BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2023 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +37.9 +17.5 +20.4
2 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +35.7 +18.4 +17.2
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.7 +13.4 +21.2
4 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +33.2 +18.8 +14.5
5 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +33.1 +16.4 +16.6
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +32.0 +15.0 +16.9
7 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +15.3 +16.3
8 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +29.9 +16.6 +13.3
9 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +29.7 +16.4 +13.2
10 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +28.7 +17.4 +11.2
11 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +19.0 +9.1
12 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.6 +13.9 +13.7
13 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +27.6 +12.6 +15.0
14 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +26.8 +23.1 +3.7
15 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +25.7 +15.1 +10.6
16 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +24.7 +13.6 +11.1
17 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +23.8 +13.1 +10.8
18 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +23.8 +12.1 +11.7
19 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +22.0 +15.0 +7.1
20 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.5 +9.7 +11.8
21 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +21.5 +10.1 +11.5
22 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +21.2 +21.8 -0.6
23 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.9 +9.0 +11.9
24 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +20.9 +13.1 +7.8
25 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +11.2 +9.7
26 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.7 +6.7 +14.0
27 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.5 +7.9 +12.6
28 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +20.4 +4.7 +15.8
29 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +20.1 +9.6 +10.5
30 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.4 +4.6 +14.8
31 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +19.1 +10.8 +8.4
32 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +19.1 +5.7 +13.4
33 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +18.9 +11.4 +7.4
34 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +18.5 +9.3 +9.3
35 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.8 +5.6 +12.2
36 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +17.8 +8.8 +9.0
37 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.5 +10.4 +7.1
38 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +17.3 +9.5 +7.8
39 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.2 +13.2 +4.0
40 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +9.1 +8.0
41 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +17.1 -2.2 +19.3
42 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +17.0 +4.4 +12.6
43 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.8 +9.1 +7.7
44 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +16.7 +5.1 +11.7
45 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +16.4 +10.5 +5.9
46 Liberty FBS Conference USA +16.3 +12.3 +3.9
47 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +15.9 +7.8 +8.1
48 Memphis FBS American Conference +15.7 +14.3 +1.4
49 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +15.6 +8.8 +6.9
50 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.0 +7.9 +7.1

SRS — season 2023 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +40.8 +25.4 -29.0
2 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +39.1 +29.5 -26.4
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +37.8 +26.9 -25.3
4 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +37.6 +18.7 -30.5
5 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +37.1 +24.4 -24.8
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.8 +24.1 -25.8
7 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +34.0 +25.3 -20.5
8 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +33.9 +25.7 -19.9
9 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +33.8 +25.7 -21.8
10 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +33.7 +22.6 -24.5
11 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +32.6 +29.0 -18.5
12 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +32.2 +20.6 -22.5
13 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.3 +20.2 -20.7
14 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +30.4 +21.4 -20.3
15 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +29.7 +33.6 -10.8
16 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +22.6 -18.3
17 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +28.2 +20.5 -19.3
18 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +26.9 +19.5 -19.9
19 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +26.6 +21.6 -15.3
20 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +25.9 +31.5 -7.6
21 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +19.3 -18.6
22 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.0 +16.2 -19.8
23 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +24.7 +17.6 -15.2
24 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.7 +13.9 -19.7
25 Troy FBS Sun Belt Conference +24.4 +10.1 -19.6
26 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.9 +16.2 -17.9
27 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.8 +15.1 -17.2
28 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +23.4 +18.7 -14.4
29 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +10.7 -23.9
30 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.1 +13.8 -18.9
31 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +23.0 +10.9 -22.5
32 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +22.5 +16.8 -14.6
33 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.4 +18.0 -13.7
34 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.3 +14.1 -15.3
35 Liberty FBS Conference USA +22.1 +18.5 -8.6
36 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.9 +16.7 -14.6
37 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.5 +12.4 -17.8
38 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.5 +19.1 -12.2
39 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +21.4 +15.5 -13.3
40 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +21.4 +16.7 -13.4
41 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +20.9 +16.5 -15.5
42 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.9 +17.8 -16.1
43 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.5 +19.2 -11.1
44 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +19.5 +9.8 -18.5
45 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.5 +15.6 -12.7
46 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +19.4 +11.6 -19.1
47 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.1 +18.5 -10.0
48 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.9 +2.8 -24.8
49 Memphis FBS American Conference +18.6 +20.3 -5.2
50 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +18.3 +14.0 -15.0

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 Notre Dame FBS 1749
3 Georgia FBS 1746
4 Ohio State FBS 1745
5 Texas Tech FBS 1723
6 Miami FBS 1719
7 Ole Miss FBS 1715
8 Alabama FBS 1708
9 James Madison FBS 1703
10 Texas FBS 1701
11 Oregon FBS 1698
12 SMU FBS 1695
13 Utah FBS 1693
14 Texas A&M FBS 1691
15 BYU FBS 1681
16 USC FBS 1676
17 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
18 Penn State FBS 1671
19 Iowa FBS 1664
20 Tennessee FBS 1655
21 Duke FBS 1649
22 Louisville FBS 1644
23 Michigan FBS 1642
24 Washington FBS 1641
25 South Florida FBS 1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 133 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Georgia Southern #82 #109 +27 (we're lower)
Wake Forest #96 #72 -24 (we're higher)
Louisiana #63 #86 +23 (we're lower)
Purdue #90 #67 -23 (we're higher)
New Mexico State #73 #95 +22 (we're lower)
North Texas #86 #106 +20 (we're lower)
Arizona State #107 #87 -20 (we're higher)
Texas State #70 #88 +18 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Michigan +31.3 36.6 7.2 #1
2 Georgia +31.2 41.5 12.2 #2
3 Oregon +26.2 45.0 18.2 #4
4 Ohio State +25.2 31.5 7.8 #3
5 Penn State +23.5 32.7 10.5 #6
6 Texas +23.2 39.3 17.7 #5
7 Alabama +23.1 36.8 15.6 #7
8 Notre Dame +20.1 36.3 16.7 #9
9 Florida State +19.4 34.1 16.5 #12
10 Missouri +19.3 36.5 18.0 #13
11 LSU +19.1 44.6 25.0 #14
12 Ole Miss +18.4 36.3 19.2 #15
13 Washington +16.4 40.3 24.7 #10
14 Kansas State +16.2 38.9 21.8 #8
14 Tennessee +16.2 34.9 19.2 #16
16 Texas A&M +15.6 34.5 18.8 #21
17 Oklahoma +15.0 38.5 22.6 #11
18 Arizona +14.1 37.3 23.1 #17
19 Oregon State +12.6 33.2 22.3 #18
20 James Madison +11.8 34.6 23.7 #36
21 Maryland +11.0 28.3 17.6 #25
22 Kentucky +10.5 31.6 22.2 #34
22 Clemson +10.5 29.3 19.0 #20
24 SMU +10.1 34.1 23.0 #37
25 Kansas +9.9 35.6 26.1 #19