Our side
MoneylineKSU to win
ours 59%
Projected score
22–30
ARIZ – KSU
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Arizona lead
6–2–1
· 9 meetings since 1941
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Arizona Wildcats
87 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #65 rush offense
Kansas State Wildcats #152 run defense
Pass game
even
31 ranks apart
Arizona Wildcats #106 pass offense
Kansas State Wildcats #75 pass defense
Run game
even
24 ranks apart
Kansas State Wildcats #88 rush offense
Arizona Wildcats #112 run defense
Pass game
edge Arizona Wildcats
46 ranks
Kansas State Wildcats #124 pass offense
Arizona Wildcats #78 pass defense
Arizona Wildcats
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Kansas State Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Brent Brennan · 47-60
Chris Klieman · 54-34
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Arizona Wildcats
QB
Noah Fifita
492 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
#42 QB
WR
Giovanni Richardson
13 rec · 144 yds
#162 WR
LB
Chase Kennedy
9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#182 LB
RB
Kedrick Reescano
97 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#152 RB
Kansas State Wildcats
RB
Joe Jackson
106 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#22 RB
WR
Josh Manning
13 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD
#51 WR
DL
Wendell Gregory
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#121 DL
RB
Rodney Fields Jr.
206 rush yds · 2 TD
#55 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Arizona offense vs Kansas State defense-2.1 pts
Kansas State offense vs Arizona defense-0.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 937 mi
Altitude · context only413 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.