Matchups — Week 11 13 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8-9 #18 #20
DET Detroit Lions 9-8 #4 #22
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDET 63%
RED ZONE Lions #5 Buccaneers #32 +27
PASS ATTACK Lions #4 Buccaneers #20 +16
MON NOV 23 · 8:15 PM Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at 6-11 #12 #30
WAS Washington Commanders 5-12 #22 #27
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREWAS 55%
RED ZONE Bengals #1 Commanders #28 +27
RED ZONE Commanders #4 Bengals #26 +22
RUN GAME Bengals #8 Commanders #28 +20
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM · DIV Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIA Miami Dolphins at 7-10 #25 #24
BUF Buffalo Bills 12-5 #5 #12
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREBUF 70%
RUN GAME Bills #1 Dolphins #27 +26
PASS ATTACK Bills #6 Dolphins #26 +20
RED ZONE Bills #3 Dolphins #19 +16
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at 3-14 #30 #28
DAL Dallas Cowboys 7-9-1 #7 #32
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDAL 64%
PASS ATTACK Cowboys #5 Titans #29 +24
RED ZONE Cowboys #17 Titans #30 +13
RED ZONE Titans #20 Cowboys #31 +11
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM Bank of America Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at 8-9 #11 #18
CAR Carolina Panthers 8-9 #27 #15
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECAR 44%
RUN GAME Ravens #2 Panthers #24 +22
PASS PRO Panthers #13 Ravens #30 +17
SUN NOV 22 · 4:25 PM · DIV Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at 3-14 #32 #25
DEN Denver Broncos 14-3 #14 #3
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDEN 73%
PASS PRO Broncos #1 Raiders #21 +20
PASS ATTACK Broncos #9 Raiders #23 +14
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at 3-14 #23 #29
KAN Kansas City Chiefs 6-11 #21 #6
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREKAN 66%
RUN GAME Chiefs #6 Cardinals #21 +15
PASS ATTACK Chiefs #14 Cardinals #27 +13
SUN NOV 22 · 4:05 PM SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at 3-14 #29 #31
LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11-6 #20 #9
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAC 71%
RUN GAME Chargers #11 Jets #26 +15
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars at 13-4 #6 #8
NYG New York Giants 4-13 #17 #26
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENYG 43%
RUN GAME Jaguars #18 Giants #32 +14
RED ZONE Jaguars #12 Giants #22 +10
RUN GAME Giants #5 Jaguars #13 +8
THU NOV 19 · 8:15 PM · DIV Reliant Stadium
'25OFFDEF
IND Indianapolis Colts at 8-9 #8 #21
HOU Houston Texans 12-5 #13 #2
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREHOU 62%
RED ZONE Colts #7 Texans #16 +9
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at 6-11 #28 #16
CHI Chicago Bears 11-6 #9 #23
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECHI 64%
PASS PRO Bears #3 Saints #11 +8
SUN NOV 22 · 4:25 PM Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at 10-7 #15 #17
PHI Philadelphia Eagles 11-6 #19 #5
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREPHI 61%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN NOV 22 · 8:20 PM Estadio Banorte · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at 9-8 #26 #7
SF San Francisco 49ers 12-5 #10 #13
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRESF 54%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.