BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2017 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +27.6 +12.9 +14.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +27.6 +11.7 +15.8
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.2 +11.0 +15.2
4 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +25.1 +10.0 +15.0
5 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.9 +15.2 +9.7
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +24.3 +14.6 +9.7
7 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +9.6 +14.7
8 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +23.6 +20.3 +3.3
9 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +22.7 +9.9 +12.8
10 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.4 +13.0 +9.3
11 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.8 +17.1 +4.6
12 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +20.5 +7.4 +13.1
13 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.3 +7.8 +11.5
14 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +19.0 +18.4 +0.7
15 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.6 +8.2 +10.5
16 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +18.4 +6.4 +12.0
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.3 +3.5 +13.8
18 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +17.2 +8.0 +9.2
19 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +17.1 +4.7 +12.3
20 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.0 +9.6 +7.5
21 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +16.8 +6.6 +10.2
22 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +16.2 +8.9 +7.3
23 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +15.9 +4.6 +11.3
24 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.8 +12.1 +3.7
25 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.8 +7.5 +8.3
26 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +15.7 +4.4 +11.2
27 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.9 +13.7 +1.3
28 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.9 +11.0 +3.9
29 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +14.5 +2.5 +12.0
30 South Florida FBS American Conference +14.4 +10.6 +3.8
31 Memphis FBS American Conference +14.1 +15.3 -1.2
32 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.8 +8.0 +5.8
33 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +13.7 +4.9 +8.9
34 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.3 +4.0 +9.2
35 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.2 +7.9 +5.3
36 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +13.1 +10.8 +2.3
37 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +13.1 +2.7 +10.4
38 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.6 +3.5 +9.1
39 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.1 +6.0 +6.2
40 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +12.0 +6.7 +5.3
41 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.9 +3.4 +8.5
42 Yale FCS Ivy League +11.7 +3.9 +7.9
43 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +11.7 +6.8 +4.8
44 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +11.4 +3.7 +7.8
45 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +11.4 +1.8 +9.6
46 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +11.4 +1.0 +10.4
47 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +11.3 +2.4 +8.9
48 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +11.2 +9.2 +1.9
49 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.8 +3.0 +7.8
50 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +10.6 +9.7 +1.0

SRS — season 2017 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +39.5 +24.1 -26.7
2 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.4 +30.2 -24.8
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +37.8 +24.4 -29.4
4 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +37.7 +22.3 -27.8
5 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.3 +22.5 -28.3
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +37.3 +29.6 -24.8
7 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +35.9 +33.4 -16.1
8 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +35.3 +24.6 -21.4
9 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +34.9 +19.9 -26.2
10 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +21.8 -25.6
11 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +33.5 +28.6 -14.9
12 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +30.6 +32.2 -12.1
13 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +30.0 +17.5 -25.1
14 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +29.8 +19.3 -22.9
15 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.7 +18.4 -20.7
16 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.2 +20.0 -17.7
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.1 +13.9 -26.7
18 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +27.8 +15.4 -23.6
19 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +14.6 -23.1
20 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.2 +12.9 -24.6
21 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +17.7 -19.8
22 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.5 +19.6 -20.1
23 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +26.5 +19.3 -18.4
24 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +26.1 +16.9 -21.4
25 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.0 +22.5 -13.8
26 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +13.0 -21.2
27 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.2 +24.9 -11.9
28 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +24.9 +13.4 -23.8
29 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +12.1 -23.5
30 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.4 +14.3 -20.5
31 Memphis FBS American Conference +24.3 +26.2 -8.9
32 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.1 +18.3 -15.0
33 South Florida FBS American Conference +23.7 +17.9 -12.7
34 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +23.3 +20.2 -10.9
35 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.7 +13.4 -21.0
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.6 +16.5 -17.2
37 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.5 +13.7 -19.3
38 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.4 +11.0 -17.5
39 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.3 +16.5 -14.0
40 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.9 +12.5 -18.9
41 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.8 +16.6 -15.9
42 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +21.6 +9.8 -20.4
43 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +13.3 -18.4
44 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +20.8 -13.5
45 Navy FBS American Conference +20.4 +13.5 -15.7
46 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +19.9 +15.7 -14.2
47 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +19.7 +20.4 -11.9
48 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +19.6 +19.6 -10.4
49 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +23.6 -5.5
50 Arizona FBS Big 12 Conference +19.2 +25.9 -4.4

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Florida #34 #72 +38 (we're lower)
Army #90 #60 -30 (we're higher)
Navy #73 #45 -28 (we're higher)
Ole Miss #26 #53 +27 (we're lower)
Missouri #28 #54 +26 (we're lower)
Indiana #32 #58 +26 (we're lower)
Buffalo #105 #79 -26 (we're higher)
Fresno State #81 #57 -24 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +33.5 38.7 5.6 #2
2 Ohio State +30.9 42.9 12.8 #6
3 Wisconsin +26.8 37.4 11.6 #4
4 Georgia +26.7 39.6 15.4 #1
5 Clemson +26.4 36.5 8.3 #3
6 Penn State +26.0 41.5 14.9 #5
7 Oklahoma +25.5 49.8 24.2 #8
8 Auburn +24.7 35.4 11.0 #7
9 Florida State +22.8 33.3 12.5 #31
10 Washington +22.1 39.4 16.3 #9
11 LSU +21.1 35.6 14.0 #17
12 Notre Dame +20.8 37.4 16.9 #10
13 Michigan +19.6 31.1 11.8 #21
14 Louisville +19.2 43.3 24.9 #24
15 Oklahoma State +19.1 42.2 23.0 #12
16 TCU +18.9 35.7 18.7 #14
17 USC +17.9 38.5 20.0 #20
18 Miami +17.4 35.3 17.0 #13
19 Mississippi State +16.0 32.4 18.1 #16
20 Stanford +15.8 37.7 24.5 #22
21 Virginia Tech +14.3 27.8 14.4 #15
22 UCF +14.1 40.5 26.9 #11
23 Michigan State +13.8 27.7 15.1 #26
24 NC State +12.9 38.0 23.3 #18
25 Utah +12.0 30.6 20.5 #39