BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2020 149 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+35.1	+22.8	+12.3
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.4	+19.4	+8.0
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+24.1	+15.3	+8.8
4	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.4	+9.4	+14.0
5	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.2	+15.8	+7.4
6	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.9	+15.5	+5.4
7	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.5	+6.3	+14.2
8	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.4	+6.8	+12.6
9	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.5	+7.5	+11.0
10	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.3	+7.0	+11.3
11	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+17.8	+5.7	+12.1
12	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.5	+9.7	+7.7
13	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.3	+15.8	+1.5
14	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.2	+4.1	+12.1
15	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.1	+2.7	+13.4
16	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.2	-0.6	+14.8
17	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.2	+8.3	+6.0
18	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.6	+5.6	+7.9
19	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+13.5	+3.6	+10.0
20	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.2	+6.7	+6.5
21	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.1	+3.7	+9.5
22	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.8	+15.0	-2.2
23	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.6	+10.7	+1.9
24	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.1	+6.0	+6.1
25	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.9	+5.0	+6.9
26	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.9	+12.1	-0.2
27	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.4	+3.8	+7.6
28	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.3	+3.4	+8.0
29	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+10.5	+5.2	+5.3
30	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.4	+13.8	-3.4
31	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.2	+4.6	+5.6
32	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.9	+5.0	+4.8
33	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.2	+0.1	+9.1
34	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.2	-0.5	+9.7
35	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.0	+7.2	+1.8
36	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.0	+1.9	+7.1
37	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+8.9	-0.2	+9.1
38	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+8.8	+9.3	-0.5
39	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.7	+4.0	+4.8
40	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.1	+7.1	+1.0
41	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+8.0	-2.1	+10.1
42	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.7	+7.2	+0.6
43	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.2	+4.4	+2.8
44	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.8	+0.7	+6.1
45	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+6.6	+0.1	+6.5
46	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.5	+0.6	+6.0
47	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.4	+4.7	+1.6
48	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.8	+7.6	-1.8
49	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.6	+1.0	+4.6
50	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+5.5	+3.5	+2.0
51	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+5.5	+1.9	+3.6
52	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.4	+3.7	+1.6
53	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+5.2	+1.3	+3.9
54	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.1	+9.2	-4.0
55	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.1	+3.7	+1.3
56	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+5.1	+2.8	+2.2
57	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.8	+2.4	+2.4
58	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.8	-6.4	+11.2
59	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+4.7	+4.9	-0.2
60	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+4.5	+3.5	+1.0
61	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.4	+3.0	+1.4
62	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+4.2	-0.6	+4.8
63	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.1	+3.9	+0.2
64	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.8	+1.3	+2.5
65	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.6	-3.8	+7.4
66	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+3.5	+2.6	+0.9
67	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+3.3	+5.5	-2.2
68	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.8	+1.5	+1.3
69	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+2.7	-0.2	+2.9
70	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+2.6	+6.3	-3.7
71	Army	FBS	American Conference	+2.5	-4.6	+7.0
72	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.3	-6.5	+8.8
73	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+2.2	+2.7	-0.5
74	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.2	+2.8	-0.6
75	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+2.0	+0.6	+1.4
76	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.0	-1.1	+3.1
77	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+1.9	+2.3	-0.5
78	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.6	-5.6	+7.2
79	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.1	-2.1	+3.2
80	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.0	+3.8	-2.8
81	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.8	+1.8	-1.0
82	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+0.3	+0.8	-0.5
83	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.2	+5.2	-5.0
84	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.0	-3.8	+3.8
85	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+0.0	-0.7	+0.7
86	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.0	-1.4	+1.4
87	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.1	+0.2	-0.4
88	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.3	-2.1	+0.8
89	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.4	+6.6	-8.0
90	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.8	-0.4	-1.4
91	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-1.9	+0.2	-2.1
92	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-2.0	-0.4	-1.6
93	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	-2.8	+1.5	-4.3
94	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-3.0	-1.0	-2.0
95	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-3.5	-0.1	-3.4
96	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.5	-0.3	-3.3
97	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	-3.8	-2.9	-0.8
98	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	-3.8	-9.2	+5.4
99	Navy	FBS	American Conference	-3.9	-5.6	+1.8
100	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-3.9	-1.2	-2.7
101	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-4.1	+8.9	-13.0
102	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-4.7	-3.5	-1.2
103	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-4.8	+3.7	-8.5
104	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-4.8	-2.1	-2.7
105	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-5.1	-10.2	+5.1
106	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.3	-0.2	-5.1
107	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-5.5	-6.3	+0.8
108	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-6.7	-1.4	-5.2
109	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-7.0	-7.0	+0.0
110	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-7.5	-1.9	-5.6
111	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	-7.6	-2.2	-5.4
112	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	-8.0	-9.9	+1.9
113	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	-8.3	-1.9	-6.4
114	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-8.5	-1.3	-7.2
115	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.1	-1.4	-7.7
116	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-9.1	-6.7	-2.4
117	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-9.4	-7.7	-1.7
118	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-9.5	-3.1	-6.4
119	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.9	-10.8	+1.0
120	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-10.2	-4.0	-6.2
121	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-10.4	-2.7	-7.7
122	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-10.5	-2.6	-7.9
123	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-11.0	-4.2	-6.8
124	Temple	FBS	American Conference	-11.1	-8.4	-2.6
125	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-11.1	-7.1	-4.0
126	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-11.5	-5.9	-5.6
127	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-11.7	-9.4	-2.3
128	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-12.9	-6.2	-6.8
129	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	-13.0	-4.0	-9.0
130	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-13.2	-7.0	-6.2
131	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	-13.5	-11.3	-2.1
132	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	-13.9	-9.9	-4.1
133	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-14.5	+1.1	-15.7
134	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-15.2	-6.8	-8.4
135	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-15.8	-11.2	-4.6
136	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-15.9	-3.9	-12.0
137	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-15.9	-11.8	-4.0
138	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	-16.1	-13.9	-2.2
139	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-16.8	-6.6	-10.2
140	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-17.0	-4.6	-12.4
141	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-19.8	-12.8	-7.0
142	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-20.0	-8.9	-11.1
143	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-21.1	-8.5	-12.6
144	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-21.8	-10.2	-11.6
145	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-21.9	-2.7	-19.3
146	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-22.7	-14.7	-8.0
147	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-27.0	-12.2	-14.8
148	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-27.3	-12.2	-15.1
149	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-27.9	-15.8	-12.2

SRS — season 2020 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+34.1	+26.9	-16.5
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.3	+22.0	-10.1
3	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+22.9	+15.9	-8.8
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.7	+19.5	-12.4
5	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+21.9	+11.6	-11.8
6	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.7	+10.7	-14.4
7	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+21.3	+14.9	-11.8
8	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.7	+20.4	-11.4
9	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.6	+8.3	-13.1
10	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.1	+16.9	-4.6
11	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.5	+9.3	-14.7
12	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.8	+10.6	-14.8
13	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+17.6	+8.9	-10.1
14	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.3	+8.4	-13.0
15	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.1	+20.8	-4.3
16	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.8	+3.8	-15.4
17	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+15.2	+7.7	-9.1
18	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.8	+2.7	-17.5
19	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+14.4	+7.5	-15.1
20	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+14.1	+18.0	+0.5
21	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+14.0	+5.2	-7.7
22	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+13.2	+8.1	-7.6
23	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.5	+3.3	-16.0
24	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.5	+8.2	-11.6
25	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+11.6	+3.0	-9.6
26	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+11.4	+5.5	-6.5
27	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.3	+14.5	+3.4
28	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.9	+1.3	-8.0
29	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.9	+3.9	-10.4
30	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+10.6	+7.1	-10.5
31	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+10.5	+7.8	-4.7
32	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.2	+9.5	-0.6
33	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+10.0	+21.0	+9.8
34	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.9	+15.0	-0.6
35	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+9.8	-0.7	-10.3
36	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.3	+8.9	-7.0
37	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+9.2	+3.7	-6.1
38	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.0	+1.4	-11.8
39	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.0	+17.0	+4.9
40	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.8	+6.2	-5.8
41	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+7.6	+8.2	-0.4
42	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.6	-3.3	-11.3
43	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.5	-1.3	-10.1
44	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+7.1	+11.9	-8.8
45	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.9	+6.5	-7.0
46	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+6.9	-1.9	-8.9
47	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+6.2	+1.9	-3.4
48	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+6.2	+4.1	-2.8
49	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+6.0	+5.5	+2.1
50	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.5	-3.3	-11.0
51	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.2	+3.0	-6.5
52	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.7	+6.1	-4.5
53	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.7	+5.9	-2.9
54	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.6	+10.9	-0.6
55	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+4.6	-0.5	-6.5
56	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+4.6	-8.5	-12.9
57	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.5	+2.5	-3.0
58	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.4	+1.3	-7.2
59	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+4.4	+5.6	+0.9
60	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.3	+7.6	+5.0
61	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.2	+10.5	-0.1
62	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+3.9	+4.3	-0.2
63	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.9	+5.3	+5.4
64	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+3.7	+3.3	-3.5
65	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.6	+3.0	-1.9
66	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.5	+4.4	-3.6
67	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+3.5	+9.7	-0.4
68	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.1	+2.0	-1.6
69	Army	FBS	American Conference	+3.1	-3.7	-7.2
70	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.0	+1.3	-5.1
71	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+2.7	+3.8	-1.4
72	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.6	+3.5	-2.3
73	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+2.5	-0.1	-4.4
74	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.2	-3.4	-2.6
75	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.1	+5.4	-1.4
75	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.1	+3.9	+0.2
76	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.1	-3.1	-3.8
77	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.1	+3.1	-4.3
78	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+2.0	+7.1	+3.5
79	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+1.9	+3.4	-2.3
80	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.9	+2.7	-0.1
81	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.9	-5.0	-7.5
82	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+1.9	+2.0	-1.6
83	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.8	+2.9	-6.0
84	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+1.8	+1.9	-4.4
85	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+0.9	+0.1	+0.8
86	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+0.2	-10.3	-7.7
87	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-0.0	+0.3	+6.5
88	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-0.1	+2.1	-1.3
89	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-0.6	+2.8	-1.4
90	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-0.7	+5.3	+2.0
91	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.0	-1.0	-1.0
92	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-1.4	-3.2	+0.6
93	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-1.6	+3.7	+0.3
94	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-1.6	+1.6	-4.5
95	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-1.7	-4.3	-4.4
96	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-1.9	-1.4	-0.6
97	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	-2.0	+0.8	+5.4
98	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-2.5	+0.2	+2.1
99	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-3.6	+3.8	+9.7
100	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-4.3	+0.2	+4.8
101	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-4.8	-0.0	+2.6
102	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	-5.5	-13.1	-4.7
103	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-5.9	-7.6	-8.1
104	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	-6.0	+4.2	+1.8
105	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-6.0	-1.4	+4.0
106	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.1	+0.9	+9.0
107	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.5	-10.6	-1.7
108	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-6.7	-1.5	+6.2
109	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	-7.1	-3.3	+7.1
110	Navy	FBS	American Conference	-7.3	-9.5	+0.8
111	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-7.4	-0.5	+4.8
112	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-7.5	-11.1	+4.4
113	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-7.7	-7.3	-1.4
114	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	-7.7	-10.1	-1.0
115	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	-8.3	-17.3	-5.2
116	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	-8.4	+2.4	+5.1
117	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-8.6	-6.8	+10.4
118	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-8.8	-2.6	+7.0
119	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-9.9	-1.7	+6.9
120	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-10.3	-2.4	+14.5
121	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-10.6	-7.4	-1.7
122	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	-10.9	-2.9	+11.8
123	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-11.2	-4.4	+10.5
124	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-11.3	-4.9	+9.7
125	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-11.5	-9.9	+3.4
126	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-12.1	-3.8	+10.5
127	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-12.2	-6.7	+4.7
128	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	-12.5	-5.4	+11.9
129	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-12.8	-16.4	+5.7
130	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-12.8	-9.5	+13.9
131	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	-13.6	-12.8	+6.7
132	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-13.7	-14.6	+6.7
133	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-14.2	-17.4	+8.1
134	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-14.4	+0.5	+18.7
135	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-15.6	-12.9	+14.9
136	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-16.1	-16.6	+6.8
137	Temple	FBS	American Conference	-16.2	-12.4	+6.5
138	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-16.4	-10.4	+6.1
139	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-16.7	-6.5	+10.2
140	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-17.0	-15.3	+8.4
141	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-17.6	-8.4	+11.5
142	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	-18.6	-22.8	+2.4
143	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-19.6	-5.0	+20.4
144	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-22.2	-12.3	+14.8
145	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-22.6	-13.0	+18.8
146	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-23.4	-18.4	+15.8
147	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-23.9	-20.6	+15.2
148	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-27.7	-19.3	+20.4

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
3	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
4	Montana State	FCS	1749
5	Georgia	FBS	1746
6	Ohio State	FBS	1745
7	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
8	Miami	FBS	1719
9	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
10	Alabama	FBS	1708
11	James Madison	FBS	1703
12	Texas	FBS	1701
13	Oregon	FBS	1698
14	Lehigh	FCS	1696
15	SMU	FBS	1695
16	Utah	FBS	1693
17	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
18	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
19	BYU	FBS	1681
20	Montana	FCS	1681
21	South Dakota	FCS	1677
22	USC	FBS	1676
23	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
24	Penn State	FBS	1671
25	Iowa	FBS	1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.91 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25