BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2026 · Preseason 50 teams

Preseason = each team's 2025 finish regressed toward the mean. It can't yet see roster turnover, the portal, or recruiting; it updates as 2026 games are played. Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. A model rating, not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+35.6	+22.4	+13.2
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+34.9	+15.1	+19.7
3	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.9	+18.5	+15.4
4	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+33.7	+18.9	+14.9
5	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.6	+16.2	+15.4
6	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+30.1	+18.4	+11.7
7	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.0	+14.2	+15.8
8	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+29.0	+16.2	+12.8
9	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+28.5	+10.4	+18.1
10	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+27.0	+12.8	+14.2
11	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+27.0	+13.8	+13.1
12	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.9	+22.0	+5.0
13	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+26.8	+13.9	+12.9
14	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.1	+16.9	+9.2
15	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.0	+17.2	+8.8
16	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+25.1	+13.9	+11.2
17	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.9	+15.7	+9.2
18	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.9	+16.2	+8.7
19	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.7	+6.9	+17.7
20	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.9	+6.0	+17.9
21	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.4	+16.5	+6.9
22	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.9	+7.1	+15.8
23	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.3	+8.6	+13.7
24	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.1	+5.7	+16.4
25	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+22.0	+10.7	+11.3
26	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.9	+16.3	+5.6
27	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+21.9	+7.5	+14.4
28	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.8	+11.2	+10.6
29	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.6	+11.2	+10.3
30	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.2	+5.8	+15.4
31	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.1	+7.1	+14.1
32	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+20.8	+17.3	+3.6
33	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.6	+10.2	+10.4
34	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.3	+8.6	+11.7
35	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.2	+15.3	+4.9
36	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.0	+9.7	+10.3
37	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.9	+9.4	+10.5
38	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.7	+14.2	+5.5
39	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+19.1	+9.4	+9.7
40	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	+19.0	+11.8	+7.2
41	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.3	+9.8	+8.5
42	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.0	+6.4	+11.7
43	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.5	+9.7	+7.9
44	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.3	+9.6	+7.7
45	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.0	+3.6	+13.3
46	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+16.8	+3.4	+13.4
47	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.4	+8.4	+8.0
48	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.3	+8.9	+7.5
49	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.0	+7.0	+9.0
50	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.6	+4.8	+10.7

SRS — season 2025 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+43.1	+33.8	-31.2
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+40.8	+24.3	-32.4
3	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+39.4	+30.4	-25.3
4	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+38.8	+29.8	-26.6
5	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+37.7	+25.3	-27.3
6	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+37.4	+20.9	-30.3
7	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+35.5	+28.5	-21.1
8	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+34.2	+20.2	-26.4
9	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.5	+27.9	-18.3
10	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.7	+27.8	-16.9
11	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.5	+23.4	-21.0
12	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.5	+23.9	-22.2
13	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.2	+25.8	-20.1
14	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+30.0	+20.2	-22.5
15	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+29.8	+16.1	-27.9
16	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.8	+17.9	-26.2
17	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+29.3	+22.4	-22.9
18	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.3	+21.5	-21.5
19	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.4	+19.3	-22.1
20	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+28.0	+23.5	-14.9
21	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+27.6	+17.6	-18.7
22	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+27.3	+17.5	-20.7
23	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.9	+19.1	-19.7
24	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.8	+19.8	-21.1
25	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+26.8	+18.1	-17.6
26	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.6	+26.9	-12.3
27	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+26.1	+29.0	-8.1
28	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.9	+16.4	-19.8
29	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.4	+18.3	-17.8
30	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.4	+16.8	-22.1
31	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.6	+18.3	-16.0
32	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.3	+15.2	-19.6
33	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+24.3	+20.7	-15.6
34	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.0	+14.6	-21.9
35	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.8	+12.7	-23.1
36	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.1	+18.4	-14.4
37	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.9	+18.0	-15.5
38	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.6	+20.3	-18.2
39	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.5	+16.0	-14.9
40	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.3	+13.9	-18.8
41	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+22.2	+12.6	-17.4
42	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.2	+18.6	-14.9
43	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.2	+22.1	-9.3
44	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.0	+12.0	-19.4
45	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+21.6	+8.6	-19.4
46	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+21.0	+14.8	-16.9
47	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+20.8	+12.4	-17.4
48	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.7	+12.1	-20.6
48	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.7	+11.8	-18.2
49	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+20.4	+11.6	-17.1

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
3	Georgia	FBS	1746
4	Ohio State	FBS	1745
5	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
6	Miami	FBS	1719
7	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
8	Alabama	FBS	1708
9	James Madison	FBS	1703
10	Texas	FBS	1701
11	Oregon	FBS	1698
12	SMU	FBS	1695
13	Utah	FBS	1693
14	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
15	BYU	FBS	1681
16	USC	FBS	1676
17	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
18	Penn State	FBS	1671
19	Iowa	FBS	1664
20	Tennessee	FBS	1655
21	Duke	FBS	1649
22	Louisville	FBS	1644
23	Michigan	FBS	1642
24	Washington	FBS	1641
25	South Florida	FBS	1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 136 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.89 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25