BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2017 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +35.8 +15.5 +20.2
2 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +33.8 +15.7 +18.1
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.7 +15.1 +18.6
4 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +31.9 +19.0 +13.0
5 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +31.9 +18.2 +13.8
6 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +31.8 +13.0 +18.8
7 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +30.6 +12.4 +18.2
8 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +30.5 +24.2 +6.3
9 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +30.3 +13.5 +16.9
10 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +29.2 +16.9 +12.3
11 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.6 +21.8 +3.8
12 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +11.2 +14.1
13 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +25.0 +18.5 +6.5
14 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +24.5 +7.9 +16.6
15 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +24.2 +9.2 +15.0
16 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +24.1 +12.8 +11.3
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +6.6 +17.0
18 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.4 +12.5 +10.9
19 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +8.2 +15.1
20 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.2 +10.7 +12.5
21 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +23.2 +9.6 +13.6
22 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +23.2 +11.2 +12.0
23 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.2 +17.1 +4.1
24 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +21.0 +7.0 +14.0
25 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +5.4 +15.5
26 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.2 +13.1 +7.1
27 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +20.0 +7.5 +12.5
28 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.9 +7.4 +12.5
29 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.9 +9.0 +10.9
30 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.7 +11.0 +8.7
31 South Florida FBS American Conference +19.1 +13.7 +5.4
32 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +19.1 +5.5 +13.6
33 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +18.8 +10.2 +8.6
34 Memphis FBS American Conference +18.5 +17.8 +0.7
35 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.3 +10.2 +8.1
36 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +18.2 +6.8 +11.5
37 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.2 +5.6 +12.5
38 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.9 +8.7 +9.3
39 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.3 +6.1 +11.2
40 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +16.9 +3.3 +13.6
41 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +16.8 +13.8 +3.1
42 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +16.2 +4.7 +11.5
43 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +15.9 +12.0 +3.9
44 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +15.3 +11.5 +3.8
45 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.2 +7.2 +8.0
46 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +15.0 +15.0 -0.0
47 Navy FBS American Conference +14.9 +7.5 +7.4
48 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +14.8 +4.7 +10.1
49 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +14.8 +13.7 +1.1
50 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +14.7 +11.2 +3.5

SRS — season 2017 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +39.5 +24.1 -26.7
2 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.4 +30.2 -24.8
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +37.8 +24.4 -29.4
4 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +37.7 +22.3 -27.8
5 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.3 +22.5 -28.3
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +37.3 +29.6 -24.8
7 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +35.9 +33.4 -16.1
8 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +35.3 +24.6 -21.4
9 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +34.9 +19.9 -26.2
10 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +21.8 -25.6
11 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +33.5 +28.6 -14.9
12 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +30.6 +32.2 -12.1
13 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +30.0 +17.5 -25.1
14 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +29.8 +19.3 -22.9
15 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.7 +18.4 -20.7
16 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.2 +20.0 -17.7
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.1 +13.9 -26.7
18 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +27.8 +15.4 -23.6
19 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +14.6 -23.1
20 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.2 +12.9 -24.6
21 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +17.7 -19.8
22 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.5 +19.6 -20.1
23 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +26.5 +19.3 -18.4
24 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +26.1 +16.9 -21.4
25 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.0 +22.5 -13.8
26 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +13.0 -21.2
27 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.2 +24.9 -11.9
28 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +24.9 +13.4 -23.8
29 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +12.1 -23.5
30 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.4 +14.3 -20.5
31 Memphis FBS American Conference +24.3 +26.2 -8.9
32 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.1 +18.3 -15.0
33 South Florida FBS American Conference +23.7 +17.9 -12.7
34 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +23.3 +20.2 -10.9
35 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.7 +13.4 -21.0
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.6 +16.5 -17.2
37 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.5 +13.7 -19.3
38 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.4 +11.0 -17.5
39 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.3 +16.5 -14.0
40 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.8 +16.6 -15.9
41 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +21.6 +9.8 -20.4
42 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +13.3 -18.4
43 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +20.8 -13.5
44 Navy FBS American Conference +20.4 +13.5 -15.7
45 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +19.9 +15.7 -14.2
46 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +19.7 +20.4 -11.9
47 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +19.6 +19.6 -10.4
48 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +23.6 -5.5
49 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +19.2 +25.9 -4.4
50 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.8 +11.3 -16.5

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 Notre Dame FBS 1749
3 Georgia FBS 1746
4 Ohio State FBS 1745
5 Texas Tech FBS 1723
6 Miami FBS 1719
7 Ole Miss FBS 1715
8 Alabama FBS 1708
9 James Madison FBS 1703
10 Texas FBS 1701
11 Oregon FBS 1698
12 SMU FBS 1695
13 Utah FBS 1693
14 Texas A&M FBS 1691
15 BYU FBS 1681
16 USC FBS 1676
17 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
18 Penn State FBS 1671
19 Iowa FBS 1664
20 Tennessee FBS 1655
21 Duke FBS 1649
22 Louisville FBS 1644
23 Michigan FBS 1642
24 Washington FBS 1641
25 South Florida FBS 1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Navy #73 #46 -27 (we're higher)
Missouri #28 #54 +26 (we're lower)
Florida #34 #58 +24 (we're lower)
California #74 #50 -24 (we're higher)
Indiana #32 #55 +23 (we're lower)
Army #90 #69 -21 (we're higher)
Akron #119 #98 -21 (we're higher)
Iowa State #44 #24 -20 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +33.5 38.7 5.6 #1
2 Ohio State +30.9 42.9 12.8 #5
3 Wisconsin +26.8 37.4 11.6 #6
4 Georgia +26.7 39.6 15.4 #2
5 Clemson +26.4 36.5 8.3 #3
6 Penn State +26.0 41.5 14.9 #4
7 Oklahoma +25.5 49.8 24.2 #8
8 Auburn +24.7 35.4 11.0 #7
9 Florida State +22.8 33.3 12.5 #28
10 Washington +22.1 39.4 16.3 #9
11 LSU +21.1 35.6 14.0 #14
12 Notre Dame +20.8 37.4 16.9 #10
13 Michigan +19.6 31.1 11.8 #19
14 Louisville +19.2 43.3 24.9 #23
15 Oklahoma State +19.1 42.2 23.0 #11
16 TCU +18.9 35.7 18.7 #15
17 USC +17.9 38.5 20.0 #16
18 Miami +17.4 35.3 17.0 #12
19 Mississippi State +16.0 32.4 18.1 #22
20 Stanford +15.8 37.7 24.5 #20
21 Virginia Tech +14.3 27.8 14.4 #17
22 UCF +14.1 40.5 26.9 #13
23 Michigan State +13.8 27.7 15.1 #25
24 NC State +12.9 38.0 23.3 #18
25 Utah +12.0 30.6 20.5 #35