BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2020 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +35.1 +22.8 +12.3
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.4 +19.4 +8.0
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.1 +15.3 +8.8
4 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +23.4 +9.4 +14.0
5 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +23.2 +15.8 +7.4
6 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +20.9 +15.5 +5.4
7 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +20.5 +6.3 +14.2
8 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +19.4 +6.8 +12.6
9 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +18.5 +7.5 +11.0
10 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +18.3 +7.0 +11.3
11 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +17.8 +5.7 +12.1
12 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +17.5 +9.7 +7.7
13 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +17.3 +15.8 +1.5
14 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +16.2 +4.1 +12.1
15 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +16.1 +2.7 +13.4
16 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +14.2 -0.6 +14.8
17 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +14.2 +8.3 +6.0
18 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.6 +5.6 +7.9
19 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +13.5 +3.6 +10.0
20 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +13.2 +6.7 +6.5
21 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +13.1 +3.7 +9.5
22 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +12.8 +15.0 -2.2
23 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +12.6 +10.7 +1.9
24 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +12.1 +6.0 +6.1
25 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +11.9 +5.0 +6.9
26 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.9 +12.1 -0.2
27 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +11.4 +3.8 +7.6
28 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +11.3 +3.4 +8.0
29 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.5 +5.2 +5.3
30 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +10.4 +13.8 -3.4
31 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.2 +4.6 +5.6
32 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.9 +5.0 +4.8
33 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +9.2 +0.1 +9.1
34 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +9.2 -0.5 +9.7
35 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +9.0 +7.2 +1.8
36 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.0 +1.9 +7.1
37 Tulsa FBS American Conference +8.9 -0.2 +9.1
38 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +8.8 +9.3 -0.5
39 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +8.7 +4.0 +4.8
40 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +8.1 +7.1 +1.0
41 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +8.0 -2.1 +10.1
42 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +7.7 +7.2 +0.6
43 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +7.2 +4.4 +2.8
44 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.8 +0.7 +6.1
45 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +6.6 +0.1 +6.5
46 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +6.5 +0.6 +6.0
47 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +6.4 +4.7 +1.6
48 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +5.8 +7.6 -1.8
49 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +5.6 +1.0 +4.6
50 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +5.5 +3.5 +2.0

SRS — season 2020 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +34.1 +26.9 -16.5
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.3 +22.0 -10.1
3 Buffalo FBS Mid-American Conference +22.9 +15.9 -8.8
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +19.5 -12.4
5 Ball State FBS Mid-American Conference +21.9 +11.6 -11.8
6 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +21.7 +10.7 -14.4
7 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.3 +14.9 -11.8
8 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.7 +20.4 -11.4
9 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +19.6 +8.3 -13.1
10 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +19.1 +16.9 -4.6
11 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.5 +9.3 -14.7
12 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.8 +10.6 -14.8
13 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +17.6 +8.9 -10.1
14 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +17.3 +8.4 -13.0
15 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +20.8 -4.3
16 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +15.8 +3.8 -15.4
17 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.2 +7.7 -9.1
18 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +14.8 +2.7 -17.5
19 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +14.4 +7.5 -15.1
20 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +14.1 +18.0 +0.5
21 Miami (OH) FBS Mid-American Conference +14.0 +5.2 -7.7
22 Central Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +13.2 +8.1 -7.6
23 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +12.5 +3.3 -16.0
24 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.5 +8.2 -11.6
25 San José State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.6 +3.0 -9.6
26 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.4 +5.5 -6.5
27 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +14.5 +3.4
28 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.9 +1.3 -8.0
29 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +10.9 +3.9 -10.4
30 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +10.6 +7.1 -10.5
31 Eastern Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +10.5 +7.8 -4.7
32 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.2 +9.5 -0.6
33 Kent State FBS Mid-American Conference +10.0 +21.0 +9.8
34 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.9 +15.0 -0.6
35 Tulsa FBS American Conference +9.8 -0.7 -10.3
36 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.3 +8.9 -7.0
37 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +9.2 +3.7 -6.1
38 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +9.0 +1.4 -11.8
39 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +9.0 +17.0 +4.9
40 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +7.8 +6.2 -5.8
41 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +7.6 +8.2 -0.4
42 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +7.6 -3.3 -11.3
43 Marshall FBS Sun Belt Conference +7.5 -1.3 -10.1
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +7.1 +11.9 -8.8
45 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +6.9 +6.5 -7.0
46 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +6.9 -1.9 -8.9
47 UAB FBS American Conference +6.2 +1.9 -3.4
48 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +6.2 +4.1 -2.8
49 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +6.0 +5.5 +2.1
50 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +5.5 -3.3 -11.0

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 North Dakota State FCS 1764
3 Notre Dame FBS 1749
4 Montana State FCS 1749
5 Georgia FBS 1746
6 Ohio State FBS 1745
7 Texas Tech FBS 1723
8 Miami FBS 1719
9 Ole Miss FBS 1715
10 Alabama FBS 1708
11 James Madison FBS 1703
12 Texas FBS 1701
13 Oregon FBS 1698
14 Lehigh FCS 1696
15 SMU FBS 1695
16 Utah FBS 1693
17 Texas A&M FBS 1691
18 Tarleton State FCS 1685
19 BYU FBS 1681
20 Montana FCS 1681
21 South Dakota FCS 1677
22 USC FBS 1676
23 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
24 Penn State FBS 1671
25 Iowa FBS 1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.91 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Air Force #92 #40 -52 (we're higher)
Ball State #97 #51 -46 (we're higher)
UCLA #77 #37 -40 (we're higher)
Liberty #38 #76 +38 (we're lower)
Marshall #30 #64 +34 (we're lower)
Mississippi State #78 #44 -34 (we're higher)
TCU #58 #27 -31 (we're higher)
Miami (OH) #115 #85 -30 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +28.4 45.3 16.7 #2
2 Alabama +28.3 46.8 18.6 #1
3 Wisconsin +26.5 38.7 12.2 #15
4 Clemson +26.1 42.6 16.7 #3
5 Notre Dame +21.0 38.3 17.3 #11
6 Florida +19.8 43.3 23.9 #6
7 BYU +19.2 39.2 20.3 #12
8 Georgia +19.1 30.8 12.1 #4
9 Cincinnati +18.6 34.5 15.9 #8
10 Oregon +18.1 35.1 16.9 #20
11 North Carolina +18.0 43.7 25.6 #26
12 Oklahoma +17.8 43.0 25.2 #5
13 Iowa +16.3 29.7 13.5 #7
14 Texas A&M +16.2 37.7 21.5 #10
15 Oklahoma State +14.2 30.7 16.7 #18
16 Penn State +13.9 35.0 21.0 #24
17 Virginia Tech +13.7 38.0 24.4 #46
18 UCF +13.6 39.4 25.7 #22
19 Iowa State +13.3 34.5 21.1 #9
20 Miami +12.8 32.6 20.2 #31
21 Auburn +12.6 33.0 20.7 #19
22 USC +12.4 38.0 25.5 #17
23 Utah +11.9 36.1 24.3 #21
24 Washington +11.7 30.9 19.1 #28
25 Arizona State +11.4 30.2 18.9 #25