BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2016 254 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +31.7 +13.6 +18.1
2 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.7 +14.0 +10.7
3 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +24.4 +11.8 +12.6
4 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.1 +9.6 +12.5
5 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +10.7 +11.3
6 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +21.3 +5.2 +16.1
7 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.8 +11.7 +9.1
8 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +19.8 +9.9 +9.9
9 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +16.5 +3.0
10 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.8 +7.7 +11.1
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +18.6 +4.4 +14.2
12 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +18.4 +12.4 +6.0
13 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +18.2 +12.6 +5.6
14 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.9 +14.1 +3.8
15 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +17.7 +3.3 +14.3
16 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.9 +9.7 +7.2
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.3 +7.9 +8.3
18 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +4.0 +12.1
19 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.9 +2.5 +13.4
20 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.9 +10.7 +5.2
21 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.5 +14.5 +1.0
22 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +15.2 +13.1 +2.1
23 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +14.7 +1.1 +13.6
24 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +14.7 +12.9 +1.8
25 Temple FBS American Conference +14.7 +5.1 +9.5
26 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +14.5 +9.4 +5.1
27 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +14.5 +13.3 +1.2
28 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +14.3 +4.4 +9.9
29 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +14.2 +5.6 +8.6
30 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +14.0 +8.2 +5.8
31 South Florida FBS American Conference +13.7 +15.4 -1.6
32 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.7 +15.8 -2.1
33 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.2 +1.5 +11.7
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +3.9 +9.2
35 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.1 +4.4 +8.8
36 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +13.0 +10.5 +2.6
37 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.0 +4.3 +8.7
38 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +13.0 +3.4 +9.5
39 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +12.8 +3.8 +9.0
40 Tulsa FBS American Conference +12.8 +14.1 -1.4
41 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +12.7 +4.8 +8.0
42 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +12.7 +2.4 +10.3
43 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +12.6 +5.4 +7.2
44 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +12.5 +16.7 -4.1
45 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +12.5 +7.1 +5.4
46 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association +11.9 +6.9 +5.0
47 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +11.7 +3.7 +7.9
48 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +11.5 +5.2 +6.3
49 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +11.4 +2.1 +9.3
50 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +11.1 +11.3 -0.2
51 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.0 +1.6 +9.4
52 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.0 +7.2 +3.9
53 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.0 +4.3 +6.7
54 Navy FBS American Conference +10.6 +9.2 +1.4
55 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +10.6 +12.7 -2.1
56 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +10.6 +7.6 +3.0
57 Princeton FCS Ivy League +10.5 +4.5 +6.0
58 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +10.2 +2.6 +7.6
59 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.2 +7.7 +2.5
60 Lehigh FCS Patriot League +10.0 +10.9 -0.9
61 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +10.0 +2.8 +7.2
62 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +9.8 +4.7 +5.1
63 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +9.6 +7.4 +2.3
64 Memphis FBS American Conference +9.5 +8.6 +0.9
65 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +9.1 +6.8 +2.3
66 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +9.0 +7.7 +1.3
67 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.9 +0.8 +8.1
68 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +8.8 -1.0 +9.7
69 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +8.7 +5.4 +3.3
70 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +8.5 +6.2 +2.3
71 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.3 -4.3 +12.6
72 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.2 +3.6 +4.6
73 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +8.2 +1.1 +7.1
74 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League +8.1 +2.2 +5.9
75 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +7.8 +2.0 +5.7
76 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +7.4 +7.5 -0.0
77 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +7.2 +0.4 +6.7
78 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +7.0 +6.5 +0.5
79 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +6.9 +16.2 -9.3
80 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +6.7 +3.9 +2.9
81 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +6.7 +0.6 +6.1
82 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.5 +0.8 +5.7
83 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +6.3 -2.2 +8.5
84 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.3 +13.2 -6.9
85 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference +6.0 +4.2 +1.8
86 Richmond FCS Patriot League +6.0 +3.0 +3.0
87 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.8 -0.7 +6.5
88 Samford FCS Southern Conference +5.8 +6.6 -0.8
89 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.7 -2.1 +7.8
90 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +5.7 +12.3 -6.6
91 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +5.3 +8.3 -3.0
92 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +5.3 +1.5 +3.8
93 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.3 -3.2 +8.6
94 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.1 +0.6 +4.5
95 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +5.0 +1.0 +4.0
96 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +4.7 -1.2 +6.0
97 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +4.7 +2.4 +2.3
98 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +4.7 +5.2 -0.5
99 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +4.5 +4.1 +0.4
100 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +4.3 -0.5 +4.8
101 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference +4.3 -0.6 +4.9
102 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +4.2 +1.3 +2.9
103 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.1 -0.9 +5.0
104 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.1 +0.9 +3.1
105 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +4.0 +2.7 +1.3
106 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +3.9 +5.0 -1.1
107 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference +3.6 +5.9 -2.3
108 Colgate FCS Patriot League +3.4 +0.5 +3.0
109 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +3.4 +1.9 +1.5
110 Fordham FCS Patriot League +3.3 +8.6 -5.3
111 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +3.1 +4.4 -1.3
112 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +2.9 +5.7 -2.8
113 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +2.8 +6.9 -4.1
114 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +2.8 +1.5 +1.3
115 Army FBS American Conference +2.7 -1.2 +3.9
116 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +2.5 -3.9 +6.4
117 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +2.4 +0.6 +1.8
118 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.2 +2.4 -0.2
119 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +2.2 +1.3 +0.8
120 Harvard FCS Ivy League +2.1 -1.1 +3.2
121 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.9 +2.6 -0.6
122 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +1.9 -0.1 +2.0
123 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.8 -2.5 +4.2
124 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +1.8 +3.9 -2.1
125 Liberty FBS Conference USA +1.3 +0.2 +1.1
126 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.2 +3.8 -2.6
127 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +1.0 -0.7 +1.7
128 Furman FCS Southern Conference +1.0 -0.2 +1.2
129 UTSA FBS American Conference +0.9 -1.7 +2.6
130 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +0.9 +2.8 -2.0
131 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +0.8 +7.8 -7.0
132 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.6 +3.9 -3.3
133 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +0.6 -0.2 +0.8
134 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +0.6 +4.4 -3.8
135 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +0.5 +2.2 -1.7
136 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.2 +3.0 -2.8
137 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +0.1 +2.7 -2.6
138 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.0 +1.5 -1.5
139 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference -0.1 -4.2 +4.1
140 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference -0.2 -3.1 +2.9
141 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -0.4 +1.2 -1.6
142 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -0.6 -0.9 +0.3
143 Tulane FBS American Conference -0.7 -2.9 +2.2
144 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -0.7 +0.5 -1.2
145 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.7 -3.9 +3.2
146 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.8 -2.8 +2.1
147 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -0.9 -1.1 +0.2
148 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League -1.0 -6.3 +5.3
149 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -1.1 +5.1 -6.2
150 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.2 -1.7 +0.5
151 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -1.3 -4.5 +3.2
152 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association -1.4 -0.4 -1.0
153 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -1.4 -3.2 +1.9
154 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -1.4 -2.5 +1.1
155 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -1.5 -0.7 -0.8
156 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.5 -3.1 +1.6
157 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -1.7 -1.6 -0.1
158 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -1.7 +2.6 -4.3
159 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -1.9 -0.8 -1.1
160 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference -1.9 -5.7 +3.8
161 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -2.1 +1.5 -3.6
162 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.1 -8.7 +6.6
163 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -2.2 -1.0 -1.2
164 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference -2.3 -3.8 +1.5
165 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -2.7 -0.3 -2.4
166 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference -2.9 -5.5 +2.6
167 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference -2.9 -3.3 +0.4
168 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.9 +0.4 -3.3
169 East Carolina FBS American Conference -3.0 +1.0 -4.0
170 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -3.4 +2.7 -6.1
171 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference -3.4 -4.1 +0.7
172 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -3.5 -7.1 +3.6
173 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference -3.5 -3.4 -0.2
174 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.6 -2.2 -1.3
175 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -3.6 -8.0 +4.4
176 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.6 -2.8 -0.8
177 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -3.7 +3.3 -7.0
178 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.9 -2.5 -1.4
179 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.9 +2.0 -5.9
180 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -4.1 -2.9 -1.2
181 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference -4.1 -2.0 -2.1
182 Delaware FBS Conference USA -4.4 -5.1 +0.7
183 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -4.8 -1.3 -3.5
184 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -4.8 +1.1 -5.9
185 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.9 -3.7 -1.1
186 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -4.9 +3.2 -8.1
187 VMI FCS Southern Conference -5.4 -5.5 +0.1
188 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference -5.4 +1.9 -7.4
189 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -5.9 -6.0 +0.1
190 North Texas FBS American Conference -5.9 -3.4 -2.5
191 Columbia FCS Ivy League -6.0 -7.3 +1.3
192 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -6.0 -1.4 -4.7
193 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -6.1 -1.2 -4.9
194 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference -6.1 -4.1 -2.0
195 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.2 -9.3 +3.1
196 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.3 -0.7 -5.6
197 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -6.3 -2.9 -3.4
198 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -6.6 -3.1 -3.4
199 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.7 -3.2 -3.5
200 Cornell FCS Ivy League -6.7 -2.5 -4.2
201 UConn FBS FBS Independents -6.8 -9.9 +3.1
202 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -7.0 -2.4 -4.6
203 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -7.1 -6.1 -1.0
204 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -7.2 +0.3 -7.5
205 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference -7.3 -4.2 -3.1
206 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.4 -0.4 -6.9
207 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -7.4 -0.5 -6.9
208 Charlotte FBS American Conference -7.5 -3.3 -4.2
209 Brown FCS Ivy League -7.6 -6.0 -1.6
210 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference -7.7 -1.1 -6.6
211 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -7.8 -7.1 -0.7
211 Rice FBS American Conference -7.8 -2.2 -5.6
212 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference -8.0 -8.6 +0.6
213 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -8.2 -6.7 -1.4
214 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -8.2 -5.3 -2.9
215 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -8.4 -0.4 -8.0
216 Yale FCS Ivy League -8.4 -5.0 -3.5
217 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference -8.5 -3.3 -5.2
218 UTEP FBS Conference USA -8.5 -3.4 -5.1
219 Florida International FBS Conference USA -8.6 -5.3 -3.3
220 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.6 -5.3 -3.3
221 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -8.8 -9.2 +0.5
222 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -8.8 -11.9 +3.1
223 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -9.5 -7.4 -2.1
224 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -9.5 -4.6 -4.9
225 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -9.7 -2.5 -7.2
226 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -9.7 -13.8 +4.1
227 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -9.9 -5.8 -4.1
228 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference -10.0 -7.2 -2.8
229 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -10.7 -4.7 -6.0
230 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.9 -9.5 -1.4
231 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -11.4 -10.2 -1.1
232 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -11.9 -5.6 -6.4
233 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -12.0 -5.8 -6.2
234 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -12.0 -6.9 -5.1
235 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -12.3 -3.7 -8.7
236 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -12.5 -2.9 -9.6
237 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -13.1 -14.2 +1.1
238 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.3 -7.3 -6.0
239 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -13.6 -12.9 -0.7
240 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.7 -4.6 -9.0
241 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -13.7 -5.0 -8.7
242 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -13.7 -9.5 -4.2
243 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -13.9 -12.0 -1.9
244 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference -14.4 -4.8 -9.6
245 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -14.7 -5.3 -9.4
246 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.4 -12.8 -2.6
247 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -16.0 -12.1 -4.0
248 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -18.9 -11.0 -7.9
249 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -20.1 -9.2 -10.9
250 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -20.5 -4.3 -16.3
251 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -23.5 -10.8 -12.7
252 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -24.0 -12.0 -12.0
253 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -24.9 -12.9 -12.0

SRS — season 2016 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.6 +27.3 -32.9
2 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +38.2 +25.4 -26.0
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.3 +28.1 -25.3
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +36.6 +28.2 -28.5
5 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +35.7 +26.8 -29.8
6 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +33.9 +16.4 -29.8
7 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +21.1 -21.8
8 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.1 +23.3 -20.8
9 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +31.9 +25.4 -18.0
10 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +31.8 +30.2 -15.6
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +31.8 +16.7 -27.7
12 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.6 +18.6 -22.6
13 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.2 +28.7 -16.5
14 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +11.6 -25.0
15 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.2 +19.3 -20.8
16 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +28.2 +16.5 -23.1
17 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +16.7 -26.1
18 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +28.0 +22.3 -17.8
19 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +28.0 +22.0 -17.4
20 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.9 +19.3 -17.6
21 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +27.7 +21.6 -14.7
22 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +11.1 -25.3
23 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +16.6 -20.5
24 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +24.6 -11.0
25 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +28.5 -7.5
26 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +25.1 +20.3 -17.2
27 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.1 +15.3 -21.0
28 Temple FBS American Conference +24.8 +14.5 -19.3
29 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +13.1 -22.0
30 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +24.6 +13.3 -19.2
31 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.4 +23.4 -12.6
32 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +24.4 +13.9 -18.8
33 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.3 +12.9 -19.9
34 South Florida FBS American Conference +24.1 +26.2 -6.6
35 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +23.9 +12.0 -20.3
36 Tulsa FBS American Conference +23.2 +24.2 -8.2
37 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.1 +13.2 -20.4
38 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +23.0 +14.1 -16.9
39 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.9 +7.0 -19.5
40 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.8 +12.6 -17.6
41 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +22.4 +11.8 -18.5
42 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +14.2 -17.3
43 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +21.9 +17.4 -16.3
44 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +21.8 +18.5 -9.1
45 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +21.8 +22.3 -9.4
46 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +21.6 +18.5 -13.9
47 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.3 +6.8 -19.8
48 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +15.0 -16.3
49 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +19.7 +17.0 -12.7
50 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +19.6 +18.2 -6.3
51 Navy FBS American Conference +19.1 +18.8 -11.0
52 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +19.1 +20.7 -4.7
53 Memphis FBS American Conference +19.0 +20.1 -12.1
54 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.9 +15.9 -12.0
55 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +18.7 +10.4 -16.9
56 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.6 +15.0 -13.9
57 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +18.3 +17.0 -9.5
58 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +18.2 +10.1 -17.1
59 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.1 +23.7 -1.5
60 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.0 +16.1 -8.1
61 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +17.9 +26.6 -0.2
62 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +17.7 +11.3 -12.4
63 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +17.6 +13.4 -9.8
64 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +17.5 +20.7 -7.3
65 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +17.0 +21.8 -1.8
66 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +16.7 +7.1 -18.4
67 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +16.7 +11.1 -13.1
68 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +16.4 +12.1 -13.9
69 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +16.4 +11.6 -13.8
70 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.1 +5.0 -14.8
71 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.9 +6.3 -18.7
72 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +15.8 +17.5 -4.1
73 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +15.6 +12.5 -15.2
74 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.1 +9.3 -14.6
75 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +15.0 +13.5 -10.2
76 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +14.9 +6.5 -13.5
77 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +14.6 +9.9 -10.1
78 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +14.2 +5.3 -14.1
79 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.8 +16.9 -5.2
80 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.8 +13.0 -12.4
81 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference +13.6 +13.7 -4.9
82 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.5 +12.1 -5.9
83 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +13.4 +7.0 -8.7
84 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.9 +12.1 -5.0
85 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.7 +5.5 -14.1
86 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association +12.7 +7.5 -5.2
87 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +12.5 +3.7 -12.6
88 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +12.4 +10.0 -4.7
89 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +12.3 +17.5 +5.5
90 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +12.2 +5.1 -10.0
91 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +12.2 +3.6 -16.5
92 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +11.9 +8.7 -8.0
93 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +11.5 -0.0 -12.9
94 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.5 +12.1 -5.9
95 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +12.3 -4.0
96 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.6 +9.6 -6.5
97 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.6 +7.2 -3.9
98 Army FBS American Conference +10.3 +6.8 -13.1
99 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +10.1 +15.2 -6.8
100 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +9.9 +6.6 -9.3
101 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +9.5 +3.6 -7.6
102 UTSA FBS American Conference +9.4 +4.0 -9.4
103 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.3 -3.6 -15.5
104 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.0 +5.9 -8.2
105 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +8.9 +1.7 -8.7
106 Tulane FBS American Conference +8.9 +5.4 -11.5
107 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.8 +10.2 -4.2
108 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.7 +7.3 -9.0
109 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +8.6 +5.9 -6.6
110 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +8.2 +1.8 -11.0
111 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.1 +2.1 -9.1
112 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +8.0 +14.5 +1.2
113 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +7.8 +5.6 -5.7
114 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.8 +1.3 -10.2
115 Samford FCS Southern Conference +7.6 +8.2 -1.1
116 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +7.3 +8.2 -0.6
117 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference +7.3 +7.2 -1.8
118 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +7.1 +6.4 -9.8
119 Lehigh FCS Patriot League +7.0 +9.2 +3.7
120 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +6.5 +1.3 -13.6
121 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +6.5 +2.3 -5.2
122 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.5 +3.5 -6.7
123 Richmond FCS Patriot League +6.4 +3.4 -3.6
124 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +6.0 +4.7 -4.7
125 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +5.7 +0.0 -7.8
126 East Carolina FBS American Conference +5.7 +10.3 -4.0
127 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.3 +0.3 -6.9
128 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +4.9 -0.3 -1.2
129 Princeton FCS Ivy League +4.8 +1.9 -3.6
130 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +4.8 +10.9 -0.1
131 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +4.7 -0.2 -8.4
132 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +4.4 +2.1 -7.8
133 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +4.4 +9.1 -1.2
134 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +4.3 +5.1 +1.2
135 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +4.2 +5.2 -1.5
136 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.2 +1.6 -4.1
137 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.8 +8.4 +1.0
138 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +3.5 +4.1 -4.1
139 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +3.5 +10.4 +2.2
140 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +3.4 +6.2 +2.8
141 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +3.3 +3.9 -6.6
142 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +3.2 +3.6 -2.5
143 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +3.1 +6.7 +1.2
144 Furman FCS Southern Conference +3.1 +2.7 -3.6
145 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.9 +5.4 -0.5
146 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.5 -2.2 -4.9
147 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference +2.1 +5.4 -1.2
148 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +2.0 +1.0 -1.9
149 Liberty FBS Conference USA +1.6 +0.8 -2.5
150 North Texas FBS American Conference +1.5 +2.6 -3.5
151 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +1.3 +0.1 +0.9
152 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference +1.1 +3.2 +2.8
153 Colgate FCS Patriot League +0.7 -1.3 -1.7
154 UConn FBS FBS Independents +0.6 -2.9 -11.0
155 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +0.4 +1.2 -0.4
156 Charlotte FBS American Conference +0.1 +1.6 -0.7
157 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +0.1 -0.7 -1.8
158 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.0 -2.0 -2.7
159 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -0.1 -3.8 -2.8
160 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -0.2 +4.7 +2.7
161 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -0.2 +1.7 -2.0
162 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -0.3 +0.3 +1.9
163 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference -0.4 +4.0 +2.9
164 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.4 -1.3 +4.7
165 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference -0.6 -4.1 -7.5
166 Florida International FBS Conference USA -0.7 +0.7 -3.4
167 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -0.7 +0.6 +2.1
168 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -1.0 -1.3 +2.9
169 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference -1.1 +0.9 -2.8
170 UTEP FBS Conference USA -1.1 +1.8 +0.6
171 Fordham FCS Patriot League -1.1 +6.8 +7.2
172 Rice FBS American Conference -1.2 +2.7 +0.7
173 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -1.4 -1.2 -0.3
174 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.8 -3.9 -1.9
175 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -1.8 -4.2 -2.2
176 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.8 +2.4 +2.0
177 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.0 -9.2 -7.2
178 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -2.1 -5.4 -1.9
179 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference -2.5 -4.3 -4.7
180 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.0 -1.4 +0.7
181 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference -3.3 -2.5 -0.2
182 Delaware FBS Conference USA -3.5 -3.6 -1.2
183 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -3.6 +2.8 +4.5
184 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.8 +1.5 +11.0
185 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -4.1 -8.6 +4.6
186 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -4.3 -6.0 +2.3
187 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -4.4 -6.4 -2.5
188 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -4.4 -0.7 +5.3
189 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -4.5 +4.6 +7.3
190 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -4.7 -11.4 +0.1
191 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference -4.8 -3.7 -1.5
192 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.1 -3.7 +1.8
193 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -5.2 -9.0 -5.6
194 Harvard FCS Ivy League -5.4 -6.7 +1.8
195 VMI FCS Southern Conference -5.8 -7.1 -0.4
196 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -6.1 -5.9 +0.3
197 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.2 -1.8 +6.3
198 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -6.6 +0.9 +6.7
199 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -7.0 -2.2 +6.4
200 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.6 -0.3 +8.7
201 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference -7.8 -3.1 +2.7
202 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.1 -4.7 +12.0
203 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -8.1 -1.8 +10.2
204 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League -8.5 -11.6 -0.9
205 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -8.6 -11.7 -1.0
206 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.6 -5.6 +6.2
207 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -9.3 -9.1 +1.2
208 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -9.4 -3.0 +7.3
209 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -10.1 -7.2 +5.6
210 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.3 -7.6 +10.2
211 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -11.3 -12.9 +1.0
212 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -11.9 -6.4 +3.6
213 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -12.5 -4.5 +10.0
214 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -12.7 -7.3 +9.5
215 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -12.7 -11.7 +8.1
216 Cornell FCS Ivy League -13.0 -7.2 +10.4
217 Columbia FCS Ivy League -13.1 -11.8 +4.4
218 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -13.4 -12.6 +5.9
219 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.4 -16.7 +9.4
220 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -13.6 -2.8 +10.8
221 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -13.9 -8.5 +10.6
222 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -14.5 -11.0 +6.2
223 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -14.9 -10.7 +8.6
224 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.2 -18.1 +8.3
225 Yale FCS Ivy League -15.2 -10.6 +9.4
226 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -15.2 -16.3 +5.8
227 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -15.4 -8.2 +9.5
228 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -15.6 -17.9 +1.7
229 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference -15.8 -6.4 +12.2
230 Brown FCS Ivy League -15.8 -12.8 +6.1
231 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -15.9 -9.1 +8.8
232 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.5 -14.1 +14.0
233 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -16.7 -19.4 +0.9
234 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -16.8 -6.7 +12.4
235 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -17.0 -18.7 +1.1
236 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -17.2 -14.8 +5.0
237 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -17.6 -12.3 +18.1
238 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -19.2 -7.8 +19.0
239 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -19.2 -3.0 +17.8
240 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -19.2 -21.1 +7.3
241 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -20.3 -21.8 +9.3
242 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -21.1 -12.3 +13.2
243 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -23.0 -15.1 +16.5
244 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -23.6 -19.1 +16.8
245 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -24.7 -17.8 +11.9
246 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -24.8 -16.9 +13.3
247 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -24.8 -14.7 +14.4
248 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -26.2 -16.4 +15.6
249 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -26.3 -26.3 +4.5
250 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -26.8 -17.8 +14.3
251 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -28.1 -19.9 +19.7
252 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -29.2 -23.1 +25.7
253 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -32.3 -26.1 +25.3
254 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -35.8 -26.8 +16.6

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Washington State #54 #23 -31 (we're higher)
Notre Dame #18 #47 +29 (we're lower)
Wyoming #95 #66 -29 (we're higher)
Colorado #53 #25 -28 (we're higher)
Texas #36 #59 +23 (we're lower)
Cincinnati #82 #104 +22 (we're lower)
Michigan State #50 #70 +20 (we're lower)
Southern Miss #65 #85 +20 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +31.7 40.0 8.6 #1
2 Clemson +28.7 43.5 14.1 #2
3 Washington +26.7 40.2 13.9 #3
4 Oklahoma +26.1 48.7 22.9 #9
5 LSU +25.3 34.2 9.0 #6
6 Michigan +24.4 34.8 11.1 #5
7 Florida State +24.0 42.6 18.8 #7
8 USC +23.6 39.2 17.1 #8
9 Louisville +22.9 40.8 17.7 #14
10 Ohio State +22.4 35.6 15.0 #4
11 Penn State +19.0 38.0 20.9 #12
12 Miami +18.6 34.1 17.3 #10
13 Oklahoma State +16.4 42.4 27.0 #19
13 Stanford +16.4 31.2 17.5 #18
15 Tennessee +16.3 39.9 25.2 #24
16 Wisconsin +16.1 30.5 14.8 #11
17 North Carolina +15.9 38.5 24.6 #15
18 Notre Dame +15.7 39.4 23.2 #47
19 Western Kentucky +15.5 40.7 25.8 #20
20 Florida +15.4 26.6 14.0 #21
21 Auburn +15.3 32.1 18.4 #17
22 Virginia Tech +15.2 34.5 19.6 #16
23 Pittsburgh +13.1 43.0 29.4 #29
24 Minnesota +12.6 27.8 17.5 #41
25 Ole Miss +12.4 38.9 27.9 #43