BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2021 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +11.3 +16.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +15.2 +9.0
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +21.6 +17.9 +3.7
4 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +20.6 +7.1 +13.6
5 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +10.6 +9.5
6 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +9.2 +10.8
7 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +18.3 +9.3 +9.0
8 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.6 +6.0 +11.6
9 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +9.8 +7.4
10 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.6 +8.8 +7.8
11 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.0 +2.6 +13.4
12 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.5 +11.0 +4.5
13 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +15.4 +4.4 +11.0
14 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +15.1 +11.6 +3.5
15 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +14.7 +6.6 +8.1
16 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.6 +14.2 +0.4
17 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +14.4 +2.8 +11.6
18 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +14.4 +2.7 +11.7
19 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +14.2 +8.3 +5.9
20 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +14.2 +2.8 +11.3
21 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +14.1 +7.2 +6.8
22 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +14.0 +9.1 +4.9
23 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.0 +5.6 +8.4
24 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +13.6 +14.5 -0.8
25 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +13.2 +6.9 +6.3
26 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +13.2 +4.5 +8.6
27 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +13.1 +7.4 +5.7
28 Harvard FCS Ivy League +13.0 +4.1 +8.9
29 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +12.7 +6.1 +6.6
30 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +12.4 +5.6 +6.8
31 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +12.2 +5.2 +7.0
32 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +12.0 +2.4 +9.6
33 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +11.9 +2.8 +9.0
34 Sam Houston FBS Conference USA +11.8 +9.3 +2.5
35 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +11.7 +3.1 +8.6
36 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +11.6 +7.6 +4.0
37 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +11.5 +10.4 +1.2
38 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +11.2 +1.1 +10.1
39 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +11.1 +1.8 +9.3
40 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.0 +10.8 +0.3
41 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.9 +1.4 +9.5
42 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +10.5 +3.6 +6.9
43 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.5 -0.2 +10.6
44 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +10.4 +4.6 +5.8
45 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +10.3 +13.7 -3.4
46 Coastal Carolina FBS Sun Belt Conference +10.2 +7.7 +2.5
47 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +9.9 +10.8 -0.9
48 Princeton FCS Ivy League +9.9 +4.1 +5.8
49 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +9.8 +2.6 +7.3
50 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +9.7 +6.5 +3.2

SRS — season 2021 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +40.4 +25.2 -31.9
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +34.9 +27.4 -22.0
3 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.5 +33.4 -18.3
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +34.2 +24.4 -24.2
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +30.5 +21.5 -21.1
6 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +29.9 +18.7 -20.4
7 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +29.7 +18.0 -24.8
8 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +29.4 +21.3 -18.7
9 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.4 +18.2 -18.2
10 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +27.0 +13.5 -24.1
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +26.9 +15.2 -24.3
12 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.6 +22.7 -15.6
13 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +26.4 +15.7 -23.3
14 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +25.8 +23.7 -16.0
15 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.8 +11.2 -25.1
16 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +18.9 -20.2
17 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.7 +16.3 -19.7
18 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +25.4 +19.4 -17.2
19 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.2 +24.3 -9.7
20 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +25.0 +11.3 -19.2
21 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +24.6 +12.9 -22.7
22 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +24.3 +13.7 -19.1
23 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.1 +24.4 -6.4
24 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +12.5 -21.6
25 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +23.6 +21.6 -11.8
26 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +23.6 +16.4 -17.2
27 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +23.5 +16.9 -19.4
28 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +23.3 +16.1 -17.4
29 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +12.6 -21.7
30 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +22.7 +11.7 -21.9
31 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +21.8 +13.4 -14.8
32 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +21.4 +15.3 -19.8
33 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +21.2 +24.3 -10.3
34 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +15.1 -14.0
35 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.0 +16.7 -13.3
36 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +17.3 -13.9
37 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.9 +11.8 -17.6
38 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +20.9 +14.5 -14.2
39 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +20.4 +15.1 -18.1
40 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.6 +19.1 -8.2
41 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +19.6 +15.8 -12.8
42 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +22.1 -10.1
43 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.5 +16.8 -12.8
44 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.5 +13.1 -12.2
45 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +19.4 +15.1 -10.6
46 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.2 +9.9 -16.5
47 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.0 +13.9 -10.5
48 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.9 +8.5 -16.4
49 Nevada FBS Mountain West Conference +18.8 +18.2 -8.5
50 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +14.3 -14.2

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Tennessee #10 #38 +28 (we're lower)
Air Force #54 #27 -27 (we're higher)
Utah State #80 #54 -26 (we're higher)
Wake Forest #39 #14 -25 (we're higher)
Miami #32 #56 +24 (we're lower)
San José State #85 #108 +23 (we're lower)
Texas Tech #40 #62 +22 (we're lower)
Mississippi State #34 #55 +21 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Georgia +32.0 41.4 10.3 #1
2 Ohio State +29.3 47.2 20.6 #3
3 Alabama +26.0 40.9 15.6 #2
4 Michigan +23.4 36.5 15.8 #4
5 Cincinnati +21.2 37.5 15.9 #5
6 Texas A&M +21.1 33.6 14.9 #17
7 Wisconsin +20.1 29.8 10.8 #15
8 Clemson +18.7 28.3 11.6 #9
9 Pittsburgh +17.6 38.2 21.4 #10
10 Tennessee +17.5 39.4 23.8 #38
11 Notre Dame +17.4 36.2 18.9 #6
12 Oklahoma State +17.2 30.6 14.3 #7
13 Oklahoma +16.8 41.1 25.6 #12
14 NC State +16.1 33.1 17.7 #20
15 Baylor +15.6 33.1 17.1 #11
16 Utah +15.2 37.2 20.7 #8
17 Ole Miss +14.8 36.8 22.4 #19
18 Minnesota +14.4 29.3 15.4 #33
19 Iowa State +14.3 33.8 20.2 #13
19 Penn State +14.3 28.0 14.6 #16
21 Kansas State +14.2 33.5 19.0 #28
22 Arkansas +13.8 34.3 21.3 #25
23 Kentucky +13.4 35.1 22.3 #26
24 Western Kentucky +13.3 40.5 28.8 #21
25 Coastal Carolina +13.2 39.5 26.1 #37