BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2018 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +40.6 +19.8 +20.7
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +38.7 +21.0 +17.7
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +32.5 +16.1 +16.4
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +30.2 +27.3 +2.9
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +29.6 +12.4 +17.2
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +28.8 +21.1 +7.7
7 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +27.6 +12.3 +15.3
8 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +27.0 +12.2 +14.8
9 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +26.2 +7.2 +19.1
10 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +26.2 +16.9 +9.3
11 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +26.0 +10.3 +15.7
12 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +25.8 +11.3 +14.6
13 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +25.8 +13.5 +12.3
14 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +25.4 +15.6 +9.8
15 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +24.7 +6.1 +18.6
16 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +24.7 +17.2 +7.5
17 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +23.9 +15.3 +8.6
18 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +23.9 +9.0 +14.9
19 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +23.7 +12.1 +11.6
20 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +23.3 +14.7 +8.6
21 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +22.8 +9.6 +13.2
22 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.8 +15.0 +7.8
23 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.7 +6.7 +16.0
24 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +8.2 +14.5
25 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +9.2 +13.1
26 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +21.7 +9.4 +12.3
27 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.6 +11.0 +9.7
28 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +20.5 +4.5 +16.0
29 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.2 +5.9 +14.3
30 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.1 +11.2 +9.0
31 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +19.8 +16.5 +3.4
32 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +19.2 +5.8 +13.4
33 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +19.0 +15.1 +3.9
34 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +18.8 +11.1 +7.7
35 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +18.7 +7.1 +11.6
36 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +18.5 +5.9 +12.6
37 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.3 +4.0 +14.3
38 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.1 +7.3 +10.8
39 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +18.0 -1.5 +19.5
40 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.0 +8.8 +9.2
41 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.0 +7.2 +10.8
42 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +18.0 +11.5 +6.5
43 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +17.8 +9.1 +8.7
44 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +17.5 +12.9 +4.6
45 Army FBS American Conference +16.9 +4.4 +12.5
46 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +16.8 +10.1 +6.6
47 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +16.7 +2.0 +14.7
48 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +16.6 +12.6 +4.0
49 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +16.6 +12.4 +4.2
50 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.3 +11.0 +5.3

SRS — season 2018 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +45.6 +30.5 -31.4
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.3 +32.9 -28.7
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +38.3 +25.8 -26.4
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +36.0 +37.4 -12.4
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +33.9 +18.6 -25.6
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +31.0 -16.6
7 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +33.6 +23.0 -24.8
8 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +32.1 +24.3 -17.6
9 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +32.0 +27.6 -17.6
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +32.0 +20.5 -22.6
11 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +24.7 -20.0
12 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +31.1 +19.5 -25.0
13 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +16.7 -30.8
14 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +23.0 -21.8
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +30.8 +13.5 -27.1
16 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +30.4 +25.2 -19.7
17 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +30.3 +22.9 -15.9
18 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +30.0 +16.1 -25.8
19 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.9 +22.4 -22.3
20 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +29.6 +16.5 -22.2
21 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +29.6 +18.8 -20.4
22 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +18.7 -21.6
23 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +21.8 -15.1
24 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +14.1 -27.1
25 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +27.5 +26.9 -14.1
26 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.0 +15.9 -19.6
27 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +26.9 +17.8 -24.4
28 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +26.3 +20.2 -17.9
29 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +25.5 +16.7 -19.2
30 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +25.0 +15.0 -19.8
31 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.9 +13.7 -21.9
32 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.7 +24.6 -12.4
33 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +19.4 -16.6
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.0 +18.0 -16.7
35 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.0 +19.7 -14.7
36 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +9.8 -22.0
37 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +23.4 +19.2 -14.5
38 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +13.0 -20.5
39 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +13.2 -20.9
40 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.0 +22.1 -15.0
41 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.9 +5.8 -28.4
42 Army FBS American Conference +22.9 +11.4 -21.9
43 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +15.8 -17.5
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.4 +17.3 -14.5
45 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.5 -21.3
46 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.7 -17.0
47 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.8 -14.4
48 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.7 -17.8
49 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +14.4 -18.2
50 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +21.3 +19.2 -11.1

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 North Dakota State FCS 1764
3 Notre Dame FBS 1749
4 Montana State FCS 1749
5 Georgia FBS 1746
6 Ohio State FBS 1745
7 Texas Tech FBS 1723
8 Miami FBS 1719
9 Ole Miss FBS 1715
10 Alabama FBS 1708
11 James Madison FBS 1703
12 Texas FBS 1701
13 Oregon FBS 1698
14 Lehigh FCS 1696
15 SMU FBS 1695
16 Utah FBS 1693
17 Texas A&M FBS 1691
18 Tarleton State FCS 1685
19 BYU FBS 1681
20 Montana FCS 1681
21 South Dakota FCS 1677
22 USC FBS 1676
23 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
24 Penn State FBS 1671
25 Iowa FBS 1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 130 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Arkansas #53 #96 +43 (we're lower)
San Diego State #47 #88 +41 (we're lower)
Army #84 #43 -41 (we're higher)
Northwestern #68 #35 -33 (we're higher)
Tennessee #48 #78 +30 (we're lower)
Ole Miss #33 #61 +28 (we're lower)
Georgia Tech #74 #47 -27 (we're higher)
Boston College #63 #37 -26 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +36.3 50.9 14.2 #2
2 Georgia +32.9 45.9 14.2 #3
3 Clemson +29.7 43.0 12.6 #1
4 Oklahoma +24.9 54.0 30.0 #4
5 LSU +24.2 34.8 13.4 #11
6 Ohio State +24.1 44.4 21.2 #6
7 Auburn +23.6 36.9 14.1 #23
8 Mississippi State +23.2 34.6 10.5 #14
9 Florida +23.0 38.6 17.4 #18
10 Michigan +22.0 35.5 14.3 #7
11 Texas A&M +21.6 40.3 19.8 #19
12 Missouri +20.8 41.3 21.0 #16
13 Notre Dame +20.7 34.6 14.5 #5
14 Washington +19.9 34.5 12.7 #8
15 Penn State +19.0 33.9 14.6 #12
16 Fresno State +17.4 33.5 15.5 #22
17 Utah +16.8 31.9 18.1 #17
18 UCF +16.5 39.9 25.2 #9
19 Wisconsin +15.5 39.3 21.6 #25
20 South Carolina +14.9 36.4 23.6 #42
21 Utah State +14.2 36.3 22.5 #32
22 Oklahoma State +13.8 42.0 28.9 #30
23 Iowa +13.3 30.3 17.7 #10
24 West Virginia +13.2 41.1 29.2 #15
25 Kentucky +13.1 29.5 16.3 #27