BallKnowMe — College Football by the Numbers

Power Ratings — 2019 257 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.7	+19.9	+11.8
2	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.3	+21.7	+9.6
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+29.5	+14.4	+15.1
4	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+27.7	+18.6	+9.0
5	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.8	+7.5	+16.3
6	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.8	+9.9	+13.0
7	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.4	+10.2	+12.2
8	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.2	+17.2	+5.0
9	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+22.1	+9.5	+12.6
10	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.1	+9.7	+12.4
11	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+22.1	+9.6	+12.6
12	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.7	+9.1	+12.6
13	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.6	+8.3	+13.2
14	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.7	+6.0	+14.7
15	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.8	+6.4	+13.4
16	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.6	+8.7	+10.9
17	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+19.2	+10.7	+8.6
18	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.2	+15.3	+4.0
19	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+18.5	+14.7	+3.8
20	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.4	+2.3	+16.1
21	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+18.3	+10.2	+8.2
22	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.0	+12.0	+6.0
23	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.1	+7.3	+9.8
24	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.0	+10.0	+7.0
25	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+16.8	+9.8	+7.0
26	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+16.2	+6.6	+9.6
27	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.7	+7.6	+8.1
28	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.6	+8.6	+7.0
29	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.1	+6.3	+8.8
30	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.0	+3.3	+11.7
31	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.6	+8.9	+5.7
32	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.2	+3.8	+10.4
33	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+14.1	+7.3	+6.8
34	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+13.8	+2.5	+11.3
35	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+13.7	+8.1	+5.6
36	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.6	+10.8	+2.7
37	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.1	+8.4	+4.7
38	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.0	+14.4	-1.4
39	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+12.8	+7.7	+5.1
40	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.8	+2.2	+10.5
41	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.8	+4.6	+8.2
42	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.5	+4.5	+8.0
43	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+12.3	+7.9	+4.4
44	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+11.5	+2.6	+9.0
45	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+11.1	+12.5	-1.3
46	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.7	+6.2	+4.5
47	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+10.7	+1.3	+9.4
48	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.4	+5.0	+5.5
49	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.1	+6.1	+4.0
50	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+10.1	+5.4	+4.7
51	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.1	-0.1	+10.2
52	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+9.9	+3.0	+6.9
53	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+9.8	+1.0	+8.8
54	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.6	-6.2	+15.8
55	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.6	+7.3	+2.3
56	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+9.5	+4.4	+5.1
56	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+9.5	+3.5	+6.0
57	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.4	+0.2	+9.3
58	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.4	+0.8	+8.6
59	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.4	-1.1	+10.5
60	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.3	+3.2	+6.1
61	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.2	+6.6	+2.6
62	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.1	-2.2	+11.3
63	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+8.7	+3.1	+5.7
64	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+8.7	+9.3	-0.6
65	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+8.4	+6.4	+2.0
66	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+8.4	+4.6	+3.8
67	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+8.2	+4.6	+3.6
68	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+8.1	-3.6	+11.7
69	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.0	+3.1	+4.9
70	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+7.9	+8.7	-0.7
71	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+7.9	+3.3	+4.6
72	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+7.9	+9.7	-1.8
73	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+7.8	+2.6	+5.3
74	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+7.6	+1.7	+5.9
75	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.3	+1.4	+5.9
76	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+7.2	+7.5	-0.2
77	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.1	+4.4	+2.7
78	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+7.0	+6.3	+0.7
79	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.8	-2.8	+9.7
80	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.6	+0.4	+6.1
81	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+6.4	+1.5	+4.9
82	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+6.4	+6.3	+0.2
83	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+6.4	+4.2	+2.2
84	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.3	+5.1	+1.2
85	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+6.3	+2.5	+3.8
86	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+6.3	+2.9	+3.4
87	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+6.3	-1.4	+7.7
88	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+6.2	+10.6	-4.4
89	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+6.1	-5.6	+11.8
90	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+6.0	+3.5	+2.5
91	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+5.9	+0.5	+5.5
92	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.9	+5.6	+0.3
93	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.8	+8.1	-2.3
94	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+5.6	+4.4	+1.2
95	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.6	+7.1	-1.6
96	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.5	+4.0	+1.5
97	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.3	+1.0	+4.3
98	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.0	+0.8	+4.2
99	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+5.0	+4.4	+0.6
100	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.8	+0.3	+4.6
101	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+4.8	+1.7	+3.1
102	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	+4.8	+3.3	+1.4
103	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+4.7	-0.3	+5.0
104	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.6	+3.6	+1.0
105	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+4.4	+0.4	+4.0
106	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	+4.4	+5.6	-1.3
107	Army	FBS	American Conference	+4.2	-1.3	+5.6
108	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.2	+3.9	+0.3
109	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.1	+5.7	-1.6
110	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.1	+5.1	-1.0
111	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.0	+3.0	+1.0
112	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.9	+5.7	-1.9
113	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+3.7	+1.2	+2.5
114	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.6	+0.1	+3.5
115	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.6	-0.9	+4.4
116	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.5	+7.4	-3.9
117	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.0	+2.5	+0.5
118	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+3.0	+2.1	+0.8
119	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.9	+3.7	-0.8
120	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.5	+2.8	-0.2
121	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+2.5	-2.4	+4.9
122	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+2.5	-2.2	+4.7
123	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.5	-6.5	+8.9
124	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.2	+6.8	-4.7
125	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+2.2	+2.6	-0.5
126	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.1	+2.8	-0.7
127	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.0	-0.8	+2.9
128	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.9	-6.4	+8.3
129	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+1.9	+0.7	+1.2
130	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.8	+4.0	-2.3
131	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+1.7	-2.7	+4.4
132	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+1.5	+2.4	-0.8
132	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	+1.5	-0.1	+1.7
133	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+1.4	-1.3	+2.7
134	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+1.3	+1.7	-0.4
135	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	+1.2	-1.8	+3.1
136	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.2	+2.3	-1.1
137	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.2	+2.7	-1.5
138	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.0	+1.6	-0.5
139	Tarleton State	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+1.0	+1.3	-0.3
140	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.9	-0.0	+0.9
141	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.7	+0.2	+0.5
142	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+0.7	+10.1	-9.4
143	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+0.6	+3.5	-2.8
144	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.4	+5.7	-5.3
145	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+0.4	+1.7	-1.3
146	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+0.1	-0.7	+0.8
147	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.0	-2.4	+2.4
148	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-0.1	-2.8	+2.8
149	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-0.2	+0.9	-1.0
150	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.4	+2.0	-2.4
151	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-0.6	-3.0	+2.5
152	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-0.6	-0.9	+0.3
153	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-0.7	+1.7	-2.4
154	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	-0.8	-3.5	+2.7
155	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-0.8	+3.0	-3.8
156	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.9	-1.5	+0.6
157	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.9	+1.3	-2.2
158	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.0	+1.1	-2.2
159	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-1.1	+0.2	-1.3
160	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-1.1	-6.3	+5.2
161	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.3	-2.9	+1.6
162	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	-1.3	-3.9	+2.6
163	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-1.4	-2.1	+0.7
164	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.5	-2.7	+1.3
165	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.6	-0.3	-1.2
166	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-1.7	-4.6	+2.8
167	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	-1.8	-0.5	-1.2
168	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.8	-2.9	+1.1
169	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.1	-1.1	-0.9
170	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-2.2	-6.3	+4.1
171	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	-2.3	-4.3	+2.1
172	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	-2.5	-2.2	-0.3
173	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.7	+1.4	-4.0
174	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-2.7	-3.6	+0.9
175	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-2.8	-3.6	+0.8
176	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-3.1	-2.7	-0.4
177	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	-3.3	+4.1	-7.3
178	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	-3.4	-2.4	-1.0
179	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	-3.7	-2.5	-1.2
180	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-3.9	-2.9	-1.0
181	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	-4.1	-0.2	-3.9
182	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-4.1	-3.3	-0.8
183	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-4.1	-1.4	-2.7
184	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-4.5	-4.1	-0.4
185	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-4.6	-0.9	-3.7
186	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-4.7	-7.5	+2.8
187	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-4.9	-8.0	+3.1
188	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-5.1	+7.1	-12.2
189	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-5.2	-3.9	-1.3
190	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-5.4	-1.3	-4.1
191	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-5.8	-6.0	+0.2
192	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.1	-0.4	-5.7
193	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-6.1	-1.9	-4.2
194	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-6.1	-6.4	+0.3
195	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-6.2	-1.7	-4.5
196	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.2	-7.7	+1.5
197	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.3	-7.1	+0.8
198	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-6.5	-8.8	+2.3
199	Lindenwood	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-6.6	-0.2	-6.4
200	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-6.7	-2.2	-4.5
201	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-6.9	-5.6	-1.3
202	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.9	-2.8	-4.1
203	Merrimack	FCS	FCS Independents	-7.2	-4.4	-2.8
204	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-7.2	-6.4	-0.7
205	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-7.5	+0.4	-7.9
206	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-7.9	+2.9	-10.8
207	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-8.0	-6.0	-2.0
208	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-8.1	-1.5	-6.6
209	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-8.1	-7.9	-0.2
210	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-8.1	-4.4	-3.7
211	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-8.3	-7.3	-1.0
212	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-8.5	-0.3	-8.2
213	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.6	-1.7	-6.9
214	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-8.7	+1.9	-10.6
215	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	-8.7	-9.3	+0.6
216	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.8	-1.4	-7.4
217	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.9	+2.6	-11.4
218	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-9.0	-1.9	-7.2
219	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.2	-8.6	-0.6
220	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-9.3	-2.0	-7.3
221	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-9.4	-4.2	-5.2
222	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	-9.8	-11.7	+1.9
223	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-10.0	-4.1	-5.9
224	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-10.1	-5.1	-5.0
225	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	-10.2	-3.3	-6.9
226	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-10.5	-3.3	-7.2
227	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-10.9	-6.6	-4.4
228	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-11.0	-9.4	-1.6
229	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-11.0	-7.1	-3.9
230	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-11.2	-2.3	-8.9
231	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-11.4	-4.5	-6.9
232	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-11.4	-7.4	-4.0
233	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-11.7	-5.4	-6.3
234	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-11.8	-11.1	-0.7
235	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-12.4	-3.8	-8.6
236	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-12.6	-6.0	-6.6
237	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-12.7	-9.7	-3.0
238	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-12.7	-9.1	-3.6
239	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-13.1	-8.5	-4.6
240	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-13.4	-10.5	-2.9
241	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-13.5	-12.2	-1.3
242	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-13.9	-7.4	-6.5
243	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-14.1	-4.4	-9.7
244	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-14.3	-6.8	-7.5
245	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-14.4	-5.5	-8.9
246	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.6	-11.6	-4.0
247	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-15.8	-8.8	-6.9
248	Long Island University	FCS	Northeast Conference	-16.7	-14.4	-2.2
249	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-17.7	-11.3	-6.4
250	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-18.3	-14.8	-3.5
251	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-19.5	-6.6	-13.0
252	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.5	-6.2	-14.3
253	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.7	-15.6	-5.1
254	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-21.4	-15.2	-6.2
255	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-21.8	-1.9	-19.9

SRS — season 2019 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+45.8	+38.2	-30.8
2	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+44.6	+37.3	-24.3
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+40.0	+28.7	-30.8
4	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+38.9	+33.2	-23.3
5	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+36.5	+23.8	-27.6
6	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+35.8	+24.7	-29.4
7	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+34.8	+29.5	-18.9
8	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+34.8	+23.9	-27.6
9	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+34.6	+19.9	-30.7
10	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+34.4	+22.2	-26.8
11	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+34.1	+21.6	-25.7
12	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+34.1	+21.8	-28.0
13	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+33.5	+17.6	-28.2
14	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+32.8	+22.5	-25.4
15	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+32.2	+17.4	-25.1
16	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.4	+13.9	-30.3
17	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.0	+24.5	-18.3
18	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+29.7	+19.9	-23.9
19	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+29.5	+25.1	-14.0
20	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.4	+22.7	-19.2
21	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+28.6	+20.5	-18.0
22	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+28.5	+25.8	-13.6
23	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+27.8	+21.0	-18.8
24	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.8	+19.8	-18.0
25	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.7	+23.0	-13.6
26	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+26.7	+18.6	-16.4
27	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.5	+15.4	-22.8
28	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+26.4	+14.8	-19.4
29	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.8	+17.6	-21.7
30	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+25.6	+12.6	-22.3
31	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+25.5	+15.9	-17.4
32	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+24.6	+24.5	-7.5
33	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.5	+16.0	-19.0
34	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+23.7	+11.5	-15.8
35	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+23.3	+16.8	-15.0
36	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.9	+18.2	-13.5
37	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+22.8	+15.5	-17.3
38	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.8	+11.1	-21.5
39	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.7	+12.6	-21.6
40	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.6	+18.0	-16.0
41	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+22.4	+24.3	-9.3
42	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.4	+17.8	-16.3
43	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.1	+11.9	-22.1
44	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+21.8	+14.8	-12.6
45	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.1	+12.4	-20.6
46	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.8	+7.6	-22.5
47	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+20.6	+18.4	-10.9
48	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.5	+16.9	-13.4
49	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.3	+16.2	-16.1
50	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+20.2	+15.5	-14.6
51	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.2	+13.2	-18.6
52	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.9	+11.1	-20.6
53	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.5	+14.5	-13.5
54	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+19.4	+0.2	-25.3
55	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.2	+16.8	-15.4
56	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+19.1	+6.6	-18.7
57	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.1	+16.1	-11.7
58	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.3	+19.5	-8.2
59	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.9	+8.4	-19.1
60	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.4	+12.6	-14.1
61	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.2	+13.0	-18.5
62	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+16.8	+8.9	-13.1
63	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.8	+10.8	-13.3
64	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+16.5	+12.0	-8.8
65	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.5	+10.2	-13.1
66	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+16.5	+11.5	-13.5
67	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.3	+15.4	-8.8
68	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.1	+8.9	-17.0
69	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.0	+14.0	-12.9
70	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.8	+12.3	-11.2
71	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.8	+15.0	-12.6
72	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.7	+17.0	-6.8
73	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.5	+14.4	-8.1
74	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+15.4	+7.7	-12.0
75	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+15.4	+6.9	-13.0
76	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+15.3	+5.4	-16.1
77	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+15.1	+6.9	-13.9
78	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.1	+11.3	-13.3
79	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.0	+11.0	-10.8
80	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.9	+4.1	-19.3
81	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.7	+9.6	-16.0
82	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.4	+11.3	-9.5
83	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+14.4	+5.5	-10.3
84	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.3	+12.6	-8.6
85	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+13.7	+9.2	-10.8
86	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+13.6	+3.7	-12.2
87	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.5	+3.2	-21.0
88	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+13.2	+5.3	-10.2
89	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+13.2	+13.3	-3.6
89	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+13.2	+10.6	-6.1
90	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+13.0	+13.2	-7.1
91	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+13.0	+13.3	-5.9
92	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+12.9	+11.3	-9.2
93	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.8	+6.5	-12.6
94	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.7	+6.9	-11.7
95	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.3	+12.5	-9.0
96	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.9	+5.5	-10.1
97	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.8	+10.5	-8.0
98	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+11.5	+3.7	-12.9
99	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.5	+11.3	-8.3
100	Army	FBS	American Conference	+11.5	+5.4	-13.6
101	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.4	+10.5	-5.6
102	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.1	+13.0	-0.1
103	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.9	+11.5	-4.4
104	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.7	-3.2	-13.7
105	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+9.4	+5.5	-4.3
106	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.4	+13.1	+0.6
107	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+9.3	-0.9	-10.1
108	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+9.0	+2.8	-10.1
109	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+8.9	+8.6	-6.2
110	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+8.8	+7.9	-6.3
111	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.8	+8.9	-4.8
112	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+8.7	+9.3	-7.9
113	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.5	+12.1	-0.2
114	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+8.4	+9.4	-5.2
115	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.2	+4.9	-7.0
116	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+8.1	+9.6	+1.6
117	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+7.9	+3.6	-6.3
118	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+7.8	+0.8	-6.3
119	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.3	+3.0	-6.1
120	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+7.0	+3.3	-10.6
121	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+6.9	+12.6	+2.8
122	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	+6.7	+7.5	-0.2
123	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+6.5	-7.1	-12.4
124	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+6.5	+8.9	+2.2
125	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+6.5	+6.0	-2.1
126	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	+6.2	+8.1	-3.2
127	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.0	+3.8	-7.6
128	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	+6.0	+5.0	-7.3
129	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+5.9	+1.9	-5.7
130	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+5.9	+9.7	-2.4
131	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.8	+3.5	-7.9
132	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.4	+5.9	-3.9
133	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+5.3	+5.0	-9.9
134	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	+5.0	+0.2	-6.2
135	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+4.9	+3.5	-2.4
136	Tarleton State	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+4.8	+2.6	+0.8
137	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+4.6	+3.7	-1.5
138	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+4.3	-0.8	-11.8
139	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+4.0	+5.6	+1.0
140	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+3.9	-3.4	-7.9
141	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+3.8	-0.9	-4.4
142	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.7	-0.4	-3.7
142	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+3.7	-0.9	-4.3
143	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.6	+3.8	+0.2
144	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+3.6	+6.9	-2.9
145	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.4	+5.5	-3.7
146	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+3.4	+1.2	-2.3
147	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	+3.2	+0.7	-2.9
148	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.6	+2.7	+1.3
149	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.6	-7.5	-9.5
150	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.5	+4.6	+2.7
151	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.4	+0.0	-8.6
152	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.0	+3.2	+1.2
153	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.0	+0.6	-0.9
154	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+1.9	+2.0	+2.3
155	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+1.8	-0.9	-1.1
156	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+1.4	-1.8	-7.6
157	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.3	+3.8	-1.5
158	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+1.2	-3.5	-8.9
159	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+0.8	-3.0	-3.3
160	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+0.7	+0.2	-1.3
161	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+0.5	-2.4	-2.0
162	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+0.5	-1.2	-2.9
163	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	+0.4	-0.1	+1.8
164	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-0.1	-3.4	-1.7
165	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-0.3	+0.4	+1.2
166	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-0.6	-5.4	+0.3
167	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.8	+0.8	-0.0
168	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-1.5	+1.4	-1.2
169	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.0	-3.4	-0.4
170	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.1	-5.1	-2.3
171	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	-2.1	-6.3	-3.3
172	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.2	-0.4	+1.0
173	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-2.2	-8.0	-5.0
174	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-2.5	+2.0	+2.8
175	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	-2.6	-1.6	+1.8
176	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	-2.6	-6.6	-1.6
177	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-2.7	-4.8	-6.4
178	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.7	-4.3	+6.3
179	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	-3.5	-3.9	+0.3
180	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.7	+10.4	+12.6
181	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-3.8	-2.8	+0.8
182	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-4.0	-4.0	+3.0
183	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	-4.0	-2.6	+2.5
184	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-4.1	-3.9	-0.1
185	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-4.2	-0.3	+1.9
186	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	-4.7	+1.7	+9.9
187	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-5.4	-1.3	+6.6
188	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-5.5	-1.6	+3.8
189	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-5.7	-4.3	+2.5
190	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-5.9	-11.1	-2.9
191	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-6.3	-0.6	+7.1
192	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.5	-1.3	+5.8
193	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-7.9	-5.2	+8.7
194	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-8.1	-1.7	+6.4
195	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	-8.1	-5.4	+5.0
196	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-8.3	-1.1	+11.0
197	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-8.3	-7.5	+4.4
198	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-8.5	-11.7	-2.4
199	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-8.5	+4.0	+19.3
200	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.6	-3.6	+5.6
201	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.7	-2.4	+7.5
202	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-8.7	-11.1	+6.6
203	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-8.8	-7.3	+2.5
204	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-8.9	-9.1	+1.9
205	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.9	+2.1	+12.4
206	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-9.5	-8.5	+4.5
207	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-9.9	-4.0	+1.6
208	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-10.0	-11.6	+1.4
209	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-10.3	-6.7	+5.8
210	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-10.7	-4.0	+9.2
211	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-10.7	-0.7	+12.8
212	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-10.8	-10.7	+3.5
213	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-10.9	-8.0	+4.8
214	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-11.0	-7.4	+8.5
215	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-11.1	-13.0	+5.1
216	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-11.4	-14.0	+0.5
217	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-11.4	+1.1	+16.2
218	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-11.6	-10.6	+3.0
219	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-12.0	-10.2	+6.2
220	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-12.4	-7.4	+9.0
221	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	-12.7	-5.0	+10.2
222	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	-12.9	-13.1	+2.6
223	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-13.0	-12.5	+3.1
224	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-13.2	-6.7	+8.2
225	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-13.4	-13.8	+0.3
226	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-13.7	-13.0	+5.4
226	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	-13.7	-17.1	-0.3
227	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-13.8	-11.2	+5.3
228	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-13.9	-5.0	+10.2
229	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-14.0	-12.3	+4.1
230	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-14.6	-8.7	+9.8
231	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-14.8	-5.2	+13.4
232	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-15.3	-12.3	+8.9
233	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-16.5	-16.1	+10.3
234	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-16.8	-9.5	+12.5
235	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-17.0	-11.0	+11.0
236	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-17.6	-6.2	+14.5
237	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-17.9	-17.1	+3.7
238	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-18.0	-1.1	+20.4
239	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-18.2	-20.6	+7.5
240	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-18.4	-9.7	+12.8
241	Lindenwood	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-18.7	-0.7	+17.6
242	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-19.4	-17.7	+6.4
243	Merrimack	FCS	FCS Independents	-19.4	-14.9	+11.0
244	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-21.0	-20.7	+10.1
245	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-23.2	-14.8	+16.3
246	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-24.7	-14.5	+19.2
247	Long Island University	FCS	Northeast Conference	-24.9	-22.3	+7.5
248	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-25.5	-18.3	+18.8
249	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-25.5	-16.9	+22.5
250	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-25.7	-22.7	+9.1
251	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-25.8	-19.9	+12.8
252	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-25.9	-10.6	+23.1
253	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-26.7	-21.6	+13.5
254	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-28.3	-23.0	+12.8

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1883
2	Ohio State	FBS	1866
3	North Dakota State	FCS	1858
4	Oregon	FBS	1848
5	Georgia	FBS	1843
6	Notre Dame	FBS	1840
7	Montana State	FCS	1823
8	Texas Tech	FBS	1801
9	Ole Miss	FBS	1798
10	Miami	FBS	1780
11	James Madison	FBS	1779
12	Texas	FBS	1760
13	Utah	FBS	1752
14	Alabama	FBS	1738
15	BYU	FBS	1733
16	SMU	FBS	1729
17	Texas A&M	FBS	1728
18	Tarleton State	FCS	1726
19	Villanova	FCS	1724
20	Montana	FCS	1719
21	Vanderbilt	FBS	1717
22	Iowa	FBS	1713
23	Oklahoma	FBS	1708
24	Lehigh	FCS	1707
25	South Dakota	FCS	1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

Team	SP+ rank	Our rank (same FBS field)	Gap
Florida Atlantic	#63	#32	-31 (we're higher)
West Virginia	#97	#66	-31 (we're higher)
Colorado State	#78	#106	+28 (we're lower)
Boston College	#92	#64	-28 (we're higher)
Illinois	#60	#86	+26 (we're lower)
UAB	#67	#92	+25 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern	#86	#61	-25 (we're higher)
Tennessee	#29	#51	+22 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#	Team	SP+	Off	Def (lower = better)	Our rank (same FBS field)
1	Ohio State	+35.4	44.4	10.6	#1
2	LSU	+33.1	48.9	17.7	#2
3	Alabama	+32.4	47.7	14.6	#4
4	Clemson	+28.1	43.5	14.6	#3
5	Georgia	+26.8	34.2	10.0	#5
6	Penn State	+24.3	37.5	15.7	#10
7	Florida	+24.0	37.8	15.5	#6
8	Oklahoma	+22.9	46.1	24.9	#8
9	Auburn	+21.0	33.9	14.9	#12
10	Michigan	+20.7	35.7	16.0	#15
11	Wisconsin	+20.3	37.7	16.4	#11
12	Utah	+19.5	36.5	17.0	#13
13	Minnesota	+19.4	39.8	19.6	#22
14	UCF	+19.1	37.3	18.1	#16
15	Oregon	+19.0	35.6	15.5	#7
16	Washington	+18.3	35.3	19.5	#14
17	Memphis	+18.0	39.5	23.4	#17
18	Baylor	+17.8	34.7	17.3	#21
19	Notre Dame	+17.7	35.8	18.5	#9
20	Iowa	+16.7	30.0	15.2	#18
21	Texas A&M	+15.0	34.0	19.4	#27
22	USC	+13.1	39.0	26.7	#33
23	Indiana	+12.8	35.6	23.8	#44
24	Iowa State	+12.6	31.8	19.5	#26
25	Air Force	+12.1	36.2	25.8	#24