BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2022 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +30.3 +14.6 +15.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +25.0 +14.3 +10.8
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.6 +18.6 +6.0
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +24.2 +14.0 +10.2
5 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +18.2 +4.5
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +21.6 +10.1 +11.5
7 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +20.3 +11.6 +8.7
8 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.3 +8.6 +10.8
9 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.3 +8.6 +10.7
10 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +19.3 +14.9 +4.4
11 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +19.1 +8.1 +11.0
12 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +9.0 +9.7
13 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +18.0 +7.3 +10.7
14 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.8 +10.6 +7.2
15 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +17.4 +9.6 +7.8
16 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +16.9 +12.5 +4.4
17 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +16.0 +8.1 +7.8
18 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +15.9 +15.0 +0.8
19 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +15.5 +1.5 +14.0
20 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +15.2 +7.6 +7.6
21 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.0 +4.5 +10.5
22 Tulane FBS American Conference +14.7 +8.2 +6.6
23 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.6 +11.9 +2.7
24 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +14.4 +11.1 +3.3
25 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +14.3 -1.7 +16.0
26 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +13.9 +16.6 -2.7
27 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.8 +6.7 +7.1
28 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +13.6 +2.8 +10.8
29 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +13.6 +12.5 +1.1
30 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +13.5 +9.3 +4.2
31 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +13.5 +10.1 +3.3
32 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.3 +12.1 +1.3
33 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.9 +7.3 +5.7
34 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +12.8 +2.0 +10.7
35 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +12.1 +7.0 +5.1
36 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +12.0 +4.5 +7.5
37 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.0 -1.5 +13.4
38 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +11.9 +3.1 +8.8
39 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +11.9 +9.5 +2.4
40 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +11.8 +12.2 -0.4
41 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.8 +6.4 +5.4
42 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.7 +6.9 +4.8
43 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.6 +4.6 +7.0
44 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +11.5 +5.0 +6.5
45 UTSA FBS American Conference +11.4 +8.9 +2.5
46 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +9.0 +2.3
47 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.3 +4.3 +6.9
48 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +11.2 -1.0 +12.2
49 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +11.1 +6.4 +4.6
50 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +11.0 +8.0 +3.0

SRS — season 2022 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +43.2 +29.5 -30.9
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.2 +34.2 -21.0
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +37.5 +28.8 -25.5
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +37.1 +28.3 -24.0
5 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +35.8 +34.1 -19.5
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.2 +23.7 -24.5
7 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +33.0 +27.0 -16.6
8 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +32.5 +21.2 -23.8
9 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +32.5 +24.1 -21.4
10 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +32.4 +22.2 -25.0
11 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +30.6 +18.1 -23.0
12 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.1 +19.1 -20.9
13 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +29.8 +23.6 -21.7
14 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.6 +22.7 -18.6
15 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +29.2 +28.2 -12.7
16 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +29.0 +24.4 -15.6
17 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +20.6 -20.4
18 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +27.9 +13.1 -26.4
19 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +24.6 -14.6
20 Tulane FBS American Conference +26.4 +18.9 -17.8
21 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.4 +14.6 -21.6
22 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +26.3 +18.1 -18.6
23 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +25.6 +8.1 -27.2
24 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +25.5 +21.1 -14.3
25 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +25.1 +14.7 -23.0
26 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +24.6 +23.1 -11.1
27 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +21.6 -16.1
28 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +21.6 -14.6
29 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +7.8 -25.1
30 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +21.6 -10.4
31 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +15.8 -14.8
32 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +18.9 -15.9
33 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.7 +11.8 -14.4
34 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +18.4 -15.7
35 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +21.0 -12.7
36 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +16.5 -15.0
37 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +22.5 +19.0 -12.7
38 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +22.3 +23.1 -9.0
39 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +22.0 +8.4 -23.5
40 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +21.9 +14.9 -19.2
41 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.4 +12.6 -19.6
42 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +21.4 +9.3 -19.4
43 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.4 +17.0 -14.8
44 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +15.8 -19.0
45 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +20.8 +11.6 -18.7
46 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +20.5 +11.3 -18.3
47 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.4 +19.8 -8.1
48 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.4 +12.2 -14.9
49 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.2 +9.4 -20.7
50 Memphis FBS American Conference +20.1 +16.2 -13.7

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 130 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
South Alabama #33 #64 +31 (we're lower)
Air Force #58 #30 -28 (we're higher)
Fresno State #59 #37 -22 (we're higher)
Oklahoma State #31 #52 +21 (we're lower)
Iowa State #53 #32 -21 (we're higher)
Duke #55 #35 -20 (we're higher)
Louisville #39 #20 -19 (we're higher)
Navy #93 #74 -19 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Georgia +35.3 37.2 3.7 #1
2 Michigan +32.0 38.0 7.6 #4
3 Ohio State +31.1 45.1 15.7 #3
4 Alabama +30.3 42.9 14.2 #2
5 Tennessee +25.2 47.3 22.6 #5
6 TCU +24.3 43.3 20.2 #9
7 Texas +23.1 38.1 15.6 #11
8 Penn State +22.4 36.6 13.9 #6
9 Kansas State +21.4 36.4 15.7 #10
10 Utah +19.2 37.3 17.3 #7
11 USC +18.9 46.6 26.3 #17
11 Oregon +18.9 44.9 26.5 #15
13 Clemson +17.6 34.9 18.5 #8
14 Ole Miss +16.2 38.8 23.7 #26
14 LSU +16.2 34.2 17.6 #14
16 Minnesota +16.0 23.5 8.6 #24
17 Illinois +15.9 20.6 5.5 #18
18 Washington +15.7 41.2 25.5 #22
19 Mississippi State +15.4 35.1 19.9 #16
19 Oklahoma +15.4 40.8 26.5 #27
21 UCLA +15.0 45.7 30.1 #25
22 Oregon State +14.3 33.3 17.7 #12
23 Florida State +13.2 34.8 20.4 #13
24 Cincinnati +13.1 27.6 16.1 #33
25 Kentucky +13.0 23.2 9.9 #41