On the board
0 priced of 77
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
● Top projected winners
76% · 104-32 this season
The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.
Top projected winners
ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price
Top spread reads
ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence
No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.
Top total reads
ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line
No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.
Top team totals
our projected score against the book’s team total · 6 games priced this week
Florida State
Under 42.5 · book 51%
ours 36.5 · vs New Mexico State
W
17–34
UNLV
Over 30.5 · book 51%
ours 25.4 · vs Memphis
L
27–21
Hawai'i
Over 22.5 · book 50%
ours 24.9 · vs Stanford
W
27–37
Memphis
Over 26.5 · book 49%
ours 28.7 · vs UNLV
W
27–21
New Mexico State
Over 10.5 · book 46%
ours 18.2 · vs Florida State
W
17–34
NC State
Under 23.5
ours 22.7 · vs Virginia
FINAL
8–34no pick logged — kicked before we priced it
Virginia
Over 27.5
ours 33.1 · vs NC State
FINAL
8–34no pick logged — kicked before we priced it
North Carolina
Over 18.5
ours 21.5 · vs TCU
FINAL
15–10no pick logged — kicked before we priced it
Only the marquee games are shown as panels — the sheet carries all 0 priced games.