Matchups — Week 17 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
THU DEC 31 · 8:15 PM · DIV Paycor Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at 8-9 #11 #18
CIN Cincinnati Bengals 6-11 #12 #30
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECIN 47%
RUN GAME Ravens #2 Bengals #29 +27
PASS PRO Bengals #14 Ravens #30 +16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at 12-5 #5 #12
MIA Miami Dolphins 7-10 #25 #24
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREMIA 41%
RUN GAME Bills #1 Dolphins #27 +26
PASS ATTACK Bills #6 Dolphins #26 +20
RED ZONE Bills #3 Dolphins #19 +16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAR Los Angeles Rams at 12-5 #1 #10
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-9 #18 #20
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRETB 43%
RED ZONE Rams #6 Buccaneers #32 +26
PASS ATTACK Rams #2 Buccaneers #20 +18
PASS PRO Rams #2 Buccaneers #18 +16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at 4-13 #17 #26
DAL Dallas Cowboys 7-9-1 #7 #32
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDAL 57%
RUN GAME Giants #5 Cowboys #31 +26
RUN GAME Cowboys #15 Giants #32 +17
PASS ATTACK Giants #19 Cowboys #31 +12
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DEN Denver Broncos at 14-3 #14 #3
NE New England Patriots 14-3 #2 #4
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENE 57%
PASS PRO Broncos #1 Patriots #25 +24
RED ZONE Broncos #16 Patriots #27 +11
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM Bank of America Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at 14-3 #3 #1
CAR Carolina Panthers 8-9 #27 #15
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECAR 34%
PASS PRO Seahawks #6 Panthers #28 +22
PASS ATTACK Seahawks #8 Panthers #24 +16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM EverBank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at 5-12 #22 #27
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars 13-4 #6 #8
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREJAC 68%
RED ZONE Commanders #4 Jaguars #25 +21
PASS ATTACK Jaguars #11 Commanders #30 +19
RED ZONE Jaguars #12 Commanders #28 +16
SUN JAN 3 · 8:20 PM Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at 11-6 #19 #5
SF San Francisco 49ers 12-5 #10 #13
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRESF 56%
PASS PRO Eagles #12 49ers #32 +20
PASS ATTACK Eagles #13 49ers #25 +12
RED ZONE Eagles #2 49ers #14 +12
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM Nissan Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at 10-7 #15 #17
TEN Tennessee Titans 3-14 #30 #28
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRETEN 43%
RED ZONE Steelers #11 Titans #30 +19
PASS ATTACK Steelers #16 Titans #29 +13
RUN GAME Steelers #10 Titans #23 +13
SUN JAN 3 · 4:25 PM · DIV Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DET Detroit Lions at 9-8 #4 #22
CHI Chicago Bears 11-6 #9 #23
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECHI 50%
PASS ATTACK Lions #4 Bears #18 +14
RUN GAME Bears #4 Lions #18 +14
RED ZONE Lions #5 Bears #18 +13
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
IND Indianapolis Colts at 8-9 #8 #21
CLE Cleveland Browns 5-12 #31 #14
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECLE 43%
RED ZONE Colts #7 Browns #20 +13
MON JAN 4 · 8:15 PM Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at 12-5 #13 #2
GB Green Bay Packers 9-7-1 #16 #11
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREGB 50%
PASS PRO Texans #9 Packers #19 +10
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at 9-8 #26 #7
NYJ New York Jets 3-14 #29 #31
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENYJ 40%
RED ZONE Vikings #21 Jets #29 +8
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
KAN Kansas City Chiefs at 6-11 #21 #6
LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11-6 #20 #9
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAC 54%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at 6-11 #28 #16
ATL Atlanta Falcons 8-9 #24 #19
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREATL 59%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN JAN 3 · 4:05 PM State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at 3-14 #32 #25
ARI Arizona Cardinals 3-14 #23 #29
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREARI 62%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.