Matchups — Week 11 13 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers at
8-9
#18
#20
DET Detroit Lions
9-8
#4
#22
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDET 63%
RED ZONE
Lions #5
→
Buccaneers #32
+27
PASS ATTACK
Lions #4
→
Buccaneers #20
+16
MON NOV 23 · 8:15 PM
Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at
6-11
#12
#30
WAS Washington Commanders
5-12
#22
#27
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREWAS 55%
RED ZONE
Bengals #1
→
Commanders #28
+27
RED ZONE
Commanders #4
→
Bengals #26
+22
RUN GAME
Bengals #8
→
Commanders #28
+20
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIA Miami Dolphins at
7-10
#25
#24
BUF Buffalo Bills
12-5
#5
#12
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREBUF 70%
RUN GAME
Bills #1
→
Dolphins #27
+26
PASS ATTACK
Bills #6
→
Dolphins #26
+20
RED ZONE
Bills #3
→
Dolphins #19
+16
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at
3-14
#30
#28
DAL Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
#7
#32
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDAL 64%
PASS ATTACK
Cowboys #5
→
Titans #29
+24
RED ZONE
Cowboys #17
→
Titans #30
+13
RED ZONE
Titans #20
→
Cowboys #31
+11
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Bank of America Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at
8-9
#11
#18
CAR Carolina Panthers
8-9
#27
#15
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECAR 44%
RUN GAME
Ravens #2
→
Panthers #24
+22
PASS PRO
Panthers #13
→
Ravens #30
+17
SUN NOV 22 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at
3-14
#32
#25
DEN Denver Broncos
14-3
#14
#3
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDEN 73%
PASS PRO
Broncos #1
→
Raiders #21
+20
PASS ATTACK
Broncos #9
→
Raiders #23
+14
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at
3-14
#23
#29
KAN Kansas City Chiefs
6-11
#21
#6
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREKAN 66%
RUN GAME
Chiefs #6
→
Cardinals #21
+15
PASS ATTACK
Chiefs #14
→
Cardinals #27
+13
SUN NOV 22 · 4:05 PM
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at
3-14
#29
#31
LAC Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
#20
#9
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAC 71%
RUN GAME
Chargers #11
→
Jets #26
+15
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars at
13-4
#6
#8
NYG New York Giants
4-13
#17
#26
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENYG 43%
RUN GAME
Jaguars #18
→
Giants #32
+14
RED ZONE
Jaguars #12
→
Giants #22
+10
RUN GAME
Giants #5
→
Jaguars #13
+8
THU NOV 19 · 8:15 PM · DIV
Reliant Stadium
'25OFFDEF
IND Indianapolis Colts at
8-9
#8
#21
HOU Houston Texans
12-5
#13
#2
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREHOU 62%
RED ZONE
Colts #7
→
Texans #16
+9
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at
6-11
#28
#16
CHI Chicago Bears
11-6
#9
#23
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECHI 64%
PASS PRO
Bears #3
→
Saints #11
+8
SUN NOV 22 · 4:25 PM
Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at
10-7
#15
#17
PHI Philadelphia Eagles
11-6
#19
#5
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREPHI 61%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN NOV 22 · 8:20 PM
Estadio Banorte · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at
9-8
#26
#7
SF San Francisco 49ers
12-5
#10
#13
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRESF 54%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.