BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2022 261 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +30.3 +14.6 +15.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +25.0 +14.3 +10.8
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.6 +18.6 +6.0
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +24.2 +14.0 +10.2
5 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +18.2 +4.5
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +21.6 +10.1 +11.5
7 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +20.3 +11.6 +8.7
8 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.3 +8.6 +10.8
9 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.3 +8.6 +10.7
10 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +19.3 +14.9 +4.4
11 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +19.1 +8.1 +11.0
12 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +9.0 +9.7
13 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +18.0 +7.3 +10.7
14 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.8 +10.6 +7.2
15 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +17.4 +9.6 +7.8
16 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +16.9 +12.5 +4.4
17 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +16.0 +8.1 +7.8
18 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +15.9 +15.0 +0.8
19 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +15.5 +1.5 +14.0
20 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +15.2 +7.6 +7.6
21 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.0 +4.5 +10.5
22 Tulane FBS American Conference +14.7 +8.2 +6.6
23 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.6 +11.9 +2.7
24 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +14.4 +11.1 +3.3
25 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +14.3 -1.7 +16.0
26 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +13.9 +16.6 -2.7
27 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.8 +6.7 +7.1
28 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +13.6 +2.8 +10.8
29 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +13.6 +12.5 +1.1
30 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +13.5 +9.3 +4.2
31 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +13.5 +10.1 +3.3
32 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.3 +12.1 +1.3
33 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.9 +7.3 +5.7
34 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +12.8 +2.0 +10.7
35 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +12.1 +7.0 +5.1
36 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +12.0 +4.5 +7.5
37 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.0 -1.5 +13.4
38 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +11.9 +3.1 +8.8
39 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +11.9 +9.5 +2.4
40 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +11.8 +12.2 -0.4
41 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.8 +6.4 +5.4
42 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.7 +6.9 +4.8
43 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.6 +4.6 +7.0
44 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +11.5 +5.0 +6.5
45 UTSA FBS American Conference +11.4 +8.9 +2.5
46 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +9.0 +2.3
47 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.3 +4.3 +6.9
48 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +11.2 -1.0 +12.2
49 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.1 +6.4 +4.6
50 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +11.0 +8.0 +3.0
51 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +10.8 +6.7 +4.1
52 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.4 +10.8 -0.4
53 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +10.4 +3.2 +7.1
54 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +10.3 +3.7 +6.6
55 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.2 +0.1 +10.1
56 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.2 -0.5 +10.7
57 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +10.2 +5.9 +4.3
58 Memphis FBS American Conference +10.1 +6.4 +3.8
59 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +10.0 +2.0 +8.0
60 Princeton FCS Ivy League +9.8 +1.0 +8.8
61 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +9.8 +5.9 +3.8
62 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +9.5 +6.8 +2.7
63 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +9.5 -0.5 +10.0
64 East Carolina FBS American Conference +9.5 +7.0 +2.5
65 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.4 +5.7 +3.7
66 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +9.4 +2.2 +7.2
67 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.3 +11.1 -1.7
68 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +9.3 +7.5 +1.8
69 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +9.1 +8.9 +0.2
70 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +8.9 +10.9 -2.0
71 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +8.9 +3.8 +5.0
72 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.8 -2.1 +10.9
73 Furman FCS Southern Conference +8.7 +3.0 +5.7
74 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +8.6 +4.2 +4.3
75 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.6 +3.4 +5.2
76 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +8.5 +5.9 +2.6
77 Delaware FBS Conference USA +8.2 +1.0 +7.2
78 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.1 +2.8 +5.3
79 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +8.1 +6.0 +2.1
80 Richmond FCS Patriot League +8.0 +3.2 +4.7
81 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +7.8 +3.6 +4.2
82 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +7.7 +5.5 +2.3
83 Samford FCS Southern Conference +7.6 +6.0 +1.6
84 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.4 +5.6 +1.9
85 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +7.3 +6.2 +1.1
86 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.1 +0.8 +6.4
87 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.1 +7.8 -0.7
88 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +6.8 +5.1 +1.6
89 Yale FCS Ivy League +6.6 +2.8 +3.9
90 UAB FBS American Conference +6.6 +1.2 +5.4
91 Army FBS American Conference +6.5 +2.3 +4.2
92 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +6.4 +6.2 +0.2
93 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +6.3 +0.1 +6.2
94 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +6.0 +3.7 +2.3
95 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +5.6 +2.3 +3.3
96 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +5.4 +5.7 -0.3
97 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.4 -0.6 +5.9
98 Liberty FBS Conference USA +5.3 +2.1 +3.2
99 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference +5.3 +3.7 +1.6
100 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League +5.2 +0.5 +4.7
101 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.1 +2.6 +2.5
102 Navy FBS American Conference +5.1 -1.6 +6.7
103 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +5.1 +5.2 -0.2
104 North Texas FBS American Conference +4.6 +6.1 -1.5
105 Harvard FCS Ivy League +4.6 +1.1 +3.4
106 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.2 -1.2 +5.4
107 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +3.9 +0.8 +3.1
108 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +3.8 +5.6 -1.8
109 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.6 +5.1 -1.5
110 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +3.3 +3.1 +0.2
111 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +3.3 -0.0 +3.3
112 Tulsa FBS American Conference +3.1 +4.3 -1.2
113 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.1 +1.9 +1.2
114 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +3.0 -3.8 +6.8
115 Fordham FCS Patriot League +2.9 +15.9 -13.0
116 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +2.8 +0.6 +2.2
117 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.7 +4.4 -1.7
118 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.7 +3.2 -0.6
119 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +2.7 +5.7 -3.1
120 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +2.4 -1.3 +3.7
121 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.4 +3.9 -1.5
122 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +2.2 -1.4 +3.6
123 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +2.2 +0.7 +1.4
123 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.2 +2.5 -0.4
124 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +2.0 +1.0 +1.1
125 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.0 +5.9 -3.9
126 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +1.8 -0.6 +2.4
127 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +1.8 +3.2 -1.4
128 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.8 +4.9 -3.1
129 Missouri State FBS Conference USA +1.8 +0.5 +1.2
130 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.7 -0.4 +2.1
131 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +1.6 +2.3 -0.7
132 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +1.5 +1.6 -0.1
133 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.3 -3.5 +4.8
134 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.2 +1.2 -0.1
135 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.1 +2.8 -1.7
136 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League +1.0 +1.8 -0.8
137 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +0.8 +1.5 -0.7
138 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.7 -2.2 +3.0
139 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +0.7 -3.9 +4.6
140 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.6 -2.9 +3.5
141 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +0.6 +2.6 -2.0
142 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +0.5 -1.3 +1.9
143 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +0.5 -2.9 +3.4
144 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +0.0 -5.6 +5.7
145 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.1 +6.2 -6.3
146 Columbia FCS Ivy League -0.1 -2.6 +2.5
147 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -0.3 -4.3 +4.1
148 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -0.3 +0.7 -1.1
149 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -0.8 +1.0 -1.7
150 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA -1.2 -6.7 +5.5
151 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -1.3 -0.5 -0.8
152 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -1.3 -2.4 +1.1
153 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -1.4 -3.8 +2.4
154 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference -1.4 +0.2 -1.6
155 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -1.4 -3.4 +2.1
156 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.4 -7.9 +6.5
157 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.5 -1.0 -0.6
158 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.5 -1.3 -0.3
159 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -1.7 +0.4 -2.1
160 Lindenwood FCS OVC-Big South Association -1.7 +5.6 -7.3
161 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference -1.8 -4.6 +2.8
162 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.8 -4.9 +3.1
163 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -1.9 +1.9 -3.8
164 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference -2.0 -5.2 +3.2
165 UTEP FBS Conference USA -2.1 -3.6 +1.4
166 UConn FBS FBS Independents -2.2 -3.2 +1.0
167 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -2.3 -3.6 +1.2
168 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -2.3 -4.2 +1.9
169 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -2.4 -2.4 -0.0
170 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.5 +5.1 -7.6
171 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -2.5 -1.4 -1.1
172 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.7 +1.6 -4.3
173 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -2.7 -2.0 -0.7
174 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.7 -0.6 -2.1
175 Temple FBS American Conference -2.8 -2.6 -0.2
176 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -3.0 +2.7 -5.7
177 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -3.1 -6.5 +3.4
178 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -3.1 -5.8 +2.6
179 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.3 -0.1 -3.1
180 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.5 -1.0 -2.4
181 Rice FBS American Conference -3.7 -1.0 -2.7
182 South Florida FBS American Conference -3.7 +3.5 -7.2
183 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -3.9 -3.2 -0.7
184 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA -4.0 +0.1 -4.1
185 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference -4.2 +1.2 -5.4
186 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -4.2 +3.1 -7.3
187 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -4.2 -4.9 +0.7
188 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA -4.6 +2.6 -7.2
189 East Texas A&M FCS Southland Conference -4.6 -5.5 +0.9
190 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.8 +0.6 -5.4
191 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -4.9 -0.4 -4.5
192 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference -5.0 -3.1 -1.9
193 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.1 -3.1 -2.0
194 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.1 -4.1 -0.9
195 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference -5.3 -3.0 -2.3
196 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -5.4 -2.3 -3.2
197 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -5.4 -3.9 -1.5
198 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.5 -9.9 +4.4
199 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference -5.5 -8.3 +2.8
200 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference -5.6 +1.9 -7.5
201 Utah Tech FCS United Athletic Conference -5.7 +0.5 -6.3
202 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -5.8 -4.8 -1.0
203 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.9 -7.5 +1.5
204 Stonehill FCS Northeast Conference -6.2 -3.8 -2.4
205 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -6.8 -2.7 -4.1
206 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.2 -4.8 -2.3
207 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -7.5 -1.4 -6.1
208 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.6 -10.1 +2.5
209 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -7.6 -7.1 -0.5
210 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -8.1 -5.3 -2.8
211 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -8.4 -9.8 +1.4
212 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -8.4 -2.9 -5.5
213 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.6 -7.4 -1.2
214 Charlotte FBS American Conference -8.7 -0.8 -7.9
215 Cornell FCS Ivy League -8.7 -5.1 -3.7
216 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -8.8 -5.9 -2.9
217 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference -8.8 -3.7 -5.0
218 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -8.8 -3.3 -5.5
219 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -8.8 -8.7 -0.2
220 Brown FCS Ivy League -8.9 -0.6 -8.3
221 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -9.1 +2.0 -11.1
222 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -9.1 -4.0 -5.2
223 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -9.3 -10.4 +1.1
224 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -9.4 -5.8 -3.7
225 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -9.7 -6.4 -3.3
226 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -9.7 -6.2 -3.6
227 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.1 -3.7 -6.5
228 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.5 -5.4 -5.1
229 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -10.6 -7.1 -3.5
230 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -10.9 -14.5 +3.6
231 Florida International FBS Conference USA -11.5 -6.1 -5.4
232 Colgate FCS Patriot League -11.6 -6.9 -4.7
233 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -11.8 -4.5 -7.3
234 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -12.1 -6.6 -5.4
235 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -12.3 -11.4 -1.0
236 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -12.4 -4.4 -7.9
237 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -12.5 -6.2 -6.3
238 Long Island University FCS Northeast Conference -12.6 -2.8 -9.7
239 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -12.7 -10.5 -2.2
240 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -12.7 -2.6 -10.1
241 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -13.3 -11.6 -1.7
242 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -13.5 -10.7 -2.8
243 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -14.0 -6.9 -7.1
244 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -14.0 -8.2 -5.8
245 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -14.3 -8.4 -5.9
246 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -14.3 -11.5 -2.9
247 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -14.4 -10.9 -3.5
248 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -14.9 -1.5 -13.5
249 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.0 -5.1 -9.8
250 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -15.0 -5.5 -9.5
251 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -15.7 -9.5 -6.2
252 VMI FCS Southern Conference -15.8 -8.6 -7.2
253 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -16.0 -10.7 -5.3
254 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -16.1 -13.9 -2.2
255 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -16.9 -5.9 -11.0
256 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -17.0 -8.0 -9.0
257 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -19.3 -10.5 -8.8
258 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -20.7 -15.0 -5.7
259 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -21.2 -10.6 -10.7
260 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -24.2 -9.3 -14.9

SRS — season 2022 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +43.2 +29.5 -30.9
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.2 +34.2 -21.0
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +37.5 +28.8 -25.5
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +37.1 +28.3 -24.0
5 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +35.8 +34.1 -19.5
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.2 +23.7 -24.5
7 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +33.0 +27.0 -16.6
8 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +32.5 +21.2 -23.8
9 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +32.5 +24.1 -21.4
10 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +32.4 +22.2 -25.0
11 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +30.6 +18.1 -23.0
12 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.1 +19.1 -20.9
13 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +29.8 +23.6 -21.7
14 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.6 +22.7 -18.6
15 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +29.2 +28.2 -12.7
16 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +29.0 +24.4 -15.6
17 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +20.6 -20.4
18 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +27.9 +13.1 -26.4
19 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +24.6 -14.6
20 Tulane FBS American Conference +26.4 +18.9 -17.8
21 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.4 +14.6 -21.6
22 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +26.3 +18.1 -18.6
23 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +25.6 +8.1 -27.2
24 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +25.5 +21.1 -14.3
25 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +25.1 +14.7 -23.0
26 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +24.6 +23.1 -11.1
27 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +21.6 -16.1
28 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +21.6 -14.6
29 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +7.8 -25.1
30 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +21.6 -10.4
31 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +15.8 -14.8
32 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +18.9 -15.9
33 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.7 +11.8 -14.4
34 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +18.4 -15.7
35 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +21.0 -12.7
36 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +16.5 -15.0
37 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +22.5 +19.0 -12.7
38 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +22.3 +23.1 -9.0
39 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +22.0 +8.4 -23.5
40 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +21.9 +14.9 -19.2
41 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.4 +12.6 -19.6
42 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +21.4 +9.3 -19.4
43 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.4 +17.0 -14.8
44 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +15.8 -19.0
45 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +20.8 +11.6 -18.7
46 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +20.5 +11.3 -18.3
47 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.4 +19.8 -8.1
48 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.4 +12.2 -14.9
49 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.2 +9.4 -20.7
50 Memphis FBS American Conference +20.1 +16.2 -13.7
51 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +16.7 -13.7
52 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +15.6 -16.3
53 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +19.5 +16.9 -13.1
54 East Carolina FBS American Conference +19.5 +16.0 -11.1
55 UTSA FBS American Conference +19.4 +17.0 -10.0
56 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +19.2 +9.3 -20.7
57 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +19.0 +12.1 -14.2
58 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.0 +13.7 -15.3
59 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +18.8 +16.0 -13.4
60 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +18.6 +18.6 -9.1
61 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +18.6 +6.7 -19.0
62 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.4 +20.4 -6.7
63 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +17.8 +18.4 -10.3
64 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +17.5 +15.9 -5.5
65 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +16.6 +14.3 -15.4
66 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +16.6 +16.3 -11.5
67 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.3 +10.6 -13.0
68 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +16.2 +13.4 -10.7
69 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.7 +10.0 -10.1
70 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.7 +3.7 -19.0
71 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.5 +9.0 -15.8
72 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.8 +7.6 -11.2
73 Navy FBS American Conference +14.7 +6.6 -15.8
74 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +14.7 +17.6 -6.9
75 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +14.4 +12.2 -7.9
76 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +14.2 +7.4 -13.3
77 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +14.2 +20.6 +1.3
78 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.1 +16.9 -1.8
79 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +14.0 +10.6 -13.3
80 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +13.8 +10.5 -8.2
81 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.6 +16.4 -5.7
82 UAB FBS American Conference +13.5 +8.2 -13.4
83 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +13.2 +12.2 -6.0
84 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +13.1 +9.8 -8.1
85 Army FBS American Conference +12.9 +8.4 -10.7
86 Liberty FBS Conference USA +12.7 +8.2 -9.3
87 North Texas FBS American Conference +12.6 +13.3 -4.8
88 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +12.5 +12.8 -9.9
89 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.1 +10.6 -11.0
90 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.5 +8.0 -11.5
91 Tulsa FBS American Conference +11.4 +13.1 -6.2
92 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.2 +6.9 -9.5
93 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +11.1 +9.7 -3.9
94 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +11.0 +6.0 -2.7
95 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +10.6 +5.6 -6.2
96 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.4 +2.5 -14.1
97 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.4 +4.0 -13.8
98 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +10.4 +8.5 -9.5
99 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.4 +3.9 -14.3
100 Furman FCS Southern Conference +10.4 +5.6 -7.8
101 Delaware FBS Conference USA +10.3 +1.2 -7.5
102 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.2 +10.8 -6.6
103 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.0 +7.4 -10.7
104 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +10.0 +8.4 -8.2
105 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.6 +14.6 -2.8
106 Samford FCS Southern Conference +9.3 +7.7 -4.5
107 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.3 +10.9 -4.4
108 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.2 +9.9 -3.8
109 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.2 +5.5 -10.7
110 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +9.1 +7.0 -7.5
111 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +8.9 +4.4 -13.4
112 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +8.6 +8.7 -7.6
113 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +8.5 +10.2 -4.8
114 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +8.5 +6.8 -1.7
115 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +8.4 +3.8 -4.1
116 Richmond FCS Patriot League +8.3 +3.6 -4.5
117 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +7.9 +8.6 -4.8
118 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +7.5 +2.8 -11.6
119 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +7.5 +8.5 -3.8
120 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +7.5 +6.2 -2.2
121 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +7.4 +7.9 -4.1
122 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +7.4 +3.0 -9.7
123 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +7.3 +1.8 -7.3
124 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.3 -0.8 -6.6
125 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +7.2 +4.7 -10.7
126 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.1 +4.5 -4.7
127 Temple FBS American Conference +6.2 +4.5 -6.8
128 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.1 +4.0 -8.5
129 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.8 +8.9 +0.1
130 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +5.6 +1.8 -10.8
131 UConn FBS FBS Independents +5.6 +1.7 -6.1
132 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +5.3 +5.7 -3.7
133 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +5.2 +1.7 -7.7
134 UTEP FBS Conference USA +4.9 +2.4 -7.9
135 Princeton FCS Ivy League +4.8 -4.2 -4.7
136 South Florida FBS American Conference +4.7 +11.7 +0.3
137 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +4.4 +0.9 -8.7
138 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference +3.9 +6.0 -1.9
139 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.8 +1.2 -0.2
140 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +3.7 +6.2 +0.4
141 Rice FBS American Conference +3.7 +4.9 -3.0
142 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +3.6 +4.8 -4.8
143 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.5 +4.0 -0.3
144 Missouri State FBS Conference USA +3.5 +2.5 -4.3
145 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.3 -0.1 -1.3
146 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA +3.1 +2.8 -4.9
147 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +3.0 +3.6 +3.9
148 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +2.9 -1.7 -10.4
149 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.9 +3.7 +1.2
150 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.8 +7.3 -3.1
151 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.7 +0.8 -7.3
152 Fordham FCS Patriot League +2.6 +16.4 +16.1
153 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference +2.5 +1.1 +2.7
154 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +2.0 +1.3 -3.0
155 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +1.9 +4.2 -2.5
156 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +1.9 +6.9 +0.2
157 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.7 +5.5 +4.4
158 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +1.7 +8.5 +2.7
159 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +1.6 +2.7 +1.8
160 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +1.4 +4.1 -2.0
161 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +1.4 +0.3 -4.3
162 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.3 +2.3 +3.6
163 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +1.1 -2.2 -3.0
164 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.1 +0.0 +1.9
165 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +0.7 -4.1 -8.7
166 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 +8.2 +7.2
167 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +0.3 +1.8 -3.0
168 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.2 -7.8 -8.2
169 Harvard FCS Ivy League -0.6 -3.2 +1.3
170 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -0.8 +0.9 +0.8
171 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -1.1 -1.2 +2.8
172 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -1.5 -4.6 +0.5
173 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.8 -5.1 -4.4
174 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.3 -7.2 +1.8
175 Charlotte FBS American Conference -2.3 +4.3 +3.5
176 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -2.6 -4.5 -7.2
177 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.5 -3.9 +3.6
178 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.6 -3.5 +3.0
179 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA -4.0 -10.1 -6.5
180 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -4.4 -4.4 +1.8
181 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -4.4 -4.2 -0.7
182 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -4.4 +2.5 +5.5
183 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.4 +3.6 +10.7
184 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -4.7 +3.9 +7.2
185 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA -5.2 -0.6 +6.0
186 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference -5.3 +0.5 +8.5
187 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.3 -0.7 +8.3
188 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.6 -7.1 +3.8
189 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -5.6 +0.4 +7.0
190 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -5.8 -7.6 +0.4
191 Florida International FBS Conference USA -6.1 -4.3 +3.1
192 Columbia FCS Ivy League -6.2 -7.5 +2.3
193 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.2 -1.6 +8.6
194 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.2 -6.1 +3.8
195 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.4 -3.6 +5.9
196 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League -6.4 -9.2 +6.2
196 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League -6.4 -12.1 -0.9
197 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -6.7 -1.8 +7.0
198 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -6.8 -0.0 +7.9
199 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -7.2 -3.9 +7.4
200 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -7.2 -7.0 -2.0
201 Utah Tech FCS United Athletic Conference -7.5 +0.3 +7.1
202 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -7.8 -14.2 -2.8
203 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -8.1 -6.4 +4.0
204 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -8.2 -8.9 +5.1
205 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.5 -11.8 +1.7
206 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -8.8 -10.9 -2.9
207 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.3 -15.1 -1.1
208 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -9.4 -5.6 +3.5
209 East Texas A&M FCS Southland Conference -9.6 -10.2 +2.8
210 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -9.7 -8.8 +6.4
211 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.3 -8.4 +4.8
212 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -10.6 -5.8 +7.4
213 Lindenwood FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.7 +0.4 +14.0
214 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -11.5 -12.1 +7.3
215 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -11.6 -8.1 +7.3
216 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -11.7 -8.4 +11.3
217 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -12.0 -12.1 +3.9
218 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -12.0 -0.5 +14.9
219 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -12.3 -3.8 +12.7
220 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -12.5 -11.9 +8.6
221 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -12.6 -14.4 +6.8
222 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -12.7 -8.2 +9.5
223 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -12.9 -11.2 +7.9
224 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -13.2 -8.7 +12.3
225 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.4 -10.4 +10.8
226 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -13.5 -18.9 -1.8
227 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -13.6 -7.7 +8.9
228 Colgate FCS Patriot League -13.6 -8.9 +7.3
229 Cornell FCS Ivy League -13.6 -8.9 +8.3
230 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -13.8 -7.9 +7.5
231 Brown FCS Ivy League -13.9 -6.4 +13.7
232 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -13.9 -10.7 +10.5
233 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -14.9 -9.6 +6.8
234 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -15.6 -10.9 +4.7
235 Long Island University FCS Northeast Conference -15.6 -8.2 +16.4
236 Stonehill FCS Northeast Conference -15.9 -13.2 +8.2
237 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -16.1 -16.5 +5.2
238 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -16.6 -11.2 +8.1
239 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -16.6 -14.7 +11.5
240 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -17.5 -17.5 +8.1
241 VMI FCS Southern Conference -17.6 -10.6 +8.3
242 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -17.6 -15.1 +6.4
243 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -18.3 -6.0 +19.9
244 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -18.3 -17.9 +6.9
245 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -18.4 -12.3 +9.4
246 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -18.6 -9.9 +11.3
247 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -18.9 -17.5 +10.4
248 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -19.1 -16.5 +8.3
249 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -19.1 -20.3 +6.8
250 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -19.3 -10.7 +15.2
251 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -19.6 -12.2 +16.2
252 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -19.7 -13.3 +17.3
253 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -21.4 -12.1 +17.4
254 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -22.7 -15.6 +12.2
255 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -23.9 -13.6 +19.3
256 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -24.5 -21.0 +10.0
257 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -25.9 -18.1 +18.4
258 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -25.9 -19.0 +17.1
259 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -27.5 -18.0 +21.2
260 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -37.2 -24.4 +27.4

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 130 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
South Alabama #33 #64 +31 (we're lower)
Air Force #58 #30 -28 (we're higher)
Fresno State #59 #37 -22 (we're higher)
Oklahoma State #31 #52 +21 (we're lower)
Iowa State #53 #32 -21 (we're higher)
Duke #55 #35 -20 (we're higher)
Louisville #39 #20 -19 (we're higher)
Navy #93 #74 -19 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Georgia +35.3 37.2 3.7 #1
2 Michigan +32.0 38.0 7.6 #4
3 Ohio State +31.1 45.1 15.7 #3
4 Alabama +30.3 42.9 14.2 #2
5 Tennessee +25.2 47.3 22.6 #5
6 TCU +24.3 43.3 20.2 #9
7 Texas +23.1 38.1 15.6 #11
8 Penn State +22.4 36.6 13.9 #6
9 Kansas State +21.4 36.4 15.7 #10
10 Utah +19.2 37.3 17.3 #7
11 USC +18.9 46.6 26.3 #17
11 Oregon +18.9 44.9 26.5 #15
13 Clemson +17.6 34.9 18.5 #8
14 Ole Miss +16.2 38.8 23.7 #26
14 LSU +16.2 34.2 17.6 #14
16 Minnesota +16.0 23.5 8.6 #24
17 Illinois +15.9 20.6 5.5 #18
18 Washington +15.7 41.2 25.5 #22
19 Mississippi State +15.4 35.1 19.9 #16
19 Oklahoma +15.4 40.8 26.5 #27
21 UCLA +15.0 45.7 30.1 #25
22 Oregon State +14.3 33.3 17.7 #12
23 Florida State +13.2 34.8 20.4 #13
24 Cincinnati +13.1 27.6 16.1 #33
25 Kentucky +13.0 23.2 9.9 #41