Power Ratings — 2025 50 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.7 +11.5 +10.1
2 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +17.8 +9.8 +8.0
3 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +14.3 +10.9 +3.4
4 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.0 +5.0 +8.0
5 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +11.9 +11.1 +0.7
6 Lehigh FCS Patriot League +10.3 +1.9 +8.4
7 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.4 +2.9 +6.5
8 Harvard FCS Ivy League +9.1 +7.8 +1.4
9 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +9.0 +4.8 +4.2
10 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.7 +5.1 +3.6
11 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +8.0 +7.1 +0.9
12 Yale FCS Ivy League +8.0 +3.2 +4.8
13 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.8 +8.0 -0.2
14 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.7 +4.0 +3.7
15 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.6 +1.3 +5.3
16 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +6.4 +7.0 -0.6
17 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +5.6 +6.9 -1.3
18 None FCS Southland Conference +5.5 +5.1 +0.4
19 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +5.4 +4.2 +1.2
20 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +5.1 +5.5 -0.4
21 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.1 +9.8 -4.7
22 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association +5.1 +4.0 +1.1
23 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.7 +2.7 +2.0
24 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +4.4 +5.8 -1.4
25 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League +3.9 +0.3 +3.6
26 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +3.9 +0.4 +3.5
27 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +3.7 +5.7 -2.0
28 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League +3.3 +1.3 +2.0
29 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.1 +8.9 -5.7
30 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +2.9 +0.5 +2.4
31 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference +2.2 +3.3 -1.0
32 West Georgia FCS United Athletic Conference +2.2 -2.3 +4.5
33 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League +1.6 -3.4 +5.0
34 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.5 -1.9 +3.4
35 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +1.4 +4.3 -2.8
36 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +1.3 +3.5 -2.3
37 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +1.0 -0.9 +1.9
38 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +0.8 +2.6 -1.8
39 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +0.5 +0.1 +0.4
40 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +0.4 +3.7 -3.3
41 Lamar FCS Southland Conference +0.4 -4.2 +4.5
42 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +0.1 +0.8 -0.8
43 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -0.5 -3.4 +2.9
44 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -0.7 -1.9 +1.1
45 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -0.9 +1.4 -2.3
46 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -1.1 -2.4 +1.3
47 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -1.1 -7.7 +6.6
48 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -1.3 +8.1 -9.4
49 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -1.3 -1.7 +0.4
50 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -1.5 -0.5 -1.0

SRS — season 2025 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.7 +15.1 -14.0
2 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +20.7 +13.3 -12.1
3 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +17.3 +16.0 -7.4
4 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.6 +6.4 -11.4
5 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +14.6 +14.5 -2.8
6 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +10.9 +8.0 -1.4
7 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +10.4 +6.0 -5.5
8 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.8 +4.0 -7.4
9 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.7 +6.1 -4.3
10 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.9 +10.5 +0.0
11 Lehigh FCS Patriot League +8.7 -0.6 -7.4
12 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +7.8 +5.3 -2.8
13 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +7.7 +6.3 -0.3
14 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.5 +4.0 -3.6
15 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +6.8 +12.2 +3.5
16 Yale FCS Ivy League +6.7 +1.8 -4.2
17 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +6.3 +8.9 +1.1
18 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +6.1 +6.7 +1.1
19 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +5.9 +2.2 -4.9
20 Harvard FCS Ivy League +5.7 +6.2 +1.8
21 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.6 +1.1 -4.9
22 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference +5.2 +5.6 -2.3
23 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +4.2 +7.2 +2.8
24 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association +4.1 +5.1 -1.1
25 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +3.7 +4.4 +6.3
26 West Georgia FCS United Athletic Conference +3.4 -3.1 -5.4
27 None FCS Southland Conference +3.4 +2.6 +0.7
28 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +2.8 +6.5 +3.0
29 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.5 +1.5 +0.1
30 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference +2.2 +0.5 +0.4
31 Lamar FCS Southland Conference +1.5 -6.0 -3.9
32 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +1.0 -0.9 -2.5
33 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +0.5 +2.5 +4.6
34 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.3 +7.1 +8.1
35 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -0.8 -2.7 -0.7
36 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.8 -5.2 +2.3
37 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.9 -4.6 -0.9
38 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference -1.4 -2.9 +1.8
39 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -1.4 +1.1 +7.0
40 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -2.0 -6.7 -4.7
41 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League -2.2 -3.4 -0.2
42 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.6 -6.1 +1.9
43 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League -2.7 -2.6 +3.6
44 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -2.8 -10.0 -6.2
45 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -2.9 +8.4 +10.8
46 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.5 -0.6 +4.8
47 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -3.7 +4.4 +9.7
48 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -3.8 -0.9 +7.1
49 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.0 -0.4 +5.8
50 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.1 -5.0 +0.3

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1858
2 Montana State FCS 1823
3 Tarleton State FCS 1726
4 Villanova FCS 1724
5 Montana FCS 1719
6 Lehigh FCS 1707
7 South Dakota FCS 1705
8 Yale FCS 1686
9 UC Davis FCS 1683
10 Harvard FCS 1670
11 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
12 Illinois State FCS 1661
13 Jackson State FCS 1661
14 Alabama State FCS 1659
15 South Dakota State FCS 1649
16 Rhode Island FCS 1645
17 Presbyterian FCS 1629
18 South Carolina State FCS 1617
19 North Dakota FCS 1615
20 Abilene Christian FCS 1607
21 Mercer FCS 1603
22 Tennessee Tech FCS 1602
23 None FCS 1601
24 San Diego FCS 1597
25 Southern Utah FCS 1596

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2025 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.