BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2018 254 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.3 +16.3 +17.0
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +17.8 +13.8
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +25.9 +12.9 +13.0
4 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +25.2 +11.6 +13.7
5 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.8 +23.1 -0.3
6 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.0 +8.4 +13.6
7 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +14.2 +7.1
8 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.7 +17.0 +3.7
9 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +8.9 +11.2
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +19.8 +8.6 +11.2
11 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +19.0 +12.3 +6.7
12 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.9 +6.9 +12.0
13 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +18.8 +3.6 +15.2
14 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.7 +5.0 +13.7
15 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +3.1 +15.6
16 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +18.4 +12.0 +6.3
17 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +18.2 +13.8 +4.4
18 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +18.2 +9.5 +8.7
19 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +18.2 +9.4 +8.8
20 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +17.7 +11.7 +6.1
21 Princeton FCS Ivy League +17.5 +11.6 +5.9
22 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +5.8 +11.3
23 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.1 +12.0 +5.1
24 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.5 +6.2 +10.3
25 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +16.4 +12.1 +4.4
26 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +5.2 +11.1
27 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +16.1 +13.7 +2.4
28 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +15.8 +6.6 +9.2
29 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +15.7 +11.7 +4.1
30 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.6 +8.8 +6.9
31 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +15.4 +2.0 +13.4
32 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.1 +5.8 +9.3
33 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +15.0 +4.2 +10.8
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.5 +7.9 +6.6
35 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +14.1 +5.8 +8.3
36 Army FBS American Conference +13.9 +3.0 +10.9
37 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.9 +3.0 +10.8
38 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.3 +12.7 +0.6
39 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +1.5 +11.6
40 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.9 +2.8 +10.1
41 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +12.8 +3.1 +9.7
42 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +12.7 +6.8 +5.9
43 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.3 +6.1 +6.2
44 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +12.2 +6.7 +5.5
45 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +12.2 +10.0 +2.2
46 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +12.1 +3.6 +8.5
47 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.0 +4.5 +7.4
48 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +11.8 +7.7 +4.1
49 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.7 +4.1 +7.7
50 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +11.7 +8.1 +3.6
51 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +11.6 +9.3 +2.3
52 Memphis FBS American Conference +11.3 +12.3 -1.0
53 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +11.2 +2.3 +8.8
54 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +10.8 -4.7 +15.5
55 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +10.8 +9.2 +1.6
56 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +10.4 +6.6 +3.8
57 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.2 +7.9 +2.3
58 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +10.1 +4.3 +5.9
59 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +10.1 -0.9 +11.1
60 Colgate FCS Patriot League +10.0 -1.4 +11.3
61 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +9.5 +0.3 +9.2
62 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +9.5 +3.1 +6.5
63 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.5 +8.7 +0.9
64 Temple FBS American Conference +9.5 +5.9 +3.6
65 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.4 +2.0 +7.4
66 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.3 +1.6 +7.7
67 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +8.7 +2.4 +6.3
68 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.6 +2.2 +6.4
69 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.6 +3.4 +5.1
70 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +8.3 +7.0 +1.4
71 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +8.2 +6.9 +1.3
72 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.2 -0.8 +8.9
73 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +8.1 +5.0 +3.1
74 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +8.1 +13.9 -5.8
75 Harvard FCS Ivy League +7.7 +2.1 +5.6
76 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +7.7 +5.8 +1.9
77 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.6 -0.8 +8.4
78 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +7.6 +9.9 -2.3
79 UAB FBS American Conference +7.5 +0.9 +6.7
80 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.4 +4.3 +3.2
81 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +7.4 -3.0 +10.4
82 North Texas FBS American Conference +7.3 +4.5 +2.8
83 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +7.3 -1.1 +8.4
84 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +7.3 +0.3 +7.0
85 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.3 +0.8 +6.4
86 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +7.0 +10.3 -3.3
87 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +6.3 -0.0 +6.4
88 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.2 +5.8 +0.4
89 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +6.2 +3.2 +3.0
90 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +6.2 +3.9 +2.4
91 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +6.1 +6.1 +0.1
92 Tulane FBS American Conference +6.1 +0.1 +5.9
93 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.0 -1.3 +7.3
94 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +6.0 +1.0 +5.1
95 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.8 -1.7 +7.5
96 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +5.8 +5.0 +0.8
97 Samford FCS Southern Conference +5.7 +5.9 -0.2
98 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +5.6 +1.8 +3.8
99 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +5.5 +6.2 -0.7
100 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +5.5 +5.6 -0.1
101 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +5.4 +1.4 +4.0
102 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.3 +7.0 -1.7
103 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +5.0 -5.6 +10.6
104 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.9 +0.3 +4.6
105 Florida International FBS Conference USA +4.7 +3.1 +1.6
106 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +4.4 -0.1 +4.5
107 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +4.3 +1.8 +2.5
108 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.1 -0.3 +4.4
109 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League +4.0 -2.8 +6.8
110 Furman FCS Southern Conference +4.0 +1.4 +2.6
111 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +3.8 -3.7 +7.5
112 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +3.8 -0.1 +3.8
113 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +3.7 +6.9 -3.3
114 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +3.6 -5.3 +8.9
115 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.4 +3.4 +0.1
116 Delaware FBS Conference USA +3.4 -2.3 +5.7
117 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +3.4 -1.3 +4.6
118 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +3.3 +4.7 -1.3
119 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.3 -1.5 +4.8
120 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +3.0 +3.2 -0.2
121 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.6 -1.1 +3.8
122 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +2.6 +3.4 -0.9
123 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.5 +5.2 -2.8
124 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.0 -2.6 +4.6
125 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.0 -3.0 +4.9
126 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.9 -2.1 +4.0
127 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +1.9 +1.7 +0.2
128 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.8 +1.9 -0.1
129 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.6 -2.1 +3.6
130 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +1.4 -0.6 +2.0
131 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League +1.3 +0.5 +0.8
132 South Florida FBS American Conference +1.3 +1.1 +0.2
133 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +1.2 -0.4 +1.6
134 Navy FBS American Conference +1.0 +0.1 +0.9
135 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference +1.0 +5.9 -5.0
136 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +0.7 +5.3 -4.6
137 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.5 +3.1 -2.6
138 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +0.5 +3.5 -3.0
139 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents +0.4 -1.6 +2.1
140 Columbia FCS Ivy League +0.2 -2.4 +2.6
141 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.2 +1.0 -0.8
142 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.0 +2.8 -2.8
143 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference -0.2 -0.4 +0.3
144 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -0.2 -2.2 +2.0
145 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -0.2 -0.8 +0.6
146 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -0.4 -2.9 +2.6
147 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -0.4 +1.0 -1.4
148 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference -0.4 -7.9 +7.4
149 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.5 +4.7 -5.2
150 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -0.6 +5.1 -5.8
151 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.7 +0.2 -0.8
152 Liberty FBS Conference USA -1.0 +4.7 -5.7
153 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -1.2 +0.9 -2.1
154 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -1.3 -3.3 +2.0
155 Tulsa FBS American Conference -1.3 -3.2 +1.9
156 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -1.4 +1.6 -2.9
157 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.4 +4.3 -5.8
158 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference -1.5 +3.4 -4.9
159 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -1.6 -1.8 +0.2
160 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA -1.6 +0.2 -1.8
161 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -1.7 -0.5 -1.2
162 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -1.9 -7.4 +5.5
163 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.0 -6.4 +4.4
164 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -2.2 +4.2 -6.4
165 Cornell FCS Ivy League -2.6 -3.2 +0.5
166 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.7 -0.4 -2.3
167 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.7 -2.8 +0.1
168 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -2.8 +2.7 -5.6
169 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -2.9 +2.4 -5.3
170 Charlotte FBS American Conference -3.0 -5.2 +2.2
171 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -3.0 +0.2 -3.2
172 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -3.1 -0.6 -2.5
173 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -3.2 -1.2 -2.0
174 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -3.4 -0.9 -2.5
175 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -3.5 +0.1 -3.6
176 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -4.0 -3.6 -0.4
177 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -4.0 -2.3 -1.7
178 East Carolina FBS American Conference -4.1 -1.7 -2.3
179 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -4.3 +6.1 -10.3
180 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference -4.3 -5.9 +1.6
181 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.4 -5.7 +1.3
182 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA -4.4 -5.4 +0.9
183 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference -4.7 -1.1 -3.7
184 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -4.8 -2.2 -2.6
185 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference -4.9 -1.9 -3.0
186 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -4.9 -0.3 -4.6
187 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -5.0 -2.8 -2.2
188 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -5.2 -7.8 +2.6
189 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.2 -4.6 -0.6
190 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -5.3 -9.4 +4.1
191 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.5 -0.6 -4.9
192 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.6 -1.7 -3.9
193 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -5.7 -8.7 +3.0
194 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.7 -8.7 +3.0
195 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference -5.7 -2.0 -3.7
196 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference -5.9 +3.4 -9.3
197 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -6.0 -2.3 -3.6
198 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.2 +0.5 -6.7
199 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.3 -3.2 -3.0
200 New Haven FCS Northeast Conference -6.3 -3.3 -3.0
201 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -6.4 -0.5 -5.9
202 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.5 -0.8 -5.7
203 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -6.6 -6.9 +0.3
204 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -6.7 +7.0 -13.7
205 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.7 -10.5 +3.8
206 Richmond FCS Patriot League -6.8 -0.9 -6.0
207 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -6.9 -8.7 +1.8
208 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -6.9 -8.9 +1.9
209 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -7.0 -6.4 -0.6
210 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -7.1 +1.7 -8.8
211 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -7.4 -4.3 -3.1
212 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -7.5 -2.0 -5.5
213 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -7.6 -2.5 -5.2
214 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -7.8 +3.2 -11.0
215 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.1 -2.8 -5.3
216 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -8.3 -7.9 -0.4
217 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -8.3 -4.3 -4.0
218 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.6 -5.3 -3.3
219 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -8.7 -1.6 -7.1
220 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.0 +1.4 -10.4
221 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -9.1 -0.8 -8.3
222 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -9.1 -11.3 +2.2
223 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -9.2 -0.3 -8.9
224 UTSA FBS American Conference -9.6 -9.1 -0.4
225 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -10.0 -6.5 -3.5
226 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -10.2 -3.9 -6.3
227 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference -10.3 -3.5 -6.8
228 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.5 -4.7 -5.9
229 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -10.6 -2.0 -8.6
230 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.7 -12.8 +2.1
231 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -10.9 -3.6 -7.3
232 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -11.4 +2.2 -13.6
233 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -11.4 -8.2 -3.2
234 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -11.8 -9.9 -1.8
235 UConn FBS FBS Independents -12.2 -1.3 -10.9
236 Rice FBS American Conference -12.5 -7.9 -4.6
237 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -12.5 -9.9 -2.7
238 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -13.2 -4.5 -8.7
239 VMI FCS Southern Conference -13.5 -1.2 -12.3
240 Brown FCS Ivy League -13.5 -8.9 -4.6
241 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -14.1 -12.3 -1.8
242 Fordham FCS Patriot League -14.5 -11.3 -3.2
243 UTEP FBS Conference USA -15.1 -10.0 -5.0
244 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -15.2 -12.7 -2.5
245 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.6 -9.6 -6.0
246 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.0 -2.5 -13.5
247 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -16.5 -10.4 -6.0
248 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -16.5 -2.4 -14.1
249 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -16.6 -12.9 -3.7
250 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -16.8 -4.2 -12.6
251 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -17.0 -11.2 -5.8
252 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -19.2 -3.8 -15.4
253 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -21.0 -8.7 -12.3
254 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -22.1 -8.0 -14.1

SRS — season 2018 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +45.6 +30.5 -31.4
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.3 +32.9 -28.7
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +38.3 +25.8 -26.4
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +36.0 +37.4 -12.4
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +33.9 +18.6 -25.6
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +31.0 -16.6
7 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +33.6 +23.0 -24.8
8 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +32.1 +24.3 -17.6
9 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +32.0 +27.6 -17.6
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +32.0 +20.5 -22.6
11 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +24.7 -20.0
12 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +31.1 +19.5 -25.0
13 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +16.7 -30.8
14 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +23.0 -21.8
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +30.8 +13.5 -27.1
16 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +30.4 +25.2 -19.7
17 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +30.3 +22.9 -15.9
18 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +30.0 +16.1 -25.8
19 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.9 +22.4 -22.3
20 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +29.6 +16.5 -22.2
21 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +29.6 +18.8 -20.4
22 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +18.7 -21.6
23 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +21.8 -15.1
24 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +14.1 -27.1
25 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +27.5 +26.9 -14.1
26 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.0 +15.9 -19.6
27 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +26.9 +17.8 -24.4
28 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +26.3 +20.2 -17.9
29 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +25.5 +16.7 -19.2
30 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +25.0 +15.0 -19.8
31 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.9 +13.7 -21.9
32 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.7 +24.6 -12.4
33 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +19.4 -16.6
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.0 +18.0 -16.7
35 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.0 +19.7 -14.7
36 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +9.8 -22.0
37 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +23.4 +19.2 -14.5
38 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +13.0 -20.5
39 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +13.2 -20.9
40 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.0 +22.1 -15.0
41 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.9 +5.8 -28.4
42 Army FBS American Conference +22.9 +11.4 -21.9
43 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +15.8 -17.5
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.4 +17.3 -14.5
45 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.5 -21.3
46 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.7 -17.0
47 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.8 -14.4
48 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.7 -17.8
49 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +14.4 -18.2
50 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +21.3 +19.2 -11.1
51 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +20.8 +17.1 -9.8
52 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +20.6 +16.2 -15.1
53 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +20.6 +9.9 -18.9
54 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +20.5 +9.2 -22.7
55 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +20.0 +12.1 -16.5
56 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +19.9 +17.2 -11.5
57 Memphis FBS American Conference +19.7 +20.4 -7.3
58 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.6 +18.1 -11.6
59 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.4 +18.2 -10.2
60 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.3 +17.5 -9.3
61 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +19.3 +21.1 -8.6
62 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +19.2 +15.9 -12.2
63 Princeton FCS Ivy League +18.9 +16.8 -11.5
64 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.5 +6.0 -21.8
65 Temple FBS American Conference +18.5 +15.1 -12.3
66 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +18.3 +9.2 -19.7
67 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +18.1 +15.6 -13.5
68 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +17.7 +9.1 -14.1
69 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +17.6 +6.6 -13.7
70 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +17.5 +8.5 -15.0
71 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +17.1 +13.1 -12.3
72 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +16.9 +15.3 -8.7
73 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +16.9 +11.9 -13.7
74 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +16.7 +14.1 -9.6
75 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.7 +9.3 -11.9
76 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +16.6 +11.8 -16.9
77 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +16.4 +23.1 +1.2
78 UAB FBS American Conference +16.3 +9.7 -16.0
79 North Texas FBS American Conference +15.9 +11.7 -11.4
80 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +15.7 +12.7 -6.2
81 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +15.5 +20.1 -5.4
82 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.1 +7.5 -13.4
83 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +15.1 +11.3 -10.8
84 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +15.0 +10.3 -12.3
85 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +14.9 +7.6 -14.2
86 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +14.7 +14.2 -10.6
87 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +14.5 +11.1 -12.5
88 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.5 +15.6 -8.1
89 Tulane FBS American Conference +14.5 +6.8 -13.3
90 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +14.3 +2.4 -20.2
91 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.2 +8.8 -13.1
92 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +13.3 +10.7 -13.6
93 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +12.9 +3.9 -16.9
94 Florida International FBS Conference USA +12.9 +10.7 -9.6
95 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.7 +6.9 -12.5
96 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +12.6 +11.2 -7.0
97 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +12.4 +7.7 -12.9
98 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +12.3 +2.0 -18.1
99 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.7 +13.4 -2.3
100 Colgate FCS Patriot League +11.1 +1.0 -14.4
101 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.8 +11.2 -6.1
102 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.6 +2.2 -13.2
103 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +10.5 +4.3 -11.6
104 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +10.3 +8.3 -8.7
105 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +10.1 +8.7 -10.4
106 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.0 +0.2 -10.6
107 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.9 +6.1 -11.2
108 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +9.8 +12.2 -1.6
109 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +9.5 +3.0 -7.6
110 Harvard FCS Ivy League +9.2 +3.0 -7.1
111 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +8.7 +12.7 -2.5
112 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.5 +10.4 -4.9
113 South Florida FBS American Conference +8.4 +7.0 -7.3
114 Navy FBS American Conference +8.2 +6.5 -7.4
115 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference +8.1 +13.6 -0.7
116 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.4 +5.3 -5.2
117 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +7.1 -0.4 -7.1
118 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.0 +10.1 +1.4
119 Tulsa FBS American Conference +6.5 +2.7 -9.6
120 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.3 -1.7 -9.3
121 Liberty FBS Conference USA +6.2 +10.5 +0.6
122 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.2 +0.9 -5.1
123 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.2 +1.2 -6.6
124 Samford FCS Southern Conference +6.1 +7.6 -0.7
125 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +5.9 +0.5 -8.3
126 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +5.7 +0.7 -12.0
127 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +5.7 +9.7 -0.6
128 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference +5.4 +8.1 -3.6
129 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.3 +5.0 -2.6
130 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.3 +8.1 -0.4
131 Charlotte FBS American Conference +5.2 +1.4 -9.3
132 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +5.0 +7.9 -1.4
133 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +4.9 +6.2 +0.5
134 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +4.8 +5.7 -5.0
135 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +4.8 +12.0 +2.6
136 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference +4.8 +9.2 +4.3
137 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.6 -3.5 -5.5
138 Delaware FBS Conference USA +4.4 -0.9 -7.9
139 Furman FCS Southern Conference +4.2 +0.1 -2.5
140 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +3.9 +5.6 -3.6
141 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.9 +7.2 +2.7
142 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.6 -0.5 -5.9
143 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.5 -4.1 -5.7
144 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +3.5 +1.3 -9.2
145 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +3.4 +5.1 -4.9
146 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +3.3 +6.3 -4.4
147 East Carolina FBS American Conference +3.3 +2.0 -3.2
148 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.1 +4.1 +0.3
149 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.0 +5.6 +0.5
150 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.8 -0.7 -4.0
151 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +2.8 +1.8 +0.0
152 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.7 -0.7 -7.5
153 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +2.4 +0.2 -7.5
154 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference +2.3 +13.1 +5.3
155 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.8 +5.5 +1.5
156 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +1.8 +6.0 +5.9
157 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +1.6 +1.9 +3.9
158 Lamar FCS Southland Conference +1.2 -1.4 +1.3
159 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +0.8 -9.9 -8.6
160 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.8 +7.3 +1.1
161 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.7 +4.7 -1.4
162 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.6 +7.2 +4.9
163 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +0.6 +2.4 -3.4
164 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 -1.1 -0.3
165 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 -1.4 -1.0
166 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +0.4 -2.2 -9.7
167 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.0 -4.6 -7.4
168 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -1.0 -1.2 -0.1
169 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -1.1 -4.2 -0.7
170 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -1.2 -0.4 +4.2
171 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.3 -3.3 -5.1
172 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -1.3 +4.3 +1.1
173 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -1.4 -0.5 +3.5
174 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.5 +3.3 +2.3
175 Columbia FCS Ivy League -1.5 -4.0 -0.5
176 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA -1.5 -1.8 +1.1
177 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.9 -2.3 +4.8
178 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.3 -5.9 +2.2
179 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -2.6 +1.4 +7.5
180 UTSA FBS American Conference -2.8 -3.8 -4.3
181 Cornell FCS Ivy League -2.8 -4.3 +1.2
182 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.1 -4.3 +4.9
183 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -3.3 -6.7 +1.8
184 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -3.3 +4.5 +5.1
185 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -3.3 -9.8 -5.5
186 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -3.4 -1.9 +1.0
187 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -4.2 -9.1 -3.3
188 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -4.2 -1.8 +1.8
189 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.3 +0.5 +4.0
190 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -4.7 -9.7 -4.0
191 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -4.7 -2.6 +3.6
192 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -4.8 -2.2 +3.1
193 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.1 -2.6 +1.9
194 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -5.2 -0.6 +7.5
195 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -5.3 -11.1 +1.9
196 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -5.6 -8.0 +2.6
197 UConn FBS FBS Independents -5.8 +2.6 +9.0
198 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.8 -0.1 +10.3
199 Rice FBS American Conference -5.9 -2.9 -1.4
200 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -6.1 -2.0 +4.9
201 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -6.6 -4.7 +5.3
202 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.7 -12.5 -4.3
203 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.8 -9.1 +7.9
204 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -7.1 -8.4 +0.8
205 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -7.1 -7.1 +3.9
206 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -7.8 -4.1 +7.9
207 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.8 +3.4 +10.9
208 Richmond FCS Patriot League -7.9 -0.8 +7.2
209 UTEP FBS Conference USA -8.1 -3.8 -0.9
210 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.2 -2.7 +7.6
211 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -8.6 -3.3 +6.1
212 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.9 -4.0 +4.0
213 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -9.0 -11.8 +1.0
214 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -9.6 -0.5 +12.0
215 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -10.0 +1.6 +15.0
216 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -10.7 -9.7 +4.1
217 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -10.8 -2.9 +10.3
218 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -11.4 -5.5 +8.7
219 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -11.5 -13.3 +6.1
220 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -11.7 -14.4 +1.1
221 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -11.9 -14.9 +1.1
222 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -12.2 -16.7 +0.8
223 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -12.2 -12.6 +4.4
224 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference -12.4 -6.3 +8.8
225 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -13.5 -13.8 +3.3
226 VMI FCS Southern Conference -14.2 -4.3 +21.0
227 Brown FCS Ivy League -14.9 -11.2 +7.2
228 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.0 -20.5 +4.1
229 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -15.2 -14.5 +5.3
230 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -15.3 -8.7 +12.4
231 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -15.4 -12.2 +11.6
232 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -16.3 -10.1 +12.7
233 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -16.4 -6.9 +17.0
234 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -16.7 -14.0 +7.0
235 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -16.9 -11.8 +13.7
236 Fordham FCS Patriot League -17.7 -15.7 +5.7
237 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -18.1 -16.0 +6.1
238 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -19.3 -3.6 +21.6
239 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -20.0 -1.9 +23.1
240 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -20.3 -16.2 +7.6
241 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -20.5 -18.0 +12.7
242 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -20.9 -14.3 +11.1
243 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -21.0 -19.2 +12.7
244 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -21.5 -10.9 +15.8
245 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -21.6 -10.2 +14.9
246 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -21.8 -17.6 +16.1
247 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -22.0 -3.4 +20.3
248 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -22.5 -12.4 +26.9
249 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -23.5 -13.1 +23.4
250 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -25.8 -12.1 +22.6
251 New Haven FCS Northeast Conference -26.9 -19.2 +16.0
252 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -27.0 -22.2 +13.0
253 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -28.1 -11.2 +24.3
254 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -28.4 -17.9 +24.0

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.94 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Army #84 #31 -53 (we're higher)
Arkansas #53 #100 +47 (we're lower)
San Diego State #47 #89 +42 (we're lower)
Tennessee #48 #85 +37 (we're lower)
Ole Miss #33 #66 +33 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern #87 #58 -29 (we're higher)
Georgia Tech #74 #49 -25 (we're higher)
USC #34 #57 +23 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +36.3 50.9 14.2 #2
2 Georgia +32.9 45.9 14.2 #3
3 Clemson +29.7 43.0 12.6 #1
4 Oklahoma +24.9 54.0 30.0 #4
5 LSU +24.2 34.8 13.4 #9
6 Ohio State +24.1 44.4 21.2 #7
7 Auburn +23.6 36.9 14.1 #23
8 Mississippi State +23.2 34.6 10.5 #14
9 Florida +23.0 38.6 17.4 #17
10 Michigan +22.0 35.5 14.3 #8
11 Texas A&M +21.6 40.3 19.8 #19
12 Missouri +20.8 41.3 21.0 #15
13 Notre Dame +20.7 34.6 14.5 #5
14 Washington +19.9 34.5 12.7 #12
15 Penn State +19.0 33.9 14.6 #18
16 Fresno State +17.4 33.5 15.5 #13
17 Utah +16.8 31.9 18.1 #20
18 UCF +16.5 39.9 25.2 #6
19 Wisconsin +15.5 39.3 21.6 #30
20 South Carolina +14.9 36.4 23.6 #38
21 Utah State +14.2 36.3 22.5 #24
22 Oklahoma State +13.8 42.0 28.9 #33
23 Iowa +13.3 30.3 17.7 #11
24 West Virginia +13.2 41.1 29.2 #16
25 Kentucky +13.1 29.5 16.3 #27