BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2025 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +30.6 +16.9 +13.7
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.3 +11.0 +18.3
3 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +27.5 +15.9 +11.6
4 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +27.0 +15.2 +11.8
5 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +12.9 +13.0
6 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.7 +9.7 +16.0
7 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +23.9 +14.8 +9.2
8 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +23.1 +9.6 +13.5
9 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +21.6 +14.8 +6.8
10 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +20.4 +11.1 +9.4
11 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +20.2 +14.8 +5.5
12 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +19.8 +10.4 +9.3
13 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +19.5 +8.7 +10.8
14 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +19.4 +12.5 +6.8
15 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +19.3 +6.1 +13.2
16 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +19.1 +9.6 +9.5
17 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +9.1 +9.6
18 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +18.5 +9.4 +9.0
19 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +18.4 +4.2 +14.3
20 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.4 +9.0 +9.4
21 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.1 +8.1 +10.0
22 South Florida FBS American Conference +18.0 +13.1 +4.9
23 North Texas FBS American Conference +16.8 +17.8 -1.1
24 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +16.3 +7.0 +9.3
25 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +14.7 +1.5
26 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.1 +8.5 +7.6
27 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +15.8 +7.7 +8.1
28 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +15.4 +6.6 +8.8
29 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.3 +6.3 +9.0
30 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +15.2 +8.9 +6.3
31 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.0 +5.6 +9.4
32 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +14.9 +5.2 +9.7
33 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +14.4 +5.4 +9.1
34 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.0 +9.5 +4.6
35 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +13.9 +2.9 +11.0
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.8 +8.6 +5.2
37 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.8 +5.1 +8.7
38 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +13.7 +3.6 +10.1
39 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +13.3 +4.5 +8.8
40 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.2 +8.0 +5.1
41 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +12.0 +1.1
42 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.7 +3.6 +9.1
43 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +12.7 +6.1 +6.6
44 East Carolina FBS American Conference +12.6 +5.6 +6.9
45 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +12.3 +2.1 +10.2
46 Tulane FBS American Conference +11.9 +3.8 +8.1
47 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.9 +7.8 +4.1
48 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.7 +5.9 +5.9
49 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +11.5 +2.2 +9.3
50 Memphis FBS American Conference +11.3 +6.0 +5.3

SRS — season 2025 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +43.1 +33.8 -31.2
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +40.8 +24.3 -32.4
3 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +39.4 +30.4 -25.3
4 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +38.8 +29.8 -26.6
5 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +37.7 +25.3 -27.3
6 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.4 +20.9 -30.3
7 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +35.5 +28.5 -21.1
8 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +34.2 +20.2 -26.4
9 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +32.5 +27.9 -18.3
10 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +31.7 +27.8 -16.9
11 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +31.5 +23.4 -21.0
12 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +31.5 +23.9 -22.2
13 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +31.2 +25.8 -20.1
14 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +30.0 +20.2 -22.5
15 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +29.8 +16.1 -27.9
16 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +29.8 +17.9 -26.2
17 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +29.3 +22.4 -22.9
18 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.3 +21.5 -21.5
19 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +28.4 +19.3 -22.1
20 South Florida FBS American Conference +28.0 +23.5 -14.9
21 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.6 +17.6 -18.7
22 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +27.3 +17.5 -20.7
23 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +26.9 +19.1 -19.7
24 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +26.8 +19.8 -21.1
25 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +26.8 +18.1 -17.6
26 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +26.6 +26.9 -12.3
27 North Texas FBS American Conference +26.1 +29.0 -8.1
28 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.9 +16.4 -19.8
29 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +18.3 -17.8
30 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +25.4 +16.8 -22.1
31 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +24.6 +18.3 -16.0
32 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.3 +15.2 -19.6
33 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.3 +20.7 -15.6
34 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +24.0 +14.6 -21.9
35 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +23.8 +12.7 -23.1
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.1 +18.4 -14.4
37 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.9 +18.0 -15.5
38 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +20.3 -18.2
39 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +22.5 +16.0 -14.9
40 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +13.9 -18.8
41 Old Dominion FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.2 +12.6 -17.4
42 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.2 +18.6 -14.9
43 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.2 +22.1 -9.3
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.0 +12.0 -19.4
45 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.6 +8.6 -19.4
46 East Carolina FBS American Conference +21.0 +14.8 -16.9
47 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +20.8 +12.4 -17.4
48 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +20.7 +12.1 -20.6
48 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.7 +11.8 -18.2
49 Tulane FBS American Conference +20.4 +11.6 -17.1

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 Oregon FBS 1848
4 Georgia FBS 1843
5 Notre Dame FBS 1840
6 Texas Tech FBS 1801
7 Ole Miss FBS 1798
8 Miami FBS 1780
9 James Madison FBS 1779
10 Texas FBS 1760
11 Utah FBS 1752
12 Alabama FBS 1738
13 BYU FBS 1733
14 SMU FBS 1729
15 Texas A&M FBS 1728
16 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
17 Iowa FBS 1713
18 Oklahoma FBS 1708
19 Tulane FBS 1697
20 USC FBS 1695
21 Penn State FBS 1694
22 Louisville FBS 1681
23 Washington FBS 1679
24 Michigan FBS 1677
25 Navy FBS 1673

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 135 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.98 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Nebraska #46 #68 +22 (we're lower)
UConn #53 #74 +21 (we're lower)
Buffalo #95 #116 +21 (we're lower)
Arizona State #60 #42 -18 (we're higher)
Temple #88 #106 +18 (we're lower)
Old Dominion #49 #33 -16 (we're higher)
Washington State #61 #45 -16 (we're higher)
Boise State #64 #48 -16 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Indiana +32.4 40.8 9.9 #1
2 Ohio State +30.1 37.6 7.7 #2
3 Texas Tech +27.6 39.3 12.3 #5
4 Oregon +25.9 38.7 13.5 #4
5 Notre Dame +24.4 40.0 16.3 #3
6 Georgia +24.1 37.0 14.8 #8
7 Ole Miss +24.0 40.4 18.3 #9
8 Utah +22.2 39.7 17.5 #7
9 Texas A&M +20.7 38.0 16.4 #10
9 Miami +20.7 34.2 14.3 #6
11 Vanderbilt +20.3 39.9 21.4 #11
12 Iowa +19.7 32.1 14.2 #15
13 Washington +18.4 34.5 15.3 #12
14 Oklahoma +18.3 30.1 12.9 #19
15 Penn State +18.1 35.1 18.8 #16
16 USC +16.9 38.9 21.0 #14
17 Texas +16.2 32.9 17.9 #21
18 BYU +15.9 33.9 18.8 #13
19 Tennessee +15.0 39.3 25.4 #25
20 Alabama +14.8 32.2 16.1 #17
21 Missouri +14.4 31.2 15.4 #32
22 North Texas +13.8 43.1 28.6 #23
23 SMU +13.4 34.2 19.5 #20
24 Illinois +12.9 33.3 21.7 #27
25 Michigan +12.4 30.9 17.0 #28