BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2015 253 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +10.8 +13.4
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.5 +7.9 +12.6
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.0 +13.0 +7.0
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +18.9 +11.9 +7.0
5 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.9 +10.8 +7.1
6 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.7 +13.5 +3.1
7 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +16.6 +6.8 +9.8
8 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.3 +6.4 +9.9
9 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +16.3 +14.9 +1.3
10 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +9.8 +6.4
11 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +11.2 +5.0
12 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +15.8 +5.2 +10.6
13 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +15.1 +10.4 +4.7
14 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +15.0 +8.3 +6.7
15 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +14.6 +9.6 +4.9
16 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +14.5 +1.6 +12.9
17 Navy FBS American Conference +14.4 +8.0 +6.4
18 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +14.3 +6.2 +8.0
19 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +14.1 +10.4 +3.7
20 Harvard FCS Ivy League +14.0 +6.2 +7.7
21 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +13.8 +4.2 +9.6
22 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +13.7 +10.3 +3.5
23 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +13.5 +13.1 +0.4
24 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +13.0 +8.1 +4.9
25 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +12.6 +5.6 +7.0
26 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +12.2 +4.8 +7.3
27 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +11.9 +6.1 +5.7
28 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +11.6 +1.3 +10.3
29 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.6 +6.7 +4.9
30 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.4 +10.7 +0.7
31 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +11.4 +16.3 -4.9
32 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +3.3 +8.0
33 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +11.3 +12.7 -1.4
34 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.2 +2.0 +9.2
35 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +11.1 -0.2 +11.3
36 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +11.0 +4.4 +6.6
37 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +10.8 +2.0 +8.8
38 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +10.7 +3.4 +7.3
39 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.4 +6.7 +3.6
40 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +10.3 -0.7 +11.0
41 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.1 +5.8 +4.3
42 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +10.1 +4.2 +5.9
43 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +9.9 +10.1 -0.3
44 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.9 +1.7 +8.2
45 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.8 +4.1 +5.7
46 Memphis FBS American Conference +9.7 +8.3 +1.4
47 Temple FBS American Conference +9.6 +2.3 +7.3
48 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.6 +6.8 +2.8
49 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +9.5 +4.7 +4.8
50 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +9.5 +0.4 +9.1
51 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.5 +4.4 +5.0
52 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.4 +1.7 +7.7
53 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +9.4 +6.3 +3.1
54 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +9.3 +3.4 +5.9
55 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +9.3 +3.0 +6.2
56 South Florida FBS American Conference +9.2 +4.7 +4.5
57 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.1 +3.9 +5.2
58 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +8.6 +10.2 -1.6
59 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +8.4 +4.5 +4.0
60 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.4 +5.1 +3.3
61 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.3 +6.5 +1.8
62 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.1 +3.5 +4.6
63 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +8.1 +7.3 +0.8
64 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.0 +13.1 -5.0
65 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +8.0 +6.3 +1.7
66 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +8.0 +7.0 +1.0
67 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association +7.8 +2.9 +5.0
68 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference +7.8 +3.6 +4.2
69 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +7.7 +6.4 +1.2
70 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.6 +4.6 +3.0
71 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.5 +8.0 -0.6
72 Richmond FCS Patriot League +7.4 +5.5 +1.8
73 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.2 +1.3 +5.9
74 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +7.2 +2.1 +5.1
75 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +7.1 +2.7 +4.5
76 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +6.7 -3.3 +10.0
77 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +6.7 +8.1 -1.4
78 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +6.7 +6.0 +0.6
79 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.4 +5.0 +1.4
80 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.3 +0.7 +5.6
81 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +6.3 -0.0 +6.4
82 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +6.2 +16.5 -10.3
83 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.1 +2.3 +3.8
84 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference +6.0 +2.9 +3.1
85 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +5.9 +4.2 +1.7
86 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +5.8 +5.0 +0.7
87 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +5.5 +10.1 -4.6
88 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.5 +2.1 +3.3
89 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +5.3 +8.7 -3.4
90 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +5.3 +0.9 +4.4
91 Princeton FCS Ivy League +5.2 +2.6 +2.6
92 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +4.9 +3.3 +1.5
93 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +4.7 +2.8 +1.9
94 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +4.6 +3.4 +1.2
95 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +4.5 +6.9 -2.4
96 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +4.5 -0.9 +5.4
97 Fordham FCS Patriot League +4.5 +9.5 -5.0
98 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +4.4 +10.1 -5.6
99 Samford FCS Southern Conference +4.3 +5.8 -1.5
100 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +4.2 +10.2 -6.0
101 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +4.1 +8.9 -4.8
102 East Carolina FBS American Conference +4.0 +0.9 +3.1
103 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +3.9 +1.3 +2.6
104 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference +3.8 +0.8 +3.0
105 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +3.7 -0.3 +4.0
106 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League +3.7 -2.1 +5.8
107 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +3.2 -1.4 +4.5
108 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +3.1 -8.5 +11.5
109 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +3.0 -0.2 +3.2
110 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +2.9 +3.5 -0.7
111 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.8 +0.1 +2.7
112 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +2.8 -3.2 +6.0
113 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +2.7 +9.7 -7.0
114 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +2.7 +1.5 +1.1
115 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +2.6 +1.6 +1.0
116 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +2.6 +4.3 -1.7
117 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.6 -2.8 +5.5
118 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +2.6 +9.3 -6.7
119 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +2.5 -8.6 +11.1
120 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.4 +7.6 -5.2
121 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.2 +6.2 -4.0
122 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +2.2 +1.6 +0.5
123 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +2.1 +0.4 +1.7
124 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +2.0 +0.2 +1.9
125 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.0 -5.2 +7.2
126 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +1.8 -4.1 +6.0
127 Yale FCS Ivy League +1.7 -1.2 +3.0
128 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.5 -0.3 +1.9
129 UConn FBS FBS Independents +1.5 -6.1 +7.6
130 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League +1.5 +0.5 +1.0
131 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League +1.2 +0.4 +0.7
131 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +1.2 -0.4 +1.5
132 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +1.1 +0.7 +0.4
133 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.1 -1.6 +2.7
134 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.0 +3.3 -2.3
135 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +0.9 -0.4 +1.3
136 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League +0.8 -2.8 +3.6
137 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.8 +0.1 +0.7
138 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents +0.7 -0.2 +0.9
139 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +0.6 +2.0 -1.4
140 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.6 -1.6 +2.1
141 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.5 +4.6 -4.2
142 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.3 +1.7 -1.4
143 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +0.2 -7.6 +7.9
144 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +0.2 -6.0 +6.2
145 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League +0.0 -2.8 +2.9
146 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference -0.4 +0.4 -0.8
147 Tulsa FBS American Conference -0.4 +8.4 -8.9
148 East Texas A&M FCS Southland Conference -0.5 -1.1 +0.6
149 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -0.6 +4.8 -5.4
150 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference -0.7 -4.6 +3.9
151 Liberty FBS Conference USA -0.7 +0.0 -0.7
152 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -0.7 -2.0 +1.3
153 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.7 -2.5 +1.7
153 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference -0.7 -3.0 +2.2
154 Colgate FCS Patriot League -0.7 -1.3 +0.6
155 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -0.7 -2.3 +1.6
156 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.8 -4.0 +3.2
157 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -0.9 -1.2 +0.3
158 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference -0.9 -2.3 +1.4
159 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference -0.9 +0.5 -1.4
160 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference -1.0 +0.5 -1.5
161 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -1.6 +4.5 -6.0
162 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.6 -3.1 +1.6
163 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -1.6 +3.7 -5.4
164 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference -1.7 -2.2 +0.5
165 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.8 -2.4 +0.6
166 Florida International FBS Conference USA -1.8 -1.6 -0.3
167 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference -1.9 +5.3 -7.1
168 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -2.2 +2.5 -4.7
169 Brown FCS Ivy League -2.2 +3.0 -5.3
170 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -2.4 -3.1 +0.8
171 Columbia FCS Ivy League -2.6 -10.1 +7.5
172 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.8 -9.7 +6.9
173 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -2.9 -2.7 -0.2
174 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -3.1 -2.1 -1.0
175 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.3 -4.7 +1.4
176 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -3.4 +1.0 -4.3
177 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League -3.5 +2.3 -5.8
178 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference -3.5 +1.2 -4.7
179 Army FBS American Conference -3.9 -4.0 +0.1
180 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -4.5 -11.1 +6.7
181 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -4.8 -7.9 +3.2
182 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -4.8 -5.6 +0.8
183 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -5.0 +0.9 -5.9
184 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference -5.3 -2.9 -2.3
185 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference -5.3 -5.2 -0.1
186 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -5.3 -0.0 -5.3
187 Delaware FBS Conference USA -5.4 -10.4 +5.0
188 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference -5.5 -2.8 -2.8
189 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -5.6 +0.3 -6.0
190 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -5.6 -6.2 +0.6
191 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -5.9 -3.6 -2.4
192 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference -5.9 -1.6 -4.3
193 Rice FBS American Conference -6.1 -0.7 -5.3
194 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -6.2 -11.2 +5.0
195 Furman FCS Southern Conference -6.3 -6.6 +0.3
196 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.3 -8.1 +1.8
197 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.4 -4.3 -2.1
198 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -6.5 +2.4 -8.9
199 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.7 -11.4 +4.6
200 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.8 -1.2 -5.7
201 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -7.0 -11.0 +4.0
202 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -7.0 -6.9 -0.1
203 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -7.0 +2.8 -9.8
204 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference -7.2 -5.6 -1.6
205 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -7.2 -8.2 +1.0
206 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -7.2 -9.6 +2.4
207 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.2 -8.5 +1.2
208 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference -7.6 -1.9 -5.7
209 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -7.7 +1.7 -9.4
210 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -7.7 +1.2 -8.9
211 UTSA FBS American Conference -8.1 -5.4 -2.8
212 VMI FCS Southern Conference -8.4 -2.2 -6.3
213 UTEP FBS Conference USA -8.8 -6.9 -1.8
214 Tulane FBS American Conference -8.8 -4.4 -4.4
215 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -9.0 -4.2 -4.9
216 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -9.1 +2.7 -11.9
217 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -9.2 -8.0 -1.2
218 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -9.3 -8.5 -0.8
219 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference -9.3 -7.4 -1.9
220 Cornell FCS Ivy League -9.4 -7.7 -1.8
221 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference -9.6 -3.0 -6.6
222 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -9.8 -5.4 -4.4
223 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -9.8 -6.4 -3.3
224 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -9.8 -4.8 -5.0
225 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference -10.2 -6.5 -3.6
226 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference -10.2 -4.5 -5.7
227 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -10.4 -5.6 -4.9
228 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.6 -5.8 -4.8
229 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -10.8 -7.4 -3.4
230 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.9 -4.0 -6.9
231 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference -11.3 -5.3 -6.0
232 Charlotte FBS American Conference -12.4 -6.3 -6.1
233 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -12.4 -9.3 -3.1
234 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -12.5 -3.9 -8.5
235 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -12.7 -0.5 -12.2
236 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -12.7 -6.1 -6.5
237 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference -12.8 -8.1 -4.7
238 North Texas FBS American Conference -13.1 -7.3 -5.8
239 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -13.5 -4.8 -8.7
240 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -13.8 -6.0 -7.8
241 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -14.5 -9.4 -5.2
242 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -15.4 -9.9 -5.5
243 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -15.7 -8.0 -7.7
244 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -15.9 -6.7 -9.2
245 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -16.5 -4.8 -11.6
246 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -16.7 -10.8 -5.9
247 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -17.4 -8.2 -9.2
248 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -19.1 -9.8 -9.3
249 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -19.4 -10.8 -8.6
250 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -19.6 -11.7 -7.9
251 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -20.6 -10.7 -9.9

SRS — season 2015 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +41.4 +25.5 -28.9
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +37.0 +21.5 -27.1
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +36.0 +28.3 -21.7
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +35.7 +28.5 -23.6
5 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +34.5 +25.0 -20.9
6 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +32.7 +18.9 -25.0
7 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +32.0 +27.5 -20.3
8 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +31.9 +24.3 -20.1
9 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +31.8 +25.2 -18.1
10 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.5 +27.5 -15.7
11 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.4 +19.9 -23.4
12 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +31.0 +19.9 -22.6
13 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +30.8 +29.5 -14.7
14 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +30.1 +24.1 -16.4
15 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +30.0 +16.5 -23.4
16 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +29.9 +21.4 -19.5
17 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +29.0 +24.0 -16.8
18 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +27.7 +20.5 -20.8
19 Navy FBS American Conference +27.6 +19.2 -17.8
20 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +27.3 +22.0 -16.6
21 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +17.4 -20.3
22 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +26.4 +30.0 -5.2
23 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +26.3 +12.4 -26.0
24 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +26.2 +16.3 -18.2
25 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +26.1 +16.1 -22.0
26 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +26.0 +16.0 -20.9
27 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +25.8 +14.6 -25.5
28 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.5 +24.2 -12.5
29 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +25.3 +14.0 -21.7
30 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +24.8 +17.6 -20.1
31 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +24.8 +13.0 -23.2
32 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.8 +24.4 -9.8
33 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.5 +24.1 -12.1
34 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +24.0 +15.7 -19.0
35 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +23.9 +17.8 -18.3
36 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.9 +17.2 -18.2
37 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +23.8 +25.1 -9.6
38 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.3 +15.6 -17.3
39 Memphis FBS American Conference +22.7 +20.9 -13.6
40 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +22.7 +20.0 -12.9
41 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.5 +11.9 -15.1
42 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.4 +19.2 -14.6
43 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.3 +15.5 -13.7
44 Temple FBS American Conference +22.2 +12.3 -18.1
45 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.9 +17.2 -15.0
46 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.7 +15.3 -15.3
47 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.6 +13.3 -15.2
48 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.5 +18.6 -15.1
49 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +21.4 +7.3 -22.9
50 South Florida FBS American Conference +21.2 +15.7 -15.8
51 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.8 +21.2 -10.4
52 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.8 +10.6 -19.3
53 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.8 +11.5 -18.7
54 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.4 +19.5 -16.1
55 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +20.2 +30.5 +0.0
56 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.9 +16.0 -17.8
57 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +19.4 +17.9 -10.6
58 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +18.7 +14.1 -12.2
59 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.5 +17.2 -12.3
60 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.2 +10.8 -16.5
61 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +17.9 +12.7 -14.9
62 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +17.8 +22.6 -4.1
63 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA +17.3 +14.1 -8.5
64 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +16.6 +22.6 -4.2
65 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +16.6 +11.4 -14.8
66 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.5 +17.6 -7.8
67 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.4 +8.5 -13.9
68 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +16.4 +12.7 -10.3
69 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +16.3 +10.4 -17.1
70 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.2 +13.0 -12.6
71 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +1.3 -24.6
72 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.8 +11.6 -13.0
73 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +15.8 +11.3 -7.6
74 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +15.6 +7.7 -15.1
75 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.5 +10.8 -8.7
76 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +15.4 +12.0 -13.4
77 East Carolina FBS American Conference +15.3 +10.8 -13.1
78 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +15.2 +15.7 -10.4
79 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.1 +5.6 -13.2
80 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +15.0 +16.7 -5.7
81 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +14.8 +1.3 -14.4
82 Harvard FCS Ivy League +14.6 +9.1 -10.1
83 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +14.5 +13.8 -9.7
84 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.4 +1.9 -25.2
85 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference +14.3 +17.6 -3.6
86 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +14.1 +13.8 -10.5
87 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.0 +16.7 -9.1
88 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.9 +5.4 -11.4
89 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +12.9 +7.7 -9.2
90 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.6 +4.2 -18.5
91 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +12.4 +2.6 -20.3
92 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +12.1 +4.6 -8.8
93 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +12.0 +12.4 -10.0
94 UConn FBS FBS Independents +11.9 +2.1 -17.3
95 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +11.7 +4.9 -8.7
96 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA +11.6 +14.3 -6.9
97 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference +11.6 +2.5 -13.4
98 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +11.0 +6.9 -13.3
99 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +10.4 +13.4 -4.2
100 Tulsa FBS American Conference +10.4 +19.1 +0.9
101 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.2 +9.4 -8.9
102 Richmond FCS Patriot League +9.9 +7.9 -3.5
103 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.8 +5.8 -6.7
104 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.6 +8.0 -8.4
105 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +9.5 +12.7 -5.2
106 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference +9.5 +6.9 -6.3
107 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.2 +17.8 +4.2
108 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +9.1 +5.4 -7.3
109 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.5 +5.8 -3.1
110 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association +8.4 +3.5 -5.5
111 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +8.1 +4.4 -3.0
112 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.9 +8.3 -1.8
113 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +7.7 +8.0 -4.8
114 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference +7.2 +8.8 -6.9
115 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +7.1 +2.1 -6.7
116 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.1 +12.4 +2.7
117 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.7 +2.8 -7.9
118 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +6.7 +10.2 +3.6
119 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +6.6 +6.2 -6.6
120 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +6.6 +7.5 -0.6
121 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +6.5 +5.3 -8.7
122 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +6.4 -5.1 -8.7
123 Florida International FBS Conference USA +5.5 +2.0 -3.3
124 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +5.2 +4.2 -3.1
125 Samford FCS Southern Conference +4.7 +8.7 +2.3
126 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference +4.6 +6.1 -8.2
127 Army FBS American Conference +4.5 +2.2 -7.2
128 Fordham FCS Patriot League +4.1 +11.2 +6.9
129 Princeton FCS Ivy League +4.1 +2.4 -1.8
130 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.5 +10.4 +2.5
131 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +3.3 +9.3 +8.7
132 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.1 +3.4 +0.0
133 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.0 -4.6 -10.0
134 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference +3.0 +3.5 -4.6
135 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +3.0 +5.3 -1.7
136 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +3.0 +0.9 -6.9
137 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +2.9 +9.9 -2.1
138 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.9 -4.4 -2.5
139 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.8 +6.0 +5.2
140 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.3 -2.9 -5.6
141 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference +1.7 +5.4 +1.1
142 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.6 -0.5 -3.7
143 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +1.4 +0.0 -2.8
144 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +1.4 +1.8 -0.9
145 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.3 -0.7 -2.0
146 Rice FBS American Conference +1.2 +3.3 +2.4
147 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +1.2 +1.1 -0.5
148 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +1.1 +0.6 -2.3
149 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.8 -0.0 +5.4
150 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +0.6 +2.4 -2.5
151 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +0.6 -2.2 -2.3
152 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +0.6 +7.0 +5.2
153 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +0.5 -5.4 -8.1
154 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +0.4 +9.6 +5.2
155 Tulane FBS American Conference +0.4 +2.3 -2.0
156 Yale FCS Ivy League +0.3 -2.2 -2.4
157 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +0.2 -1.1 -3.2
158 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +0.2 +10.3 +9.2
159 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference -0.1 -6.0 -4.0
160 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference -0.4 +4.4 +0.1
161 UTSA FBS American Conference -0.4 -0.7 -2.6
162 Liberty FBS Conference USA -0.5 +1.1 +0.7
163 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.5 +0.1 +9.1
164 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -0.9 +3.1 +1.6
165 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -1.2 +1.7 +14.0
166 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -1.6 -2.4 +2.8
167 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference -1.7 +5.9 +8.3
168 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -1.7 -3.7 +1.2
169 Colgate FCS Patriot League -2.2 -2.6 +0.3
170 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -2.3 -1.5 -0.7
171 New Mexico State FBS Conference USA -2.4 +8.1 +9.3
172 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.5 -1.8 -0.7
173 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.6 -10.5 -1.9
174 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -2.8 +0.5 -0.7
175 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -2.8 -2.8 -1.8
176 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.4 -1.2 -0.2
177 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.4 +1.7 +2.7
178 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -3.5 -5.1 +0.4
179 UTEP FBS Conference USA -3.5 -4.9 -1.4
180 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.5 -3.6 +2.4
181 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference -3.8 -2.9 -0.8
182 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference -3.9 +0.5 -3.7
183 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -4.3 +3.4 +9.0
184 Brown FCS Ivy League -4.3 +3.4 +7.3
185 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.5 -12.4 -7.5
186 Columbia FCS Ivy League -4.6 -13.6 -7.8
187 East Texas A&M FCS Southland Conference -4.9 -7.0 +0.4
188 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -4.9 +7.0 +7.3
189 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -5.2 +3.0 +17.6
190 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -5.5 -9.3 +4.0
191 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.6 -6.4 -0.5
192 Furman FCS Southern Conference -5.7 -6.8 -1.2
193 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -6.1 -6.5 +2.8
194 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.3 -3.2 +13.9
195 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA -6.4 -5.1 +1.9
196 Delaware FBS Conference USA -6.6 -11.9 -6.1
197 Charlotte FBS American Conference -6.6 -3.5 +3.7
198 North Texas FBS American Conference -6.7 -4.5 +2.6
199 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.0 -9.8 -0.8
200 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.3 -9.3 +3.6
201 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -7.3 -8.9 +5.5
202 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -7.4 -10.9 +2.5
203 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -7.5 -3.5 +9.5
204 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.7 -7.9 -2.2
205 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -8.1 -15.3 -5.7
206 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League -8.2 +4.5 -4.2
207 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -8.2 -13.6 -4.8
208 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -8.5 -6.4 +5.3
209 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -8.8 -0.1 +11.1
210 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -9.4 -2.5 +9.9
211 VMI FCS Southern Conference -9.5 -2.2 +7.5
212 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -9.8 +1.6 +11.0
213 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.2 -15.7 -2.1
214 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference -10.8 -4.3 +6.3
215 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -10.9 -8.7 +6.1
216 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -11.1 -9.9 +10.1
217 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -11.1 -10.1 +2.7
218 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -11.5 -12.5 +5.8
219 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -11.7 -14.8 +1.7
220 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -11.9 -1.5 +15.0
221 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -12.1 -4.1 +7.4
222 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -12.1 -16.7 +5.1
223 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -12.5 -15.2 +5.0
224 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -12.7 -14.7 +6.8
225 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -12.8 -14.7 +6.0
226 Cornell FCS Ivy League -13.1 -10.1 +4.0
227 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -13.2 -13.9 +7.1
228 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference -13.3 -12.2 +4.3
229 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -13.9 -11.7 +5.4
230 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -13.9 -10.3 +3.7
231 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -15.0 -11.4 +12.2
232 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -15.3 -11.2 +15.7
233 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -15.3 -19.3 +0.0
234 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -15.3 -9.2 +10.2
235 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.6 -17.4 +10.3
236 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -16.7 -7.7 +13.3
237 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -16.9 -14.0 +9.8
238 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -19.0 -12.7 +18.6
239 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -19.5 -14.2 +9.2
240 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -19.6 -18.8 +14.4
241 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -20.2 -17.4 +15.7
242 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -21.4 -17.4 +12.4
243 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -21.9 -14.0 +9.8
244 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -22.0 -13.6 +14.1
245 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -26.5 -20.3 +20.5
246 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -27.1 -18.6 +23.1
247 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -28.2 -18.8 +16.8
248 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -30.7 -21.3 +20.6
249 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -30.8 -22.2 +22.9
250 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -31.9 -24.6 +23.8
251 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -34.2 -23.6 +22.0
252 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -34.3 -19.5 +27.4
253 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -35.1 -26.7 +21.2

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Houston #53 #14 -39 (we're higher)
Minnesota #46 #76 +30 (we're lower)
Toledo #50 #21 -29 (we're higher)
Penn State #32 #59 +27 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern #52 #25 -27 (we're higher)
UCLA #16 #41 +25 (we're lower)
Army #126 #101 -25 (we're higher)
Boston College #57 #80 +23 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +29.5 41.3 13.5 #2
2 Alabama +29.0 37.7 9.1 #1
3 Ole Miss +27.0 43.1 17.4 #10
4 Clemson +24.0 41.9 17.2 #3
5 Florida State +23.2 38.0 15.0 #7
6 Stanford +22.8 44.5 24.5 #5
7 Oklahoma +22.7 41.7 19.3 #4
8 Notre Dame +22.4 44.1 21.2 #12
9 North Carolina +20.0 43.3 25.3 #6
10 LSU +19.7 41.3 21.8 #16
10 Michigan +19.7 35.2 16.2 #11
12 Baylor +19.5 45.1 24.1 #8
12 Tennessee +19.5 35.7 17.8 #9
14 Arkansas +19.2 46.6 28.0 #17
15 TCU +19.0 40.8 21.7 #19
16 UCLA +18.6 42.4 22.6 #41
17 USC +16.8 38.6 23.3 #23
17 Georgia +16.8 28.6 10.7 #32
19 Oregon +15.9 46.7 30.4 #27
20 Michigan State +15.6 35.7 20.6 #18
21 Wisconsin +15.1 27.0 12.4 #31
21 Mississippi State +15.1 40.2 23.8 #13
23 Auburn +14.6 36.1 23.1 #45
24 Texas A&M +14.1 31.9 18.8 #33
25 Florida +13.8 26.7 15.8 #42