BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2015 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +10.8 +13.4
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.5 +7.9 +12.6
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.0 +13.0 +7.0
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +18.9 +11.9 +7.0
5 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.9 +10.8 +7.1
6 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.7 +13.5 +3.1
7 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +16.6 +6.8 +9.8
8 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.3 +6.4 +9.9
9 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +16.3 +14.9 +1.3
10 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +9.8 +6.4
11 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +16.1 +11.2 +5.0
12 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +15.8 +5.2 +10.6
13 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +15.1 +10.4 +4.7
14 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +15.0 +8.3 +6.7
15 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +14.6 +9.6 +4.9
16 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +14.5 +1.6 +12.9
17 Navy FBS American Conference +14.4 +8.0 +6.4
18 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +14.3 +6.2 +8.0
19 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +14.1 +10.4 +3.7
20 Harvard FCS Ivy League +14.0 +6.2 +7.7
21 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +13.8 +4.2 +9.6
22 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +13.7 +10.3 +3.5
23 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +13.5 +13.1 +0.4
24 Jacksonville State FBS Conference USA +13.0 +8.1 +4.9
25 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +12.6 +5.6 +7.0
26 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +12.2 +4.8 +7.3
27 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +11.9 +6.1 +5.7
28 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +11.6 +1.3 +10.3
29 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.6 +6.7 +4.9
30 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.4 +10.7 +0.7
31 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +11.4 +16.3 -4.9
32 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +11.3 +3.3 +8.0
33 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +11.3 +12.7 -1.4
34 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +11.2 +2.0 +9.2
35 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +11.1 -0.2 +11.3
36 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +11.0 +4.4 +6.6
37 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +10.8 +2.0 +8.8
38 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +10.7 +3.4 +7.3
39 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +10.4 +6.7 +3.6
40 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +10.3 -0.7 +11.0
41 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.1 +5.8 +4.3
42 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +10.1 +4.2 +5.9
43 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +9.9 +10.1 -0.3
44 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.9 +1.7 +8.2
45 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +9.8 +4.1 +5.7
46 Memphis FBS American Conference +9.7 +8.3 +1.4
47 Temple FBS American Conference +9.6 +2.3 +7.3
48 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +9.6 +6.8 +2.8
49 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +9.5 +4.7 +4.8
50 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +9.5 +0.4 +9.1

SRS — season 2015 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +41.4 +25.5 -28.9
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +37.0 +21.5 -27.1
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +36.0 +28.3 -21.7
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +35.7 +28.5 -23.6
5 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +34.5 +25.0 -20.9
6 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +32.7 +18.9 -25.0
7 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +32.0 +27.5 -20.3
8 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +31.9 +24.3 -20.1
9 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +31.8 +25.2 -18.1
10 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.5 +27.5 -15.7
11 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.4 +19.9 -23.4
12 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +31.0 +19.9 -22.6
13 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +30.8 +29.5 -14.7
14 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +30.1 +24.1 -16.4
15 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +30.0 +16.5 -23.4
16 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +29.9 +21.4 -19.5
17 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +29.0 +24.0 -16.8
18 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +27.7 +20.5 -20.8
19 Navy FBS American Conference +27.6 +19.2 -17.8
20 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +27.3 +22.0 -16.6
21 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +17.4 -20.3
22 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +26.4 +30.0 -5.2
23 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +26.3 +12.4 -26.0
24 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +26.2 +16.3 -18.2
25 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +26.1 +16.1 -22.0
26 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +26.0 +16.0 -20.9
27 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +25.8 +14.6 -25.5
28 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.5 +24.2 -12.5
29 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +25.3 +14.0 -21.7
30 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +24.8 +17.6 -20.1
31 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +24.8 +13.0 -23.2
32 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.8 +24.4 -9.8
33 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.5 +24.1 -12.1
34 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +24.0 +15.7 -19.0
35 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +23.9 +17.8 -18.3
36 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.9 +17.2 -18.2
37 Bowling Green FBS Mid-American Conference +23.8 +25.1 -9.6
38 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.3 +15.6 -17.3
39 Memphis FBS American Conference +22.7 +20.9 -13.6
40 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +22.7 +20.0 -12.9
41 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.5 +11.9 -15.1
42 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.4 +19.2 -14.6
43 Georgia Southern FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.3 +15.5 -13.7
44 Temple FBS American Conference +22.2 +12.3 -18.1
45 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.9 +17.2 -15.0
46 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.7 +15.3 -15.3
47 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.6 +13.3 -15.2
48 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.5 +18.6 -15.1
49 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +21.4 +7.3 -22.9
50 South Florida FBS American Conference +21.2 +15.7 -15.8

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Houston #53 #14 -39 (we're higher)
Minnesota #46 #76 +30 (we're lower)
Toledo #50 #21 -29 (we're higher)
Penn State #32 #59 +27 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern #52 #25 -27 (we're higher)
UCLA #16 #41 +25 (we're lower)
Army #126 #101 -25 (we're higher)
Boston College #57 #80 +23 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +29.5 41.3 13.5 #2
2 Alabama +29.0 37.7 9.1 #1
3 Ole Miss +27.0 43.1 17.4 #10
4 Clemson +24.0 41.9 17.2 #3
5 Florida State +23.2 38.0 15.0 #7
6 Stanford +22.8 44.5 24.5 #5
7 Oklahoma +22.7 41.7 19.3 #4
8 Notre Dame +22.4 44.1 21.2 #12
9 North Carolina +20.0 43.3 25.3 #6
10 LSU +19.7 41.3 21.8 #16
10 Michigan +19.7 35.2 16.2 #11
12 Baylor +19.5 45.1 24.1 #8
12 Tennessee +19.5 35.7 17.8 #9
14 Arkansas +19.2 46.6 28.0 #17
15 TCU +19.0 40.8 21.7 #19
16 UCLA +18.6 42.4 22.6 #41
17 USC +16.8 38.6 23.3 #23
17 Georgia +16.8 28.6 10.7 #32
19 Oregon +15.9 46.7 30.4 #27
20 Michigan State +15.6 35.7 20.6 #18
21 Wisconsin +15.1 27.0 12.4 #31
21 Mississippi State +15.1 40.2 23.8 #13
23 Auburn +14.6 36.1 23.1 #45
24 Texas A&M +14.1 31.9 18.8 #33
25 Florida +13.8 26.7 15.8 #42