BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 130
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price

No game on this slate has a win probability to rank yet.

Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 130 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-11-107:00 PM Western Michigan @ Akron Akron, OH FBS WMU to winWMU 78% 29–19 · 48.2 — no line
2026-11-107:00 PM Kent State @ Bowling Green Bowling Green, OH FBS BGSU to winBGSU 53% 26–27 · 53.4 — no line
2026-11-107:00 PM Ohio @ Miami (OH) Oxford, OH FBS M-OH to winM-OH 51% 23–28 · 51.7 — no line
2026-11-11TBD Buffalo @ Ball State Muncie, IN FBS BALL to winBALL 66% 24–30 · 53.7 — no line
2026-11-11TBD Sacramento State @ Central Michigan Mount Pleasant, MI FCS FBS CMU to winCMU 81% 18–32 · 50.4 — no line
2026-11-11TBD Massachusetts @ Toledo Toledo, OH FBS TOL to winTOL 88% 17–35 · 51.9 — no line
2026-11-128:00 PM Memphis @ South Florida Tampa, FL FBS USF to winUSF 64% 24–31 · 54.9 — no line
2026-11-129:00 PM Louisiana @ UL Monroe Monroe, LA FBS UL to winUL 78% 35–20 · 55.0 — no line
2026-11-137:00 PM ● Florida State @ Pittsburgh Pittsburgh, PA FBS PITT to winPITT 65% 22–30 · 52.4 — no line
2026-11-139:00 PM ● Illinois @ UCLA Pasadena, CA FBS UCLA to winUCLA 58% 21–29 · 50.2 — no line
2026-11-1310:00 PM Southern Utah @ Portland State Portland, OR FCS SUU to winSUU 71% 37–28 · 65.4 — no line
2026-11-1310:15 PM ● Houston @ Colorado Boulder, CO FBS COLO to winHOU 56% 26–24 · 50.3 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Arizona State @ UCF Orlando, FL FBS UCF to winUCF 53% 22–26 · 48.0 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Baylor @ BYU Provo, UT FBS BYU to winBYU 72% 20–31 · 51.3 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Cincinnati @ Iowa State Ames, IA FBS ISU to winISU 68% 20–28 · 47.9 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Kansas @ West Virginia Morgantown, WV FBS WVU to winWVU 56% 24–29 · 53.4 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Kansas State @ TCU Fort Worth, TX FBS KSU to winKSU 63% 29–22 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State Stillwater, OK FBS TTU to winTTU 86% 38–17 · 55.0 —
2026-11-14TBD ● Utah @ Arizona Tucson, AZ FBS UTAH to winUTAH 63% 27–25 · 52.5 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● South Carolina @ Arkansas Fayetteville, AR FBS SC to winSC 64% 33–20 · 52.6 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Missouri @ Georgia Athens, GA FBS UGA to winUGA 62% 22–31 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Florida @ Kentucky Lexington, KY FBS FLA to winFLA 59% 31–21 · 51.9 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Texas @ LSU Baton Rouge, LA FBS TEX to winLSU 53% 26–26 · 52.1 —
2026-11-14TBD ● Auburn @ Mississippi State Starkville, MS FBS MSST to winMSST 52% 24–28 · 52.0 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Ole Miss @ Oklahoma Norman, OK FBS OU to winOU 52% 24–28 · 52.6 —
2026-11-14TBD ● Tennessee @ Texas A&M College Station, TX FBS TA&M to winTA&M 66% 25–34 · 58.8 —
2026-11-14TBD ● Alabama @ Vanderbilt Nashville, TN FBS ALA to winALA 73% 33–21 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● California @ Virginia Charlottesville, VA FBS UVA to winUVA 86% 17–35 · 51.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Duke @ Miami Miami Gardens, FL FBS MIA to winMIA 72% 18–33 · 50.8 —
2026-11-14TBD ● Georgia Tech @ Clemson Clemson, SC FBS CLEM to winCLEM 63% 22–27 · 49.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Louisville @ North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC FBS LOU to winLOU 66% 27–23 · 49.9 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Stanford @ Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA FBS VT to winVT 72% 20–32 · 52.9 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Syracuse @ NC State Raleigh, NC FBS NCSU to winNCSU 74% 19–32 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Wake Forest @ SMU Dallas, TX FBS SMU to winSMU 77% 20–36 · 55.1 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● USC @ Indiana Bloomington, IN FBS IU to winIU 72% 24–31 · 54.4 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Purdue @ Iowa Iowa City, IA FBS IOWA to winIOWA 85% 16–34 · 50.1 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Wisconsin @ Maryland College Park, MD FBS MD to winMD 57% 21–27 · 48.1 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Washington @ Michigan State East Lansing, MI FBS WASH to winWASH 59% 26–21 · 46.9 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Northwestern @ Ohio State Columbus, OH FBS OSU to winOSU 89% 12–33 · 45.6 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Michigan @ Oregon Eugene, OR FBS ORE to winORE 64% 21–29 · 49.5 —
2026-11-14TBD ● Minnesota @ Penn State University Park, PA FBS PSU to winPSU 93% 11–34 · 45.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD ● Nebraska @ Rutgers Piscataway, NJ FBS NEB to winNEB 84% 37–17 · 54.1 — no line
2026-11-14TBD East Carolina @ Charlotte Charlotte, NC FBS ECU to winECU 88% 34–17 · 51.6 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa Tulsa, OK FBS TLSA to winTLSA 62% 25–32 · 57.2 — no line
2026-11-14TBD North Texas @ UTSA San Antonio, TX FBS UTSA to winUTSA 50% 27–34 · 61.8 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Tulane @ Rice Houston, TX FBS TULN to winTULN 69% 28–19 · 47.0 — no line
2026-11-14TBD UAB @ Temple Philadelphia, PA FBS TEM to winTEM 75% 21–32 · 53.0 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Nevada @ Northern Illinois Dekalb, IL FBS NEV to winNEV 59% 25–23 · 47.6 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Wyoming @ UTEP El Paso, TX FBS UTEP to winUTEP 59% 23–27 · 49.9 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Central Connecticut @ Long Island University Brookville, NY FCS CCSU to winCCSU 56% 30–28 · 57.6 — no line
2026-11-14TBD App State @ Marshall Huntington, WV FBS APP to winAPP 51% 28–26 · 54.5 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina Conway, SC FBS CCU to winCCU 54% 28–28 · 56.3 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Georgia Southern @ Georgia State Atlanta, GA FBS GASO to winGAST 55% 25–27 · 51.6 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech Ruston, LA FBS LT to winLT 56% 26–28 · 54.3 — no line
2026-11-14TBD Troy @ South Alabama Mobile, AL FBS USA to winUSA 66% 23–27 · 50.4 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM James Madison @ UConn East Hartford, CT FBS JMU to winJMU 73% 32–21 · 53.4 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Maine @ UAlbany Albany, NY FCS UALB to winUALB 79% 18–31 · 48.4 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Bryant @ Sacred Heart Fairfield, CT FCS BRY to winBRY 63% 29–23 · 52.0 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Towson @ Rhode Island Pawtucket, RI FCS URI to winURI 89% 17–37 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Merrimack @ Monmouth West Long Branch, NJ FCS MONM to winMONM 73% 23–33 · 56.3 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Columbia @ Brown Providence, RI FCS BRWN to winBRWN 69% 22–30 · 51.9 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Illinois State @ Youngstown State Youngstown, OH FCS ILST to winILST 68% 36–28 · 64.2 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Stonehill @ Robert Morris Moon Township, PA FCS RMU to winRMU 75% 16–28 · 43.9 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM New Haven @ Wagner Staten Island, NY FCS WAG to winWAG 64% 24–30 · 54.6 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Norfolk State @ Morgan State Baltimore, MD FCS NORF to winNORF 56% 29–26 · 54.6 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Georgetown @ Fordham Bronx, NY FCS FOR to winFOR 63% 22–28 · 50.0 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Villanova @ Holy Cross Worcester, MA FCS VILL to winVILL 80% 32–19 · 51.2 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Butler @ Marist Poughkeepsie, NY FCS BUT to winBUT 67% 28–21 · 49.2 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Davidson @ Dayton Dayton, OH FCS DAY to winDAY 92% 16–39 · 55.2 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Presbyterian @ Morehead State Morehead, KY FCS PRES to winPRES 61% 34–30 · 64.3 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM The Citadel @ VMI Lexington, VA FCS CIT to winCIT 71% 32–23 · 55.5 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Mercyhurst @ Duquesne Pittsburgh, PA FCS DUQ to winDUQ 65% 25–31 · 56.2 — no line
2026-11-1412:00 PM Princeton @ Yale New Haven, CT FCS YALE to winYALE 86% 16–34 · 50.7 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM North Carolina A&T @ Hampton Hampton, VA FCS HAMP to winHAMP 53% 26–27 · 53.7 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Stony Brook @ New Hampshire Durham, NH FCS UNH to winUNH 57% 30–34 · 64.0 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Dartmouth @ Cornell Ithaca, NY FCS DART to winDART 68% 30–22 · 51.9 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Harvard @ Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA FCS HARV to winHARV 73% 36–26 · 61.9 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Murray State @ Indiana State Terre Haute, IN FCS INST to winINST 79% 21–35 · 56.1 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Delaware State @ Howard Washington, DC FCS DSU to winDSU 58% 27–24 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Bucknell @ William & Mary Williamsburg, VA FCS W&M to winW&M 78% 21–33 · 54.3 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Lafayette @ Colgate Hamilton, NY FCS COLG to winCOLG 74% 23–33 · 56.0 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Valparaiso @ Stetson DeLand, FL FCS VAL to winVAL 50% 30–30 · 60.1 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Chattanooga @ Furman Greenville, SC FCS FUR to winFUR 74% 18–29 · 47.4 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman Daytona Beach, FL FCS GRAM to winGRAM 51% 33–32 · 65.3 — no line
2026-11-141:00 PM Virginia Lynchburg @ Chicago State Bridgeview, IL NON-D1 CHIC to winCHIC 99% 12–49 · 60.8 — no line
2026-11-141:30 PM North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State Orangeburg, SC FCS SCST to winSCST 87% 22–40 · 61.8 — no line
2026-11-141:30 PM East Tennessee State @ Wofford Spartanburg, SC FCS WOF to winWOF 55% 26–28 · 53.3 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Campbell @ Elon Elon, NC FCS ELON to winELON 72% 21–31 · 52.2 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Northern Iowa @ South Dakota Vermillion, SD FCS SDAK to winSDAK 85% 21–38 · 59.0 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM South Dakota State @ Southern Illinois Carbondale, IL FCS SDST to winSDST 57% 32–29 · 61.1 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Lehigh @ Richmond Richmond, VA FCS LEH to winLEH 85% 36–19 · 55.2 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Abilene Christian @ Austin Peay Clarksville, TN FCS APSU to winAPSU 75% 21–32 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Montana State @ Northern Colorado Greeley, CO FCS MTST to winMTST 97% 42–11 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky Richmond, KY FCS CARK to winCARK 67% 32–25 · 57.0 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Southeast Missouri State @ Charleston Southern Charleston, SC FCS SEMO to winSEMO 55% 24–21 · 44.9 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Gardner-Webb @ Western Illinois Macomb, IL FCS GWEB to winGWEB 57% 31–29 · 59.9 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM North Alabama @ West Georgia Carrollton, GA FCS UNA to winUNA 65% 29–23 · 52.2 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Drake @ St. Thomas-Minnesota Saint Paul, MN FCS STMN to winSTMN 83% 22–37 · 59.0 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Houston Christian @ Northwestern State Natchitoches, LA FCS HCU to winHCU 75% 36–25 · 60.3 — no line
2026-11-142:00 PM Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston Huntsville, TX FBS KENN to winSHSU 59% 25–26 · 51.0 — no line
2026-11-142:30 PM Mercer @ Tennessee Tech Cookeville, TN FCS TNTC to winTNTC 71% 23–32 · 54.4 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Lindenwood @ UT Martin Martin, TN FCS UTM to winUTM 70% 23–31 · 54.4 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Tarleton State @ West Florida Pensacola, FL FCS NON-D1 TAR to winTAR 58% 32–28 · 59.7 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Texas Southern @ Alabama A&M Huntsville, AL FCS AAMU to winAAMU 69% 26–34 · 60.2 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Jackson State @ Alabama State Montgomery, AL FCS ALST to winALST 55% 28–30 · 58.5 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Alcorn State @ Southern Baton Rouge, LA FCS ALCN to winALCN 59% 32–29 · 61.4 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pine Bluff, AR FCS PV to winPV 75% 37–26 · 63.4 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Mississippi Valley State @ Florida A&M Tallahassee, FL FCS FAMU to winFAMU 82% 20–35 · 55.4 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Nicholls @ Incarnate Word San Antonio, TX FCS UIW to winUIW 68% 26–34 · 59.5 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM New Mexico State @ Missouri State Springfield, MO FBS MOST to winMOST 71% 21–30 · 51.8 — no line
2026-11-143:00 PM Florida International @ Delaware Newark, DE FBS DEL to winDEL 60% 24–29 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-143:30 PM ● Boston College @ Notre Dame Notre Dame, IN FBS ND to winND 98% 8–44 · 52.8 — no line
2026-11-143:30 PM Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State Nashville, TN FCS EIU to winEIU 59% 27–24 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-143:30 PM Western Carolina @ Samford Birmingham, AL FCS WCU to winWCU 78% 36–23 · 59.5 — no line
2026-11-143:30 PM Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky Bowling Green, KY FBS JXST to winJXST 58% 33–24 · 57.4 — no line
2026-11-143:30 PM Middle Tennessee @ Liberty Lynchburg, VA FBS LIB to winLIB 66% 21–29 · 50.0 — no line
2026-11-144:00 PM Fresno State @ Texas State San Marcos, TX FBS TXST to winFRES 56% 29–24 · 52.9 — no line
2026-11-144:00 PM Eastern Washington @ Utah Tech Saint George, UT FCS EWU to winEWU 69% 32–24 · 55.7 — no line
2026-11-144:00 PM UC Davis @ Idaho Moscow, ID FCS UCD to winUCD 71% 35–26 · 60.9 — no line
2026-11-144:00 PM Weber State @ Northern Arizona Flagstaff, AZ FCS NAU to winNAU 71% 28–37 · 64.7 — no line
2026-11-144:00 PM East Texas A&M @ Lamar Beaumont, TX FCS LAM to winLAM 74% 19–29 · 48.3 — no line
2026-11-146:00 PM Oregon State @ Boise State Boise, ID FBS BOIS to winBOIS 88% 17–35 · 52.6 — no line
2026-11-146:00 PM Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley Edinburg, TX FCS SFA to winSFA 70% 33–24 · 56.6 — no line
2026-11-147:00 PM San José State @ Air Force USAF Academy, CO FBS AF to winAF 63% 22–32 · 53.6 — no line
2026-11-147:00 PM McNeese @ SE Louisiana Hammond, LA FCS MCN to winMCN 62% 29–24 · 53.5 — no line
2026-11-147:30 PM UNLV @ New Mexico Albuquerque, NM FBS UNM to winUNM 60% 22–29 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-149:30 PM Utah State @ San Diego State San Diego, CA FBS SDSU to winSDSU 64% 23–28 · 50.9 — no line
2026-11-1410:30 PM Colorado State @ Washington State Pullman, WA FBS WSU to winWSU 68% 19–29 · 47.8 — no line
2026-11-1410:30 PM Idaho State @ Montana Missoula, MT FCS MONT to winMONT 58% 28–31 · 58.5 — no line
2026-11-1411:59 PM North Dakota State @ Hawai'i Honolulu, HI FCS FBS NDSU to winNDSU 55% 28–26 · 53.7 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.