BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2019 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +31.7 +19.9 +11.8
2 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +31.3 +21.7 +9.6
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.5 +14.4 +15.1
4 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +27.7 +18.6 +9.0
5 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +23.8 +7.5 +16.3
6 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +22.8 +9.9 +13.0
7 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +22.4 +10.2 +12.2
8 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.2 +17.2 +5.0
9 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.1 +9.5 +12.6
10 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.1 +9.7 +12.4
11 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.1 +9.6 +12.6
12 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +21.7 +9.1 +12.6
13 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +21.6 +8.3 +13.2
14 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +20.7 +6.0 +14.7
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +19.8 +6.4 +13.4
16 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +19.6 +8.7 +10.9
17 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.2 +10.7 +8.6
18 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +19.2 +15.3 +4.0
19 Memphis FBS American Conference +18.5 +14.7 +3.8
20 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.4 +2.3 +16.1
21 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +18.3 +10.2 +8.2
22 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.0 +12.0 +6.0
23 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +7.3 +9.8
24 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +17.0 +10.0 +7.0
25 Navy FBS American Conference +16.8 +9.8 +7.0
26 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +16.2 +6.6 +9.6
27 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.7 +7.6 +8.1
28 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.6 +8.6 +7.0
29 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +15.1 +6.3 +8.8
30 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +15.0 +3.3 +11.7
31 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +14.6 +8.9 +5.7
32 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +14.2 +3.8 +10.4
33 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +14.1 +7.3 +6.8
34 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +13.8 +2.5 +11.3
35 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +13.7 +8.1 +5.6
36 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +13.6 +10.8 +2.7
37 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +8.4 +4.7
38 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.0 +14.4 -1.4
39 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.8 +7.7 +5.1
40 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +12.8 +2.2 +10.5
41 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.8 +4.6 +8.2
42 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +12.5 +4.5 +8.0
43 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +12.3 +7.9 +4.4
44 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +11.5 +2.6 +9.0
45 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +11.1 +12.5 -1.3
46 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +10.7 +6.2 +4.5
47 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +10.7 +1.3 +9.4
48 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +10.4 +5.0 +5.5
49 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +10.1 +6.1 +4.0
50 Tulane FBS American Conference +10.1 +5.4 +4.7

SRS — season 2019 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +45.8 +38.2 -30.8
2 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +44.6 +37.3 -24.3
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +40.0 +28.7 -30.8
4 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +38.9 +33.2 -23.3
5 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +36.5 +23.8 -27.6
6 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +35.8 +24.7 -29.4
7 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +34.8 +29.5 -18.9
8 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.8 +23.9 -27.6
9 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +34.6 +19.9 -30.7
10 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +34.4 +22.2 -26.8
11 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +34.1 +21.6 -25.7
12 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +34.1 +21.8 -28.0
13 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +33.5 +17.6 -28.2
14 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +32.8 +22.5 -25.4
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +32.2 +17.4 -25.1
16 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +31.4 +13.9 -30.3
17 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +31.0 +24.5 -18.3
18 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +29.7 +19.9 -23.9
19 Memphis FBS American Conference +29.5 +25.1 -14.0
20 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +29.4 +22.7 -19.2
21 Navy FBS American Conference +28.6 +20.5 -18.0
22 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +28.5 +25.8 -13.6
23 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +27.8 +21.0 -18.8
24 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +26.8 +19.8 -18.0
25 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +26.7 +23.0 -13.6
26 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +26.7 +18.6 -16.4
27 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +26.5 +15.4 -22.8
28 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +26.4 +14.8 -19.4
29 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +25.8 +17.6 -21.7
30 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +25.6 +12.6 -22.3
31 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +25.5 +15.9 -17.4
32 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.6 +24.5 -7.5
33 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +24.5 +16.0 -19.0
34 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +23.7 +11.5 -15.8
35 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +23.3 +16.8 -15.0
36 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.9 +18.2 -13.5
37 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.8 +15.5 -17.3
38 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.8 +11.1 -21.5
39 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +12.6 -21.6
40 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +18.0 -16.0
41 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +22.4 +24.3 -9.3
42 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +22.4 +17.8 -16.3
43 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.1 +11.9 -22.1
44 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +21.8 +14.8 -12.6
45 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +21.1 +12.4 -20.6
46 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.8 +7.6 -22.5
47 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +20.6 +18.4 -10.9
48 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +20.5 +16.9 -13.4
49 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +20.3 +16.2 -16.1
50 Tulane FBS American Conference +20.2 +15.5 -14.6

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Florida Atlantic #63 #32 -31 (we're higher)
West Virginia #97 #66 -31 (we're higher)
Colorado State #78 #106 +28 (we're lower)
Boston College #92 #64 -28 (we're higher)
Illinois #60 #86 +26 (we're lower)
UAB #67 #92 +25 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern #86 #61 -25 (we're higher)
Tennessee #29 #51 +22 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +35.4 44.4 10.6 #1
2 LSU +33.1 48.9 17.7 #2
3 Alabama +32.4 47.7 14.6 #4
4 Clemson +28.1 43.5 14.6 #3
5 Georgia +26.8 34.2 10.0 #5
6 Penn State +24.3 37.5 15.7 #10
7 Florida +24.0 37.8 15.5 #6
8 Oklahoma +22.9 46.1 24.9 #8
9 Auburn +21.0 33.9 14.9 #12
10 Michigan +20.7 35.7 16.0 #15
11 Wisconsin +20.3 37.7 16.4 #11
12 Utah +19.5 36.5 17.0 #13
13 Minnesota +19.4 39.8 19.6 #22
14 UCF +19.1 37.3 18.1 #16
15 Oregon +19.0 35.6 15.5 #7
16 Washington +18.3 35.3 19.5 #14
17 Memphis +18.0 39.5 23.4 #17
18 Baylor +17.8 34.7 17.3 #21
19 Notre Dame +17.7 35.8 18.5 #9
20 Iowa +16.7 30.0 15.2 #18
21 Texas A&M +15.0 34.0 19.4 #27
22 USC +13.1 39.0 26.7 #33
23 Indiana +12.8 35.6 23.8 #44
24 Iowa State +12.6 31.8 19.5 #26
25 Air Force +12.1 36.2 25.8 #24