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Biggest gaps from the book — Week 12
10 of 16 games
The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.
Power -1.2 · off #24
16–26
projected score
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Power +0.4 · off #26
MIN win probability
ours 78%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
MIN -9.9 · 41.8
The market
—
ATL offense vs MIN defense-2.5 pts
MIN offense vs ATL defense-0.9 pts
Power -4.4 · off #30
18–28
projected score
SUN NOV 29 · 4:05 PM · DIV
Power +2.4 · off #6
JAX win probability
ours 77%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
JAX -9.5 · 45.7
The market
—
TEN offense vs JAX defense-3.1 pts
JAX offense vs TEN defense+3.7 pts
Power -2.1 · off #27
19–25
projected score
MON NOV 30 · 8:15 PM · DIV
Power -0.1 · off #18
TB win probability
ours 66%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
TB -5.4 · 44.3
The market
—
CAR offense vs TB defense-1.5 pts
TB offense vs CAR defense+0.6 pts
Power -2.0 · off #17
22–27
projected score
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Power +1.0 · off #8
IND win probability
ours 64%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
IND -4.5 · 48.6
The market
—
NYG offense vs IND defense+0.3 pts
IND offense vs NYG defense+3.2 pts
Power +0.4 · off #9
23–27
projected score
THU NOV 26 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +2.4 · off #5
DET win probability
ours 63%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
DET -4.5 · 49.8
The market
—
CHI offense vs DET defense+1.3 pts
DET offense vs CHI defense+3.3 pts
Power -4.9 · off #29
20–25
projected score
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -2.2 · off #25
MIA win probability
ours 63%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
MIA -4.2 · 44.8
The market
—
NYJ offense vs MIA defense-1.5 pts
MIA offense vs NYJ defense+1.2 pts
Power +1.2 · off #16
21–25
projected score
WED NOV 25 · 8:00 PM
Power +3.7 · off #1
LAR win probability
ours 62%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
LAR -4.1 · 46.3
The market
—
GB offense vs LAR defense-0.7 pts
LAR offense vs GB defense+1.9 pts
Power -2.2 · off #28
21–25
projected score
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Power -1.3 · off #12
CIN win probability
ours 62%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
CIN -3.9 · 46.4
The market
—
NO offense vs CIN defense+0.2 pts
CIN offense vs NO defense+1.0 pts
Power -4.4 · off #32
18–21
projected score
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Power -3.2 · off #31
CLE win probability
ours 61%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
CLE -3.5 · 39.1
The market
—
LV offense vs CLE defense-3.6 pts
CLE offense vs LV defense-2.4 pts
Power +1.1 · off #21
21–25
projected score
THU NOV 26 · 8:20 PM
Power +2.8 · off #4
BUF win probability
ours 60%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
BUF -3.3 · 45.8
The market
—
KC offense vs BUF defense-0.6 pts
BUF offense vs KC defense+1.2 pts