BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2024 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.8 +6.8 +12.9
2 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.4 +11.2 +8.2
3 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +18.2 +9.9 +8.4
4 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.8 +6.1 +7.7
5 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +7.5 +4.7 +2.7
6 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +7.0 +2.2 +4.8
7 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +7.0 +3.0 +4.0
8 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +6.4 +6.9 -0.5
9 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +6.0 +4.6 +1.4
10 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +6.0 +4.1 +1.8
11 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +5.9 +3.7 +2.2
12 Harvard FCS Ivy League +5.4 +3.1 +2.3
13 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +5.3 +3.3 +2.0
14 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.6 +5.9 -2.2
15 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +3.4 +6.5 -3.1
16 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +3.4 -0.8 +4.2
17 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.1 -0.9 +4.0
18 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +2.8 -3.5 +6.3
19 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.6 -5.2 +7.8
20 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League +2.3 +0.4 +1.9
21 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.3 +4.3 -2.0
22 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +2.0 +0.7 +1.3
23 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +1.9 +1.0 +0.9
24 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference +1.7 +1.9 -0.2
25 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +1.7 +0.1 +1.5
25 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +1.7 +2.3 -0.7
26 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +1.6 +2.3 -0.7
27 Richmond FCS Patriot League +1.6 -2.7 +4.3
28 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.3 -3.0 +4.3
29 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +1.3 +2.1 -0.8
30 Lehigh FCS Patriot League +1.1 -0.3 +1.3
31 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +1.0 +5.8 -4.7
32 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +1.0 -1.4 +2.4
33 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +0.9 +0.9 -0.0
34 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.8 +2.4 -1.6
35 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.8 +9.3 -8.5
36 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.5 -3.0 +3.5
37 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +0.4 -2.2 +2.5
38 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +0.2 +8.1 -7.9
39 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -0.4 -2.9 +2.6
40 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.4 -4.4 +4.0
41 Columbia FCS Ivy League -0.4 -8.1 +7.6
42 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.5 -2.8 +2.3
43 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.6 +0.5 -1.1
44 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.8 -1.9 +1.1
45 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.8 -1.4 +0.5
46 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -1.8 -1.4 -0.4
47 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.9 +4.2 -6.2
48 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -2.4 -3.2 +0.7
49 Samford FCS Southern Conference -2.5 -0.6 -1.9

SRS — season 2024 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.7 +15.5 -12.3
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.4 +12.1 -17.5
3 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +21.3 +12.6 -11.8
4 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +16.2 +10.7 -10.8
5 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +10.4 +8.2 -5.0
6 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +8.7 +3.4 -6.0
7 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +7.9 +5.2 -2.1
8 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +7.9 +8.8 +1.0
9 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +6.5 +3.4 -3.6
10 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +6.4 +3.7 -1.7
11 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +5.8 +6.4 -1.5
12 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +5.3 +8.5 +3.6
13 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.6 -1.5 -3.9
14 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +4.6 -1.2 -4.0
15 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +3.8 +1.2 -3.8
16 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.6 +5.6 +1.3
17 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +3.0 -4.9 -7.6
18 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +2.9 +2.5 +1.3
19 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +2.9 -0.6 +1.8
20 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.5 +0.5 +0.2
21 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.0 -3.6 -5.0
22 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.7 -6.8 -7.8
23 Richmond FCS Patriot League +1.3 -3.0 -4.9
24 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +1.2 -1.9 -2.7
25 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +1.0 +6.1 +5.2
26 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +1.0 +9.9 +8.2
27 Harvard FCS Ivy League +0.7 -0.1 +1.2
28 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.6 +2.5 +3.2
29 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.4 +11.3 +9.6
30 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.3 -4.7 -3.4
31 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +0.3 +3.2 +2.8
32 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -0.1 -0.8 +0.2
33 Yale FCS Ivy League -0.2 +3.7 +6.2
34 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -0.5 -1.2 +5.1
35 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.5 -1.5 -0.7
36 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.6 -4.4 -1.3
37 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.6 -4.0 +1.2
38 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.6 +0.3 +2.5
39 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.6 -5.5 -2.8
40 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference -1.0 -4.4 -1.8
41 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -1.1 -4.3 -0.1
42 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -1.5 +1.4 +0.2
43 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League -1.8 -1.3 +3.1
44 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -2.0 +5.3 +8.5
45 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -2.0 -2.3 +0.4
46 Samford FCS Southern Conference -2.5 -0.2 +2.8
47 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.7 -1.3 -0.4
48 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference -2.8 -0.0 +3.2
49 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -3.0 +2.8 +9.2
50 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference -3.4 -5.0 +0.3

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1858
2 Montana State FCS 1823
3 Tarleton State FCS 1726
4 Villanova FCS 1724
5 Montana FCS 1719
6 Lehigh FCS 1707
7 South Dakota FCS 1705
8 Yale FCS 1686
9 UC Davis FCS 1683
10 Harvard FCS 1670
11 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
12 Illinois State FCS 1661
13 Jackson State FCS 1661
14 Alabama State FCS 1659
15 South Dakota State FCS 1649
16 Rhode Island FCS 1645
17 Presbyterian FCS 1629
18 South Carolina State FCS 1617
19 North Dakota FCS 1615
20 Abilene Christian FCS 1607
21 Mercer FCS 1603
22 Tennessee Tech FCS 1602
23 None FCS 1601
24 San Diego FCS 1597
25 Southern Utah FCS 1596

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2024 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.