steelers #20 +12
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAC Los Angeles Chargers at 11-6 #20 #9
BUF Buffalo Bills 12-5 #5 #12
SPREADBUF -3.0
TOTAL48.5
BOOKBUF 58%
MODEL·PREBUF 63%
RUN GAME Chargers #11 Bills #30 +19
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at 3-14 #30 #28
NYG New York Giants 4-13 #17 #26
SPREADNYG -3.0
TOTAL44.5
BOOKNYG 60%
MODEL·PRENYG 63%
RUN GAME Giants #5 Titans #23 +18
PASS ATTACK Giants #19 Titans #29 +10
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM EverBank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NE New England Patriots at 14-3 #2 #4
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars 13-4 #6 #8
SPREADJAC -1.5
TOTAL45.5
BOOKJAC 52%
MODEL·PREJAC 57%
RED ZONE Patriots #9 Jaguars #25 +16
RED ZONE Jaguars #12 Patriots #27 +15
MON SEP 28 · 8:15 PM Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at 11-6 #19 #5
CHI Chicago Bears 11-6 #9 #23
SPREADCHI -1.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKCHI 52%
MODEL·PRECHI 52%
RED ZONE Eagles #2 Bears #18 +16
RUN GAME Bears #4 Eagles #16 +12
PASS PRO Eagles #12 Bears #22 +10
THU SEP 24 · 8:15 PM Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ATL Atlanta Falcons at 8-9 #24 #19
GB Green Bay Packers 9-7-1 #16 #11
SPREADGB -7.5
TOTAL46.5
BOOKGB 75%
MODEL·PREGB 63%
PASS PRO Falcons #4 Packers #19 +15
PASS ATTACK Packers #3 Falcons #13 +10
SUN SEP 27 · 4:05 PM Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at 9-8 #26 #7
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-9 #18 #20
SPREADTB -1.5
TOTAL44.5
BOOKTB 53%
MODEL·PRETB 55%
RED ZONE Vikings #21 Buccaneers #32 +11
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at 12-5 #13 #2
IND Indianapolis Colts 8-9 #8 #21
SPREADHOU -1.5
TOTAL45.5
BOOKIND 47%
MODEL·PREIND 50%
RED ZONE Colts #7 Texans #16 +9
SUN SEP 27 · 8:20 PM Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAR Los Angeles Rams at 12-5 #1 #10
DEN Denver Broncos 14-3 #14 #3
SPREADLAR -3.0
TOTAL45.5
BOOKDEN 42%
MODEL·PREDEN 49%
PASS PRO Broncos #1 Rams #9 +8
SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at 8-9 #27 #15
CLE Cleveland Browns 5-12 #31 #14
SPREADCAR -1.5
TOTAL39.5
BOOKCLE 47%
MODEL·PRECLE 53%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN SEP 27 · 4:25 PM Caesars Superdome · dome
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at 3-14 #32 #25
NO New Orleans Saints 6-11 #28 #16
SPREADNO -3.5
TOTAL42.5
BOOKNO 63%
MODEL·PRENO 63%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.