BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2018 254 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+40.6	+19.8	+20.7
2	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+38.7	+21.0	+17.7
3	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.5	+16.1	+16.4
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.2	+27.3	+2.9
5	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+29.6	+12.4	+17.2
6	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+28.8	+21.1	+7.7
7	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.6	+12.3	+15.3
8	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+27.0	+12.2	+14.8
9	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.2	+7.2	+19.1
10	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.2	+16.9	+9.3
11	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.0	+10.3	+15.7
12	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.8	+11.3	+14.6
13	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.8	+13.5	+12.3
14	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+25.4	+15.6	+9.8
15	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.7	+6.1	+18.6
16	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.7	+17.2	+7.5
17	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.9	+15.3	+8.6
18	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.9	+9.0	+14.9
19	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.7	+12.1	+11.6
20	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.3	+14.7	+8.6
21	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.8	+9.6	+13.2
22	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.8	+15.0	+7.8
23	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+22.7	+6.7	+16.0
24	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.7	+8.2	+14.5
25	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.3	+9.2	+13.1
26	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.7	+9.4	+12.3
27	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.6	+11.0	+9.7
28	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.5	+4.5	+16.0
29	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.2	+5.9	+14.3
30	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+20.1	+11.2	+9.0
31	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.8	+16.5	+3.4
32	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.2	+5.8	+13.4
33	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+19.0	+15.1	+3.9
34	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.8	+11.1	+7.7
35	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+18.7	+7.1	+11.6
36	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.5	+5.9	+12.6
37	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.3	+4.0	+14.3
38	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.1	+7.3	+10.8
39	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.0	-1.5	+19.5
40	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.0	+8.8	+9.2
41	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.0	+7.2	+10.8
42	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.0	+11.5	+6.5
43	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.8	+9.1	+8.7
44	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+17.5	+12.9	+4.6
45	Army	FBS	American Conference	+16.9	+4.4	+12.5
46	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.8	+10.1	+6.6
47	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.7	+2.0	+14.7
48	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.6	+12.6	+4.0
49	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+16.6	+12.4	+4.2
50	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.3	+11.0	+5.3
51	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.1	+6.1	+10.0
52	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.8	+6.0	+9.8
53	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.8	+4.4	+11.4
54	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+15.7	+14.9	+0.7
55	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.5	+11.8	+3.8
56	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.2	+11.7	+3.5
57	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+15.2	+11.0	+4.2
58	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.0	+6.5	+8.5
59	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.5	+8.6	+6.0
60	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.2	+10.3	+3.9
61	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.1	+2.4	+11.7
62	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.9	+0.4	+13.5
63	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+13.7	+7.8	+5.9
64	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.6	+1.8	+11.8
65	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+13.2	+13.2	-0.0
66	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.0	+8.6	+4.4
67	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.7	+7.2	+5.5
68	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+12.4	+8.6	+3.8
69	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.3	+9.9	+2.5
70	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.3	+3.9	+8.4
71	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+12.3	+2.6	+9.7
72	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.9	+15.4	-3.5
73	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+11.8	+9.5	+2.3
74	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.7	+3.5	+8.2
75	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.6	+4.5	+7.2
76	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+11.4	+2.9	+8.5
77	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+10.9	+8.2	+2.7
78	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+10.7	+5.9	+4.8
79	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.7	+4.6	+6.1
80	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+10.6	+1.9	+8.8
81	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.5	+6.2	+4.3
82	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+10.5	+12.3	-1.8
83	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.0	+2.9	+7.1
84	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.7	+1.9	+7.8
85	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+9.7	+1.6	+8.0
86	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.7	+6.8	+2.9
87	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.4	-0.3	+9.7
88	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.3	+2.5	+6.8
89	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+9.1	+1.6	+7.4
90	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+9.0	+1.2	+7.9
91	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+8.9	+5.6	+3.3
92	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+8.4	+6.5	+1.9
93	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+8.4	+4.4	+4.0
94	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+8.4	-4.3	+12.7
95	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.3	+6.4	+2.0
96	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	+8.3	-2.4	+10.7
97	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.3	+2.6	+5.7
98	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+8.2	-0.9	+9.1
99	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.7	-1.8	+9.5
100	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.7	-3.5	+11.2
101	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.2	+3.2	+4.0
102	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+6.8	+0.1	+6.8
103	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	+6.4	+3.9	+2.5
104	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.1	+1.9	+4.2
105	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+5.7	+3.6	+2.0
106	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+5.6	+6.0	-0.4
107	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+5.5	-0.0	+5.5
108	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.1	+7.9	-2.8
109	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+5.1	+2.0	+3.1
110	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+5.1	-0.4	+5.5
111	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+5.0	-2.4	+7.4
112	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+4.9	+0.5	+4.5
113	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+4.8	+2.3	+2.5
114	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.4	+1.9	+2.5
115	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.2	+6.0	-1.8
116	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+4.1	+6.3	-2.2
117	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.0	+7.4	-3.4
118	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.9	-0.4	+4.3
119	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	+3.9	-0.2	+4.1
120	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.7	+5.8	-2.0
121	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+3.7	-0.4	+4.1
122	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+3.6	+4.4	-0.8
123	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.5	+6.1	-2.5
124	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+3.4	+5.0	-1.6
125	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.4	-0.6	+4.1
126	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.3	-2.2	+5.5
127	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.6	-3.0	+5.7
128	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	+2.5	-3.0	+5.4
129	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+2.4	-0.9	+3.3
130	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.2	+4.2	-2.0
131	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+1.8	+2.4	-0.6
132	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.7	+2.0	-0.3
133	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+1.7	+1.5	+0.2
134	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+1.6	+2.3	-0.8
135	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+1.5	+4.2	-2.7
136	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.5	+6.3	-4.8
137	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.3	-3.6	+4.9
138	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.1	-2.8	+3.9
139	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.0	-3.0	+4.0
140	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+0.4	-5.2	+5.6
141	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.3	+6.0	-5.7
142	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+0.3	+5.6	-5.3
143	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+0.2	+3.9	-3.7
144	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+0.2	-4.9	+5.0
145	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	-0.5	+6.1	-6.7
146	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.6	+4.2	-4.8
147	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-0.7	+4.7	-5.4
148	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-0.8	+0.6	-1.4
149	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	-1.0	-8.2	+7.3
150	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.0	+1.2	-2.2
151	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.0	+1.1	-2.1
152	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	-1.0	+0.3	-1.3
153	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-1.5	+0.3	-1.9
154	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.6	-4.7	+3.1
155	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.7	+2.1	-3.8
156	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.8	+7.7	-9.5
157	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.1	+1.1	-3.2
158	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-2.1	-1.9	-0.2
159	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-2.2	-5.0	+2.9
160	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	-2.4	-4.2	+1.9
161	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.4	-6.7	+4.4
162	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.4	-0.6	-1.8
163	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-2.6	-3.4	+0.9
164	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-2.6	-0.7	-1.9
165	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-2.7	-1.0	-1.7
166	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.8	-2.3	-0.5
167	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.0	-0.9	-2.1
168	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-3.1	-4.4	+1.4
169	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.1	+3.9	-7.0
170	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-3.1	-4.7	+1.5
171	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-3.3	-4.4	+1.1
172	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-3.4	-3.2	-0.2
173	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-3.6	-2.4	-1.2
174	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-3.8	-7.1	+3.4
175	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	-4.0	-0.1	-3.9
176	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	-4.1	-0.4	-3.7
177	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-4.2	-1.7	-2.5
178	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-4.5	-1.4	-3.1
179	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	-4.5	-8.8	+4.3
180	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-4.7	+1.2	-5.9
181	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-4.8	-2.6	-2.2
182	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-4.8	-3.6	-1.2
183	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.4	-3.7	-1.6
184	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-5.4	-2.5	-2.9
185	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-5.7	+2.9	-8.6
186	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-5.8	-4.9	-1.0
187	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-5.9	-0.3	-5.5
188	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.9	+0.2	-6.1
189	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-6.1	-2.0	-4.1
190	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.2	-1.8	-4.4
191	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	-6.5	-3.5	-3.0
192	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-7.1	-3.0	-4.1
193	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	-7.3	-0.7	-6.5
194	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-7.3	-8.5	+1.2
195	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-7.7	-7.1	-0.6
196	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-7.9	+0.7	-8.6
197	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.0	-10.0	+2.1
198	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-8.0	-11.3	+3.4
199	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-8.1	-7.7	-0.3
200	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.1	-3.3	-4.8
201	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-8.2	-10.3	+2.0
202	New Haven	FCS	Northeast Conference	-8.3	-4.4	-3.9
203	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-8.4	+3.4	-11.7
204	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-8.9	-11.8	+2.9
205	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-9.1	-4.6	-4.5
206	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-9.1	-6.0	-3.1
207	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-9.3	-0.2	-9.1
208	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-9.4	-6.3	-3.1
209	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-9.4	-1.3	-8.1
210	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-9.5	-6.7	-2.8
211	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-9.7	-6.4	-3.4
212	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-9.7	-7.8	-2.0
213	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-9.8	-2.2	-7.6
214	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-9.9	-2.8	-7.1
215	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-10.4	-4.1	-6.2
216	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-10.4	-3.7	-6.7
217	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-10.5	-3.3	-7.2
218	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-10.8	-4.0	-6.8
219	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-11.1	-11.6	+0.4
220	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-11.2	+0.1	-11.3
221	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-11.4	-7.3	-4.1
222	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-11.4	-3.8	-7.6
223	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-11.5	-0.2	-11.3
224	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-12.2	-2.6	-9.5
225	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-12.2	-5.2	-7.0
226	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-12.7	-9.8	-2.9
227	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-13.2	-7.2	-6.0
228	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-13.3	-6.3	-7.0
229	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-13.7	-14.2	+0.4
230	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-13.8	+3.2	-17.1
231	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-14.4	-10.1	-4.3
232	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-14.6	-10.0	-4.7
233	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-15.2	-2.3	-12.8
234	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-15.2	+0.8	-16.0
235	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	-15.8	-4.6	-11.2
236	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-16.0	-9.5	-6.5
237	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-16.2	-6.1	-10.1
238	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-16.8	-16.4	-0.4
239	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-16.9	-12.2	-4.7
240	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-17.3	-12.5	-4.8
241	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-17.3	-11.0	-6.3
242	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	-17.4	-12.5	-5.0
243	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-17.5	-14.4	-3.1
244	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-18.9	-15.1	-3.9
245	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-20.3	-15.4	-4.9
246	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.4	-12.5	-7.9
247	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-21.4	-7.1	-14.4
248	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-21.9	-13.1	-8.8
249	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-22.4	-4.8	-17.6
250	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-22.4	-5.5	-16.9
251	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-22.8	-14.4	-8.4
252	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-23.0	-6.2	-16.8
253	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-24.0	-10.3	-13.7
254	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-28.8	-11.0	-17.8

SRS — season 2018 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+45.6	+30.5	-31.4
2	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+44.3	+32.9	-28.7
3	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+38.3	+25.8	-26.4
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+36.0	+37.4	-12.4
5	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+33.9	+18.6	-25.6
6	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.7	+31.0	-16.6
7	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.6	+23.0	-24.8
8	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+32.1	+24.3	-17.6
9	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+32.0	+27.6	-17.6
10	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.0	+20.5	-22.6
11	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.6	+24.7	-20.0
12	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.1	+19.5	-25.0
13	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.9	+16.7	-30.8
14	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.9	+23.0	-21.8
15	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+30.8	+13.5	-27.1
16	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.4	+25.2	-19.7
17	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+30.3	+22.9	-15.9
18	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+30.0	+16.1	-25.8
19	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.9	+22.4	-22.3
20	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+29.6	+16.5	-22.2
21	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+29.6	+18.8	-20.4
22	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.7	+18.7	-21.6
23	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+28.3	+21.8	-15.1
24	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.0	+14.1	-27.1
25	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+27.5	+26.9	-14.1
26	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+27.0	+15.9	-19.6
27	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.9	+17.8	-24.4
28	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+26.3	+20.2	-17.9
29	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.5	+16.7	-19.2
30	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+25.0	+15.0	-19.8
31	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.9	+13.7	-21.9
32	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.7	+24.6	-12.4
33	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.2	+19.4	-16.6
34	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+24.0	+18.0	-16.7
35	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.0	+19.7	-14.7
36	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.6	+9.8	-22.0
37	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.4	+19.2	-14.5
38	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.3	+13.0	-20.5
39	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.2	+13.2	-20.9
40	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.0	+22.1	-15.0
41	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.9	+5.8	-28.4
42	Army	FBS	American Conference	+22.9	+11.4	-21.9
43	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.7	+15.8	-17.5
44	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.4	+17.3	-14.5
45	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.3	+12.5	-21.3
46	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.3	+12.7	-17.0
47	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.0	+14.8	-14.4
48	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.0	+14.7	-17.8
49	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.0	+14.4	-18.2
50	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+21.3	+19.2	-11.1
51	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+20.8	+17.1	-9.8
52	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.6	+16.2	-15.1
53	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.6	+9.9	-18.9
54	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.5	+9.2	-22.7
55	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.0	+12.1	-16.5
56	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.9	+17.2	-11.5
57	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+19.7	+20.4	-7.3
58	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.6	+18.1	-11.6
59	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+19.4	+18.2	-10.2
60	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.3	+17.5	-9.3
61	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.3	+21.1	-8.6
62	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.2	+15.9	-12.2
63	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+18.9	+16.8	-11.5
64	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.5	+6.0	-21.8
65	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+18.5	+15.1	-12.3
66	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.3	+9.2	-19.7
67	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.1	+15.6	-13.5
68	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.7	+9.1	-14.1
69	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+17.6	+6.6	-13.7
70	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.5	+8.5	-15.0
71	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+17.1	+13.1	-12.3
72	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+16.9	+15.3	-8.7
73	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.9	+11.9	-13.7
74	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.7	+14.1	-9.6
75	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.7	+9.3	-11.9
76	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.6	+11.8	-16.9
77	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.4	+23.1	+1.2
78	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+16.3	+9.7	-16.0
79	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+15.9	+11.7	-11.4
80	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+15.7	+12.7	-6.2
81	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.5	+20.1	-5.4
82	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+15.1	+7.5	-13.4
83	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+15.1	+11.3	-10.8
84	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.0	+10.3	-12.3
85	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+14.9	+7.6	-14.2
86	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.7	+14.2	-10.6
87	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.5	+11.1	-12.5
88	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.5	+15.6	-8.1
89	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+14.5	+6.8	-13.3
90	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.3	+2.4	-20.2
91	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.2	+8.8	-13.1
92	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.3	+10.7	-13.6
93	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+12.9	+3.9	-16.9
94	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	+12.9	+10.7	-9.6
95	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.7	+6.9	-12.5
96	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+12.6	+11.2	-7.0
97	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.4	+7.7	-12.9
98	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+12.3	+2.0	-18.1
99	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+11.7	+13.4	-2.3
100	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	+11.1	+1.0	-14.4
101	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.8	+11.2	-6.1
102	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+10.6	+2.2	-13.2
103	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+10.5	+4.3	-11.6
104	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+10.3	+8.3	-8.7
105	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.1	+8.7	-10.4
106	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+10.0	+0.2	-10.6
107	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.9	+6.1	-11.2
108	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.8	+12.2	-1.6
109	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	+9.5	+3.0	-7.6
110	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+9.2	+3.0	-7.1
111	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.7	+12.7	-2.5
112	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.5	+10.4	-4.9
113	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+8.4	+7.0	-7.3
114	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+8.2	+6.5	-7.4
115	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+8.1	+13.6	-0.7
116	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.4	+5.3	-5.2
117	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.1	-0.4	-7.1
118	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+7.0	+10.1	+1.4
119	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+6.5	+2.7	-9.6
120	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+6.3	-1.7	-9.3
121	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+6.2	+10.5	+0.6
122	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+6.2	+0.9	-5.1
123	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+6.2	+1.2	-6.6
124	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+6.1	+7.6	-0.7
125	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+5.9	+0.5	-8.3
126	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+5.7	+0.7	-12.0
127	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.7	+9.7	-0.6
128	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.4	+8.1	-3.6
129	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.3	+5.0	-2.6
130	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.3	+8.1	-0.4
131	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	+5.2	+1.4	-9.3
132	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+5.0	+7.9	-1.4
133	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.9	+6.2	+0.5
134	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.8	+5.7	-5.0
135	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+4.8	+12.0	+2.6
136	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.8	+9.2	+4.3
137	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+4.6	-3.5	-5.5
138	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	+4.4	-0.9	-7.9
139	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.2	+0.1	-2.5
140	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.9	+5.6	-3.6
141	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+3.9	+7.2	+2.7
142	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.6	-0.5	-5.9
143	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.5	-4.1	-5.7
144	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.5	+1.3	-9.2
145	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.4	+5.1	-4.9
146	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.3	+6.3	-4.4
147	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+3.3	+2.0	-3.2
148	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+3.1	+4.1	+0.3
149	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.0	+5.6	+0.5
150	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.8	-0.7	-4.0
151	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+2.8	+1.8	+0.0
152	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.7	-0.7	-7.5
153	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+2.4	+0.2	-7.5
154	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.3	+13.1	+5.3
155	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.8	+5.5	+1.5
156	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	+1.8	+6.0	+5.9
157	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+1.6	+1.9	+3.9
158	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	+1.2	-1.4	+1.3
159	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+0.8	-9.9	-8.6
160	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.8	+7.3	+1.1
161	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.7	+4.7	-1.4
162	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+0.6	+7.2	+4.9
163	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.6	+2.4	-3.4
164	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.5	-1.1	-0.3
165	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.5	-1.4	-1.0
166	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.4	-2.2	-9.7
167	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.0	-4.6	-7.4
168	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-1.0	-1.2	-0.1
169	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-1.1	-4.2	-0.7
170	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.2	-0.4	+4.2
171	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-1.3	-3.3	-5.1
172	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.3	+4.3	+1.1
173	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-1.4	-0.5	+3.5
174	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-1.5	+3.3	+2.3
175	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-1.5	-4.0	-0.5
176	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	-1.5	-1.8	+1.1
177	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.9	-2.3	+4.8
178	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.3	-5.9	+2.2
179	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-2.6	+1.4	+7.5
180	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-2.8	-3.8	-4.3
181	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-2.8	-4.3	+1.2
182	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-3.1	-4.3	+4.9
183	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-3.3	-6.7	+1.8
184	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-3.3	+4.5	+5.1
185	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	-3.3	-9.8	-5.5
186	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.4	-1.9	+1.0
187	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-4.2	-9.1	-3.3
188	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	-4.2	-1.8	+1.8
189	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-4.3	+0.5	+4.0
190	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	-4.7	-9.7	-4.0
191	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-4.7	-2.6	+3.6
192	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-4.8	-2.2	+3.1
193	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-5.1	-2.6	+1.9
194	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-5.2	-0.6	+7.5
195	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-5.3	-11.1	+1.9
196	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-5.6	-8.0	+2.6
197	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-5.8	+2.6	+9.0
198	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-5.8	-0.1	+10.3
199	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-5.9	-2.9	-1.4
200	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-6.1	-2.0	+4.9
201	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-6.6	-4.7	+5.3
202	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.7	-12.5	-4.3
203	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-6.8	-9.1	+7.9
204	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-7.1	-8.4	+0.8
205	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-7.1	-7.1	+3.9
206	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	-7.8	-4.1	+7.9
207	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-7.8	+3.4	+10.9
208	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	-7.9	-0.8	+7.2
209	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-8.1	-3.8	-0.9
210	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-8.2	-2.7	+7.6
211	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-8.6	-3.3	+6.1
212	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-8.9	-4.0	+4.0
213	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-9.0	-11.8	+1.0
214	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-9.6	-0.5	+12.0
215	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-10.0	+1.6	+15.0
216	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-10.7	-9.7	+4.1
217	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-10.8	-2.9	+10.3
218	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-11.4	-5.5	+8.7
219	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-11.5	-13.3	+6.1
220	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-11.7	-14.4	+1.1
221	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-11.9	-14.9	+1.1
222	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-12.2	-16.7	+0.8
223	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-12.2	-12.6	+4.4
224	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-12.4	-6.3	+8.8
225	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-13.5	-13.8	+3.3
226	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-14.2	-4.3	+21.0
227	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-14.9	-11.2	+7.2
228	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.0	-20.5	+4.1
229	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.2	-14.5	+5.3
230	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.3	-8.7	+12.4
231	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-15.4	-12.2	+11.6
232	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	-16.3	-10.1	+12.7
233	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-16.4	-6.9	+17.0
234	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-16.7	-14.0	+7.0
235	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-16.9	-11.8	+13.7
236	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	-17.7	-15.7	+5.7
237	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-18.1	-16.0	+6.1
238	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-19.3	-3.6	+21.6
239	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-20.0	-1.9	+23.1
240	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-20.3	-16.2	+7.6
241	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-20.5	-18.0	+12.7
242	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-20.9	-14.3	+11.1
243	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-21.0	-19.2	+12.7
244	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-21.5	-10.9	+15.8
245	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-21.6	-10.2	+14.9
246	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-21.8	-17.6	+16.1
247	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-22.0	-3.4	+20.3
248	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-22.5	-12.4	+26.9
249	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-23.5	-13.1	+23.4
250	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-25.8	-12.1	+22.6
251	New Haven	FCS	Northeast Conference	-26.9	-19.2	+16.0
252	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-27.0	-22.2	+13.0
253	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-28.1	-11.2	+24.3
254	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-28.4	-17.9	+24.0

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
3	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
4	Montana State	FCS	1749
5	Georgia	FBS	1746
6	Ohio State	FBS	1745
7	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
8	Miami	FBS	1719
9	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
10	Alabama	FBS	1708
11	James Madison	FBS	1703
12	Texas	FBS	1701
13	Oregon	FBS	1698
14	Lehigh	FCS	1696
15	SMU	FBS	1695
16	Utah	FBS	1693
17	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
18	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
19	BYU	FBS	1681
20	Montana	FCS	1681
21	South Dakota	FCS	1677
22	USC	FBS	1676
23	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
24	Penn State	FBS	1671
25	Iowa	FBS	1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 130 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25