Our side
MoneylineWASH to win
ours 41%
Projected score
26–21
WASH – MSU
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD
Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Washington lead
4–1
· 5 meetings since 1969
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Washington Huskies
156 ranks
Washington Huskies #18 rush offense
Michigan State Spartans #174 run defense
Pass game
edge Washington Huskies
141 ranks
Washington Huskies #29 pass offense
Michigan State Spartans #170 pass defense
Run game
edge Washington Huskies
129 ranks
Michigan State Spartans #161 rush offense
Washington Huskies #32 run defense
Pass game
edge Washington Huskies
76 ranks
Michigan State Spartans #136 pass offense
Washington Huskies #60 pass defense
Washington Huskies
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Michigan State Spartans
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Jedd Fisch · 32-33
Jonathan Smith · 43-50
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Washington Huskies
DB
Alex McLaughlin
15 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#1 DB
QB
Demond Williams Jr.
517 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
#25 QB
DL
Derek Colman-Brusa
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#175 DL
TE
Baron Naone
8 rec · 70 yds
#60 TE
Michigan State Spartans
DL
Eli Coenen
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#21 DL
RB
Cam Edwards
250 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
#18 RB
DL
Kenny Soares Jr.
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#69 DL
K
Liam Boyd
5 FG · 6 XP · 21 pts
#17 K
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Washington offense vs Michigan State defense-2.3 pts
Michigan State offense vs Washington defense-8.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,854 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.