BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2021 259 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +11.3 +16.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +15.2 +9.0
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +21.6 +17.9 +3.7
4 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +20.6 +7.1 +13.6
5 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +10.6 +9.5
6 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +9.2 +10.8
7 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +18.3 +9.3 +9.0
8 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.6 +6.0 +11.6
9 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +9.8 +7.4
10 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.6 +8.8 +7.8
11 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.0 +2.6 +13.4
12 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.5 +11.0 +4.5
13 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +15.4 +4.4 +11.0
14 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +15.1 +11.6 +3.5
15 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +14.7 +6.6 +8.1
16 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.6 +14.2 +0.4
17 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +14.4 +2.8 +11.6
18 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +14.4 +2.7 +11.7
19 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +14.2 +8.3 +5.9
20 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +14.2 +2.8 +11.3
21 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +14.1 +7.2 +6.8
22 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +14.0 +9.1 +4.9
23 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.0 +5.6 +8.4
24 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +13.6 +14.5 -0.8
25 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.2 +6.9 +6.3
26 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.2 +4.5 +8.6
27 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +13.1 +7.4 +5.7
28 Harvard FCS Ivy League +13.0 +4.1 +8.9
29 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +12.7 +6.1 +6.6
30 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +12.4 +5.6 +6.8
31 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +12.2 +5.2 +7.0
32 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.0 +2.4 +9.6
33 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +11.9 +2.8 +9.0
34 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +11.8 +9.3 +2.5
35 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.7 +3.1 +8.6
36 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +11.6 +7.6 +4.0
37 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +11.5 +10.4 +1.2
38 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +11.2 +1.1 +10.1
39 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +11.1 +1.8 +9.3
40 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.0 +10.8 +0.3
41 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.9 +1.4 +9.5
42 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +10.5 +3.6 +6.9
43 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.5 -0.2 +10.6
44 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +10.4 +4.6 +5.8
45 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +10.3 +13.7 -3.4
46 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.2 +7.7 +2.5
47 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +9.9 +10.8 -0.9
48 Princeton FCS Ivy League +9.9 +4.1 +5.8
49 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +9.8 +2.6 +7.3
50 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +9.7 +6.5 +3.2
51 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +9.6 -0.1 +9.8
52 Liberty FBS Conference USA +9.6 +5.2 +4.4
53 UAB FBS American Conference +9.5 +4.1 +5.3
54 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +9.4 +5.6 +3.8
55 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +9.1 +10.5 -1.4
56 Missouri State FBS Conference USA +9.1 +7.8 +1.3
57 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +9.1 +2.6 +6.5
58 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +9.0 +0.6 +8.4
59 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +8.7 +2.7 +6.0
60 Army FBS American Conference +8.7 +3.7 +5.0
61 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +8.7 +8.5 +0.2
62 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.7 +4.6 +4.1
63 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.7 +6.3 +2.4
64 UTSA FBS American Conference +8.6 +7.0 +1.6
65 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +8.5 +4.6 +4.0
66 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +8.5 +4.1 +4.3
67 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +8.2 +6.0 +2.2
68 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +8.2 +4.0 +4.2
69 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.2 +1.5 +6.6
70 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.0 +2.3 +5.6
71 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +7.9 +6.4 +1.5
72 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +7.9 +5.6 +2.3
73 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +7.5 +2.3 +5.3
74 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +7.4 +14.0 -6.6
75 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +7.2 +3.0 +4.2
76 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.2 +4.9 +2.3
77 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +7.2 +2.9 +4.3
78 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +7.2 +4.3 +2.9
79 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +7.2 +8.0 -0.8
80 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +6.8 +3.6 +3.1
81 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.8 +8.7 -2.0
82 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +6.7 +5.9 +0.8
83 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +6.6 +2.6 +4.0
84 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.4 +1.8 +4.5
85 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.0 +0.9 +5.2
86 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +5.8 +5.2 +0.6
87 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.8 +6.8 -1.0
88 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +5.7 -3.8 +9.5
89 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.2 -1.3 +6.5
90 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +5.2 -2.4 +7.6
91 East Carolina FBS American Conference +5.2 +3.4 +1.7
92 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +5.1 -0.8 +5.8
93 Tulsa FBS American Conference +5.1 +0.5 +4.5
94 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +5.0 -3.1 +8.1
95 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +4.9 +0.8 +4.1
96 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +4.6 +2.7 +1.9
97 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.4 -2.7 +7.1
98 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.0 -1.1 +5.1
99 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.9 +1.3 +2.5
100 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +3.8 +5.3 -1.5
101 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +3.7 +2.1 +1.6
102 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.7 +2.8 +0.9
103 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +3.7 +4.2 -0.6
104 Memphis FBS American Conference +3.6 +2.8 +0.8
105 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.2 +1.2 +2.0
106 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +3.1 -1.5 +4.7
107 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +3.1 -0.1 +3.2
108 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.1 +0.2 +2.9
109 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.1 -2.0 +5.1
110 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +2.9 -1.2 +4.2
111 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +2.9 +4.8 -1.9
112 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +2.8 +4.4 -1.6
113 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +2.8 -3.1 +5.9
114 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +2.7 +5.5 -2.8
115 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League +2.7 +5.6 -2.9
116 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +2.7 -0.4 +3.0
117 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.6 +3.1 -0.5
118 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +2.6 +1.5 +1.1
119 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League +2.6 -3.6 +6.1
120 Richmond FCS Patriot League +2.6 -1.4 +4.0
121 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +2.4 +2.0 +0.5
122 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +2.1 +2.0 +0.1
123 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +1.9 -3.5 +5.4
124 Columbia FCS Ivy League +1.7 -1.4 +3.1
125 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.6 -2.5 +4.1
126 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +1.5 +4.6 -3.1
127 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.6 -0.6 +1.3
128 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +0.6 -3.5 +4.1
129 Navy FBS American Conference +0.5 -3.2 +3.7
130 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +0.5 -3.0 +3.5
131 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 -1.2 +1.7
132 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.4 -0.8 +1.1
133 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.2 +3.5 -3.3
134 Furman FCS Southern Conference +0.2 -3.3 +3.5
135 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +0.2 -0.0 +0.2
136 Tulane FBS American Conference +0.1 +2.4 -2.3
137 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference +0.0 +1.6 -1.6
138 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -0.0 +3.0 -3.0
139 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -0.3 -1.6 +1.2
140 UTEP FBS Conference USA -0.7 -2.3 +1.6
141 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -0.8 -8.7 +7.9
142 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -0.9 +1.6 -2.6
143 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.0 -2.6 +1.6
144 North Texas FBS American Conference -1.0 -0.1 -0.9
145 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -1.1 -3.9 +2.8
146 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.3 -1.1 -0.2
147 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.5 -4.5 +3.1
147 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -1.5 +1.1 -2.6
148 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference -1.5 -3.2 +1.7
149 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -1.6 -3.0 +1.4
150 Samford FCS Southern Conference -1.7 +8.9 -10.6
151 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.8 +0.0 -1.8
152 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.8 -2.3 +0.5
153 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference -2.1 -4.0 +1.9
154 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.1 +7.3 -9.5
155 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.1 +1.1 -3.3
156 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -2.1 +1.2 -3.3
157 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -2.2 -1.4 -0.8
158 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.2 -1.4 -0.8
159 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.3 -3.5 +1.2
160 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -2.3 -6.1 +3.8
161 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.3 +2.3 -4.7
162 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.6 -2.5 -0.1
163 Delaware FBS Conference USA -2.7 -4.7 +2.0
164 VMI FCS Southern Conference -2.7 +1.7 -4.4
165 South Florida FBS American Conference -2.9 -0.2 -2.6
166 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -2.9 -2.3 -0.6
167 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA -2.9 +0.9 -3.8
168 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -3.0 -1.9 -1.0
169 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference -3.1 -4.3 +1.2
170 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -3.1 +5.5 -8.7
171 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.3 -3.1 -0.2
172 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference -3.4 -6.4 +3.0
173 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -3.5 -6.9 +3.4
174 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -3.5 -6.7 +3.1
175 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.6 -0.5 -3.1
176 Lindenwood FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.7 -1.6 -2.1
177 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -3.9 -2.6 -1.3
178 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -3.9 -6.8 +2.9
179 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -4.0 -6.4 +2.3
180 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference -4.1 -0.4 -3.6
181 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA -4.2 -4.4 +0.2
182 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -4.3 -1.4 -2.9
183 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -4.6 -2.9 -1.7
184 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.9 -3.3 -1.6
185 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -5.0 -1.8 -3.2
186 Fordham FCS Patriot League -5.0 +3.9 -8.9
187 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -5.0 -1.2 -3.8
188 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.2 -3.5 -1.7
189 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -5.2 -5.1 -0.1
190 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.3 -5.0 -0.4
191 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.4 -5.5 +0.1
192 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -5.5 -2.5 -3.0
193 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -5.6 +4.8 -10.4
194 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference -5.6 -4.7 -1.0
195 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.7 -1.0 -4.7
196 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.8 -5.4 -0.5
197 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.0 -1.1 -4.9
198 Rice FBS American Conference -6.0 -4.1 -1.9
199 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.2 -4.3 -1.9
200 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.4 -2.7 -3.6
201 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -6.4 -3.9 -2.5
202 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference -6.4 -4.2 -2.2
203 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -6.6 -0.8 -5.8
204 Charlotte FBS American Conference -6.6 -0.9 -5.7
205 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -6.7 -4.5 -2.2
206 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.7 +1.1 -7.8
207 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -6.8 -6.7 -0.0
208 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.9 -5.7 -1.2
209 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.9 -5.7 -1.2
210 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -7.1 -0.6 -6.5
211 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference -7.2 -5.8 -1.4
212 Cornell FCS Ivy League -7.3 -5.7 -1.6
213 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -7.3 +1.0 -8.3
214 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference -7.6 -0.5 -7.2
215 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -7.8 -4.8 -3.0
216 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference -7.9 -7.7 -0.2
217 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -8.2 -13.1 +4.9
218 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -8.6 -9.1 +0.5
219 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -8.6 -2.4 -6.2
220 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference -8.9 -6.7 -2.2
221 Colgate FCS Patriot League -9.1 -8.0 -1.1
222 Brown FCS Ivy League -9.1 +4.1 -13.2
223 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -9.2 -6.8 -2.4
224 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -9.5 -1.0 -8.5
225 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -9.6 -6.3 -3.2
226 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -10.0 -1.3 -8.7
227 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -10.0 -4.7 -5.3
228 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.1 -5.0 -5.1
229 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.2 -9.8 -0.4
230 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.3 +1.3 -11.6
231 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -10.6 -6.2 -4.4
232 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -10.6 -3.6 -7.0
233 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.6 -8.2 -2.4
234 Utah Tech FCS United Athletic Conference -10.9 -3.6 -7.2
235 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -11.0 -9.5 -1.5
236 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -11.2 -11.1 -0.1
237 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -11.3 -7.8 -3.5
238 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -11.4 -6.4 -5.0
239 UConn FBS FBS Independents -11.7 -5.7 -6.0
240 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -11.8 -8.7 -3.2
241 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -12.3 -10.0 -2.3
242 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -12.6 -3.9 -8.7
243 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference -12.7 -5.4 -7.3
244 Temple FBS American Conference -12.7 -6.5 -6.3
245 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -13.0 -12.9 -0.1
246 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -13.2 -8.8 -4.5
247 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -13.4 -7.2 -6.1
248 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -13.4 -5.4 -8.0
249 Florida International FBS Conference USA -14.9 -5.8 -9.1
250 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -15.1 +7.3 -22.4
251 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.5 -7.1 -8.4
252 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -15.8 -8.8 -7.0
253 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -15.8 -6.5 -9.4
254 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -17.4 -11.5 -5.9
255 Long Island University FCS Northeast Conference -17.4 -7.5 -10.0
256 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -20.5 -11.4 -9.1
257 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -20.7 -8.0 -12.7
258 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -21.1 -11.5 -9.6

SRS — season 2021 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +40.4 +25.2 -31.9
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +34.9 +27.4 -22.0
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.5 +33.4 -18.3
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +34.2 +24.4 -24.2
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +30.5 +21.5 -21.1
6 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +29.9 +18.7 -20.4
7 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +29.7 +18.0 -24.8
8 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +29.4 +21.3 -18.7
9 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.4 +18.2 -18.2
10 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.0 +13.5 -24.1
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +26.9 +15.2 -24.3
12 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.6 +22.7 -15.6
13 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +26.4 +15.7 -23.3
14 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +25.8 +23.7 -16.0
15 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.8 +11.2 -25.1
16 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +18.9 -20.2
17 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.7 +16.3 -19.7
18 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +25.4 +19.4 -17.2
19 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.2 +24.3 -9.7
20 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +25.0 +11.3 -19.2
21 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +24.6 +12.9 -22.7
22 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +24.3 +13.7 -19.1
23 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.1 +24.4 -6.4
24 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +12.5 -21.6
25 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +23.6 +21.6 -11.8
26 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +23.6 +16.4 -17.2
27 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +23.5 +16.9 -19.4
28 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +23.3 +16.1 -17.4
29 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +12.6 -21.7
30 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +22.7 +11.7 -21.9
31 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +21.8 +13.4 -14.8
32 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +21.4 +15.3 -19.8
33 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +21.2 +24.3 -10.3
34 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +15.1 -14.0
35 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.0 +16.7 -13.3
36 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +17.3 -13.9
37 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.9 +11.8 -17.6
38 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +20.9 +14.5 -14.2
39 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +20.4 +15.1 -18.1
40 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.6 +19.1 -8.2
41 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +19.6 +15.8 -12.8
42 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +22.1 -10.1
43 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.5 +16.8 -12.8
44 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.5 +13.1 -12.2
45 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +19.4 +15.1 -10.6
46 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.2 +9.9 -16.5
47 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.0 +13.9 -10.5
48 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.9 +8.5 -16.4
49 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +18.8 +18.2 -8.5
50 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +14.3 -14.2
51 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.7 +13.6 -13.7
52 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +13.7 -14.5
53 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +18.7 +11.9 -14.9
54 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +18.5 +14.3 -14.1
55 Liberty FBS Conference USA +18.3 +13.4 -12.5
56 UTSA FBS American Conference +18.1 +15.9 -10.0
57 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.5 +17.4 -12.2
58 UAB FBS American Conference +17.4 +10.9 -12.6
59 Army FBS American Conference +17.2 +11.4 -13.1
60 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.9 +15.5 -10.0
61 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.8 +18.5 -8.0
62 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +16.7 +15.5 -10.8
63 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.5 +18.4 -9.4
64 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.3 +12.2 -10.8
65 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.7 +3.2 -16.7
66 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +15.3 +7.7 -18.3
67 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.2 +6.8 -17.2
68 Missouri State FBS Conference USA +15.1 +13.5 -4.6
69 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +15.0 +16.2 -8.5
70 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +14.7 +9.6 -16.7
71 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.6 +11.7 -13.6
72 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +14.6 +11.2 -11.8
73 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +14.5 +9.6 -11.3
74 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +14.3 +12.6 -4.9
75 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +14.0 +11.9 -8.4
76 East Carolina FBS American Conference +13.8 +11.1 -10.1
77 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +13.8 +19.7 +0.3
78 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.8 +6.6 -14.7
79 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.7 +10.0 -12.1
80 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +13.5 +2.4 -14.6
81 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.4 +3.5 -12.8
82 Tulsa FBS American Conference +13.4 +7.8 -12.1
83 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.4 +4.9 -11.5
84 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +13.3 +14.8 -7.8
85 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +13.2 +7.8 -15.3
86 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.6 +9.6 -7.8
87 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +12.5 +14.5 -5.2
88 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +12.4 +6.4 -16.1
89 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.3 +5.6 -13.9
90 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +12.2 +9.5 -8.9
91 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +12.0 +5.5 -14.8
92 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +11.7 +6.1 -9.8
93 Memphis FBS American Conference +11.5 +9.9 -8.0
94 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +11.4 +14.5 -6.3
95 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +11.3 +5.9 -11.1
96 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.1 +8.9 -5.2
97 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.1 +7.9 -8.7
98 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +11.0 +8.1 -8.9
99 Harvard FCS Ivy League +10.8 +1.4 -7.3
100 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.3 +5.0 -8.2
101 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.0 +7.1 -8.0
102 Navy FBS American Conference +9.9 +4.0 -11.8
103 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +9.7 -0.7 -7.0
104 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.6 +5.6 -9.1
105 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +9.6 +11.2 -2.9
106 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.6 +1.4 -10.5
107 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.3 +7.5 -8.8
108 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +9.2 +10.5 +0.2
109 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +9.1 -3.1 -12.7
110 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +9.1 +1.3 -6.0
111 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference +8.8 +8.5 -5.4
112 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +8.8 +4.9 -10.6
113 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +8.6 +5.7 -10.6
114 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +8.4 +3.8 -3.5
115 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +8.2 +4.9 -12.2
116 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +8.1 +2.8 -7.2
117 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +8.1 +16.9 +7.5
118 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +7.8 +3.4 -10.1
119 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.5 +5.1 -8.2
120 North Texas FBS American Conference +7.2 +5.4 -6.8
121 Tulane FBS American Conference +7.1 +9.9 -4.9
122 UTEP FBS Conference USA +6.8 +3.1 -7.3
123 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +6.6 +8.9 -2.6
124 Princeton FCS Ivy League +6.3 +1.7 -3.5
125 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +6.0 -0.5 -4.9
126 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +5.9 +4.4 -9.1
127 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +5.7 +3.4 -7.3
128 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +5.4 +4.2 -6.3
129 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference +5.3 +2.5 -6.4
130 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +4.9 +7.4 -2.7
131 South Florida FBS American Conference +4.6 +6.2 -3.7
132 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +4.6 -1.0 -10.2
133 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +4.4 +3.2 -2.2
134 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +3.8 +0.8 -5.1
135 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +3.7 +0.3 -1.8
136 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +3.5 +2.0 -7.1
137 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.5 +0.3 -2.0
138 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +3.4 +12.1 +1.4
139 Richmond FCS Patriot League +3.3 -1.2 -4.8
140 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +3.1 +3.8 +2.4
141 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.8 +5.0 -0.2
142 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +2.5 -0.3 -3.5
143 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +2.5 +2.5 -8.1
144 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.3 -3.0 -4.8
145 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +2.0 +7.3 -0.1
146 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.9 +2.7 +1.3
147 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference +1.8 +2.4 -2.1
148 Furman FCS Southern Conference +1.5 -4.4 -3.9
149 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.3 -0.8 -1.3
150 Yale FCS Ivy League +0.9 +0.6 +1.8
151 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.9 -8.2 -6.0
152 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +0.8 -0.1 -4.6
153 Rice FBS American Conference +0.2 -0.1 -1.4
154 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference +0.2 +3.2 +0.8
155 Charlotte FBS American Conference +0.1 +4.5 +0.1
156 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +0.1 +5.5 -2.5
157 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.1 -8.7 -4.0
158 Samford FCS Southern Conference -0.1 +10.5 +12.8
159 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -0.6 +3.2 +0.2
160 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -0.8 +1.2 -1.3
161 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference -0.8 +0.3 -4.0
162 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -1.2 +2.8 +4.5
163 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.2 -2.4 +1.4
164 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.4 +5.4 +4.1
165 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -1.4 -1.2 -4.0
166 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference -1.6 +0.2 -2.8
167 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.7 -3.9 -5.0
168 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.7 -6.1 -3.1
169 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -2.1 -8.2 -7.3
170 VMI FCS Southern Conference -2.4 +0.4 +5.9
171 Delaware FBS Conference USA -2.6 -4.9 -2.7
172 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.6 -6.4 -5.6
173 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA -2.9 -3.5 -1.6
174 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -2.9 +5.2 +12.2
175 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.9 -4.8 +1.0
176 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -3.2 -0.7 +2.5
177 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.3 -3.4 +1.1
178 Columbia FCS Ivy League -3.3 -7.1 +1.4
179 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -3.6 -6.5 -6.8
180 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -4.1 -2.6 +3.1
181 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.1 -1.3 +4.7
182 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -4.1 +2.9 +5.5
183 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.3 +4.2 +6.6
184 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -4.5 -6.6 -1.8
185 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -5.1 -7.7 -2.0
186 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.2 -4.1 +2.3
187 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.9 -6.0 +0.7
188 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.5 -7.9 +2.2
189 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -6.7 -8.0 +2.1
190 Temple FBS American Conference -6.8 -3.4 +3.8
191 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -6.8 -0.2 +7.0
192 UConn FBS FBS Independents -6.8 -2.7 +3.3
193 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -6.9 -3.9 +1.7
194 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference -6.9 -2.0 +4.6
195 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -7.6 -7.9 +5.1
196 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -7.7 -17.3 -2.0
197 Fordham FCS Patriot League -7.8 +3.3 +12.1
198 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.9 -8.4 +1.5
199 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.4 -9.0 +5.2
200 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.5 -6.5 +1.8
201 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -8.6 -12.1 +0.4
202 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.9 -7.2 +6.4
203 Lindenwood FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.0 -10.2 +10.4
204 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -9.2 -4.8 +16.0
205 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.2 -3.2 +7.7
206 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -9.6 -7.9 +6.5
207 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -9.9 +1.1 +18.7
208 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -10.0 -13.2 +1.8
209 Florida International FBS Conference USA -10.1 -2.7 +6.3
210 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.1 -5.0 +11.3
211 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -10.3 -4.6 +7.7
212 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -10.6 -7.1 +4.5
213 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -10.6 -7.7 +2.4
214 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -10.7 -5.3 +7.1
215 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -10.8 -4.8 +8.4
216 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -10.8 -10.6 +1.0
217 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League -10.9 -15.9 +6.0
218 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -11.1 -9.6 +6.8
219 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -11.7 -3.7 +9.3
220 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -12.0 -10.9 +5.4
221 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -12.7 -12.8 +10.1
222 Utah Tech FCS United Athletic Conference -12.7 -6.2 +9.6
223 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -12.8 -13.6 +2.3
224 Cornell FCS Ivy League -12.8 -11.1 +6.0
225 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.6 -5.6 +13.2
226 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -13.7 -14.9 +9.6
227 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -13.8 -9.5 +9.3
228 Colgate FCS Patriot League -14.2 -13.7 +5.3
229 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -14.3 -12.5 +16.0
230 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -14.3 -6.8 +10.1
231 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -14.5 -9.7 +17.0
232 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -14.5 -9.9 +11.9
233 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.0 -13.9 +8.3
234 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -15.0 -10.7 +5.9
235 Brown FCS Ivy League -15.0 +1.3 +20.0
236 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -15.2 -12.1 +16.5
237 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.4 -5.9 +15.2
238 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -15.6 -10.2 +8.5
239 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -15.9 -14.6 +5.8
240 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.0 -3.1 +18.2
241 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -16.1 -15.1 +7.5
242 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.5 -17.5 +5.0
243 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.9 -13.7 +9.6
244 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -17.5 -12.0 +11.6
245 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -18.4 -19.3 +3.9
246 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -18.6 -13.4 +11.6
247 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -18.8 -20.8 +10.4
248 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -21.4 -18.0 +10.0
249 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -21.5 -14.4 +13.4
250 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -21.5 -11.1 +15.0
251 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -24.0 -29.0 +6.8
252 Long Island University FCS Northeast Conference -24.9 -17.3 +20.5
253 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -25.0 -15.2 +16.9
254 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -25.5 -19.1 +12.7
255 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -27.7 -19.9 +17.5
256 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -28.1 -23.8 +19.2
257 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -30.2 -22.1 +19.7
258 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -30.3 -22.9 +22.8
259 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -37.3 -12.2 +46.1

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Tennessee #10 #38 +28 (we're lower)
Air Force #54 #27 -27 (we're higher)
Utah State #80 #54 -26 (we're higher)
Wake Forest #39 #14 -25 (we're higher)
Miami #32 #56 +24 (we're lower)
San José State #85 #108 +23 (we're lower)
Texas Tech #40 #62 +22 (we're lower)
Mississippi State #34 #55 +21 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Georgia +32.0 41.4 10.3 #1
2 Ohio State +29.3 47.2 20.6 #3
3 Alabama +26.0 40.9 15.6 #2
4 Michigan +23.4 36.5 15.8 #4
5 Cincinnati +21.2 37.5 15.9 #5
6 Texas A&M +21.1 33.6 14.9 #17
7 Wisconsin +20.1 29.8 10.8 #15
8 Clemson +18.7 28.3 11.6 #9
9 Pittsburgh +17.6 38.2 21.4 #10
10 Tennessee +17.5 39.4 23.8 #38
11 Notre Dame +17.4 36.2 18.9 #6
12 Oklahoma State +17.2 30.6 14.3 #7
13 Oklahoma +16.8 41.1 25.6 #12
14 NC State +16.1 33.1 17.7 #20
15 Baylor +15.6 33.1 17.1 #11
16 Utah +15.2 37.2 20.7 #8
17 Ole Miss +14.8 36.8 22.4 #19
18 Minnesota +14.4 29.3 15.4 #33
19 Iowa State +14.3 33.8 20.2 #13
19 Penn State +14.3 28.0 14.6 #16
21 Kansas State +14.2 33.5 19.0 #28
22 Arkansas +13.8 34.3 21.3 #25
23 Kentucky +13.4 35.1 22.3 #26
24 Western Kentucky +13.3 40.5 28.8 #21
25 Coastal Carolina +13.2 39.5 26.1 #37