Matchups — Week 17 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
THU DEC 31 · 8:15 PM · DIV
Paycor Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at
8-9
#11
#18
CIN Cincinnati Bengals
6-11
#12
#30
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECIN 47%
RUN GAME
Ravens #2
→
Bengals #29
+27
PASS PRO
Bengals #14
→
Ravens #30
+16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at
12-5
#5
#12
MIA Miami Dolphins
7-10
#25
#24
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREMIA 41%
RUN GAME
Bills #1
→
Dolphins #27
+26
PASS ATTACK
Bills #6
→
Dolphins #26
+20
RED ZONE
Bills #3
→
Dolphins #19
+16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAR Los Angeles Rams at
12-5
#1
#10
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-9
#18
#20
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRETB 43%
RED ZONE
Rams #6
→
Buccaneers #32
+26
PASS ATTACK
Rams #2
→
Buccaneers #20
+18
PASS PRO
Rams #2
→
Buccaneers #18
+16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV
AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at
4-13
#17
#26
DAL Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
#7
#32
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDAL 57%
RUN GAME
Giants #5
→
Cowboys #31
+26
RUN GAME
Cowboys #15
→
Giants #32
+17
PASS ATTACK
Giants #19
→
Cowboys #31
+12
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DEN Denver Broncos at
14-3
#14
#3
NE New England Patriots
14-3
#2
#4
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENE 57%
PASS PRO
Broncos #1
→
Patriots #25
+24
RED ZONE
Broncos #16
→
Patriots #27
+11
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
Bank of America Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at
14-3
#3
#1
CAR Carolina Panthers
8-9
#27
#15
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECAR 34%
PASS PRO
Seahawks #6
→
Panthers #28
+22
PASS ATTACK
Seahawks #8
→
Panthers #24
+16
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
EverBank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at
5-12
#22
#27
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
#6
#8
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREJAC 68%
RED ZONE
Commanders #4
→
Jaguars #25
+21
PASS ATTACK
Jaguars #11
→
Commanders #30
+19
RED ZONE
Jaguars #12
→
Commanders #28
+16
SUN JAN 3 · 8:20 PM
Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at
11-6
#19
#5
SF San Francisco 49ers
12-5
#10
#13
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRESF 56%
PASS PRO
Eagles #12
→
49ers #32
+20
PASS ATTACK
Eagles #13
→
49ers #25
+12
RED ZONE
Eagles #2
→
49ers #14
+12
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
Nissan Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at
10-7
#15
#17
TEN Tennessee Titans
3-14
#30
#28
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRETEN 43%
RED ZONE
Steelers #11
→
Titans #30
+19
PASS ATTACK
Steelers #16
→
Titans #29
+13
RUN GAME
Steelers #10
→
Titans #23
+13
SUN JAN 3 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DET Detroit Lions at
9-8
#4
#22
CHI Chicago Bears
11-6
#9
#23
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECHI 50%
PASS ATTACK
Lions #4
→
Bears #18
+14
RUN GAME
Bears #4
→
Lions #18
+14
RED ZONE
Lions #5
→
Bears #18
+13
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
IND Indianapolis Colts at
8-9
#8
#21
CLE Cleveland Browns
5-12
#31
#14
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECLE 43%
RED ZONE
Colts #7
→
Browns #20
+13
MON JAN 4 · 8:15 PM
Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at
12-5
#13
#2
GB Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
#16
#11
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREGB 50%
PASS PRO
Texans #9
→
Packers #19
+10
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM
MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIN Minnesota Vikings at
9-8
#26
#7
NYJ New York Jets
3-14
#29
#31
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENYJ 40%
RED ZONE
Vikings #21
→
Jets #29
+8
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
KAN Kansas City Chiefs at
6-11
#21
#6
LAC Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
#20
#9
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAC 54%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN JAN 3 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at
6-11
#28
#16
ATL Atlanta Falcons
8-9
#24
#19
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREATL 59%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN JAN 3 · 4:05 PM
State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at
3-14
#32
#25
ARI Arizona Cardinals
3-14
#23
#29
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREARI 62%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.