BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2020 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +19.4 +9.4
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +15.3 +4.8
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.1 +13.4 +6.7
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +19.4 +13.3 +6.0
5 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +18.5 +10.3 +8.1
6 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +18.0 +6.6 +11.4
7 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +17.6 +6.8 +10.8
8 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +15.1 +12.8 +2.3
9 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +14.8 +5.7 +9.0
10 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +14.2 +3.7 +10.5
11 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +14.1 +4.0 +10.1
12 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +13.8 +13.9 -0.1
13 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +13.0 +4.5 +8.6
14 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +12.6 +5.8 +6.8
15 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +13.8 -2.4
16 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +10.8 +1.3 +9.5
17 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.6 +2.7 +7.9
18 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +10.2 +8.2 +2.0
19 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +10.2 +3.7 +6.4
20 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.1 +4.6 +5.5
21 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.8 +11.0 -1.2
22 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +9.8 -0.3 +10.1
23 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +9.0 -2.5 +11.5
24 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +8.8 +5.1 +3.7
25 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +8.4 +2.5 +5.9
26 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +8.2 +6.9 +1.3
27 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +8.0 +4.5 +3.5
28 Tulsa FBS American Conference +7.9 -0.5 +8.4
29 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.7 +3.8 +3.9
30 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +7.7 +4.2 +3.5
31 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +7.6 +4.6 +3.0
32 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +7.5 +0.7 +6.8
33 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.2 -2.3 +9.5
34 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +7.0 +1.4 +5.6
35 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +7.0 -1.0 +7.9
36 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +6.7 +1.3 +5.4
37 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.3 -2.2 +8.5
38 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +6.2 +7.0 -0.9
39 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.6 +8.7 -3.1
40 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +5.6 +2.8 +2.8
41 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +5.3 +11.3 -6.0
42 UAB FBS American Conference +5.2 +1.2 +4.0
43 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +5.1 +0.9 +4.2
44 Tulane FBS American Conference +5.0 +5.1 -0.2
45 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +4.9 +6.8 -1.9
46 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.8 +0.1 +4.7
47 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +4.8 -5.1 +9.9
48 Liberty FBS Conference USA +4.6 +3.7 +0.9
49 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +4.4 +3.6 +0.8
50 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +4.4 +3.7 +0.7

SRS — season 2020 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +34.1 +26.9 -16.5
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.3 +22.0 -10.1
3 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +22.9 +15.9 -8.8
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +19.5 -12.4
5 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +21.9 +11.6 -11.8
6 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +21.7 +10.7 -14.4
7 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.3 +14.9 -11.8
8 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.7 +20.4 -11.4
9 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +19.6 +8.3 -13.1
10 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +19.1 +16.9 -4.6
11 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.5 +9.3 -14.7
12 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.8 +10.6 -14.8
13 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +17.6 +8.9 -10.1
14 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +17.3 +8.4 -13.0
15 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +20.8 -4.3
16 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +15.8 +3.8 -15.4
17 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.2 +7.7 -9.1
18 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +14.8 +2.7 -17.5
19 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +14.4 +7.5 -15.1
20 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +14.1 +18.0 +0.5
21 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +14.0 +5.2 -7.7
22 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +13.2 +8.1 -7.6
23 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +12.5 +3.3 -16.0
24 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.5 +8.2 -11.6
25 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.6 +3.0 -9.6
26 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.4 +5.5 -6.5
27 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +14.5 +3.4
28 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.9 +1.3 -8.0
29 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +10.9 +3.9 -10.4
30 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +10.6 +7.1 -10.5
31 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +10.5 +7.8 -4.7
32 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.2 +9.5 -0.6
33 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +10.0 +21.0 +9.8
34 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.9 +15.0 -0.6
35 Tulsa FBS American Conference +9.8 -0.7 -10.3
36 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.3 +8.9 -7.0
37 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +9.2 +3.7 -6.1
38 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +9.0 +1.4 -11.8
39 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +9.0 +17.0 +4.9
40 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +7.8 +6.2 -5.8
41 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +7.6 +8.2 -0.4
42 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.6 -3.3 -11.3
43 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.5 -1.3 -10.1
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.1 +11.9 -8.8
45 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +6.9 +6.5 -7.0
46 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +6.9 -1.9 -8.9
47 UAB FBS American Conference +6.2 +1.9 -3.4
48 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +6.2 +4.1 -2.8
49 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.0 +5.5 +2.1
50 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +5.5 -3.3 -11.0

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 Oregon FBS 1848
4 Georgia FBS 1843
5 Notre Dame FBS 1840
6 Texas Tech FBS 1801
7 Ole Miss FBS 1798
8 Miami FBS 1780
9 James Madison FBS 1779
10 Texas FBS 1760
11 Utah FBS 1752
12 Alabama FBS 1738
13 BYU FBS 1733
14 SMU FBS 1729
15 Texas A&M FBS 1728
16 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
17 Iowa FBS 1713
18 Oklahoma FBS 1708
19 Tulane FBS 1697
20 USC FBS 1695
21 Penn State FBS 1694
22 Louisville FBS 1681
23 Washington FBS 1679
24 Michigan FBS 1677
25 Navy FBS 1673

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 126 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.88 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Ball State #97 #31 -66 (we're higher)
Air Force #92 #33 -59 (we're higher)
Buffalo #61 #18 -43 (we're higher)
Miami (OH) #115 #72 -43 (we're higher)
Michigan #27 #69 +42 (we're lower)
Washington State #49 #91 +42 (we're lower)
Nebraska #35 #76 +41 (we're lower)
Purdue #43 #80 +37 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +28.4 45.3 16.7 #2
2 Alabama +28.3 46.8 18.6 #1
3 Wisconsin +26.5 38.7 12.2 #22
4 Clemson +26.1 42.6 16.7 #3
5 Notre Dame +21.0 38.3 17.3 #11
6 Florida +19.8 43.3 23.9 #8
7 BYU +19.2 39.2 20.3 #5
8 Georgia +19.1 30.8 12.1 #7
9 Cincinnati +18.6 34.5 15.9 #6
10 Oregon +18.1 35.1 16.9 #30
11 North Carolina +18.0 43.7 25.6 #21
12 Oklahoma +17.8 43.0 25.2 #4
13 Iowa +16.3 29.7 13.5 #10
14 Texas A&M +16.2 37.7 21.5 #13
15 Oklahoma State +14.2 30.7 16.7 #19
16 Penn State +13.9 35.0 21.0 #40
17 Virginia Tech +13.7 38.0 24.4 #49
18 UCF +13.6 39.4 25.7 #15
19 Iowa State +13.3 34.5 21.1 #9
20 Miami +12.8 32.6 20.2 #27
21 Auburn +12.6 33.0 20.7 #32
22 USC +12.4 38.0 25.5 #24
23 Utah +11.9 36.1 24.3 #34
24 Washington +11.7 30.9 19.1 #43
25 Arizona State +11.4 30.2 18.9 #29