BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2020 149 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +19.4 +9.4
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +15.3 +4.8
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.1 +13.4 +6.7
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +19.4 +13.3 +6.0
5 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +18.5 +10.3 +8.1
6 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +18.0 +6.6 +11.4
7 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +17.6 +6.8 +10.8
8 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +15.1 +12.8 +2.3
9 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +14.8 +5.7 +9.0
10 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +14.2 +3.7 +10.5
11 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +14.1 +4.0 +10.1
12 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +13.8 +13.9 -0.1
13 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +13.0 +4.5 +8.6
14 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +12.6 +5.8 +6.8
15 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +13.8 -2.4
16 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +10.8 +1.3 +9.5
17 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.6 +2.7 +7.9
18 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +10.2 +8.2 +2.0
19 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +10.2 +3.7 +6.4
20 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.1 +4.6 +5.5
21 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.8 +11.0 -1.2
22 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +9.8 -0.3 +10.1
23 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.1 +5.0 +4.1
24 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +9.0 -2.5 +11.5
25 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +8.8 +5.1 +3.7
26 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +8.4 +2.5 +5.9
27 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +8.2 +6.9 +1.3
28 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.0 +4.5 +3.5
29 Tulsa FBS American Conference +7.9 -0.5 +8.4
30 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.7 +3.8 +3.9
31 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +7.7 +4.2 +3.5
32 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +7.6 +4.6 +3.0
33 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +7.5 +0.7 +6.8
34 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.2 -2.3 +9.5
35 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +7.0 +1.4 +5.6
36 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +7.0 -1.0 +7.9
37 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +6.7 +1.3 +5.4
38 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.3 -2.2 +8.5
39 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +6.2 +7.0 -0.9
40 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.6 +8.7 -3.1
41 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +5.6 +2.8 +2.8
42 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +5.3 +11.3 -6.0
43 UAB FBS American Conference +5.2 +1.2 +4.0
44 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +5.1 +0.9 +4.2
45 Tulane FBS American Conference +5.0 +5.1 -0.2
46 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +4.9 +6.8 -1.9
47 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.8 +0.1 +4.7
48 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +4.8 -5.1 +9.9
49 Liberty FBS Conference USA +4.6 +3.7 +0.9
50 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +4.4 +3.6 +0.8
51 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.4 +3.7 +0.7
52 Army FBS American Conference +4.2 -3.4 +7.6
53 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +4.1 -2.8 +6.9
54 Memphis FBS American Conference +4.0 +2.9 +1.1
55 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.8 +6.4 -2.6
56 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.2 +2.3 +0.9
57 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +2.9 +1.1 +1.8
58 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +2.9 +1.4 +1.5
59 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +2.8 -1.2 +4.0
60 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +2.8 +1.3 +1.4
61 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.7 +6.1 -3.4
62 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.7 -1.2 +3.9
63 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.6 -0.5 +3.1
64 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.4 -2.3 +4.7
65 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +2.3 +0.6 +1.7
66 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +1.8 -4.4 +6.3
67 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +1.8 +2.3 -0.5
68 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.8 +0.1 +1.7
69 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +1.7 -2.3 +4.0
70 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +1.4 +0.4 +1.0
71 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +1.3 +1.4 -0.1
72 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.3 +0.9 +0.4
73 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +1.3 +3.9 -2.7
74 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +1.2 +7.6 -6.4
75 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +1.1 +1.3 -0.1
76 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +1.0 -0.7 +1.7
77 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +0.5 +1.2 -0.7
78 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +0.3 +1.0 -0.7
79 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +0.2 +0.8 -0.6
80 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +0.0 -1.5 +1.5
81 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference -0.2 +0.3 -0.5
82 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference -0.6 -0.6 -0.0
83 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.8 -3.6 +2.9
84 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference -0.8 -2.9 +2.1
85 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference -0.9 +1.1 -2.0
86 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference -1.0 +10.1 -11.0
87 Rice FBS American Conference -1.1 -7.5 +6.5
88 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference -1.1 +2.5 -3.6
89 UTSA FBS American Conference -1.2 -1.7 +0.5
90 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -1.4 -0.8 -0.6
91 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference -1.5 +2.4 -4.0
92 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -1.6 -7.1 +5.6
93 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference -1.7 +0.4 -2.1
94 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference -1.8 -8.2 +6.4
95 East Carolina FBS American Conference -2.0 +1.7 -3.8
96 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference -2.4 +2.8 -5.2
97 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference -2.5 +1.1 -3.7
98 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -2.6 -3.6 +1.0
99 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -3.0 +0.2 -3.2
100 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference -3.0 +0.4 -3.4
101 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.1 +4.3 -7.4
102 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference -3.7 -3.4 -0.3
103 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -4.0 -2.2 -1.8
104 Navy FBS American Conference -4.4 -6.0 +1.6
105 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference -4.7 -1.6 -3.1
106 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -4.8 -6.0 +1.2
107 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -4.9 -0.8 -4.1
108 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -5.0 -3.6 -1.4
109 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA -5.0 -0.9 -4.2
110 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA -5.5 -8.3 +2.8
111 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -5.8 -2.1 -3.7
112 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.5 +0.3 -6.8
113 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference -6.5 -7.3 +0.9
114 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference -6.6 -2.5 -4.1
115 VMI FCS Southern Conference -6.8 -1.5 -5.3
116 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.9 -9.0 +2.1
117 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference -7.5 -1.6 -5.9
118 Charlotte FBS American Conference -7.5 -1.4 -6.0
119 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -7.5 -2.9 -4.6
120 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -7.7 -2.3 -5.5
121 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA -7.8 -6.6 -1.2
122 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -7.9 -3.2 -4.6
123 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference -8.3 -2.8 -5.5
124 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference -8.3 -4.3 -4.0
125 South Florida FBS American Conference -8.4 -1.7 -6.7
126 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -8.4 -2.2 -6.2
127 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -8.9 -8.1 -0.8
128 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference -8.9 -4.1 -4.8
129 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA -10.0 -2.6 -7.4
130 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -10.1 -1.1 -9.0
131 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -10.3 -8.8 -1.5
132 UTEP FBS Conference USA -10.7 -8.4 -2.3
133 North Texas FBS American Conference -11.2 +2.6 -13.8
134 Temple FBS American Conference -11.3 -8.1 -3.2
135 Florida International FBS Conference USA -11.5 -5.0 -6.5
136 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference -12.4 -3.6 -8.8
137 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -12.7 -12.5 -0.2
138 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -12.9 -9.4 -3.4
139 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference -13.1 -7.6 -5.5
140 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference -13.3 -9.5 -3.8
141 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -14.0 -5.7 -8.3
142 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -14.3 -7.1 -7.2
143 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -15.4 -0.6 -14.8
144 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -15.4 -6.4 -9.0
145 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference -17.8 -11.4 -6.3
146 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -18.4 -7.6 -10.8
147 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -19.9 -9.0 -10.9
148 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -20.8 -10.6 -10.2
149 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -23.3 -13.4 -9.9

SRS — season 2020 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +34.1 +26.9 -16.5
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.3 +22.0 -10.1
3 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +22.9 +15.9 -8.8
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +19.5 -12.4
5 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +21.9 +11.6 -11.8
6 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +21.7 +10.7 -14.4
7 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.3 +14.9 -11.8
8 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.7 +20.4 -11.4
9 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +19.6 +8.3 -13.1
10 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +19.1 +16.9 -4.6
11 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.5 +9.3 -14.7
12 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.8 +10.6 -14.8
13 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +17.6 +8.9 -10.1
14 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +17.3 +8.4 -13.0
15 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +20.8 -4.3
16 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +15.8 +3.8 -15.4
17 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.2 +7.7 -9.1
18 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +14.8 +2.7 -17.5
19 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +14.4 +7.5 -15.1
20 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +14.1 +18.0 +0.5
21 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +14.0 +5.2 -7.7
22 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +13.2 +8.1 -7.6
23 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +12.5 +3.3 -16.0
24 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.5 +8.2 -11.6
25 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.6 +3.0 -9.6
26 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.4 +5.5 -6.5
27 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +14.5 +3.4
28 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.9 +1.3 -8.0
29 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +10.9 +3.9 -10.4
30 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +10.6 +7.1 -10.5
31 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +10.5 +7.8 -4.7
32 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.2 +9.5 -0.6
33 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +10.0 +21.0 +9.8
34 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.9 +15.0 -0.6
35 Tulsa FBS American Conference +9.8 -0.7 -10.3
36 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.3 +8.9 -7.0
37 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +9.2 +3.7 -6.1
38 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +9.0 +1.4 -11.8
39 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +9.0 +17.0 +4.9
40 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +7.8 +6.2 -5.8
41 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +7.6 +8.2 -0.4
42 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.6 -3.3 -11.3
43 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.5 -1.3 -10.1
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.1 +11.9 -8.8
45 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +6.9 +6.5 -7.0
46 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +6.9 -1.9 -8.9
47 UAB FBS American Conference +6.2 +1.9 -3.4
48 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +6.2 +4.1 -2.8
49 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.0 +5.5 +2.1
50 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +5.5 -3.3 -11.0
51 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.2 +3.0 -6.5
52 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +4.7 +6.1 -4.5
53 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.7 +5.9 -2.9
54 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.6 +10.9 -0.6
55 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +4.6 -0.5 -6.5
56 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.6 -8.5 -12.9
57 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +4.5 +2.5 -3.0
58 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +4.4 +1.3 -7.2
59 Tulane FBS American Conference +4.4 +5.6 +0.9
60 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.3 +7.6 +5.0
61 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +4.2 +10.5 -0.1
62 Liberty FBS Conference USA +3.9 +4.3 -0.2
63 Georgia State FBS Sun Belt Conference +3.9 +5.3 +5.4
64 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +3.7 +3.3 -3.5
65 Northern Illinois FBS Mid-American Conference +3.6 +3.0 -1.9
66 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +3.5 +4.4 -3.6
67 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +3.5 +9.7 -0.4
68 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.1 +2.0 -1.6
69 Army FBS American Conference +3.1 -3.7 -7.2
70 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +3.0 +1.3 -5.1
71 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +2.7 +3.8 -1.4
72 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +2.6 +3.5 -2.3
73 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +2.5 -0.1 -4.4
74 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.2 -3.4 -2.6
75 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +2.1 +5.4 -1.4
75 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +2.1 +3.9 +0.2
76 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +2.1 -3.1 -3.8
77 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +2.1 +3.1 -4.3
78 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +2.0 +7.1 +3.5
79 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.9 +3.4 -2.3
80 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +1.9 +2.7 -0.1
81 Wyoming FBS Mountain West Conference +1.9 -5.0 -7.5
82 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.9 +2.0 -1.6
83 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +1.8 +2.9 -6.0
84 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +1.8 +1.9 -4.4
85 Memphis FBS American Conference +0.9 +0.1 +0.8
86 Rice FBS American Conference +0.2 -10.3 -7.7
87 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.0 +0.3 +6.5
88 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference -0.1 +2.1 -1.3
89 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference -0.6 +2.8 -1.4
90 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference -0.7 +5.3 +2.0
91 Hawai'i FBS Mountain West Conference -1.0 -1.0 -1.0
92 UTSA FBS American Conference -1.4 -3.2 +0.6
93 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -1.6 +3.7 +0.3
94 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference -1.6 +1.6 -4.5
95 VMI FCS Southern Conference -1.7 -4.3 -4.4
96 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference -1.9 -1.4 -0.6
97 East Carolina FBS American Conference -2.0 +0.8 +5.4
98 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference -2.5 +0.2 +2.1
99 Arkansas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -3.6 +3.8 +9.7
100 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference -4.3 +0.2 +4.8
101 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference -4.8 -0.0 +2.6
102 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference -5.5 -13.1 -4.7
103 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -5.9 -7.6 -8.1
104 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference -6.0 +4.2 +1.8
105 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -6.0 -1.4 +4.0
106 Texas State FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.1 +0.9 +9.0
107 South Alabama FBS Sun Belt Conference -6.5 -10.6 -1.7
108 New Mexico FBS Mountain West Conference -6.7 -1.5 +6.2
109 Louisiana Tech FBS Conference USA -7.1 -3.3 +7.1
110 Navy FBS American Conference -7.3 -9.5 +0.8
111 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -7.4 -0.5 +4.8
112 Akron FBS Mid-American Conference -7.5 -11.1 +4.4
113 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -7.7 -7.3 -1.4
114 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA -7.7 -10.1 -1.0
115 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference -8.3 -17.3 -5.2
116 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference -8.4 +2.4 +5.1
117 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -8.6 -6.8 +10.4
118 Colorado State FBS Mountain West Conference -8.8 -2.6 +7.0
119 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -9.9 -1.7 +6.9
120 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -10.3 -2.4 +14.5
121 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference -10.6 -7.4 -1.7
122 South Florida FBS American Conference -10.9 -2.9 +11.8
123 Charlotte FBS American Conference -11.2 -4.4 +10.5
124 Southern Miss FBS Sun Belt Conference -11.3 -4.9 +9.7
125 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference -11.5 -9.9 +3.4
126 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference -12.1 -3.8 +10.5
127 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference -12.2 -6.7 +4.7
128 Middle Tennessee FBS Conference USA -12.5 -5.4 +11.9
129 Missouri State FBS Conference USA -12.8 -16.4 +5.7
130 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -12.8 -9.5 +13.9
131 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA -13.6 -12.8 +6.7
132 UTEP FBS Conference USA -13.7 -14.6 +6.7
133 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -14.2 -17.4 +8.1
134 North Texas FBS American Conference -14.4 +0.5 +18.7
135 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -15.6 -12.9 +14.9
136 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -16.1 -16.6 +6.8
137 Temple FBS American Conference -16.2 -12.4 +6.5
138 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference -16.4 -10.4 +6.1
139 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference -16.7 -6.5 +10.2
140 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference -17.0 -15.3 +8.4
141 Florida International FBS Conference USA -17.6 -8.4 +11.5
142 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -18.6 -22.8 +2.4
143 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -19.6 -5.0 +20.4
144 UL Monroe FBS Sun Belt Conference -22.2 -12.3 +14.8
145 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -22.6 -13.0 +18.8
146 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -23.4 -18.4 +15.8
147 Massachusetts FBS Mid-American Conference -23.9 -20.6 +15.2
148 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -27.7 -19.3 +20.4

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 126 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.88 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Ball State #97 #31 -66 (we're higher)
Air Force #92 #33 -59 (we're higher)
Buffalo #61 #18 -43 (we're higher)
Miami (OH) #115 #72 -43 (we're higher)
Michigan #27 #69 +42 (we're lower)
Washington State #49 #91 +42 (we're lower)
Nebraska #35 #76 +41 (we're lower)
Purdue #43 #80 +37 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +28.4 45.3 16.7 #2
2 Alabama +28.3 46.8 18.6 #1
3 Wisconsin +26.5 38.7 12.2 #22
4 Clemson +26.1 42.6 16.7 #3
5 Notre Dame +21.0 38.3 17.3 #11
6 Florida +19.8 43.3 23.9 #8
7 BYU +19.2 39.2 20.3 #5
8 Georgia +19.1 30.8 12.1 #7
9 Cincinnati +18.6 34.5 15.9 #6
10 Oregon +18.1 35.1 16.9 #30
11 North Carolina +18.0 43.7 25.6 #21
12 Oklahoma +17.8 43.0 25.2 #4
13 Iowa +16.3 29.7 13.5 #10
14 Texas A&M +16.2 37.7 21.5 #13
15 Oklahoma State +14.2 30.7 16.7 #19
16 Penn State +13.9 35.0 21.0 #40
17 Virginia Tech +13.7 38.0 24.4 #49
18 UCF +13.6 39.4 25.7 #15
19 Iowa State +13.3 34.5 21.1 #9
20 Miami +12.8 32.6 20.2 #27
21 Auburn +12.6 33.0 20.7 #32
22 USC +12.4 38.0 25.5 #24
23 Utah +11.9 36.1 24.3 #34
24 Washington +11.7 30.9 19.1 #43
25 Arizona State +11.4 30.2 18.9 #29