BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2018 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +27.0 +12.2 +14.8
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +17.5 +12.9 +4.6
3 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +16.6 +12.4 +4.2
4 Princeton FCS Ivy League +15.2 +11.0 +4.2
5 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +12.3 +2.6 +9.7
6 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +11.8 +9.5 +2.3
7 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.6 +1.9 +8.8
8 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.4 -0.3 +9.7
9 Colgate FCS Patriot League +8.3 -2.4 +10.7
10 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +8.2 -0.9 +9.1
11 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +6.8 +0.1 +6.8
12 Samford FCS Southern Conference +5.6 +6.0 -0.4
13 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +5.1 -0.4 +5.5
14 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.0 -2.4 +7.4
15 Harvard FCS Ivy League +4.9 +0.5 +4.5
16 Furman FCS Southern Conference +4.4 +1.9 +2.5
17 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.1 +6.3 -2.2
18 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +3.9 -0.2 +4.1
19 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +3.7 -0.4 +4.1
20 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +3.4 +5.0 -1.6
21 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.4 -0.6 +4.1
22 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.3 -2.2 +5.5
23 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.6 -3.0 +5.7
24 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.2 +4.2 -2.0
25 Yale FCS Ivy League +1.8 +2.4 -0.6
26 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.7 +2.0 -0.3
27 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +1.7 +1.5 +0.2
28 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +1.5 +4.2 -2.7
29 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.3 -3.6 +4.9
30 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.1 -2.8 +3.9
31 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.0 -3.0 +4.0
32 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference +0.3 +6.0 -5.7
33 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +0.2 +3.9 -3.7
34 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League +0.2 -4.9 +5.0
35 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.7 +4.7 -5.4
36 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -0.8 +0.6 -1.4
37 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference -1.0 -8.2 +7.3
38 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.7 +2.1 -3.8
39 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -2.1 +1.1 -3.2
40 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -2.1 -1.9 -0.2
41 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.4 -6.7 +4.4
42 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -2.6 -3.4 +0.9
43 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.8 -2.3 -0.5
44 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -3.0 -0.9 -2.1
45 Columbia FCS Ivy League -3.1 -4.4 +1.4
46 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.1 +3.9 -7.0
47 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -3.1 -4.7 +1.5
48 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -3.3 -4.4 +1.1
49 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -3.4 -3.2 -0.2
50 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -3.6 -2.4 -1.2

SRS — season 2018 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +29.6 +18.8 -20.4
2 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +20.8 +17.1 -9.8
3 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.4 +18.2 -10.2
4 Princeton FCS Ivy League +18.9 +16.8 -11.5
5 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +17.6 +6.6 -13.7
6 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +15.7 +12.7 -6.2
7 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.7 +6.9 -12.5
8 Colgate FCS Patriot League +11.1 +1.0 -14.4
9 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.6 +2.2 -13.2
10 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.0 +0.2 -10.6
11 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +9.5 +3.0 -7.6
12 Harvard FCS Ivy League +9.2 +3.0 -7.1
13 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +7.1 -0.4 -7.1
14 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.0 +10.1 +1.4
15 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.3 -1.7 -9.3
16 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.2 +0.9 -5.1
17 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.2 +1.2 -6.6
18 Samford FCS Southern Conference +6.1 +7.6 -0.7
19 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association +5.9 +0.5 -8.3
20 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.3 +5.0 -2.6
21 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +4.9 +6.2 +0.5
22 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference +4.8 +9.2 +4.3
23 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.6 -3.5 -5.5
24 Furman FCS Southern Conference +4.2 +0.1 -2.5
25 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.9 +7.2 +2.7
26 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.6 -0.5 -5.9
27 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.5 -4.1 -5.7
28 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.1 +4.1 +0.3
29 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.0 +5.6 +0.5
30 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.8 -0.7 -4.0
31 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference +2.8 +1.8 +0.0
32 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.7 -0.7 -7.5
33 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.8 +5.5 +1.5
34 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +1.8 +6.0 +5.9
35 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +1.6 +1.9 +3.9
36 Lamar FCS Southland Conference +1.2 -1.4 +1.3
37 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +0.8 -9.9 -8.6
38 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.6 +7.2 +4.9
39 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 -1.1 -0.3
40 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 -1.4 -1.0
41 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.0 -4.6 -7.4
42 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -1.1 -4.2 -0.7
43 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -1.2 -0.4 +4.2
44 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -1.4 -0.5 +3.5
45 Columbia FCS Ivy League -1.5 -4.0 -0.5
46 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.9 -2.3 +4.8
47 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.3 -5.9 +2.2
48 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -2.6 +1.4 +7.5
49 Cornell FCS Ivy League -2.8 -4.3 +1.2
50 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.1 -4.3 +4.9

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1764
2 Montana State FCS 1749
3 Lehigh FCS 1696
4 Tarleton State FCS 1685
5 Montana FCS 1681
6 South Dakota FCS 1677
7 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
8 Illinois State FCS 1660
9 South Carolina State FCS 1636
10 UC Davis FCS 1635
11 North Dakota FCS 1633
12 Jackson State FCS 1629
13 Tennessee Tech FCS 1624
14 Alabama State FCS 1598
15 Rhode Island FCS 1597
16 Villanova FCS 1597
17 South Dakota State FCS 1595
18 Mercer FCS 1578
19 Idaho State FCS 1576
20 Presbyterian FCS 1562
21 Southern Illinois FCS 1562
22 Dayton FCS 1562
23 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS 1561
24 Austin Peay FCS 1553
25 North Carolina Central FCS 1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2018 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.