BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2016 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +31.7 +13.6 +18.1
2 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.7 +14.0 +10.7
3 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +24.4 +11.8 +12.6
4 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.1 +9.6 +12.5
5 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +10.7 +11.3
6 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +21.3 +5.2 +16.1
7 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.8 +11.7 +9.1
8 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +19.8 +9.9 +9.9
9 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +16.5 +3.0
10 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.8 +7.7 +11.1
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +18.6 +4.4 +14.2
12 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +18.4 +12.4 +6.0
13 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +18.2 +12.6 +5.6
14 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.9 +14.1 +3.8
15 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +17.7 +3.3 +14.3
16 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.9 +9.7 +7.2
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.3 +7.9 +8.3
18 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +4.0 +12.1
19 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.9 +2.5 +13.4
20 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.9 +10.7 +5.2
21 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.5 +14.5 +1.0
22 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +15.2 +13.1 +2.1
23 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +14.7 +1.1 +13.6
24 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +14.7 +12.9 +1.8
25 Temple FBS American Conference +14.7 +5.1 +9.5
26 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +14.5 +9.4 +5.1
27 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +14.5 +13.3 +1.2
28 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +14.3 +4.4 +9.9
29 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +14.2 +5.6 +8.6
30 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +14.0 +8.2 +5.8
31 South Florida FBS American Conference +13.7 +15.4 -1.6
32 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.7 +15.8 -2.1
33 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.2 +1.5 +11.7
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +3.9 +9.2
35 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.1 +4.4 +8.8
36 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +13.0 +10.5 +2.6
37 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.0 +4.3 +8.7
38 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +13.0 +3.4 +9.5
39 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +12.8 +3.8 +9.0
40 Tulsa FBS American Conference +12.8 +14.1 -1.4
41 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +12.7 +4.8 +8.0
42 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +12.7 +2.4 +10.3
43 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +12.6 +5.4 +7.2
44 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +12.5 +16.7 -4.1
45 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +12.5 +7.1 +5.4
46 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association +11.9 +6.9 +5.0
47 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +11.7 +3.7 +7.9
48 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +11.5 +5.2 +6.3
49 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +11.4 +2.1 +9.3
50 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +11.1 +11.3 -0.2

SRS — season 2016 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.6 +27.3 -32.9
2 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +38.2 +25.4 -26.0
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.3 +28.1 -25.3
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +36.6 +28.2 -28.5
5 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +35.7 +26.8 -29.8
6 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +33.9 +16.4 -29.8
7 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +21.1 -21.8
8 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.1 +23.3 -20.8
9 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +31.9 +25.4 -18.0
10 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +31.8 +30.2 -15.6
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +31.8 +16.7 -27.7
12 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.6 +18.6 -22.6
13 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.2 +28.7 -16.5
14 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +11.6 -25.0
15 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.2 +19.3 -20.8
16 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +28.2 +16.5 -23.1
17 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +16.7 -26.1
18 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +28.0 +22.3 -17.8
19 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +28.0 +22.0 -17.4
20 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.9 +19.3 -17.6
21 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +27.7 +21.6 -14.7
22 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +11.1 -25.3
23 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +16.6 -20.5
24 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +24.6 -11.0
25 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +28.5 -7.5
26 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +25.1 +20.3 -17.2
27 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.1 +15.3 -21.0
28 Temple FBS American Conference +24.8 +14.5 -19.3
29 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +13.1 -22.0
30 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +24.6 +13.3 -19.2
31 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.4 +23.4 -12.6
32 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +24.4 +13.9 -18.8
33 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.3 +12.9 -19.9
34 South Florida FBS American Conference +24.1 +26.2 -6.6
35 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +23.9 +12.0 -20.3
36 Tulsa FBS American Conference +23.2 +24.2 -8.2
37 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.1 +13.2 -20.4
38 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +23.0 +14.1 -16.9
39 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.9 +7.0 -19.5
40 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.8 +12.6 -17.6
41 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +22.4 +11.8 -18.5
42 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +14.2 -17.3
43 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +21.9 +17.4 -16.3
44 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +21.8 +18.5 -9.1
45 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +21.8 +22.3 -9.4
46 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +21.6 +18.5 -13.9
47 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.3 +6.8 -19.8
48 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +15.0 -16.3
49 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +19.7 +17.0 -12.7
50 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +19.6 +18.2 -6.3

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Washington State #54 #23 -31 (we're higher)
Notre Dame #18 #47 +29 (we're lower)
Wyoming #95 #66 -29 (we're higher)
Colorado #53 #25 -28 (we're higher)
Texas #36 #59 +23 (we're lower)
Cincinnati #82 #104 +22 (we're lower)
Michigan State #50 #70 +20 (we're lower)
Southern Miss #65 #85 +20 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +31.7 40.0 8.6 #1
2 Clemson +28.7 43.5 14.1 #2
3 Washington +26.7 40.2 13.9 #3
4 Oklahoma +26.1 48.7 22.9 #9
5 LSU +25.3 34.2 9.0 #6
6 Michigan +24.4 34.8 11.1 #5
7 Florida State +24.0 42.6 18.8 #7
8 USC +23.6 39.2 17.1 #8
9 Louisville +22.9 40.8 17.7 #14
10 Ohio State +22.4 35.6 15.0 #4
11 Penn State +19.0 38.0 20.9 #12
12 Miami +18.6 34.1 17.3 #10
13 Oklahoma State +16.4 42.4 27.0 #19
13 Stanford +16.4 31.2 17.5 #18
15 Tennessee +16.3 39.9 25.2 #24
16 Wisconsin +16.1 30.5 14.8 #11
17 North Carolina +15.9 38.5 24.6 #15
18 Notre Dame +15.7 39.4 23.2 #47
19 Western Kentucky +15.5 40.7 25.8 #20
20 Florida +15.4 26.6 14.0 #21
21 Auburn +15.3 32.1 18.4 #17
22 Virginia Tech +15.2 34.5 19.6 #16
23 Pittsburgh +13.1 43.0 29.4 #29
24 Minnesota +12.6 27.8 17.5 #41
25 Ole Miss +12.4 38.9 27.9 #43