BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2015 253 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.2	+10.8	+13.4
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.5	+7.9	+12.6
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.0	+13.0	+7.0
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.9	+11.9	+7.0
5	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.9	+10.8	+7.1
6	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.7	+13.5	+3.1
7	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+16.6	+6.8	+9.8
8	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.3	+6.4	+9.9
9	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.3	+14.9	+1.3
10	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.2	+9.8	+6.4
11	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.1	+11.2	+5.0
12	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.8	+5.2	+10.6
13	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+15.1	+10.4	+4.7
14	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.0	+8.3	+6.7
15	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.6	+9.6	+4.9
16	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+14.5	+1.6	+12.9
17	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+14.4	+8.0	+6.4
18	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.3	+6.2	+8.0
19	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.1	+10.4	+3.7
20	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+14.0	+6.2	+7.7
21	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.8	+4.2	+9.6
22	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.7	+10.3	+3.5
23	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+13.5	+13.1	+0.4
24	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+13.0	+8.1	+4.9
25	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+12.6	+5.6	+7.0
26	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.2	+4.8	+7.3
27	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.9	+6.1	+5.7
28	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.6	+1.3	+10.3
29	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+11.6	+6.7	+4.9
30	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.4	+10.7	+0.7
31	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.4	+16.3	-4.9
32	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.3	+3.3	+8.0
33	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.3	+12.7	-1.4
34	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+11.2	+2.0	+9.2
35	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.1	-0.2	+11.3
36	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+11.0	+4.4	+6.6
37	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.8	+2.0	+8.8
38	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.7	+3.4	+7.3
39	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.4	+6.7	+3.6
40	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+10.3	-0.7	+11.0
41	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+10.1	+5.8	+4.3
42	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+10.1	+4.2	+5.9
43	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.9	+10.1	-0.3
44	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.9	+1.7	+8.2
45	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.8	+4.1	+5.7
46	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+9.7	+8.3	+1.4
47	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+9.6	+2.3	+7.3
48	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.6	+6.8	+2.8
49	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.5	+4.7	+4.8
50	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.5	+0.4	+9.1
51	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.5	+4.4	+5.0
52	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.4	+1.7	+7.7
53	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.4	+6.3	+3.1
54	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.3	+3.4	+5.9
55	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+9.3	+3.0	+6.2
56	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+9.2	+4.7	+4.5
57	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.1	+3.9	+5.2
58	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+8.6	+10.2	-1.6
59	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+8.4	+4.5	+4.0
60	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.4	+5.1	+3.3
61	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.3	+6.5	+1.8
62	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.1	+3.5	+4.6
63	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.1	+7.3	+0.8
64	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.0	+13.1	-5.0
65	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+8.0	+6.3	+1.7
66	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+8.0	+7.0	+1.0
67	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+7.8	+2.9	+5.0
68	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.8	+3.6	+4.2
69	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+7.7	+6.4	+1.2
70	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+7.6	+4.6	+3.0
71	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.5	+8.0	-0.6
72	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+7.4	+5.5	+1.8
73	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.2	+1.3	+5.9
74	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+7.2	+2.1	+5.1
75	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.1	+2.7	+4.5
76	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.7	-3.3	+10.0
77	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.7	+8.1	-1.4
78	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	+6.7	+6.0	+0.6
79	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.4	+5.0	+1.4
80	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+6.3	+0.7	+5.6
81	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.3	-0.0	+6.4
82	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.2	+16.5	-10.3
83	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.1	+2.3	+3.8
84	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	+6.0	+2.9	+3.1
85	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.9	+4.2	+1.7
86	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.8	+5.0	+0.7
87	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+5.5	+10.1	-4.6
88	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.5	+2.1	+3.3
89	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.3	+8.7	-3.4
90	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+5.3	+0.9	+4.4
91	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+5.2	+2.6	+2.6
92	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.9	+3.3	+1.5
93	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+4.7	+2.8	+1.9
94	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.6	+3.4	+1.2
95	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.5	+6.9	-2.4
96	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.5	-0.9	+5.4
97	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	+4.5	+9.5	-5.0
98	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.4	+10.1	-5.6
99	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.3	+5.8	-1.5
100	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.2	+10.2	-6.0
101	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.1	+8.9	-4.8
102	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+4.0	+0.9	+3.1
103	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.9	+1.3	+2.6
104	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	+3.8	+0.8	+3.0
105	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+3.7	-0.3	+4.0
106	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+3.7	-2.1	+5.8
107	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.2	-1.4	+4.5
108	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+3.1	-8.5	+11.5
109	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.0	-0.2	+3.2
110	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+2.9	+3.5	-0.7
111	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.8	+0.1	+2.7
112	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.8	-3.2	+6.0
113	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+2.7	+9.7	-7.0
114	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.7	+1.5	+1.1
115	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	+2.6	+1.6	+1.0
116	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+2.6	+4.3	-1.7
117	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.6	-2.8	+5.5
118	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.6	+9.3	-6.7
119	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.5	-8.6	+11.1
120	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.4	+7.6	-5.2
121	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+2.2	+6.2	-4.0
122	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	+2.2	+1.6	+0.5
123	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+2.1	+0.4	+1.7
124	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+2.0	+0.2	+1.9
125	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.0	-5.2	+7.2
126	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	+1.8	-4.1	+6.0
127	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+1.7	-1.2	+3.0
128	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.5	-0.3	+1.9
129	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+1.5	-6.1	+7.6
130	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+1.5	+0.5	+1.0
131	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+1.2	+0.4	+0.7
131	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+1.2	-0.4	+1.5
132	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.1	+0.7	+0.4
133	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.1	-1.6	+2.7
134	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+1.0	+3.3	-2.3
135	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+0.9	-0.4	+1.3
136	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+0.8	-2.8	+3.6
137	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.8	+0.1	+0.7
138	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	+0.7	-0.2	+0.9
139	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+0.6	+2.0	-1.4
140	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.6	-1.6	+2.1
141	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+0.5	+4.6	-4.2
142	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+0.3	+1.7	-1.4
143	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+0.2	-7.6	+7.9
144	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+0.2	-6.0	+6.2
145	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+0.0	-2.8	+2.9
146	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-0.4	+0.4	-0.8
147	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	-0.4	+8.4	-8.9
148	East Texas A&M	FCS	Southland Conference	-0.5	-1.1	+0.6
149	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.6	+4.8	-5.4
150	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.7	-4.6	+3.9
151	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	-0.7	+0.0	-0.7
152	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-0.7	-2.0	+1.3
153	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-0.7	-2.5	+1.7
153	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-0.7	-3.0	+2.2
154	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	-0.7	-1.3	+0.6
155	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-0.7	-2.3	+1.6
156	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-0.8	-4.0	+3.2
157	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	-0.9	-1.2	+0.3
158	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.9	-2.3	+1.4
159	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.9	+0.5	-1.4
160	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.0	+0.5	-1.5
161	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	-1.6	+4.5	-6.0
162	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.6	-3.1	+1.6
163	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-1.6	+3.7	-5.4
164	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.7	-2.2	+0.5
165	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.8	-2.4	+0.6
166	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-1.8	-1.6	-0.3
167	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.9	+5.3	-7.1
168	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-2.2	+2.5	-4.7
169	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-2.2	+3.0	-5.3
170	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-2.4	-3.1	+0.8
171	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-2.6	-10.1	+7.5
172	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.8	-9.7	+6.9
173	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-2.9	-2.7	-0.2
174	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.1	-2.1	-1.0
175	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.3	-4.7	+1.4
176	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-3.4	+1.0	-4.3
177	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-3.5	+2.3	-5.8
178	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-3.5	+1.2	-4.7
179	Army	FBS	American Conference	-3.9	-4.0	+0.1
180	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-4.5	-11.1	+6.7
181	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-4.8	-7.9	+3.2
182	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-4.8	-5.6	+0.8
183	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-5.0	+0.9	-5.9
184	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	-5.3	-2.9	-2.3
185	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	-5.3	-5.2	-0.1
186	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.3	-0.0	-5.3
187	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-5.4	-10.4	+5.0
188	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.5	-2.8	-2.8
189	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-5.6	+0.3	-6.0
190	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-5.6	-6.2	+0.6
191	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.9	-3.6	-2.4
192	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.9	-1.6	-4.3
193	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-6.1	-0.7	-5.3
194	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-6.2	-11.2	+5.0
195	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	-6.3	-6.6	+0.3
196	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.3	-8.1	+1.8
197	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-6.4	-4.3	-2.1
198	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-6.5	+2.4	-8.9
199	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-6.7	-11.4	+4.6
200	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.8	-1.2	-5.7
201	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-7.0	-11.0	+4.0
202	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	-7.0	-6.9	-0.1
203	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-7.0	+2.8	-9.8
204	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-7.2	-5.6	-1.6
205	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-7.2	-8.2	+1.0
206	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-7.2	-9.6	+2.4
207	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-7.2	-8.5	+1.2
208	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-7.6	-1.9	-5.7
209	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-7.7	+1.7	-9.4
210	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-7.7	+1.2	-8.9
211	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-8.1	-5.4	-2.8
212	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-8.4	-2.2	-6.3
213	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-8.8	-6.9	-1.8
214	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	-8.8	-4.4	-4.4
215	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-9.0	-4.2	-4.9
216	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-9.1	+2.7	-11.9
217	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-9.2	-8.0	-1.2
218	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-9.3	-8.5	-0.8
219	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-9.3	-7.4	-1.9
220	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-9.4	-7.7	-1.8
221	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.6	-3.0	-6.6
222	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.8	-5.4	-4.4
223	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-9.8	-6.4	-3.3
224	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-9.8	-4.8	-5.0
225	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-10.2	-6.5	-3.6
226	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-10.2	-4.5	-5.7
227	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-10.4	-5.6	-4.9
228	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-10.6	-5.8	-4.8
229	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	-10.8	-7.4	-3.4
230	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-10.9	-4.0	-6.9
231	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-11.3	-5.3	-6.0
232	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-12.4	-6.3	-6.1
233	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-12.4	-9.3	-3.1
234	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-12.5	-3.9	-8.5
235	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-12.7	-0.5	-12.2
236	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-12.7	-6.1	-6.5
237	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-12.8	-8.1	-4.7
238	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-13.1	-7.3	-5.8
239	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-13.5	-4.8	-8.7
240	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-13.8	-6.0	-7.8
241	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-14.5	-9.4	-5.2
242	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-15.4	-9.9	-5.5
243	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-15.7	-8.0	-7.7
244	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-15.9	-6.7	-9.2
245	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-16.5	-4.8	-11.6
246	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-16.7	-10.8	-5.9
247	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-17.4	-8.2	-9.2
248	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-19.1	-9.8	-9.3
249	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-19.4	-10.8	-8.6
250	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-19.6	-11.7	-7.9
251	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.6	-10.7	-9.9

SRS — season 2015 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+41.4	+25.5	-28.9
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+37.0	+21.5	-27.1
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+36.0	+28.3	-21.7
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+35.7	+28.5	-23.6
5	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+34.5	+25.0	-20.9
6	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+32.7	+18.9	-25.0
7	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.0	+27.5	-20.3
8	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.9	+24.3	-20.1
9	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+31.8	+25.2	-18.1
10	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+31.5	+27.5	-15.7
11	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+31.4	+19.9	-23.4
12	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.0	+19.9	-22.6
13	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+30.8	+29.5	-14.7
14	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.1	+24.1	-16.4
15	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+30.0	+16.5	-23.4
16	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+29.9	+21.4	-19.5
17	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+29.0	+24.0	-16.8
18	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.7	+20.5	-20.8
19	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+27.6	+19.2	-17.8
20	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+27.3	+22.0	-16.6
21	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.3	+17.4	-20.3
22	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.4	+30.0	-5.2
23	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.3	+12.4	-26.0
24	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+26.2	+16.3	-18.2
25	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.1	+16.1	-22.0
26	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.0	+16.0	-20.9
27	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.8	+14.6	-25.5
28	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.5	+24.2	-12.5
29	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.3	+14.0	-21.7
30	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.8	+17.6	-20.1
31	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.8	+13.0	-23.2
32	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+24.8	+24.4	-9.8
33	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.5	+24.1	-12.1
34	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.0	+15.7	-19.0
35	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.9	+17.8	-18.3
36	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.9	+17.2	-18.2
37	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+23.8	+25.1	-9.6
38	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.3	+15.6	-17.3
39	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+22.7	+20.9	-13.6
40	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.7	+20.0	-12.9
41	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+22.5	+11.9	-15.1
42	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.4	+19.2	-14.6
43	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+22.3	+15.5	-13.7
44	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+22.2	+12.3	-18.1
45	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.9	+17.2	-15.0
46	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+21.7	+15.3	-15.3
47	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.6	+13.3	-15.2
48	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+21.5	+18.6	-15.1
49	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.4	+7.3	-22.9
50	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+21.2	+15.7	-15.8
51	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.8	+21.2	-10.4
52	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+20.8	+10.6	-19.3
53	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.8	+11.5	-18.7
54	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+20.4	+19.5	-16.1
55	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.2	+30.5	+0.0
56	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.9	+16.0	-17.8
57	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+19.4	+17.9	-10.6
58	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.7	+14.1	-12.2
59	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.5	+17.2	-12.3
60	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.2	+10.8	-16.5
61	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.9	+12.7	-14.9
62	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.8	+22.6	-4.1
63	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+17.3	+14.1	-8.5
64	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.6	+22.6	-4.2
65	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.6	+11.4	-14.8
66	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.5	+17.6	-7.8
67	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.4	+8.5	-13.9
68	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+16.4	+12.7	-10.3
69	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.3	+10.4	-17.1
70	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.2	+13.0	-12.6
71	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.1	+1.3	-24.6
72	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.8	+11.6	-13.0
73	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+15.8	+11.3	-7.6
74	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.6	+7.7	-15.1
75	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+15.5	+10.8	-8.7
76	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.4	+12.0	-13.4
77	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+15.3	+10.8	-13.1
78	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.2	+15.7	-10.4
79	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+15.1	+5.6	-13.2
80	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.0	+16.7	-5.7
81	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+14.8	+1.3	-14.4
82	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+14.6	+9.1	-10.1
83	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.5	+13.8	-9.7
84	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.4	+1.9	-25.2
85	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+14.3	+17.6	-3.6
86	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.1	+13.8	-10.5
87	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.0	+16.7	-9.1
88	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+13.9	+5.4	-11.4
89	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+12.9	+7.7	-9.2
90	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+12.6	+4.2	-18.5
91	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.4	+2.6	-20.3
92	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+12.1	+4.6	-8.8
93	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.0	+12.4	-10.0
94	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+11.9	+2.1	-17.3
95	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+11.7	+4.9	-8.7
96	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+11.6	+14.3	-6.9
97	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.6	+2.5	-13.4
98	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.0	+6.9	-13.3
99	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.4	+13.4	-4.2
100	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+10.4	+19.1	+0.9
101	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.2	+9.4	-8.9
102	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+9.9	+7.9	-3.5
103	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.8	+5.8	-6.7
104	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.6	+8.0	-8.4
105	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.5	+12.7	-5.2
106	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+9.5	+6.9	-6.3
107	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.2	+17.8	+4.2
108	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+9.1	+5.4	-7.3
109	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+8.5	+5.8	-3.1
110	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+8.4	+3.5	-5.5
111	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+8.1	+4.4	-3.0
112	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.9	+8.3	-1.8
113	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.7	+8.0	-4.8
114	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.2	+8.8	-6.9
115	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.1	+2.1	-6.7
116	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+7.1	+12.4	+2.7
117	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+6.7	+2.8	-7.9
118	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+6.7	+10.2	+3.6
119	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+6.6	+6.2	-6.6
120	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	+6.6	+7.5	-0.6
121	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+6.5	+5.3	-8.7
122	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+6.4	-5.1	-8.7
123	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	+5.5	+2.0	-3.3
124	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	+5.2	+4.2	-3.1
125	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.7	+8.7	+2.3
126	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.6	+6.1	-8.2
127	Army	FBS	American Conference	+4.5	+2.2	-7.2
128	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	+4.1	+11.2	+6.9
129	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+4.1	+2.4	-1.8
130	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.5	+10.4	+2.5
131	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+3.3	+9.3	+8.7
132	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.1	+3.4	+0.0
133	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.0	-4.6	-10.0
134	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.0	+3.5	-4.6
135	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.0	+5.3	-1.7
136	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+3.0	+0.9	-6.9
137	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+2.9	+9.9	-2.1
138	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.9	-4.4	-2.5
139	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+2.8	+6.0	+5.2
140	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.3	-2.9	-5.6
141	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+1.7	+5.4	+1.1
142	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.6	-0.5	-3.7
143	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+1.4	+0.0	-2.8
144	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	+1.4	+1.8	-0.9
145	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.3	-0.7	-2.0
146	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+1.2	+3.3	+2.4
147	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.2	+1.1	-0.5
148	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+1.1	+0.6	-2.3
149	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+0.8	-0.0	+5.4
150	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.6	+2.4	-2.5
151	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+0.6	-2.2	-2.3
152	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.6	+7.0	+5.2
153	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.5	-5.4	-8.1
154	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.4	+9.6	+5.2
155	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+0.4	+2.3	-2.0
156	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+0.3	-2.2	-2.4
157	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.2	-1.1	-3.2
158	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.2	+10.3	+9.2
159	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.1	-6.0	-4.0
160	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.4	+4.4	+0.1
161	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-0.4	-0.7	-2.6
162	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	-0.5	+1.1	+0.7
163	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-0.5	+0.1	+9.1
164	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.9	+3.1	+1.6
165	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-1.2	+1.7	+14.0
166	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-1.6	-2.4	+2.8
167	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.7	+5.9	+8.3
168	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-1.7	-3.7	+1.2
169	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	-2.2	-2.6	+0.3
170	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-2.3	-1.5	-0.7
171	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-2.4	+8.1	+9.3
172	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.5	-1.8	-0.7
173	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-2.6	-10.5	-1.9
174	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.8	+0.5	-0.7
175	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-2.8	-2.8	-1.8
176	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-3.4	-1.2	-0.2
177	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-3.4	+1.7	+2.7
178	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-3.5	-5.1	+0.4
179	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-3.5	-4.9	-1.4
180	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.5	-3.6	+2.4
181	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-3.8	-2.9	-0.8
182	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.9	+0.5	-3.7
183	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	-4.3	+3.4	+9.0
184	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-4.3	+3.4	+7.3
185	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-4.5	-12.4	-7.5
186	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-4.6	-13.6	-7.8
187	East Texas A&M	FCS	Southland Conference	-4.9	-7.0	+0.4
188	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-4.9	+7.0	+7.3
189	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-5.2	+3.0	+17.6
190	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-5.5	-9.3	+4.0
191	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-5.6	-6.4	-0.5
192	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	-5.7	-6.8	-1.2
193	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-6.1	-6.5	+2.8
194	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-6.3	-3.2	+13.9
195	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	-6.4	-5.1	+1.9
196	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-6.6	-11.9	-6.1
197	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-6.6	-3.5	+3.7
198	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-6.7	-4.5	+2.6
199	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-7.0	-9.8	-0.8
200	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-7.3	-9.3	+3.6
201	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-7.3	-8.9	+5.5
202	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-7.4	-10.9	+2.5
203	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-7.5	-3.5	+9.5
204	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-7.7	-7.9	-2.2
205	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-8.1	-15.3	-5.7
206	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-8.2	+4.5	-4.2
207	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-8.2	-13.6	-4.8
208	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-8.5	-6.4	+5.3
209	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.8	-0.1	+11.1
210	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-9.4	-2.5	+9.9
211	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-9.5	-2.2	+7.5
212	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-9.8	+1.6	+11.0
213	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-10.2	-15.7	-2.1
214	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-10.8	-4.3	+6.3
215	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-10.9	-8.7	+6.1
216	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-11.1	-9.9	+10.1
217	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-11.1	-10.1	+2.7
218	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-11.5	-12.5	+5.8
219	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-11.7	-14.8	+1.7
220	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-11.9	-1.5	+15.0
221	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-12.1	-4.1	+7.4
222	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-12.1	-16.7	+5.1
223	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-12.5	-15.2	+5.0
224	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-12.7	-14.7	+6.8
225	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-12.8	-14.7	+6.0
226	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-13.1	-10.1	+4.0
227	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-13.2	-13.9	+7.1
228	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-13.3	-12.2	+4.3
229	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	-13.9	-11.7	+5.4
230	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-13.9	-10.3	+3.7
231	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.0	-11.4	+12.2
232	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-15.3	-11.2	+15.7
233	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-15.3	-19.3	+0.0
234	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-15.3	-9.2	+10.2
235	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-16.6	-17.4	+10.3
236	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-16.7	-7.7	+13.3
237	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	-16.9	-14.0	+9.8
238	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-19.0	-12.7	+18.6
239	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-19.5	-14.2	+9.2
240	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-19.6	-18.8	+14.4
241	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.2	-17.4	+15.7
242	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-21.4	-17.4	+12.4
243	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-21.9	-14.0	+9.8
244	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-22.0	-13.6	+14.1
245	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-26.5	-20.3	+20.5
246	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-27.1	-18.6	+23.1
247	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-28.2	-18.8	+16.8
248	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-30.7	-21.3	+20.6
249	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-30.8	-22.2	+22.9
250	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-31.9	-24.6	+23.8
251	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-34.2	-23.6	+22.0
252	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-34.3	-19.5	+27.4
253	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-35.1	-26.7	+21.2

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
3	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
4	Montana State	FCS	1749
5	Georgia	FBS	1746
6	Ohio State	FBS	1745
7	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
8	Miami	FBS	1719
9	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
10	Alabama	FBS	1708
11	James Madison	FBS	1703
12	Texas	FBS	1701
13	Oregon	FBS	1698
14	Lehigh	FCS	1696
15	SMU	FBS	1695
16	Utah	FBS	1693
17	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
18	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
19	BYU	FBS	1681
20	Montana	FCS	1681
21	South Dakota	FCS	1677
22	USC	FBS	1676
23	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
24	Penn State	FBS	1671
25	Iowa	FBS	1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 128 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25