BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2017 254 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +27.6 +12.9 +14.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +27.6 +11.7 +15.8
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.2 +11.0 +15.2
4 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +25.1 +10.0 +15.0
5 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.9 +15.2 +9.7
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.3 +14.6 +9.7
7 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +9.6 +14.7
8 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +23.6 +20.3 +3.3
9 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +22.7 +9.9 +12.8
10 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.4 +13.0 +9.3
11 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.8 +17.1 +4.6
12 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +20.5 +7.4 +13.1
13 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.3 +7.8 +11.5
14 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +19.0 +18.4 +0.7
15 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.6 +8.2 +10.5
16 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +18.4 +6.4 +12.0
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.3 +3.5 +13.8
18 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +17.2 +8.0 +9.2
19 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +17.1 +4.7 +12.3
20 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.0 +9.6 +7.5
21 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +16.8 +6.6 +10.2
22 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +16.2 +8.9 +7.3
23 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +15.9 +4.6 +11.3
24 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.8 +12.1 +3.7
25 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.8 +7.5 +8.3
26 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.7 +4.4 +11.2
27 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.9 +13.7 +1.3
28 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.9 +11.0 +3.9
29 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +14.5 +2.5 +12.0
30 South Florida FBS American Conference +14.4 +10.6 +3.8
31 Memphis FBS American Conference +14.1 +15.3 -1.2
32 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.8 +8.0 +5.8
33 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +13.7 +4.9 +8.9
34 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.3 +4.0 +9.2
35 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.2 +7.9 +5.3
36 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +13.1 +10.8 +2.3
37 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +13.1 +2.7 +10.4
38 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.6 +3.5 +9.1
39 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.1 +6.0 +6.2
40 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +12.0 +6.7 +5.3
41 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.9 +3.4 +8.5
42 Yale FCS Ivy League +11.7 +3.9 +7.9
43 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +11.7 +6.8 +4.8
44 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +11.4 +3.7 +7.8
45 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +11.4 +1.8 +9.6
46 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +11.4 +1.0 +10.4
47 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +11.3 +2.4 +8.9
48 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +11.2 +9.2 +1.9
49 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.8 +3.0 +7.8
50 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +10.6 +9.7 +1.0
51 Navy FBS American Conference +10.5 +5.1 +5.4
52 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +10.5 +4.6 +5.8
53 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.2 +2.5 +7.7
54 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +10.0 +4.5 +5.5
55 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.9 +4.3 +5.6
56 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.7 +3.1 +6.7
57 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +9.7 +8.8 +0.9
58 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +9.6 +1.9 +7.6
59 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +9.5 +8.9 +0.6
60 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.5 +3.0 +6.5
61 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +9.3 +8.8 +0.5
62 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.3 +9.1 +0.3
63 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +9.1 +9.7 -0.6
64 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +9.0 +14.1 -5.2
65 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +8.9 +11.3 -2.4
66 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +8.8 +12.4 -3.6
67 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +8.8 +1.0 +7.7
68 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +8.7 +1.2 +7.5
69 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.6 +3.2 +5.4
70 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +8.5 +0.4 +8.2
71 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +8.2 +4.6 +3.7
72 Furman FCS Southern Conference +7.9 +6.3 +1.6
73 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +7.9 +4.0 +3.8
74 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +7.7 +6.5 +1.2
75 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +7.7 +13.9 -6.2
76 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.7 -0.7 +8.4
77 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.7 +2.5 +5.2
78 Army FBS American Conference +7.7 +3.2 +4.4
79 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.3 +7.3 -0.0
80 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.2 +1.8 +5.4
81 Samford FCS Southern Conference +7.0 +2.9 +4.1
82 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +6.7 +0.2 +6.6
83 Richmond FCS Patriot League +6.7 +5.8 +0.9
84 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +6.6 +1.9 +4.7
85 Temple FBS American Conference +6.2 +0.6 +5.6
86 Princeton FCS Ivy League +6.2 +10.1 -4.0
87 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.2 +5.9 +0.3
88 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +6.0 +6.7 -0.7
89 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +5.7 +7.5 -1.8
90 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +5.6 +5.1 +0.5
91 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +5.6 -2.8 +8.4
92 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.5 +4.0 +1.5
93 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +5.5 +8.0 -2.6
94 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +5.5 +0.7 +4.7
95 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +5.5 +2.4 +3.0
96 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +5.4 +7.7 -2.3
97 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +5.2 +0.0 +5.1
98 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.0 +10.5 -5.5
99 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +4.8 +4.0 +0.8
100 Tulane FBS American Conference +4.6 +0.8 +3.8
101 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference +4.6 +3.6 +1.0
102 Delaware FBS Conference USA +4.4 -2.4 +6.8
103 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +4.3 +0.4 +3.9
104 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +4.1 +0.4 +3.7
105 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +4.0 +5.8 -1.8
106 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +4.0 +1.3 +2.8
107 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.0 +1.0 +2.9
108 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +3.9 +2.5 +1.4
109 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +3.8 -0.1 +3.9
110 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +3.8 +2.3 +1.5
111 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +3.6 +5.7 -2.1
112 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +3.4 +5.8 -2.4
113 Colgate FCS Patriot League +3.3 -1.6 +4.9
114 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +3.3 -1.3 +4.6
115 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +3.1 -0.5 +3.6
116 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.1 -2.2 +5.3
117 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +3.0 -1.2 +4.2
118 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.0 -5.4 +8.4
119 UTSA FBS American Conference +2.5 -5.2 +7.7
120 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +2.5 +5.9 -3.5
121 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +2.5 +2.2 +0.3
122 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +2.4 +0.8 +1.6
123 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +2.3 +1.5 +0.8
124 East Texas A&M FCS Southland Conference +2.1 +2.7 -0.6
125 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +2.1 +5.8 -3.7
126 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.8 +5.5 -3.7
127 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +1.7 -0.9 +2.6
128 Columbia FCS Ivy League +1.7 -3.5 +5.2
129 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +1.7 -2.6 +4.3
130 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.6 +0.4 +1.3
131 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +1.6 +1.6 -0.0
132 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +1.4 -2.1 +3.5
133 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +1.2 +4.7 -3.4
134 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +1.2 +3.0 -1.8
135 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.9 +0.6 +0.4
136 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +0.9 +2.4 -1.6
137 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +0.8 +5.2 -4.4
138 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +0.8 +4.1 -3.3
139 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.7 -0.6 +1.3
140 Tulsa FBS American Conference +0.6 +4.5 -3.9
141 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference +0.5 +1.3 -0.8
142 North Texas FBS American Conference +0.4 +7.2 -6.8
143 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +0.4 -0.9 +1.3
144 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +0.3 -2.6 +2.8
145 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League +0.1 -1.8 +1.9
146 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -0.2 -1.2 +1.0
147 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.3 -7.7 +7.4
148 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.3 -7.8 +7.5
149 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -0.8 +4.0 -4.8
150 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.9 -5.4 +4.5
151 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.9 -2.7 +1.8
152 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -1.1 -2.5 +1.3
153 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -1.1 -8.5 +7.4
154 Florida International FBS Conference USA -1.2 -0.4 -0.8
155 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -1.3 -3.9 +2.6
156 UAB FBS American Conference -1.3 -0.7 -0.6
157 Liberty FBS Conference USA -1.3 +3.8 -5.2
158 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -1.4 +2.8 -4.2
159 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -1.5 -0.1 -1.4
160 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -1.5 +2.0 -3.5
161 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference -1.6 -7.1 +5.5
162 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -1.8 -5.8 +4.0
163 Harvard FCS Ivy League -2.1 -4.0 +1.9
164 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.3 -0.6 -1.6
165 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.4 -5.3 +2.9
166 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference -2.4 +0.9 -3.3
167 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.6 -5.1 +2.6
168 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -2.8 -6.7 +3.9
169 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA -2.8 -1.0 -1.8
170 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -3.1 -2.5 -0.5
171 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.5 +7.8 -11.3
172 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.6 -5.3 +1.7
173 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.6 -0.3 -3.3
174 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -3.6 -2.8 -0.8
175 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -3.7 -1.0 -2.7
176 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.9 +1.1 -5.0
177 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.9 -7.1 +3.2
178 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference -4.5 -4.2 -0.3
179 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.6 -6.0 +1.4
180 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -4.6 -3.7 -0.9
181 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -4.8 +2.6 -7.4
182 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -5.0 +0.6 -5.6
183 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference -5.0 -5.3 +0.3
184 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.3 -4.2 -1.0
185 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -5.5 -1.2 -4.2
185 East Carolina FBS American Conference -5.5 +4.3 -9.8
186 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.5 -2.8 -2.7
187 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference -5.6 -5.8 +0.2
188 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference -5.7 -1.9 -3.9
189 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.8 -7.5 +1.7
190 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.8 -6.8 +1.0
191 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -5.9 +9.6 -15.5
192 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -5.9 -1.7 -4.2
193 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.0 +3.0 -8.9
194 Cornell FCS Ivy League -6.2 -6.3 +0.1
195 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -6.3 -3.4 -2.9
196 UConn FBS FBS Independents -6.4 -3.0 -3.3
197 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.4 -3.5 -2.9
198 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -6.5 -6.3 -0.2
199 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -6.6 -9.7 +3.2
200 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -6.6 +0.8 -7.4
201 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.6 -3.7 -2.9
202 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.7 +1.0 -7.8
203 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -7.0 -2.6 -4.4
204 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -7.1 -5.6 -1.5
205 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.8 -8.6 +0.8
206 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -7.9 -0.9 -7.0
207 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference -8.0 -2.0 -5.9
208 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference -8.1 -1.6 -6.5
209 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -8.2 -0.6 -7.6
210 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -8.2 -0.6 -7.6
211 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -8.9 -5.2 -3.7
212 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.1 -8.3 -0.8
213 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -9.4 -13.1 +3.7
214 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -9.7 -7.5 -2.3
215 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -9.9 -7.5 -2.4
216 Fordham FCS Patriot League -9.9 -3.0 -6.9
217 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.2 -7.8 -2.4
218 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -10.2 -5.0 -5.2
219 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -10.4 -9.1 -1.3
220 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.6 -7.9 -2.7
221 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -10.8 -8.8 -2.0
222 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -10.9 -8.4 -2.5
223 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -11.0 -6.1 -4.9
224 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -11.7 -12.3 +0.6
225 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -11.8 -6.7 -5.1
226 Charlotte FBS American Conference -11.8 -8.4 -3.4
227 Rice FBS American Conference -12.0 -6.1 -5.9
228 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -12.4 -7.0 -5.4
229 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -12.7 -4.0 -8.7
230 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference -12.8 -4.1 -8.8
231 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -13.4 -6.1 -7.3
232 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.5 -12.8 -0.7
233 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -13.8 -4.3 -9.6
234 Brown FCS Ivy League -13.8 -11.1 -2.8
235 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -14.0 -9.3 -4.8
236 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -14.3 -9.7 -4.5
237 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -14.7 -13.6 -1.1
238 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -15.6 -13.2 -2.4
239 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -15.7 -2.7 -13.0
240 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -15.8 -13.3 -2.5
241 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -15.8 -2.4 -13.4
242 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -16.2 -14.7 -1.5
243 UTEP FBS Conference USA -16.2 -12.0 -4.3
244 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -16.4 -8.9 -7.5
245 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.5 -7.0 -9.5
246 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.9 -11.4 -5.6
247 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -17.5 -2.6 -15.0
248 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -17.8 -13.2 -4.6
249 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -18.3 -6.4 -11.9
250 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -18.4 -9.8 -8.6
251 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -18.5 -8.6 -9.9
252 VMI FCS Southern Conference -19.7 -13.5 -6.2
253 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -20.9 -8.0 -12.9

SRS — season 2017 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +39.5 +24.1 -26.7
2 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.4 +30.2 -24.8
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +37.8 +24.4 -29.4
4 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +37.7 +22.3 -27.8
5 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.3 +22.5 -28.3
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +37.3 +29.6 -24.8
7 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +35.9 +33.4 -16.1
8 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +35.3 +24.6 -21.4
9 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +34.9 +19.9 -26.2
10 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +21.8 -25.6
11 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +33.5 +28.6 -14.9
12 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +30.6 +32.2 -12.1
13 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +30.0 +17.5 -25.1
14 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +29.8 +19.3 -22.9
15 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.7 +18.4 -20.7
16 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.2 +20.0 -17.7
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.1 +13.9 -26.7
18 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +27.8 +15.4 -23.6
19 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +14.6 -23.1
20 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.2 +12.9 -24.6
21 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +17.7 -19.8
22 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.5 +19.6 -20.1
23 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +26.5 +19.3 -18.4
24 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +26.1 +16.9 -21.4
25 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.0 +22.5 -13.8
26 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +13.0 -21.2
27 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.2 +24.9 -11.9
28 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +24.9 +13.4 -23.8
29 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +12.1 -23.5
30 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.4 +14.3 -20.5
31 Memphis FBS American Conference +24.3 +26.2 -8.9
32 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.1 +18.3 -15.0
33 South Florida FBS American Conference +23.7 +17.9 -12.7
34 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +23.3 +20.2 -10.9
35 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.7 +13.4 -21.0
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.6 +16.5 -17.2
37 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.5 +13.7 -19.3
38 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.4 +11.0 -17.5
39 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.3 +16.5 -14.0
40 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.9 +12.5 -18.9
41 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.8 +16.6 -15.9
42 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +21.6 +9.8 -20.4
43 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +13.3 -18.4
44 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +20.8 -13.5
45 Navy FBS American Conference +20.4 +13.5 -15.7
46 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +19.9 +15.7 -14.2
47 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +19.7 +20.4 -11.9
48 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +19.6 +19.6 -10.4
49 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +23.6 -5.5
50 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +19.2 +25.9 -4.4
51 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.8 +11.3 -16.5
52 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +18.4 +15.7 -9.1
53 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +18.2 +17.5 -9.9
54 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.0 +10.6 -16.7
55 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +18.0 +18.0 -7.8
56 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +18.0 +8.5 -17.4
57 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +17.9 +10.0 -17.1
58 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.9 +17.4 -10.9
59 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +17.5 +16.7 -7.4
60 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.5 +12.5 -15.1
61 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +17.4 +9.1 -17.5
62 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +16.6 +18.4 -3.5
63 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.1 +15.1 -9.3
64 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.9 +9.9 -11.4
65 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.8 +9.4 -13.4
66 Army FBS American Conference +15.6 +11.7 -13.2
67 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +15.6 +18.6 -7.9
68 East Texas A&M FCS Southland Conference +15.3 +3.8 -4.3
69 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +15.2 +15.9 -6.4
70 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +15.1 +5.5 -14.5
71 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +14.7 +16.5 -6.8
72 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +14.5 +8.7 -13.0
73 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +14.4 +10.0 -11.9
74 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +14.4 +11.1 -9.4
75 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.2 +9.8 -12.0
76 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +14.2 +9.3 -13.1
77 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.1 +19.3 -1.7
78 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.9 +13.0 -10.4
79 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.7 +6.4 -12.4
80 Temple FBS American Conference +13.7 +6.8 -12.7
81 Tulane FBS American Conference +13.3 +7.8 -11.3
82 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +13.1 +2.6 -17.2
83 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.0 +13.4 -6.4
84 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.7 +6.9 -11.0
85 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +12.5 +7.7 -9.6
86 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.0 +6.1 -11.6
87 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +11.9 +8.6 -12.6
88 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.6 +11.1 -6.2
89 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +11.4 +9.1 -7.4
90 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.3 +14.3 -5.2
91 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.3 +9.7 -8.8
92 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +11.2 +14.9 -2.9
93 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +11.1 +5.1 -12.2
94 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +10.9 +8.9 -7.0
95 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +10.8 +9.8 -3.5
96 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +10.4 +5.3 -6.0
97 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +10.2 +14.2 -4.6
98 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +10.0 +5.4 -13.0
99 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +9.4 +0.5 -8.5
100 Yale FCS Ivy League +9.3 +0.2 -5.4
101 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +9.3 +10.6 -7.1
102 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.1 +3.5 -6.2
103 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +9.1 +4.5 -11.0
104 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +8.8 +8.3 -6.9
105 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +8.8 +3.5 -9.5
106 Richmond FCS Patriot League +8.8 +7.9 -2.1
107 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +8.7 +1.5 -8.6
108 UTSA FBS American Conference +8.4 -1.4 -13.5
109 Furman FCS Southern Conference +8.2 +6.2 -1.1
110 North Texas FBS American Conference +8.0 +14.5 +0.9
111 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +7.8 +14.6 +6.0
112 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +7.8 +3.8 -8.6
113 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.8 +1.3 -11.7
114 Delaware FBS Conference USA +7.6 -0.6 -9.2
115 Tulsa FBS American Conference +7.4 +10.5 -3.0
116 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.3 +6.4 -7.0
117 Samford FCS Southern Conference +7.3 +0.7 -5.7
118 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +7.2 +1.4 -9.2
119 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.0 +13.4 -2.5
120 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.8 -0.6 -3.5
121 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +6.4 +9.6 +0.6
122 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference +6.0 +10.7 -1.0
123 Florida International FBS Conference USA +5.9 +4.7 -4.6
124 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +5.8 +9.6 +0.7
125 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +5.3 +8.7 -2.0
126 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +5.2 +7.2 +0.1
127 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA +5.0 +7.4 -2.1
128 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +4.8 +8.5 -3.8
129 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +4.7 -2.2 -12.8
130 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +4.5 +2.9 -9.7
131 UAB FBS American Conference +4.3 +3.2 -3.7
132 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +4.2 +4.1 -2.8
133 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.0 -3.8 -10.5
134 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +3.7 -0.1 -7.8
135 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +3.5 +2.7 -6.6
136 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +3.4 -1.7 -3.2
137 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +3.3 -3.4 -9.8
138 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.3 -3.2 -5.5
139 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.2 +2.0 -4.7
140 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +3.1 +7.6 +1.4
141 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.6 +14.7 +7.1
142 East Carolina FBS American Conference +2.6 +10.4 +5.6
143 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +2.5 -0.8 -2.4
144 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.5 +1.5 -3.6
145 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +2.4 +9.0 +2.1
146 UConn FBS FBS Independents +2.2 +3.5 -3.0
147 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.0 -2.0 -6.2
148 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.8 -0.9 -2.8
149 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +1.8 +2.4 -3.0
150 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference +1.7 +1.4 -4.7
151 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +1.4 -3.9 -4.3
152 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference +1.2 -4.4 -8.2
153 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +1.0 +4.7 -0.5
154 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.9 -8.8 -9.2
155 Colgate FCS Patriot League +0.7 -4.3 -3.1
156 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +0.7 +3.0 +2.3
157 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.5 -2.6 +2.0
158 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -0.2 -3.0 -0.1
159 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -0.3 -1.4 -0.4
160 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.6 +3.1 +8.1
161 Princeton FCS Ivy League -0.7 +7.9 +9.7
162 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -0.8 +2.6 +4.9
163 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference -0.8 +5.5 +0.2
164 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.4 +0.3 -1.8
165 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -1.5 +2.2 -1.1
166 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.3 +0.7 -1.9
167 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.4 +1.1 +0.3
168 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.4 -8.4 -0.4
169 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association -2.5 -10.3 -8.1
170 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -2.5 -0.2 +0.7
171 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League -2.6 -5.5 +1.5
172 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.8 +4.6 +5.9
173 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -3.2 -4.3 +3.5
174 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -3.4 -1.9 +8.6
175 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.6 -7.2 -1.7
176 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -3.6 -2.7 +5.4
177 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.0 -10.9 -3.9
178 Columbia FCS Ivy League -4.1 -9.4 -0.2
179 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.2 -2.5 +2.4
180 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -4.5 -10.6 +1.5
181 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -4.5 -4.3 +5.8
182 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.8 -8.1 -2.7
183 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -4.9 -4.0 +4.0
184 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -4.9 -6.3 -2.6
185 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -5.0 -5.9 +2.4
186 Liberty FBS Conference USA -5.0 +2.1 +9.0
187 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -5.5 -1.5 +0.6
188 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.1 -5.7 +6.2
189 Rice FBS American Conference -6.2 -2.5 +1.8
190 Charlotte FBS American Conference -6.9 -5.7 -0.2
191 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -6.9 +2.4 +5.2
192 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -7.3 +1.1 +7.3
193 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference -7.3 -0.8 +6.7
194 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.4 -7.3 -0.0
195 Harvard FCS Ivy League -7.7 -9.3 +2.5
196 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -8.1 -4.8 +2.1
197 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -8.1 -8.6 +4.7
198 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -8.2 -7.3 +2.3
199 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.2 -4.2 +10.8
200 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference -8.4 -7.5 +0.7
201 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -8.4 -2.6 +8.0
202 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -8.7 -17.6 -4.1
203 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -9.0 +0.8 +5.6
204 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -9.5 -15.2 +3.2
205 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -9.8 -4.9 +4.3
206 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -10.0 -11.2 +3.2
207 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -10.2 -8.9 +1.1
208 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.3 -16.3 +1.9
209 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -10.5 -6.1 +6.7
210 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -10.8 -10.5 +2.7
211 UTEP FBS Conference USA -11.0 -9.3 -0.2
212 Cornell FCS Ivy League -11.1 -11.4 +3.2
213 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -11.2 -11.6 +8.6
214 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -11.7 -8.8 +2.7
215 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -11.7 -9.5 +6.6
216 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -11.7 -10.5 +8.0
217 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -12.0 +6.0 +22.1
218 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -12.4 -13.8 +7.6
219 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -13.4 -3.8 +16.4
220 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -13.7 -7.9 +11.4
221 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -13.8 -13.3 +4.7
222 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.9 -20.1 +0.1
223 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -14.0 -9.3 +4.9
224 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -14.6 -12.6 +6.3
225 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -14.6 -13.5 +6.5
226 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -14.7 -7.0 +12.5
227 Fordham FCS Patriot League -15.6 -10.0 +12.7
228 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -15.6 -1.7 +13.1
229 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -16.2 -10.5 +5.5
230 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -16.4 -18.3 +5.5
231 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.7 -19.3 +5.8
232 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -16.7 -13.8 +11.1
233 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -17.4 -17.1 +4.8
234 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -18.1 -15.8 +9.6
235 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -18.3 -13.8 +14.8
236 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -18.5 -12.1 +15.2
237 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -18.5 -10.3 +17.1
238 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -19.0 -18.9 +4.8
239 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -19.0 -2.8 +25.4
240 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -19.2 -6.8 +20.9
241 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -19.4 -12.2 +16.1
242 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -20.9 -13.4 +12.1
243 Brown FCS Ivy League -21.1 -19.4 +9.2
244 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -21.1 -21.9 +6.1
245 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -21.7 -14.4 +17.1
246 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -22.2 -18.0 +12.1
247 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -23.4 -20.5 +10.0
248 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -25.4 -23.4 +8.8
249 VMI FCS Southern Conference -25.5 -21.6 +13.0
250 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -27.4 -18.4 +24.8
251 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -28.4 -18.5 +19.9
252 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -32.3 -27.0 +16.8
253 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -33.7 -18.3 +28.6
254 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -35.3 -24.7 +24.7

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Florida #34 #72 +38 (we're lower)
Army #90 #60 -30 (we're higher)
Navy #73 #45 -28 (we're higher)
Ole Miss #26 #53 +27 (we're lower)
Missouri #28 #54 +26 (we're lower)
Indiana #32 #58 +26 (we're lower)
Buffalo #105 #79 -26 (we're higher)
Fresno State #81 #57 -24 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +33.5 38.7 5.6 #2
2 Ohio State +30.9 42.9 12.8 #6
3 Wisconsin +26.8 37.4 11.6 #4
4 Georgia +26.7 39.6 15.4 #1
5 Clemson +26.4 36.5 8.3 #3
6 Penn State +26.0 41.5 14.9 #5
7 Oklahoma +25.5 49.8 24.2 #8
8 Auburn +24.7 35.4 11.0 #7
9 Florida State +22.8 33.3 12.5 #31
10 Washington +22.1 39.4 16.3 #9
11 LSU +21.1 35.6 14.0 #17
12 Notre Dame +20.8 37.4 16.9 #10
13 Michigan +19.6 31.1 11.8 #21
14 Louisville +19.2 43.3 24.9 #24
15 Oklahoma State +19.1 42.2 23.0 #12
16 TCU +18.9 35.7 18.7 #14
17 USC +17.9 38.5 20.0 #20
18 Miami +17.4 35.3 17.0 #13
19 Mississippi State +16.0 32.4 18.1 #16
20 Stanford +15.8 37.7 24.5 #22
21 Virginia Tech +14.3 27.8 14.4 #15
22 UCF +14.1 40.5 26.9 #11
23 Michigan State +13.8 27.7 15.1 #26
24 NC State +12.9 38.0 23.3 #18
25 Utah +12.0 30.6 20.5 #39