BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2018 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.3 +16.3 +17.0
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +17.8 +13.8
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +25.9 +12.9 +13.0
4 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +25.2 +11.6 +13.7
5 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.8 +23.1 -0.3
6 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.0 +8.4 +13.6
7 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.2 +14.2 +7.1
8 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +20.7 +17.0 +3.7
9 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +8.9 +11.2
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +19.8 +8.6 +11.2
11 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +19.0 +12.3 +6.7
12 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +18.9 +6.9 +12.0
13 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +18.8 +3.6 +15.2
14 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +18.7 +5.0 +13.7
15 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +3.1 +15.6
16 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +18.4 +12.0 +6.3
17 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +18.2 +13.8 +4.4
18 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +18.2 +9.5 +8.7
19 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +18.2 +9.4 +8.8
20 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +17.7 +11.7 +6.1
21 Princeton FCS Ivy League +17.5 +11.6 +5.9
22 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +5.8 +11.3
23 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.1 +12.0 +5.1
24 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.5 +6.2 +10.3
25 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +16.4 +12.1 +4.4
26 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +5.2 +11.1
27 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +16.1 +13.7 +2.4
28 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +15.8 +6.6 +9.2
29 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +15.7 +11.7 +4.1
30 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.6 +8.8 +6.9
31 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +15.4 +2.0 +13.4
32 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.1 +5.8 +9.3
33 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +15.0 +4.2 +10.8
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +14.5 +7.9 +6.6
35 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +14.1 +5.8 +8.3
36 Army FBS American Conference +13.9 +3.0 +10.9
37 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.9 +3.0 +10.8
38 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +13.3 +12.7 +0.6
39 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +13.1 +1.5 +11.6
40 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.9 +2.8 +10.1
41 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +12.8 +3.1 +9.7
42 Kennesaw State FBS Conference USA +12.7 +6.8 +5.9
43 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.3 +6.1 +6.2
44 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +12.2 +6.7 +5.5
45 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +12.2 +10.0 +2.2
46 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +12.1 +3.6 +8.5
47 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +12.0 +4.5 +7.4
48 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +11.8 +7.7 +4.1
49 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +11.7 +4.1 +7.7
50 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +11.7 +8.1 +3.6

SRS — season 2018 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +45.6 +30.5 -31.4
2 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.3 +32.9 -28.7
3 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +38.3 +25.8 -26.4
4 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +36.0 +37.4 -12.4
5 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +33.9 +18.6 -25.6
6 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +31.0 -16.6
7 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +33.6 +23.0 -24.8
8 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +32.1 +24.3 -17.6
9 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +32.0 +27.6 -17.6
10 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +32.0 +20.5 -22.6
11 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +31.6 +24.7 -20.0
12 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +31.1 +19.5 -25.0
13 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +16.7 -30.8
14 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +23.0 -21.8
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +30.8 +13.5 -27.1
16 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +30.4 +25.2 -19.7
17 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +30.3 +22.9 -15.9
18 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +30.0 +16.1 -25.8
19 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.9 +22.4 -22.3
20 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +29.6 +16.5 -22.2
21 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +29.6 +18.8 -20.4
22 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +28.7 +18.7 -21.6
23 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +21.8 -15.1
24 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +14.1 -27.1
25 Utah State FBS Mountain West Conference +27.5 +26.9 -14.1
26 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.0 +15.9 -19.6
27 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +26.9 +17.8 -24.4
28 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +26.3 +20.2 -17.9
29 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +25.5 +16.7 -19.2
30 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +25.0 +15.0 -19.8
31 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.9 +13.7 -21.9
32 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.7 +24.6 -12.4
33 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +19.4 -16.6
34 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.0 +18.0 -16.7
35 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +24.0 +19.7 -14.7
36 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +9.8 -22.0
37 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +23.4 +19.2 -14.5
38 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.3 +13.0 -20.5
39 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +13.2 -20.9
40 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.0 +22.1 -15.0
41 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.9 +5.8 -28.4
42 Army FBS American Conference +22.9 +11.4 -21.9
43 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +15.8 -17.5
44 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.4 +17.3 -14.5
45 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.5 -21.3
46 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +12.7 -17.0
47 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.8 -14.4
48 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.0 +14.7 -17.8
49 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +14.4 -18.2
50 Ohio FBS Mid-American Conference +21.3 +19.2 -11.1

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1883
2 Ohio State FBS 1866
3 North Dakota State FCS 1858
4 Oregon FBS 1848
5 Georgia FBS 1843
6 Notre Dame FBS 1840
7 Montana State FCS 1823
8 Texas Tech FBS 1801
9 Ole Miss FBS 1798
10 Miami FBS 1780
11 James Madison FBS 1779
12 Texas FBS 1760
13 Utah FBS 1752
14 Alabama FBS 1738
15 BYU FBS 1733
16 SMU FBS 1729
17 Texas A&M FBS 1728
18 Tarleton State FCS 1726
19 Villanova FCS 1724
20 Montana FCS 1719
21 Vanderbilt FBS 1717
22 Iowa FBS 1713
23 Oklahoma FBS 1708
24 Lehigh FCS 1707
25 South Dakota FCS 1705

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 129 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.94 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Army #84 #31 -53 (we're higher)
Arkansas #53 #100 +47 (we're lower)
San Diego State #47 #89 +42 (we're lower)
Tennessee #48 #85 +37 (we're lower)
Ole Miss #33 #66 +33 (we're lower)
Georgia Southern #87 #58 -29 (we're higher)
Georgia Tech #74 #49 -25 (we're higher)
USC #34 #57 +23 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +36.3 50.9 14.2 #2
2 Georgia +32.9 45.9 14.2 #3
3 Clemson +29.7 43.0 12.6 #1
4 Oklahoma +24.9 54.0 30.0 #4
5 LSU +24.2 34.8 13.4 #9
6 Ohio State +24.1 44.4 21.2 #7
7 Auburn +23.6 36.9 14.1 #23
8 Mississippi State +23.2 34.6 10.5 #14
9 Florida +23.0 38.6 17.4 #17
10 Michigan +22.0 35.5 14.3 #8
11 Texas A&M +21.6 40.3 19.8 #19
12 Missouri +20.8 41.3 21.0 #15
13 Notre Dame +20.7 34.6 14.5 #5
14 Washington +19.9 34.5 12.7 #12
15 Penn State +19.0 33.9 14.6 #18
16 Fresno State +17.4 33.5 15.5 #13
17 Utah +16.8 31.9 18.1 #20
18 UCF +16.5 39.9 25.2 #6
19 Wisconsin +15.5 39.3 21.6 #30
20 South Carolina +14.9 36.4 23.6 #38
21 Utah State +14.2 36.3 22.5 #24
22 Oklahoma State +13.8 42.0 28.9 #33
23 Iowa +13.3 30.3 17.7 #11
24 West Virginia +13.2 41.1 29.2 #16
25 Kentucky +13.1 29.5 16.3 #27