BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

● Top projected winners record starts at kickoff

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Georgia
-27.5 · 93%
over Tennessee State
Ohio State
-25.9 · 92%
over Ball State
BYU
-22.2 · 88%
over Utah Tech
Old Dominion
-22.2 · 88%
over Norfolk State
Missouri
-21.6 · 88%
over Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Rutgers
-19.7 · 85%
over Massachusetts
Louisiana Tech
-18.6 · 84%
over Northwestern State
Utah
-18.4 · 84%
over Idaho
Marquee matchups top 10 of 132 Marquee All games
Louisville ACC
Power +10.5 · #28
Ole Miss -3.6
28–32
proj total 60.4 · 58%
2026-09-06 · 7:30 PM · neutral
Ole Miss SEC
Power +14.1 · #10
Our number Ole Miss -3.6 · 60.4
The market Ole Miss -6.5 · 55.5
Win prob · ours vs book 58% vs 68%
Louisville offense vs. Ole Miss defense+1.1 pts
Ole Miss offense vs. Louisville defense+4.7 pts
Full breakdown →
SMU ACC
Power +11.9 · #21
SMU -2.2
30–28
proj total 57.4 · 55%
2026-09-07 · 7:30 PM
Florida State ACC
Power +7.3 · #57
Our number SMU -2.2 · 57.4
The market Florida State +2.5 · 52.5
Win prob · ours vs book 45% vs 44%
SMU offense vs. Florida State defense+2.5 pts
Florida State offense vs. SMU defense-2.1 pts
Away team travels 752 mi situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Clemson ACC
Power +9.0 · #40
LSU -2.4
24–26
proj total 49.4 · 55%
2026-09-05 · 7:30 PM
LSU SEC
Power +9.0 · #38
Our number LSU -2.4 · 49.4
The market LSU -11.5 · 50.5
Win prob · ours vs book 55% vs 79%
Clemson offense vs. LSU defense-3.8 pts
LSU offense vs. Clemson defense-3.8 pts
Away team travels 568 mi situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Miami ACC
Power +16.7 · #6
Miami -13.2
32–18
proj total 50.0 · 76%
2026-09-04 · 9:00 PM
Stanford ACC
Power +1.2 · #146
Our number Miami -13.2 · 50.0
The market Stanford +22.0 · 49.5
Win prob · ours vs book 24% vs 8%
Miami offense vs. Stanford defense+4.3 pts
Stanford offense vs. Miami defense-11.3 pts
Away team travels 2,565 mi situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Baylor B12
Power +5.0 · #82
Auburn -3.9
27–31
proj total 57.3 · 58%
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PM · neutral
Auburn SEC
Power +8.9 · #41
Our number Auburn -3.9 · 57.3
The market Auburn -7.5 · 59.5
Win prob · ours vs book 58% vs 70%
Venue Indoors — no weather factor
Baylor offense vs. Auburn defense-0.6 pts
Auburn offense vs. Baylor defense+3.3 pts
Away team travels 754 mi situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Colorado B12
Power +3.3 · #114
Georgia Tech -7.7
25–33
proj total 58.4 · 66%
2026-09-03 · 8:00 PM
Georgia Tech ACC
Power +8.5 · #44
Our number Georgia Tech -7.7 · 58.4
The market Georgia Tech -7.5 · 51.5
Win prob · ours vs book 66% vs 71%
Colorado offense vs. Georgia Tech defense-1.9 pts
Georgia Tech offense vs. Colorado defense+3.3 pts
Away team travels 1,228 mi1,355 m lower than the visitor's home elevation situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Boston College ACC
Power +0.7 · #164
Cincinnati -7.1
27–34
proj total 61.1 · 65%
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PM
Cincinnati B12
Power +5.4 · #76
Our number Cincinnati -7.1 · 61.1
The market Cincinnati -7.5 · 53.8
Win prob · ours vs book 65% vs 70%
Boston College offense vs. Cincinnati defense-0.3 pts
Cincinnati offense vs. Boston College defense+4.4 pts
Away team travels 732 mi situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
UCLA B1G
Power +2.6 · #122
California -3.0
26–29
proj total 55.4 · 56%
2026-09-05 · 10:30 PM
California ACC
Power +3.2 · #116
Our number California -3.0 · 55.4
The market California -1.5 · 54.5
Win prob · ours vs book 56% vs 51%
UCLA offense vs. California defense-1.1 pts
California offense vs. UCLA defense-0.5 pts
Full breakdown →
North Texas AAC
Power +10.9 · #25
Indiana -11.4
30–41
proj total 71.4 · 73%
2026-09-05 · 12:00 PM
Indiana B1G
Power +19.9 · #1
Our number Indiana -11.4 · 71.4
The market Indiana -40.5 · 55.0
Win prob · ours vs book 73% vs —
North Texas offense vs. Indiana defense+2.7 pts
Indiana offense vs. North Texas defense+11.7 pts
Away team travels 722 mi situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →
Boise State MWC
Power +7.6 · #54
Oregon -12.3
23–36
proj total 59.2 · 75%
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PM
Oregon B1G
Power +17.5 · #4
Our number Oregon -12.3 · 59.2
The market Oregon -24.5 · 53.0
Win prob · ours vs book 75% vs 94%
Boise State offense vs. Oregon defense-3.9 pts
Oregon offense vs. Boise State defense+6.0 pts
695 m lower than the visitor's home elevation situational context — the ratings already price these
Full breakdown →

Only the marquee games are shown as panels — see all 132 games.