BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2018 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.3 +16.3 +17.0
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +17.8 +13.8
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +25.9 +12.9 +13.0
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.8 +23.1 -0.3
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.0 +8.4 +13.6
6 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +14.2 +7.1
7 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.7 +17.0 +3.7
8 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +8.9 +11.2
9 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +19.8 +8.6 +11.2
10 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +19.0 +12.3 +6.7
11 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.9 +6.9 +12.0
12 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +18.8 +3.6 +15.2
13 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.7 +5.0 +13.7
14 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +3.1 +15.6
15 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +18.4 +12.0 +6.3
16 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +18.2 +13.8 +4.4
17 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +18.2 +9.5 +8.7
18 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +18.2 +9.4 +8.8
19 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +17.7 +11.7 +6.1
20 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +5.8 +11.3
21 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.1 +12.0 +5.1
22 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.5 +6.2 +10.3
23 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +5.2 +11.1
24 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +16.1 +13.7 +2.4
25 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +15.8 +6.6 +9.2
26 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.6 +8.8 +6.9
27 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +15.4 +2.0 +13.4
28 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.1 +5.8 +9.3
29 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.5 +7.9 +6.6
30 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +14.1 +5.8 +8.3
31 Army FBS American Conference +13.9 +3.0 +10.9
32 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.9 +3.0 +10.8
33 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.3 +12.7 +0.6
34 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +1.5 +11.6
35 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.9 +2.8 +10.1
36 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +12.8 +3.1 +9.7
37 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +12.7 +6.8 +5.9
38 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.3 +6.1 +6.2
39 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +12.2 +6.7 +5.5
40 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +12.2 +10.0 +2.2
41 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +12.1 +3.6 +8.5
42 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.0 +4.5 +7.4
43 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +11.8 +7.7 +4.1
44 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.7 +4.1 +7.7
45 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +11.7 +8.1 +3.6
46 Memphis FBS American Conference +11.3 +12.3 -1.0
47 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +11.2 +2.3 +8.8
48 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +10.8 -4.7 +15.5
49 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +10.8 +9.2 +1.6
50 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +10.4 +6.6 +3.8

SRS — season 2018 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +45.6 +30.5 -31.4
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.3 +32.9 -28.7
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +38.3 +25.8 -26.4
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +36.0 +37.4 -12.4
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +33.9 +18.6 -25.6
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +31.0 -16.6
7 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +33.6 +23.0 -24.8
8 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +32.1 +24.3 -17.6
9 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +32.0 +27.6 -17.6
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +32.0 +20.5 -22.6
11 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +24.7 -20.0
12 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +31.1 +19.5 -25.0
13 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +16.7 -30.8
14 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +23.0 -21.8
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +30.8 +13.5 -27.1
16 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +30.4 +25.2 -19.7
17 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +30.3 +22.9 -15.9
18 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +30.0 +16.1 -25.8
19 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.9 +22.4 -22.3
20 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +29.6 +16.5 -22.2
21 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +18.7 -21.6
22 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +21.8 -15.1
23 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +14.1 -27.1
24 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +27.5 +26.9 -14.1
25 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.0 +15.9 -19.6
26 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +26.9 +17.8 -24.4
27 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +26.3 +20.2 -17.9
28 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +25.5 +16.7 -19.2
29 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +25.0 +15.0 -19.8
30 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.9 +13.7 -21.9
31 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.7 +24.6 -12.4
32 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +19.4 -16.6
33 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.0 +18.0 -16.7
34 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.0 +19.7 -14.7
35 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +9.8 -22.0
36 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +23.4 +19.2 -14.5
37 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +13.0 -20.5
38 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +13.2 -20.9
39 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.0 +22.1 -15.0
40 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.9 +5.8 -28.4
41 Army FBS American Conference +22.9 +11.4 -21.9
42 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +15.8 -17.5
43 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.4 +17.3 -14.5
44 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.5 -21.3
45 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.7 -17.0
46 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.8 -14.4
47 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.7 -17.8
48 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +14.4 -18.2
49 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +21.3 +19.2 -11.1
50 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +20.6 +16.2 -15.1

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 Oregon FBS 1848
4 Georgia FBS 1843
5 Notre Dame FBS 1840
6 Texas Tech FBS 1801
7 Ole Miss FBS 1798
8 Miami FBS 1780
9 James Madison FBS 1779
10 Texas FBS 1760
11 Utah FBS 1752
12 Alabama FBS 1738
13 BYU FBS 1733
14 SMU FBS 1729
15 Texas A&M FBS 1728
16 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
17 Iowa FBS 1713
18 Oklahoma FBS 1708
19 Tulane FBS 1697
20 USC FBS 1695
21 Penn State FBS 1694
22 Louisville FBS 1681
23 Washington FBS 1679
24 Michigan FBS 1677
25 Navy FBS 1673

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.94 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Army #84 #31 -53 (we're higher)
Arkansas #53 #100 +47 (we're lower)
San Diego State #47 #89 +42 (we're lower)
Tennessee #48 #85 +37 (we're lower)
Ole Miss #33 #66 +33 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern #87 #58 -29 (we're higher)
Georgia Tech #74 #49 -25 (we're higher)
USC #34 #57 +23 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +36.3 50.9 14.2 #2
2 Georgia +32.9 45.9 14.2 #3
3 Clemson +29.7 43.0 12.6 #1
4 Oklahoma +24.9 54.0 30.0 #4
5 LSU +24.2 34.8 13.4 #9
6 Ohio State +24.1 44.4 21.2 #7
7 Auburn +23.6 36.9 14.1 #23
8 Mississippi State +23.2 34.6 10.5 #14
9 Florida +23.0 38.6 17.4 #17
10 Michigan +22.0 35.5 14.3 #8
11 Texas A&M +21.6 40.3 19.8 #19
12 Missouri +20.8 41.3 21.0 #15
13 Notre Dame +20.7 34.6 14.5 #5
14 Washington +19.9 34.5 12.7 #12
15 Penn State +19.0 33.9 14.6 #18
16 Fresno State +17.4 33.5 15.5 #13
17 Utah +16.8 31.9 18.1 #20
18 UCF +16.5 39.9 25.2 #6
19 Wisconsin +15.5 39.3 21.6 #30
20 South Carolina +14.9 36.4 23.6 #38
21 Utah State +14.2 36.3 22.5 #24
22 Oklahoma State +13.8 42.0 28.9 #33
23 Iowa +13.3 30.3 17.7 #11
24 West Virginia +13.2 41.1 29.2 #16
25 Kentucky +13.1 29.5 16.3 #27