Texas State Bobcats
FBS
Sun Belt Conference · TXST
Team Vitals
+10.8
power · 2026 · #78 D1
+10.0 / +0.7
off / def (higher = better)
0–2
2026 record
109
roster (2026)
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 43%ile 0.538
- Offense (PPA/play) 93%ile 0.340
- Defense (PPA allowed) 38%ile 0.183
- Offensive success rate 84%ile 0.473
- Defensive success rate allowed 52%ile 0.409
- Explosiveness 85%ile 1.376
- Explosiveness allowed 15%ile 1.367
- Plays per game 93%ile 67.8
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | North Texas FBS | HOME | North Texas 67% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wk 4 | Incarnate Word FCS | HOME | Texas State 89% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | San Diego State FBS | AWAY | San Diego State 57% |
| 2026-10-15 | Wk 7 | Colorado State FBS | HOME | Texas State 63% |
| 2026-10-24 | Wk 8 | Utah State FBS | HOME | Texas State 61% |
| 2026-10-31 | Wk 9 | Boise State FBS | AWAY | Boise State 79% |
| 2026-11-07 | Wk 10 | Oregon State FBS | AWAY | Texas State 61% |
| 2026-11-14 | Wk 11 | Fresno State FBS | HOME | Texas State 56% |
| 2026-11-21 | Wk 12 | Washington State FBS | HOME | Washington State 51% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2026 | Wk 2 | UTSA vs | L | 26–31 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026 | Wk 1 | Texas @ | L | 7–59 |
| 2026-01-02 | 2025 | Bowl | Rice vs | W | 41–10 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | South Alabama vs | W | 49–26 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | UL Monroe vs | W | 31–14 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Southern Miss @ | W | 41–14 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025 | Wk 11 | Louisiana @ | L | 39–42 |
| 2025-10-28 | 2025 | Wk 10 | James Madison vs | L | 20–52 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025 | Wk 8 | Marshall @ | L | 37–40 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025 | Wk 7 | Troy vs | L | 41–48 |
| 2025-10-04 | 2025 | Wk 6 | Arkansas State @ | L | 30–31 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025 | Wk 4 | Nicholls vs | W | 35–3 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 90 | -57 |
| 2025 | 7 | 6 | 474 | 377 | +97 |
| 2024 | 8 | 5 | 475 | 319 | +156 |
| 2023 | 8 | 5 | 477 | 427 | +50 |
| 2022 | 4 | 8 | 253 | 316 | -63 |
| 2021 | 4 | 8 | 277 | 396 | -119 |
| 2020 | 2 | 10 | 332 | 458 | -126 |
| 2019 | 3 | 9 | 221 | 391 | -170 |
| 2018 | 3 | 9 | 237 | 332 | -95 |
| 2017 | 2 | 10 | 207 | 403 | -196 |
| 2016 | 2 | 10 | 223 | 493 | -270 |
| 2015 | 3 | 9 | 323 | 470 | -147 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nolan | DB | 86 | #26 | 2 | 17 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT |
| Jayden Bradley | DB | 76 | #126 | 2 | 18 tkl |
| Davian Jackson | RB | 73 | #80 | 2 | 128 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec |
| Tymere Jackson | DL | 73 | #201 | 2 | 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Trez Moore | DB | 73 | #191 | 2 | 8 tkl · 3 PD |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | WR | 71 | #150 | 2 | 11 rec · 94 yds · 1 TD |
| Terrence Cooks II | LB | 71 | #154 | 2 | 14 tkl · 1.5 TFL |
| Sully Burns team-inferred | OL | 70 | #7 | 2 | — |
| Craig Royal Jr. | DB | 66 | #423 | 2 | 11 tkl |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. | RB | 65 | #207 | 2 | 183 rush yds · 1 rec |
| Phillip Bradford | DL | 62 | #711 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Kylen Evans | WR | 61 | #434 | 2 | 6 rec · 102 yds |
| Brad Jackson | QB | 59 | #180 | 2 | 342 pass yds · 1 TD · 3 INT |
| Javante Mackey | LB | 59 | #506 | 2 | 10 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Ayden Jones | LB | 59 | #517 | 2 | 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Jayden Lawton | DB | 58 | #865 | 2 | 3 tkl · 2 PD |
| Dexter Ricks Jr. | DB | 58 | #867 | 1 | 5 tkl |
| Tucker Cusano | WR | 58 | #585 | 2 | 4 rec · 83 yds |
| Treylin Payne | LB | 56 | #649 | 2 | 3 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Blake Smith | TE | 55 | #235 | 2 | 4 rec · 19 yds |
| Jacob Bonilla | K | 54 | #159 | 1 | 2 FG · 2 XP · 8 pts |
| Tae Woody | DL | 54 | #1325 | 1 | 3 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Jo'Laison Landry | DL | 54 | #1352 | 2 | 4 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| TJ Burkhalter | LB | 52 | #836 | 2 | 3 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Beau Sparks | WR | 51 | #897 | 1 | 4 rec · 19 yds |
| Chancellor Owens | DL | 50 | #1646 | 2 | 4 tkl |
| J.P. Deeter | DL | 49 | #1720 | 1 | 1 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Jordan Martin | WR | 48 | #1095 | 2 | 3 rec · 21 yds |
| Jaylen Jenkins | RB | 47 | #769 | 2 | 34 rush yds · 1 rec |
| Michael Patterson III | DB | 46 | #1831 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Chase Davis | DB | 46 | #1849 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Juntavious Harris | RB | 44 | #858 | 1 | 21 rush yds |
| Jonathan Davis | DL | 44 | #2193 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Cordarian Powell | DB | 43 | #2043 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Gavin Parkhurst | QB | 43 | #465 | 1 | 38 pass yds · 0 INT · 4 rush yds |
| Ty Stamey | TE | 42 | #437 | 1 | 1 rec · 7 yds |
| Amarion Atwood | DB | 42 | #2169 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Greg Gipson Jr. | DB | 42 | #2170 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| DonTerry Russell | DL | 41 | #2426 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Blake Isbell | DL | 41 | #2427 | 2 | 2 tkl |