BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2026 · Preseason 50 teams

Preseason = each team's 2025 finish regressed toward the mean. It can't yet see roster turnover, the portal, or recruiting; it updates as 2026 games are played. Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. A model rating, not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+20.4	+11.0	+9.4
2	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+18.9	+9.1	+9.8
3	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+13.0	+7.6	+5.4
4	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.7	+10.8	+1.9
5	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	+12.7	+6.0	+6.7
6	Tarleton State	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+10.1	+7.9	+2.2
7	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	+9.8	+4.2	+5.6
8	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.5	+8.1	+1.4
9	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.5	+4.0	+3.6
10	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.3	+5.8	+1.4
11	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+6.8	+5.5	+1.2
12	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+6.4	+2.2	+4.2
13	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.6	+5.7	-0.1
14	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+5.6	+6.5	-0.8
15	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+5.6	+2.8	+2.7
16	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+4.8	+1.4	+3.3
17	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+4.7	+1.8	+2.9
18	?None	FCS	Southland Conference	+3.0	+2.4	+0.7
19	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.8	+8.1	-5.4
20	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.6	+3.3	-0.7
21	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	+0.3	-0.4	+0.8
22	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.2	+1.8	-1.6
23	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.2	-3.2	+3.4
24	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+0.1	-4.9	+5.0
25	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	+0.1	+3.7	-3.7
26	?None	FCS	—	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
26	?None	FCS	—	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
27	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	-0.6	-5.3	+4.7
28	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-1.6	+3.7	-5.3
29	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-1.6	-3.7	+2.1
30	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-2.0	+1.0	-3.0
31	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-2.1	-8.1	+6.0
32	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-2.6	+4.0	-6.5
33	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.9	+1.0	-4.0
34	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.0	-0.3	-2.7
35	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	-3.1	-3.4	+0.3
36	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-3.5	-0.8	-2.7
37	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.6	-2.9	-0.6
38	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-3.8	+4.5	-8.3
39	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	-3.8	-3.6	-0.2
40	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-4.0	-2.5	-1.5
41	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-4.1	-2.2	-1.9
42	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-4.1	-0.7	-3.4
43	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-4.6	-1.1	-3.5
44	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	-4.6	-2.7	-1.9
45	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-4.6	+2.6	-7.2
46	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-4.7	+1.9	-6.5
47	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-4.8	-1.7	-3.1
48	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-5.0	-0.6	-4.4
49	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-5.1	-1.9	-3.2

SRS — season 2025 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+22.7	+15.1	-14.0
2	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+20.7	+13.3	-12.1
3	Tarleton State	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+17.3	+16.0	-7.4
4	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+15.6	+6.4	-11.4
5	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+14.6	+14.5	-2.8
6	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+10.9	+8.0	-1.4
7	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	+10.4	+6.0	-5.5
8	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.8	+4.0	-7.4
9	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.7	+6.1	-4.3
10	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+8.9	+10.5	+0.0
11	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	+8.7	-0.6	-7.4
12	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+7.8	+5.3	-2.8
13	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.7	+6.3	-0.3
14	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+7.5	+4.0	-3.6
15	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+6.8	+12.2	+3.5
16	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+6.7	+1.8	-4.2
17	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+6.3	+8.9	+1.1
18	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+6.1	+6.7	+1.1
19	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	+5.9	+2.2	-4.9
20	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+5.7	+6.2	+1.8
21	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+5.6	+1.1	-4.9
22	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+5.2	+5.6	-2.3
23	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.2	+7.2	+2.8
24	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+4.1	+5.1	-1.1
25	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+3.7	+4.4	+6.3
26	West Georgia	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+3.4	-3.1	-5.4
27	?None	FCS	Southland Conference	+3.4	+2.6	+0.7
28	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.8	+6.5	+3.0
29	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.5	+1.5	+0.1
30	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.2	+0.5	+0.4
31	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	+1.5	-6.0	-3.9
32	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+1.0	-0.9	-2.5
33	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	+0.5	+2.5	+4.6
34	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+0.3	+7.1	+8.1
35	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-0.8	-2.7	-0.7
36	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-0.8	-5.2	+2.3
37	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.9	-4.6	-0.9
38	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.4	-2.9	+1.8
39	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-1.4	+1.1	+7.0
40	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-2.0	-6.7	-4.7
41	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	-2.2	-3.4	-0.2
42	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-2.6	-6.1	+1.9
43	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-2.7	-2.6	+3.6
44	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	-2.8	-10.0	-6.2
45	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-2.9	+8.4	+10.8
46	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.5	-0.6	+4.8
47	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-3.7	+4.4	+9.7
48	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-3.8	-0.9	+7.1
49	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-4.0	-0.4	+5.8
50	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-4.1	-5.0	+0.3

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
2	Montana State	FCS	1749
3	Lehigh	FCS	1696
4	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
5	Montana	FCS	1681
6	South Dakota	FCS	1677
7	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	1661
8	Illinois State	FCS	1660
9	South Carolina State	FCS	1636
10	UC Davis	FCS	1635
11	North Dakota	FCS	1633
12	Jackson State	FCS	1629
13	Tennessee Tech	FCS	1624
14	Alabama State	FCS	1598
15	Rhode Island	FCS	1597
16	Villanova	FCS	1597
17	South Dakota State	FCS	1595
18	Mercer	FCS	1578
19	Idaho State	FCS	1576
20	Presbyterian	FCS	1562
21	Southern Illinois	FCS	1562
22	Dayton	FCS	1562
23	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	1561
24	Austin Peay	FCS	1553
25	North Carolina Central	FCS	1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input.

SP+ top 2