Columbia
· power -15.4 · #349
Our numberBRWN -7.9
no book has priced this game
Brown
· power -10.4 · #302
Our side
MoneylineBRWN to win
ours 69%
Projected score
22–30
COLU – BRWN
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Brown lead
37–29–2
· 68 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
10 ranks apart
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense
Brown Bears #203 run defense
Pass game
edge Brown Bears
106 ranks
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense
Brown Bears #110 pass defense
Run game
even
15 ranks apart
Brown Bears #196 rush offense
Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game
edge Brown Bears
76 ranks
Brown Bears #147 pass offense
Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Columbia Lions
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Brown Bears
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia Lions |
-15.4 | -13.8 | -1.6 | #349 |
| Brown Bears |
-10.4 | -3.2 | -7.3 | #302 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Columbia offense vs Brown defense-6.5 pts
Brown offense vs Columbia defense-1.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.